• Title/Summary/Keyword: Credit Evaluation.

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A study on International Payment Trend and Measures to Protect Credit Risk by International Factoring (국제대금결제 추세와 국제팩토링에 의한 신용위험 대처방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Se-Hun;Han, Ki-Moon
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.44
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    • pp.85-107
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    • 2009
  • L/C allows the exporter to have a bank's payment undertaking against shipping documents required by L/C. This means that the exporter can take export proceeds from a L/C issuing bank regardless of importer's payments and therefore the L/C better mitigate importer's credit risk compared to remittance and collections. Recently the use of L/C has been on down trend in line with increasing use of T/T, causing a big change of payment system. This tells that the payment method change in Korea is positive as the change also happens same in developed countries. This however gives more buyer's credit risk to exporters and therefore a systematic solution to this negative effect is required. In Korea, export credit insurance has been widely used to cover the buyer's credit risk. But the export credit insurance is limited because of lack of government's financial support and strict evaluation of buyer and exporter. Now Korea is ranked 10the largest trading country and therefore the exporters shall find another source for credit risk protection elsewhere. And as such this paper suggest International Factoring as a tool for the credit risk protection. The International Factoring gives advantages to the exporter in terms of credit protection and advances by purchasing account receivables on a without recourse basis.

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SVM based Bankruptcy Prediction Model for Small & Micro Businesses Using Credit Card Sales Information (신용카드 매출정보를 이용한 SVM 기반 소상공인 부실예측모형)

  • Yoon, Jong-Sik;Kwon, Young-Sik;Roh, Tae-Hyup
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.448-457
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    • 2007
  • The small & micro business has the characteristics of both consumer credit risk and business credit risk. In predicting the bankruptcy for small-micro businesses, the problem is that in most cases, the financial data for evaluating business credit risks of small & micro businesses are not available. To alleviate such problem, we propose a bankruptcy prediction mechanism using the credit card sales information available, because most small businesses are member store of some credit card issuers, which is the main purpose of this study. In order to perform this study, we derive some variables and analyze the relationship between good and bad signs. We employ the new statistical learning technique, support vector machines (SVM) as a classifier. We use grid search technique to find out better parameter for SVM. The experimental result shows that credit card sales information could be a good substitute for the financial data for evaluating business credit risk in predicting the bankruptcy for small-micro businesses. In addition, we also find out that SVM performs best, when compared with other classifiers such as neural networks, CART, C5.0 multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA), and logistic regression.

Development of the Financial Account Pre-screening System for Corporate Credit Evaluation (분식 적발을 위한 재무이상치 분석시스템 개발)

  • Roh, Tae-Hyup
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.41-57
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    • 2009
  • Although financial information is a great influence upon determining of the group which use them, detection of management fraud and earning manipulation is a difficult task using normal audit procedures and corporate credit evaluation processes, due to the shortage of knowledge concerning the characteristics of management fraud, and the limitation of time and cost. These limitations suggest the need of systemic process for !he effective risk of earning manipulation for credit evaluators, external auditors, financial analysts, and regulators. Moot researches on management fraud have examined how various characteristics of the company's management features affect the occurrence of corporate fraud. This study examines financial characteristics of companies engaged in fraudulent financial reporting and suggests a model and system for detecting GAAP violations to improve reliability of accounting information and transparency of their management. Since the detection of management fraud has limited proven theory, this study used the detecting method of outlier(upper, and lower bound) financial ratio, as a real-field application. The strength of outlier detecting method is its use of easiness and understandability. In the suggested model, 14 variables of the 7 useful variable categories among the 76 financial ratio variables are examined through the distribution analysis as possible indicators of fraudulent financial statements accounts. The developed model from these variables show a 80.82% of hit ratio for the holdout sample. This model was developed as a financial outlier detecting system for a financial institution. External auditors, financial analysts, regulators, and other users of financial statements might use this model to pre-screen potential earnings manipulators in the credit evaluation system. Especially, this model will be helpful for the loan evaluators of financial institutes to decide more objective and effective credit ratings and to improve the quality of financial statements.

Analysis of Credit Approval Data using Machine Learning Model (기계학습 모델을 이용한 신용 승인 데이터 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Se-Jun;Lee, Byung-Jun;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Youn, Hee-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2019.01a
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    • pp.41-42
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    • 2019
  • 본 논문에서는 다양한 기계학습 모델을 이용한 신용 데이터 분석 기법에 대해 서술한다. 기계학습 모델은 크게 Canonical models, Committee machines, 그리고 Deep learning models로 분류된다. 이러한 다양한 기계학습 모델 중 일부 학습 모델을 기반으로 Benchmark dataset인 Credit Approval 데이터를 분석하고 성능을 평가한다. 성능 평가에는 k-fold evaluation method를 사용하며, k-fold evaluation 결과에 대한 평균 성능을 측정하기 위해 Accuracy, Precision, Recall, 그리고 F1-score가 사용되었다.

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Analysis of the Capacity Credit of Wind Farms (풍력발전기의 Capacity Credit추정에 관한 연구)

  • Wu, Liang;Park, Jeong-Je;Choi, Jae-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.16-18
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    • 2008
  • Because of being environmentally friendly, renewable energy resources has been growing at a high rate. Wind energy is one of the most successfully utilized of such sources for producing electrical energy. Due to the randomness of wind speed, wind farms can not supply power with a balanceable level as well as conventional power plants. The reliability evaluation of wind power is more and more important. Capacity credit is used to estimate the capacity credit of power systems including wind farms. This paper presents a method of capacity credit calculation for a power system considered wind farms and shows how it gets study on an actual power system (the Jeju Island power system). The paper describes the step of capacity credit calculation and presents test results, which indicate its effectiveness.

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Development of educational software for coarse classifying and model evaluation in credit scoring (개인신용평점에서 항목그룹화와 모형평가를 위한 교육용 소프트웨어의 개발)

  • Jung, Ki-Mun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1225-1235
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    • 2010
  • The coarse classifying procedure in credit scoring splits the values of a continuous characteristic into bands and the values of a discrete characteristic into groups of values. Also, the scorecard degrades over time and thus we should adjust the cut-off score being used. However, the coarse classifying and the adjustment of cut-off score in credit scoring are very complicate and troublesome procedure. Thus, in this paper, we develop a software for the coarse classifying and the model evaluation by using Visual Basic Language. By using the developed software, we can find the best split in the coarse classifying and the optimal cut-off score in the model evaluation.

Credit Evaluation Model for Medical Venture Business By the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP를 이용한 의료기기 벤처기업의 신용평가모형)

  • Park, Cheol-Soo;Kim, Mahn-Sool
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.133-147
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    • 2011
  • This study presents the credit evaluation model for medical venture business which has been growing within the recent decade. We develop the model with two steps. At the first step, the evaluation indexes for each of the financial and non-financial factors of a firm are listed. At the second step, the weight for each index is measured by using the Analytic Hierarchy Process of Saaty(1980). The financial factors consists of 5 upper level indexes and 10 lower level indexes. The upper level indexes of the financial sector are profitability, safety, utilization, growth, and productivity. And the non-financial factors consists of 5 upper level indexes and 17 lower lever indexes. The upper level indexes in this sector are manager's competence, technical capability, marketability, business validity, and reliability. In order to get the empirical results for our model, we conduct the questionnaire survey targeting the credit assessment officers, who are practicing at the financial institutions or the credit guarantee company located within the Wonju Medical Devices Cluster.

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An Application of the Rough Set Approach to credit Rating

  • Kim, Jae-Kyeong;Cho, Sung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 1999
  • The credit rating represents an assessment of the relative level of risk associated with the timely payments required by the debt obligation. In this paper, we present a new approach to credit rating of customers based on the rough set theory. The concept of a rough set appeared to be an effective tool for the analysis of customer information systems representing knowledge gained by experience. The customer information system describes a set of customers by a set of multi-valued attributes, called condition attributes. The customers are classified into groups of risk subject to an expert's opinion, called decision attribute. A natural problem of knowledge analysis consists then in discovering relationships, in terms of decision rules, between description of customers by condition attributes and particular decisions. The rough set approach enables one to discover minimal subsets of condition attributes ensuring an acceptable quality of classification of the customers analyzed and to derive decision rules from the customer information system which can be used to support decisions about rating new customers. Using the rough set approach one analyses only facts hidden in data, it does not need any additional information about data and does not correct inconsistencies manifested in data; instead, rules produced are categorized into certain and possible. A real problem of the evaluation of the evaluation of credit rating by a department store is studied using the rough set approach.

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The Effects of Enterprise Value and Corporate Tax on Credit Evaluation Based on the Corporate Financial Ratio Analysis (기업 재무비율 분석을 토대로 기업가치 및 법인세가 신용평가에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Joon-soo
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.95-115
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    • 2019
  • In the context of today's business environment, not only is the nation or company's credit rating considered very important in our recent society, but it is also becoming important in international transactions. Likewise, at this point of time when the importance and reliability of credit evaluation are becoming important at home and abroad, this study analyzes financial ratios related to corporate profitability, safety, activity, financial growth, and profit growth to study the impact of financial indicators on enterprise value and corporate taxes on credit evaluation. To proceed with this, the financial ratio of 465 companies of KOSPI securities listed in 2017 was calculated and the impact of enterprise value and corporate taxes on credit evaluation was analyzed. Especially, this further study tried to derive a reliable and consistent conclusion by analyzing the financial data of KOSPI securities listed companies for eight years from 2011, which is the first year of K-IFRS introduction, to 2018. Research has shown that the significance levels among variables that show the profitability, safety, activity, financial growth, and profit growth of each financial ratio were significant at the 99% level, except for the profit growth. Validation of the research hypothesis found that while the profitability of KOSPI-listed companies significantly affects corporate value and income tax, indicators such as safety ratio and growth ratio do not significantly affect corporate value and income tax. Activity ratio resulted in significant effects on the value of enterprise value but not significant impacts on income taxes. In addition, it was found that the enterprise value has a significant effect on the company's credit and corporate income taxes, and that corporate income taxes also have a significant effect on the corporate credit evaluation, and this also shows that there is a mediating function of corporate tax. And as a result of further study, when looking at the financial ratio for eight years from 2011 to 2018, it was found that two variables, KARA and LTAX, are significant at a 1% significant level to KISC, whereas LEVE variables is not significant to KISC. The limitation of this study is that credit rating score and financial score cannot be said to be reliable indicators that investors in the capital market can normally obtain, compared to ranking criteria for corporate bonds or corporate bills directly related to capital procurement costs of enterprise. Above all, it is necessary to develop credit rating score and financial score reflecting financial indicators such as business cash flow or net assets market value and non-financial indicators such as industry growth potential or production efficiency.

Fuzzy Darwinian Detection of Credit Card Fraud (퍼지-다윈의 불량 신용 탐지 시스템)

  • Bentley, Peter J.;Kim, Jung-Won;Jung, Gil-Ho;Choi, Jong-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.277-280
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    • 2000
  • Credit evaluation is one of the most important and difficult tasks fur credit card companies, mortgage companies, banks and other financial institutes. Incorrect credit judgement causes huge financial losses. This work describes the use of an evolutionary-fuzzy system capable of classifying suspicious and non-suspicious credit card transactions. The paper starts with the details of the system used in this work. A series of experiments are described, showing that the complete system is capable of attaining good accuracy and intelligibility levels for real data.

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