• Title/Summary/Keyword: Damage probability

Search Result 591, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Application of a weight-of-evidence model to landslide susceptibility analysis Boeun, Korea

  • Moung-Jin, Lee;Yu, Young-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
    • /
    • 2003.04a
    • /
    • pp.65-70
    • /
    • 2003
  • The weight-of-evidence model one of the Bayesian probability model was applied to the task of evaluating landslide susceptibility using GIS. Using the location of the landslides and spatial database such as topography, soil, forest, geology, land use and lineament, the weight-of-evidence model was applied to calculate each factor's rating at Boun area in Korea where suffered substantial landslide damage fellowing heavy rain in 1998, The factors are slope, aspect and curvature from the topographic database, soil texture, soil material, soil drainage, soil effective thickness, and topographic type from the soil database, forest type, timber diameter, timber age and forest density from the forest map, lithology from the geological database, land use from Landsat TM satellite image and lineament from IRS satellite image. Tests of conditional independence were performed for the selection of the factors, allowing the 43 combinations of factors to be analyzed. For the analysis, the contrast value, W$\^$+/and W$\^$-/, as each factor's rating, were overlaid to map laudslide susceptibility. The results of the analysis were validated using the observed landslide locations, and among the combinations, the combination of slope, curvature, topographic, timber diameter, geology and lineament show the best results. The results can be used for hazard prevention and planning land use and construction

  • PDF

Fragility Assessment of Damaged Piloti-Type RC Building With/Without BRB Under Successive Earthquakes (연속 지진에 의하여 손상된 필로티 RC 건축물의 BRB 보강 전/후의 취약성 평가)

  • Shin, Jiuk;Kim, JunHee;Lee, Kihak
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.133-141
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper presents the seismic evaluation and prediction of a damaged piloti-type Reinforced Concrete (RC) building before and after post-retrofitting under successive earthquakes. For considering realistic successive earthquakes, the past records measured at the same station were combined. In this study, the damaged RC building due to the first earthquake was retrofitted with a buckling-restrained brace (BRB) before the second earthquake occurred. Nonlinear Time History Analysis (NTHA) was performed under the scaled intensity of the successive ground motions. Based on the extensive structural response data obtained form from the NTHA, the fragility relationships between the ground shaking intensity and the probability of reaching a pre-determined limit state was were derived. In addition, The the fragility curves of the pre-damaged building without and with the BRBs were employed to evaluate the effect of the successive earthquakes and the post-retrofit effect. Through the seismic assessment subjected to the successive records, it was observed that the seismic performance of the pre-damaged building was significantly affected by the severity of the damage from the first earthquake damages and the hysteresis behavior of the retrofit element.

A study on the method vibration analysis of marine pump

  • BAE, Dong-Myung;QI, Da-long;CAO, Bo;GUO, Wei
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
    • /
    • v.51 no.3
    • /
    • pp.279-284
    • /
    • 2015
  • Generally, there are many kinds of pumps used on a ship, which play an obbligato role to assist the ship's running. However, due to the pump's own motor, it becomes a main vibration resource that may cause serious problems in local. If the above situation happened, it may cause local resonance even structural damage. Also, the bigger the pump's size is, the more serious the vibration is. Therefore, it is very important for researchers to estimate the vibrations situation of pumps accurately and avoid or reduce the probability of resonance. Based on a real marine pump-HHG8065, this paper did a vibration analysis by FEM (Finite Element Method) and compared the results with actual test. Finally, it gave a discussion on the estimation of pump and provided an improvement way to the vibration level.

Energy evolution characteristics of coal specimens with preformed holes under uniaxial compression

  • Wu, Na;Liang, Zhengzhao;Zhou, Jingren;Zhang, Lizhou
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.55-66
    • /
    • 2020
  • The damage or failure of coal rock is accompanied by energy accumulation, dissipation and release. It is crucial to study the energy evolution characteristics of coal rock for rock mechanics and mining engineering applications. In this paper, coal specimens sourced from the Xinhe mine located in the Jining mining area of China were initially subjected to uniaxial compression, and the micro-parameters of the two-dimensional particle flow code (PFC2D) model were calibrated according to the experimental test results. Then, the PFC2D model was used to subject the specimens to substantial uniaxial compression, and the energy evolution laws of coal specimens with various schemes were presented. Finally, the elastic energy storage ratio m was investigated for coal rock, which described the energy conversion in coal specimens with various arrangements of preformed holes. The arrangement of the preformed holes significantly influenced the characteristics of the crack initiation stress and energy in the prepeak stage, whereas the characteristics of the cumulative crack number, failure pattern and elastic strain energy during the loading process were similar. Additionally, the arrangement of the preformed holes altered the proportion of elastic strain energy Ue in the total energy in the prepeak stage, and the probability of rock bursts can be qualitatively predicted.

Reliability Index Optimization for Pier Type Quay Walls Using Life Cycle Cost (생애주기비용을 이용한 잔교식 안벽의 신뢰도지수 최적화)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyawn;Yoon, Gil-Lim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.422-428
    • /
    • 2011
  • Optimal reliability indices were found by optimizing life cycle cost(LCC) of pier type quay walls. Failure probability of pier and shore bridge were calculated by response surface method. Then, they were used to obtain recovery cost after damage. Costs for initial construction and maintenance were also considered in finding optimal reliability indices. Target reliability indices which may be used in reliability based design were suggested by numerical examples under seismic load and ship load.

Fall-Related Injury and Balance of the Elderly (노인의 낙상과 균형)

  • Kim On-Ju;Kim Tae-Sook;Bae Sung-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.161-171
    • /
    • 1998
  • Balance can be defined as the ability to maintain the body's center of gravity within the base of support with minimal sway. Falls occur frequently in the elderly persons by the physiological change and dysfunction with age. Injuries resulting from falls include soft tissue damage and fractures of the radius, humerus, and femoral neck other consequences of falls include decreased mobility, reduced confidence, long lies (which can give rise to hypothermia, dehydration and pneumonia), and death Risk factors for falls have beau classified as intrinsic (those related to the individual) and extrinsic(those associated with environmental features), Intrinsic factors include decreased strength, visual deficits, vestibular dysfunction, and decreased vibratory sensation in the feet. Improvement of the balance related to the increased probability for fells in the elderly persons and is important for fall preventions and improvement of the living quality ef the elderly persons

  • PDF

A Study on the Risk Management Information System of the Underground Space - focused on Fire Growth Risk Assessment System- (지하공간의 위험관리정보시스템에 관한 연구 -화재확산평가시스템 중심으로-)

  • 박종근;노삼규
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.49-58
    • /
    • 2002
  • A large number of accidents at an underground place have been happening, including the gas explosion under construction of subway; the fires of underground utility and underground shopping malls, and other explosion, at home and abroad recently. These accidents make the function of a city ineffective due to the paralyses of electricity and communications net as well as the loss of property and cause people to feel unsecured with accompaniment of a heavy of toll of lives. This research will show evaluation methods of a numerical value of expected average loss space of combustion with the use of probability in order to present potential risk of combustion growth that underground space might cause, and how designer decides a system that enables us to compare and evaluate relatively the effectiveness of measures for preventing burning by calculating the expansion route and the damage size of burning in case of fire.

Stildy on the Methodology to Prevent Neck Injury at tow Speed Rear-End Impact (저속 후면 추돌 시 목부상해 예방을 위한 연구)

  • Park Insong;Chun Yongbum;Kim Guanhee;Lim Jonghun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.29-34
    • /
    • 2005
  • 141,841 car-to-car collision had occurred in 2003, and among the accidents 51,796 were rear-end impact. According to insurance company for loss or damage, more than $60\%$ of rear-end impact victims suffer neck injury. This means at least 31,000 neck injury victims have happened in 2003. More than $97\%$ of the neck injury victims have low severity injury than A.I.S 2. Head restraint, which is designed to limit rearward head movement and equipped on seat, can considerably protect neck from rear-end impact. In this paper we evaluated head restraint geometry and drivers' sitting position according to RCAR standard and carried out low speed volunteer crash test. The crash speed is 4km/h and N.I.C value is used to determine injury probability. Through these research results we can introduce the method to prevent neck injury at rear-end impact.

Understanding radiation effects in SRAM-based field programmable gate arrays for implementing instrumentation and control systems of nuclear power plants

  • Nidhin, T.S.;Bhattacharyya, Anindya;Behera, R.P.;Jayanthi, T.;Velusamy, K.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.49 no.8
    • /
    • pp.1589-1599
    • /
    • 2017
  • Field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) are getting more attention in safety-related and safety-critical application development of nuclear power plant instrumentation and control systems. The high logic density and advancements in architectural features make static random access memory (SRAM)-based FPGAs suitable for complex design implementations. Devices deployed in the nuclear environment face radiation particle strike that causes transient and permanent failures. The major reasons for failures are total ionization dose effects, displacement damage dose effects, and single event effects. Different from the case of space applications, soft errors are the major concern in terrestrial applications. In this article, a review of radiation effects on FPGAs is presented, especially soft errors in SRAM-based FPGAs. Single event upset (SEU) shows a high probability of error in the dependable application development in FPGAs. This survey covers the main sources of radiation and its effects on FPGAs, with emphasis on SEUs as well as on the measurement of radiation upset sensitivity and irradiation experimental results at various facilities. This article also presents a comparison between the major SEU mitigation techniques in the configuration memory and user logics of SRAM-based FPGAs.

Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Dropped Objects for Corroded Subsea Pipelines (부식을 고려한 해저 파이프라인의 확률론적 중량물 낙하 충돌 위험도 해석)

  • Kumar, Ankush;Seo, Jung Kwan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.55 no.2
    • /
    • pp.93-102
    • /
    • 2018
  • Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) has been used in shipping and offshore industries for many years, supporting the decision-making process to guarantee safe running at different stages of design, fabrication and throughout service life. The assessments of a risk perspective are informed by the frequency of events (probability) and the associated consequences. As the number of offshore platforms increases, so does the length of subsea pipelines, thus there is a need to extend this approach and enable the subsea industry to place more emphasis on uncertainties. On-board operations can lead to objects being dropped on subsea pipelines, which can cause leaks and other pipeline damage. This study explains how to conduct hit frequency analyses of subsea pipelines, using historical data, and how to obtain a finite number of scenarios for the consequences analysis. An example study using probabilistic methods is used.