• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.833-840
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• 2021

This paper examines the effect of the interest rate set by Bank Indonesia on financial system stability as measured by the credit gap in Indonesia for quarterly data for the period 1976 Q1 to 2019 Q4. We suppose that the relationship between the Central Bank rate and the credit gap is non-linear. Hence, this study applies a smooth transition regression (STR) model to investigate the relationship between these variables. Our results are: first, by performing STR estimation we obtained a threshold level of Central Bank rate of 2.01. Second, a decrease in the Central Bank rate results in a reduction in the credit gap when the Central Bank rate is above or below the threshold level. The effect of the Central Bank rate is five times greater for the high regime than for the low regime. Third, we find evidence that the effect of the exchange rate, economic growth, inflation, and GDP per capita on the credit gap for the high regime is the opposite of the low regime. We suggest that policymakers need to keep the Central Bank interest rate low and stable so that the role of the bank as a financial intermediary remains stable and conducive to strengthening financial stability.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.5
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• pp.595-605
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• 2021

The objectives of this research are to see if the phenomena of "demand following" and "supply leading" exist in the business cycle, as well as to look at how liquidity and output react to changes in credit risk, investment-saving gap, inflation, exchange rate, and growth rate of real national output. Employing quarterly data of Maluku and North Maluku (2008-2019), this study utilizes VAR/VECM for inferential analysis. This research found three important findings. First, liquidity and output growth influenced each other in the long run. Second, the determinants of output growth for Maluku are liquidity, investment-saving gap, and inflation, while the determinants of liquidity are output-growth, the gap of investment-saving, and inflation. Third, the determinants of output growth for North Maluku are liquidity, credit risk, investment-saving gap, inflation, exchange rate, and the national output-growth, while the determinants of liquidity are output-growth, credit risk, investment-saving gap, inflation, exchange rate, and national output-growth. The findings of this study supported the hypothesis of demand following and supply leading theory in the Maluku and North Maluku business cycles. This study concludes that economic development would improve if supported by liquidity adequacy through increased deposit growth.

• Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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• v.3
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• pp.203-218
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• 1985

In Korea, the developmental gap is deep between rural and urban areas in spacial aspect and, or between agricultural and industrial side. So there are much room for improvement in agri. development in national standpoint as well as in individual farmer's level. In this respect, agricultural financing is requisitive to speed up the pace of agricultural development and in result, to contribute to improvement of farm income. By the way, farmers' credit demands are always in excess-demand status and they rely on private money-lenders in the burden of high interest rate. In agricultural financing market, there are two kinds of credit ; institutional credit and non-institutional credit market, that is private money-lending. In institutional credit, there are mutual credit system operating by the primary coops and policy credit system by NACF financed by Government in part. Here, in this paper, I venture to study on the improvements of the policy credit system to increase and activate the supply function of agri. policy credit into farmers to enhance their socio-economic status.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.199-208
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• 2017

This study investigates the components and rating system of reliable technology credit information for a technology finance donor who is a consumer of the information and aims to create an effective and optimal technology credit appraisal system to enlarge technology finance supply. Firstly, we calculate the optimal TCAR which becomes the maximum AUROC through the combination of ratio change, verify the substitution possibility between TAR and CR through the existing CR and system gap simulation, and propose a rating system by which financial institutes can utilize the TCAR as a credit rating. As a result, 70% : 30% is the most suitable as the weighted combination ratio of credit rating : technology rating. As a result of this study, we confirmed the possibility that the technical credit rating information could be substituted by the credit rating or the technology appraisal rating. Furthermore, it also suggests that sophisticated risk management is possible through using technology credit rating that are combined with credit and technology appraisal rating.

• THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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• v.45
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• pp.111-136
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• 2010

Bill of lading means the transport document ("marine", "ocean" or "port-to-port" or similar), however named, covering sea shipment only. Data in a bill of lading, when read in context with the credit, the document itself and international standard banking practice, need not be identical to, but must not conflict with, data in that document, any other stipulated document or the credit, according to UCP 600 and ISBP. This article has provided the general guideline of the discrepancies on the basis of UCP 600, ISBP 681 and the ICC Banking Commission Opinions, for the solution of the unpaid problems of the credit transactions. I have studied especially the ICC Banking Commission Opinions and the DOCDEX Decisions on the bill of lading after UCP 600, the international standard banking practice (ISBP 681), and the recent Korean cases. As such, this article would fill a need gap in the market between the general principles in the UCP provisions and the daily job of the practitioner. The credit practitioners are suggested to this resulting guidance whenever doubts arise as to how to check the credit documents in daily practice.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.1044-1051
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• 2002

This paper proposes a two-phase mathematical programming approach by considering classification gap to solve the proposed credit scoring problem so as to complement any theoretical shortcomings. Specifically, by using the linear programming (LP) approach, phase 1 is to make the associated decisions such as issuing grant of credit or denial of credit to applicants. or to seek any additional information before making the final decision. Phase 2 is to find a cut-off value, which minimizes any misclassification penalty (cost) to be incurred due to granting credit to 'bad' loan applicant or denying credit to 'good' loan applicant by using the mixed-integer programming (MIP) approach. This approach is expected to and appropriate classification scores and a cut-off value with respect to deviation and misclassification cost, respectively. Statistical discriminant analysis methods have been commonly considered to deal with classification problems for credit scoring. In recent years, much theoretical research has focused on the application of mathematical programming techniques to the discriminant problems. It has been reported that mathematical programming techniques could outperform statistical discriminant techniques in some applications, while mathematical programming techniques may suffer from some theoretical shortcomings. The performance of the proposed two-phase approach is evaluated in this paper with line data and loan applicants data, by comparing with three other approaches including Fisher's linear discriminant function, logistic regression and some other existing mathematical programming approaches, which are considered as the performance benchmarks. The evaluation results show that the proposed two-phase mathematical programming approach outperforms the aforementioned statistical approaches. In some cases, two-phase mathematical programming approach marginally outperforms both the statistical approaches and the other existing mathematical programming approaches.

• THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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• v.22
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• pp.49-70
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• 2004

UCP 500 has introduced new words "International Standard Banking Practice" as the basis of the examination of documents under documentary credits. However, the words have caused confusion among parties concerned with letter of credits. So, at its May 2000 meeting, ICC Banking Commission established a task force to document international standard banking practice for the examination of documents presented under documentary credits(ISBP). The publication is the product of two and a half years of work by a task force of the ICC Banking Commission. It was approved by the full Commission at its meeting in Rome in October 2002. The ISBP is a practical complement to UCP 500. It explains how the rules are to be applied on a day-to-day basis. As such, it fills a needed gap between the general principles announced in the rules and the daily work of the documentary credit practitioner. But, ISBP have two problems. First, ISBP impose more responsibilities than before the ISBP existed on banks. Second, ISBP have some problematic articles like the problem of maturity, letter of credit language, term. Consequently, all parties concerned with documentary credits need to armour themselves with knowledge for ISBP. Also, it should be noted that any term in a documentary credit which modifies or affects the applicability of a provision of the UCP may also have an impact on international standard banking practice. Therefore, in considering the practices described in this publication, parties must take into account any term in a documentary credit that expressly excludes or modifies a provision in an article of the UCP.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.1207-1216
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• 2015

This study aims to compare the model power in developing corporate credit rating models and to suggest a good way to build models based on the characteristic of data. Among many measurement methods, AR is used to measure the model power under various conditions. SAS/MACRO is in use for similar repetitions to reduce time to build models under several combination of conditions. A corporate credit rating model is composed of two sub-models; a credit scoring model and a default prediction model. We verify that the latter performs better than the former under various conditions. From the result of size comparisons, models of large size corporate are more powerful and more meaningful in financial viewpoint than those of small size corporate. As a corporate size gets smaller, the gap between sub-models becomes huge and the effect of outliers becomes serious.

• THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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• v.22
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• pp.107-135
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• 2004

The International Standard Banking Practice for the Examination of Documents under Documentary Letters of Credit (ISBP) is the product by the ICC Banking Commission, October 2002. The ISBP is a practical complement to UCP 500, ICC's universally used rules on documentary credits. It explains, in explicit detail, how the rules are to be applied on a day-to-day basis. It fills a needed gap between the general principles announced in the rules and the daily work of the documentary credit practitioner. By using the ISBP, document checkers can bring their practices in line with those followed by their colleagues worldwide. The result should be a significant reduction in the number of documents refused for discrepancies on first presentation. We are convinced that the benefits of the ISBP will not only be of high importance for users of UCP 500, but also that the practices in the ISBP will survive a UCP revision, or will even be included in the next version of the rule (so call "UCP 600"). Though the above-mentioned benefits of the ISBP, there are several troublesome topics that will probably have to wait for a new UCP revision. It will be a challenge for the drafters of a future UCP to find solutions that will further clarify these points.

• THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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• v.59
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• pp.159-178
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• 2013

International factoring is very useful to transfer credit risk, to promote cash flow, to collect debt and to reduce cost and expenses. However, International factoring system in china shows imperfection especially in gap of legal vacuum and its limit to be developed. Here I suggest a practical alternative for development of International factoring system in china as follow. First, legal environment in China for factoring system should be rearranged. Even law and contract law have relative clauses for factoring system there are many difficulty to be applied. It is necessary to prepare legal ground for factoring system. Second, without recourse for International factoring system should be fixed. Without recourse is the essential point for factoring system in international trade. In fact chinese factors are partially applied only for those big global companies. However International factoring system is especially useful for small-medium companies lacked of a good credit rating. It is necessary to promote special factors by combining financial organizations as it does in developed countries. Third, they need to make legal ground to prohibit unlicensed factoring companies. Forth, they need to educate usefulness of factoring system. The settlement system in China is to be developed by systematic researches and promotion for International factoring system.