• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cox Model

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중도절단된 생존함수의 신뢰구간 비교연구

  • Lee, Gyeong-Hwa;Lee, Jae-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.251-255
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    • 2005
  • 중도절단된 자료와 표본수가 적은 자료를 가지는 생존분석에서 생존율을 추정하거나 두 집단의 생존율을 비교할 때 정규분포 근사를 가정한 신뢰구간을 이용하는 데는 많은 어려움이 생긴다. 생존함수의 신뢰구간에 대한 중도절단을, 표본의 크기에 따른 다양한 상황의 모의실험을 통하여 Kaplan-Meier, Nelson, 적률 추정량 그리고 cox model의 ${\beta}$을 가지고 붓스트랩을 이용한 신뢰구간과 비모수 신뢰구간, 우도비 신뢰구간의 실제 포함 확률을 비교해보고자 한다.

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Tanshinone II-A Inhibits Angiogenesis through Down Regulation of COX-2 in Human Colorectal Cancer

  • Zhou, Li-Hong;Hu, Qiang;Sui, Hua;Ci, Shu-Jun;Wang, Yan;Liu, Xuan;Liu, Ning-Ning;Yin, Pei-Hao;Qin, Jian-Min;Li, Qi
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.4453-4458
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    • 2012
  • Angiogenesis plays a significant role in colorectal cancer (CRC) and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) appears to be involved with multiple aspects of CRC angiogenesis. Our aim was to investigate the inhibitory effects of Tan II-A (Tanshinone II-A, Tan II-A) on tumor growth in mice, as well as alteration of expression of COX-2 and VEGF in CRC. We established the mice xenograft model of C26 CRC cell line, and injected 0.5, 1, 2mg/kg of Tan II-A and 1mg/kg of 5-FU in respectively in vivo. Then, we assayed tumor weight and volume, and evaluated microvascular density and expression of VEGF. COX-2 promoter and COX-2 plasmids were transfected into HCT-116 cells, followed by detection of COX-2 promoter activity by chemiluminescence, and detection of COX-2 mRNA expression by fluorescence quantitative PCR. Taken together, the results showed Tan II-A could inhibit tumor growth and suppress the VEGF level in vivo. HCT-116 cell experiments showed marked inhibitory effects of Tan II-A on COX-2 and VEGF in a dose-dependent manner. The results indicate that Tan II-A can effectively inhibit tumor growth and angiogenesis of human colorectal cancer via inhibiting the expression level of COX-2 and VEGF.

SAMPLE ENTROPY IN ESTIMATING THE BOX-COX TRANSFORMATION

  • Rahman, Mezbahur;Pearson, Larry M.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.103-125
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    • 2001
  • The Box-Cox transformation is a well known family of power transformation that brings a set of data into agreement with the normality assumption of the residuals and hence the response variable of a postulated model in regression analysis. This paper proposes a new method for estimating the Box-Cox transformation using maximization of the Sample Entropy statistic which forces the data to get closer to normal as much as possible. A comparative study of the proposed procedure with the maximum likelihood procedure, the procedure via artificial regression estimation, and the recently introduced maximization of the Shapiro-Francia W' statistic procedure is given. In addition, we generate a table for the optimal spacings parameter in computing the Sample Entropy statistic.

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Estimation of hazard function and hazard change-point for the rectal cancer data (직장암 데이터에 대한 위험률 함수 추정 및 위험률 변화점 추정)

  • Lee, Sieun;Shim, Byoung Yong;Kim, Jaehee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1225-1238
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    • 2015
  • In this research, we fit various survival models and conduct tests and estimation for the hazard change-point with the rectal cancer data. By the log-rank tests, at significance level ${\alpha}=0.10$, survival functions are significantly different according to the uniporter of glucose (GLUT1), clinical stage (cstage) and pathologic stage (ypstage). From the Cox proportional hazard model, the most significant covariates are GLUT1 and ypstage. Assuming that the rectal cancer data follows the exponential distribution, we estimate one hazard change-point using Matthews and Farewell (1982), Henderson (1990) and Loader (1991) methods.

Short Term Interest Rate Model Using Box-Cox Transformation

  • Choi, Young-Soo;Lee, Yoon-Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.241-254
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    • 2007
  • This paper propose a new short-term interest rate model having a different nonlinear drift function and the same diffusion coefficient with Chan et al. (1992) model. The fractional polynomial power of the drift function in our model is linked to the local volatility elasticity of the diffusion coefficient. While the nonlinear drift function estimated by $A\"{\i}t$-Sahalia (1996a) and others has a feature that higher interest rates tend to revert downward and low rates upward, the drift function estimated by our nonlinear model shows that higher interest rate mean-reverts strongly, but, medium rates has almost zero drift and low rates has a very small drift. This characteristic coincides the empirical result based on the nonparametric methodology by Stanton (1997) and the implication by the scatter plot of the short rate data.

Validation Comparison of Credit Rating Models Using Box-Cox Transformation

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Choi, Jeong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.789-800
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    • 2008
  • Current credit evaluation models based on financial data make use of smoothing estimated default ratios which are transformed from each financial variable. In this work, some problems of the credit evaluation models developed by financial experts are discussed and we propose improved credit evaluation models based on the stepwise variable selection method and Box-Cox transformed data whose distribution is much skewed to the right. After comparing goodness-of-fit tests of these models, the validation of the credit evaluation models using statistical methods such as the stepwise variable selection method and Box-Cox transformation function is explained.

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Antipyretic Effect of Rhizoma Cimicifugae in a Rat Model of LPS-Induced Fever (Lipopolysaccharide에 의해 유발된 발열에 있어서 승마의 해열효과)

  • 권일호;김남권;강학천;임홍진;김진만
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.32-44
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    • 2002
  • Objective: In this study, we investigated the effects of Rhizoma Cimicifugae (RC) on the induction of nitric oxide (NO) in RAW 264.7 murine macrophages treated with lipopolysaccharide (LPS). Methods: We examined whether RC have an antipyretic effect by inhibition of COX and/or NOS in fever that is evoked by an intraperitoneal injection of LPS in rats. Results: 1. RC inhibited NO metabolites produced by activated murine macrophage in a dose-dependent manner. 2. RC had an antipyretic effect in a dose-dependent manner in LPS-induced fever. 3. RC inhibited levels of both COX-2 protein and iNOS protein increased by the treatment of LPS in brain tissues as well as brain blood vessels. 4. There were no changes in proteins of nNOS/COX-1. Conclusions: RC has an antipyretic effect by attenuating the level of iNOS and COX-2 protein.

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Analysis of Industrial Accidents Data with Survival Model (생존분석 모형을 활용한 산업재해 데이터의 분석)

  • Baik, Jaiwook
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the industrial accidents data with survival model. EDA approach is used to explore the relationship between two variables and among three variables for the past 10 years of industrial accidents data. Survival models are also tried. Survival curve drops more rapidly for the business with fewer employees as time goes by. Industrial accidents occur more often as the total number of industrial accidents gets larger and as the number of employees gets smaller. Agriculture, fishing and forestry have a higher level of industrial accidents than construction while service industry and 'transportation·storage and telecommunication' have a fewer number of industrial accidents than construction. Korea Safety and Health Agency's and Ministry of Employment and Labor's involvement were not effective but Civilian's was. Recurrent event data analysis reveals all most the same result as for non-recurrent data analysis.

Development and Evaluation of Electronic Health Record Data-Driven Predictive Models for Pressure Ulcers (전자건강기록 데이터 기반 욕창 발생 예측모델의 개발 및 평가)

  • Park, Seul Ki;Park, Hyeoun-Ae;Hwang, Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.575-585
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence using electronic health record (EHR) data and to compare their predictive validity performance indicators with that of the Braden Scale used in the study hospital. Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital in Korea. Data of 202 pressure ulcer patients and 14,705 non-pressure ulcer patients admitted between January 2015 and May 2016 were extracted from the EHRs. Three predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence were developed using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree modeling. The predictive validity performance indicators of the three models were compared with those of the Braden Scale. Results: The logistic regression model was most efficient with a high area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) estimate of 0.97, followed by the decision tree model (AUC 0.95), Cox proportional hazards regression model (AUC 0.95), and the Braden Scale (AUC 0.82). Decreased mobility was the most significant factor in the logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models, and the endotracheal tube was the most important factor in the decision tree model. Conclusion: Predictive validity performance indicators of the Braden Scale were lower than those of the logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree models. The models developed in this study can be used to develop a clinical decision support system that automatically assesses risk for pressure ulcers to aid nurses.

An Analysis of the Effects of WTI on Korean Stock Market Using HAR Model (국내 주식시장 변동성에 대한 국제유가의 영향: 이질적 자기회귀(HAR) 모형을 사용하여)

  • Kim, Hyung-Gun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.535-555
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    • 2021
  • This study empirically analyzes the effects of international oil prices on domestic stock market volatility. The data used for the analysis are 10-minute high-frequency data of the KOSPI index and WTI futures price from January 2, 2015, to July 30, 2021. For using the high-frequency data, a heterogeneous autoregression (HAR) model is employed. The analysis model utilizes the advantages of high frequency data to observe the impact of international oil prices through realized volatility, realized skewness, and kurtosis as well as oil price return. In the estimation, the Box-Cox transformation is applied in consideration of the distribution of realized volatility with high skewness. As a result, it finds that the daily return fluctuation of the WTI price has a statistically significant positive (+) effect on the volatility of the KOSPI return. However, the volatility, skewness, and kurtosis of the WTI return do not appear to affect the volatility of the KOSPI return. This result is believed to be because the volatility of the KOSPI return reflects the daily change in the WTI return, but does not reflect the intraday trading behavior of investors.