• Title/Summary/Keyword: Daily demand

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A Study on active use of Daily Hanbok through sales on The Internet (인터넷 판매를 통한 생활한복의 활성화 연구)

  • 소현정;심화진
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.181-195
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    • 2000
  • This study was conducted from Sep., 1999. to Nov., 1999. It researched approximately 60 specialized manufacturers who had homepages on the Internet. Of the 60 manufacturers, 20 of them were chosen for the study all of whom had relatively were made homepages that were geared towards sales. 1. Daily Hanboks on the homepages were put in an electronic catalog. They were photographed and well described. Each picture could be enlarged when needed. 2. The Hanbok's were made for men, women and children. There were every couple's Hanboks. The Hanboks used natural material, mixed spinning and chemical textile, which was easily kept and washed. It was intended, as clothes for everyday wear Silk was used for formal clothes. 3. The prices ranged from low-middle to high clothing for everyday life is reasonable and street wear and formal dresses are priced high. The color of the dresses are not vibrant, but natural and light. As Hanboks become more in demand, there will be more choices available. 4. As matter of the sizes shows weakness. In general they use the western size system. The purpose of this study is to show the direction that Hanbok manufacturers may take for the internet sales and for being more active to promote the spread of the dress. This research came to the fellowing conclusion. Even though Hanbok manufacturers operate homepages. it seems that they are not well used. However, many internet shopping malls have been opened and they have put Daily Hanboks into one of their sales categories. The internet malls are getting more active and are expanding more. Therefore the market value of the Hanboks in the future look optimistic. If smaller sized manufacturers of Daily Hanbok's establish cooperative network that have no time and space limit, they can use the strong power of the market as the market development for Daily Hanboks is endless.

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A Study on Demand Forecasting of Export Goods Based on Vector Autoregressive Model : Subject to Each Small Passenger Vehicles Quarterly Exported to USA (VAR모형을 이용한 수출상품 수요예측에 관한 연구: 소형 승용차 모델별 분기별 대미수출을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Jung-Hyeong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research is to evaluate a short-term export demand forecasting model reflecting individual passenger vehicle brands and market characteristics by using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models that are based on multivariate time-series model. The short-term export demand forecasting model was created by discerning theoretical potential factors that affect the short-term export demand of individual passenger vehicle brands. Quarterly short-term export demand forecasting model for two Korean small vehicle brands (Accent and Avante) were created by using VAR model. Predictive value at t+1 quarter calculated with the forecasting models for each passenger vehicle brand and the actual amount of sales were compared and evaluated by altering subject period by one quarter. As a result, RMSE % of Accent and Avante was 4.3% and 20.0% respectively. They amount to 3.9 days for Accent and 18.4 days for Avante when calculated per daily sales amount. This shows that the short-term export demand forecasting model of this research is highly usable in terms of prediction and consistency.

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Demand Forecast For Empty Containers Using MLP (MLP를 이용한 공컨테이너 수요예측)

  • DongYun Kim;SunHo Bang;Jiyoung Jang;KwangSup Shin
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.85-98
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    • 2021
  • The pandemic of COVID-19 further promoted the imbalance in the volume of imports and exports among countries using containers, which worsened the shortage of empty containers. Since it is important to secure as many empty containers as the appropriate demand for stable and efficient port operation, measures to predict demand for empty containers using various techniques have been studied so far. However, it was based on long-term forecasts on a monthly or annual basis rather than demand forecasts that could be used directly by ports and shipping companies. In this study, a daily and weekly prediction method using an actual artificial neural network is presented. In details, the demand forecasting model has been developed using multi-layer perceptron and multiple linear regression model. In order to overcome the limitation from the lack of data, it was manipulated considering the business process between the loaded container and empty container, which the fully-loaded container is converted to the empty container. From the result of numerical experiment, it has been developed the practically applicable forecasting model, even though it could not show the perfect accuracy.

The Development of Dynamic Model for Long-Term Simulation in Water Distribution Systems (상수관망시스템에서의 장기간 모의를 위한 동역학적 모형의 개발)

  • Park, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2007
  • In this study, a long-term unsteady simulation model has been developed using rigid water column theory which is more accurate than Extended-period model and more efficient comparing with water-hammer simulation model. The developed model is applied to 24-hours unsteady simulation considering daily water-demand and water-hammer analysis caused by closing a valve. For the case of 24-hours daily simulation, the pressure of each node decreases as the water demand increase, and when the water demand decrease, the pressure increases. During the simulation, the amplitudes of flow and pressure variation are different in each node and the pattern of flow variation as well as water demand is quite different than that of KYPIPE2. Such discrepancy necessitates the development of unsteady flow analysis model in water distribution network system. When the model is applied to water-hammer analysis, the pressure and flow variation occurred simultaneously through the entire network system by neglecting the compressibility of water. Although water-hammer model shows the lag of travel time due to fluid elasticity, in the aspect of pressure and flow fluctuation, the trend of overall variation and quantity of the result are similar to that of water-hammer model. This model is expected for the analysis of gradual long-term unsteady flow variations providing computational accuracy and efficiency as well as identifying pollutant dispersion, pressure control, leakage reduction corresponding to flow-demand pattern, and management of long-term pipeline net work systems related with flowrate and pressure variation in pipeline network systems

Analysis of the 2nd Pilot Test of Time of Use (TOU) Pricing for Korean Households (주택용 계시별 요금제 2차 실증사업의 효과 분석)

  • Kim, Jihyo;Lee, Soomin;Jang, Heesun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.205-232
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzes the effect of the 2nd pilot test of Tiime of Use (TOU) pricing for Korean households using a two-level electricity demand model. The test, implemented from May to September 2021, was conducted to compare the effects of two TOU pricing rates and the standard rates for households living in apartment and detached house in 7 provinces of Korea. Based on the data on electricity consumption during the test period and during the same period last year of the 1,292 participants and their socio-economic characteristics, this study analyzes (1) whether the relative demand across periods has changed in response to hourly price changes and (2) whether the price responsiveness of daily consumption has changed after the introduction of TOU pricing. The results show that both types of TOU pricing affect neither the relative demand across periods nor the price responsiveness of daily consumption. The reason behind the results could be related to the level of TOU pricing rates and the periodical classification, which were not sufficient to induce changes in the participants' electricity demand patterns.

Development of Basin-wide runoff Analysis Model for Integrated Real-time Water Management (실시간 물 관리 운영을 위한 유역 유출 모의 모형 개발)

  • Hwang, Man-Ha;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ko, Ick-Hwan;Park, Jeong-In;Ryoo, So-Ra
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.507-510
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    • 2003
  • The development of a basin-wide runoff analysis model is to analysis monthly and daily hydrologic runoff components including surface runoff, subsurface runoff, return flow, etc. at key operation station in the targeted basin. A short-term water demand forecasting technology will be developed taking into account the patterns of municipal, industrial and agricultural water uses. For the development and utilization of runoff analysis model, relevant basin information including historical precipitation and river water stage data, geophysical basin characteristics, and water intake and consumptions needs to be collected and stored into the hydrologic database of Integrated Real-time Water Information System. The well-known SSARR model was selected for the basis of continuous daily runoff model for forecasting short and long-term natural flows.

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APPLICATION OF DISCRETE EVENT SIMULATION TO PRODUCTION SCHEDULING (이산적 시뮬레이션 모델을 이용한 생산 스케쥴)

  • 박영홍
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2001
  • This article describes the application of discrete event simulation in a process industry (coffee manufacturing) as a daily production-scheduling tool. A large number of end products (around 300), sporadic demand, and limited shelf life of coffee (90 days) make it difficult to generate feasible production schedules manually. To solve this problem, an integrated system was developed incorporating discrete event simulation methodology into scheduling process. The integrated system is comprised of two components: a scheduling program and a simulation model. The scheduling program is used to generate daily schedules for roasting, grinding, and packing coffee. The simulation model uses the generated schedules to simulate the production of coffee and regenerates a modified production schedule. In this paper, each of the components will be described in detail, evaluated in terms of performance factors, and validated with a set of real production data. Although this article focuses on a specific system, we will share our experiences and Intuitions gained and encourage other process industries to develop simulation-based scheduling tools.

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Unit Commitment for an Uncertain Daily Load Profile (불확실한 부하곡선에 대한 발전기 기동정지계획)

  • 박정도;박상배
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.334-339
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    • 2004
  • In this study, a new UC (Unit Commitment) algorithm is proposed to consider the uncertainty of a daily load profile. The proposed algorithm calculates the UC results with the lower load level than the one generated by the conventional load forecast and the more hourly reserve allocation. In case of the worse load forecast, the deviation of the conventional UC solution can be overcome with the proposed method. The proposed method is tested with sample systems, which shows that the new UC algorithm yields completely feasible solution even though the worse load forecast is applied. Also, the effects of the uncertain hourly load demand are statistically analyzed especially by the consideration of the average over generation and the average under generation. Finally, it is shown that independent power producers participating in electricity spot-markets can establish bidding strategies by means of the statistical analysis. Therefore, it is expected that the proposed method can be used as the basic guideline for establishing bidding strategies under the deregulation power pool.

Investigation of Irrigation Water Use in Sumjin River Basin

  • Choi, Jin-Kyu;Yoon, Kwang-Sik;Choi, Soo-Myung;Park, Seung-Woo;Son, Jae-Gwon;Koo, Ja-Woong
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2000
  • To examine the irrigation water uses in Sunjin river basin, existing status and operation records of headworks facilities including reservoirs, pumping stations, tube wells, and diversion dams were surveyed and analyzed for the period of 1994∼1998. Daily irrigation demand and water use were estimated for the irrigated paddy field using penman equation, Thank model, reservoir water balance model and daily pumping rate of pumping stations. Irrigation water use from multi-purpose dams in the basin was not included in this study.

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이산적 시뮬레이션 모델을 이용한 커피 생산 스케줄

  • 박영홍
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 2000
  • This article describes the application of discrete event simulation in a process industry (coffee manufacturing) as a daily production-scheduling tool. A large number of end products (around 300), sporadic demand, and limited shelf life of coffee (90 days) make it difficult to generate feasible production schedules manually. To solve this problem an integrated system was developed incorporating discrete event simulation methodology into scheduling process. The integrated system is comprised of two components: a scheduling program and a simulation model. The scheduling program is used to generate daily schedules for roasting, grinding, and packing coffee. The simulation model uses the generated schedules to simulate the production of coffee and regenerates a modified production schedule. In this paper, each of the components will be described in detail, evaluated in terms of performance factors, and validated with a set of real production data. Although this article focuses on a specific system, we will share our experiences and intuitions gained and encourage other process industries to develop simulation-based scheduling tools.

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