• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.164-164
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• 2016

Radar rainfall estimates have been widely used in calculating rainfall amount approximately and predicting flood risks. The radar rainfall estimates have a number of error sources such as beam blockage and ground clutter hinder their applications to hydrological flood forecasting. Moreover, it has been reported in paper that those errors are inter-correlated spatially and temporally. Therefore, in the current study, we tested influence about spatio-temporal errors in radar rainfall estimates. Spatio-temporal errors were simulated through a stochastic simulation model, called Multivariate Autoregressive (MAR). For runoff simulation, the Nam River basin in South Korea was used with the distributed rainfall-runoff model, Vflo. The results indicated that spatio-temporal dependent errors caused much higher variations in peak discharge than spatial dependent errors. To further investigate the effect of the magnitude of time correlation among radar errors, different magnitudes of temporal correlations were employed during the rainfall-runoff simulation. The results indicated that strong correlation caused a higher variation in peak discharge. This concluded that the effects on reducing temporal and spatial correlation must be taken in addition to correcting the biases in radar rainfall estimates. Acknowledgements This research was supported by a grant from a Strategic Research Project (Development of Flood Warning and Snowfall Estimation Platform Using Hydrological Radars), which was funded by the Korea Institute of Construction Technology.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.595-610
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• 2021

Recently a few articles have derived robust first-order rotatable and D-optimal designs for the lifetime response having distributions gamma, lognormal, Weibull, exponential assuming errors that are correlated with different correlation structures such as autocorrelated, intra-class, inter-class, tri-diagonal, compound symmetry. Practically, a first-order model is an adequate approximation to the true surface in a small region of the explanatory variables. A second-order model is always appropriate for an unknown region, or if there is any curvature in the system. The current article aims to extend the ideas of these articles for second-order models. Invariant (free of the above four distributions) robust (free of correlation parameter values) second-order rotatable designs have been derived for the intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures. Second-order rotatability conditions have been derived herein assuming the response follows non-normal distribution (any one of the above four distributions) and errors have a general correlated error structure. These conditions are further simplified under intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures, and second-order rotatable designs are developed under these two structures for the response having anyone of the above four distributions. It is derived herein that robust second-order rotatable designs depend on the respective error variance covariance structure but they are independent of the correlation parameter values, as well as the considered four response lifetime distributions.

• 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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• 제35권5호
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• pp.161-168
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• 2019

Construction industry is becoming more advanced, but safety accidents are not decreasing and unsafe act (UA) and human errors (HE) are the main causes of safety accidents. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the relationships between unsafe acts and human errors for construction accident prevents. Specifically, the Correlation Analysis is used to quantify 24 combinations of the relationship between the UA and HE. Then, the Kano Model, and Timko Satisfied Coefficient was utilized to find 6 combinations for construction accident prevention plans. As the result of Timko Satisfied Coefficient, an interview was conducted with three safety managers and 6 safety prevention plan is proposed. Through these results, it is expected that the combination of 24 accidents will be basic data of safety management. Especially, the proposed safety prevention plans considering the characteristics of 6 combinations with high correlation can contribute to prevention of safety accidents at the construction site.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권9호
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• pp.3205-3214
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• 2022

The aim of this study is to provide a clear and accessible method to obtain accurate true-stress strain data, and to extend the limited material data beyond the ultimate tensile strength (UTS) for AISI 304L. AISI 304L is used for the outer construction for some types of nuclear transport packages, due to its post-yield ductility and high failure strain. Material data for AISI 304L beyond UTS is limited throughout literature. 3D digital image correlation (DIC) was used during a series of uniaxial tensile experiments. Direct method extracted data such as true strain and instantaneous cross-sectional area throughout testing such that the true stress-strain response of the material up to failure could be created. Post processing of the DIC data has a considerable effect on the accuracy of the true stress-strain data produced. Influence of subset size and smoothing of data was investigated by using finite element analysis to inverse model the force displacement response in order to determine the true stress strain curve. The FE force displacement response was iteratively adapted, using subset size and smoothing of the DIC data. Results were validated by matching the force displacement response for the FE model and the experimental force displacement curve.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.307-313
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• 2022

Although telecommuting of SMEs has been activated due to the COVID-19 phenomenon, the security model for this is insufficient. Accordingly, the study was divided into threats centered on smartphones and threats centered on smartphone users. As a result of the study, one-third of SMEs are working from home. At this company with 100 employees, more than 50% of them work from home.and In the metal, machinery and chemical industries with factories, 20% of them work from home. As a result of analyzing the correlation between telecommuting according to the presence or absence of a factory, the correlation coefficient (r=-.385) has a clear linear relationship. And, as a result of the regression analysis, the R-squared value was 0.148, so companies with factories are highly related to telecommuting. In other words, we found that SMEs with factories do not want to work from home. In addition, as a result of analyzing the level of security threats, there were great concerns about theft, hacking, and phone taking during remote work. As limitations of the study, there were difficulties in selecting SMEs from the population in a non-face-to-face work environment, and there were limitations in the questionnaire items for deriving a non-face-to-face work environment.

• 무역학회지
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• 제47권3호
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• pp.141-156
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• 2022

This study intends to examine the regional blocs of the international crude oil futures market by analyzing the dynamic conditional correlation between the international crude oil futures markets using the DCC-GARCH model. For statistical data, from April 2, 2018 to March 31, 2022, international crude oil futures prices such as Europe, the United States, China, and Dubai were used. To summarize the results of the study, first, the phenomenon of regional blocs in the international crude oil futures market is occurring, and it is found that it is gradually strengthening as time goes by. Second, it was found that the dynamic correlation of the international crude oil futures market is temporarily strengthened when a supply-demand imbalance problem occurs due to a global shock. Third, it was found that the volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures market affects the international crude oil futures market. This study confirmed that the regional blocs phenomenon in the international crude oil futures market is strengthened as time goes by. In particular, it suggested that China's influence in the international oil market would increase.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제32권6호
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• pp.587-601
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• 2020

지역해양수치모델(ROMS)을 이용하여 동해 및 울릉도-독도 해역의 해양순환을 모의하였다. 동해 3 km 격자 수치모델과 HYCOM 9 km 격자 자료를 사용하여 울릉도 1 km 격자 수치모델, 울릉도-독도 300 m 격자 수치모델들을 서로 단방향 둥지격자화 기법으로 구축하였다. 그 과정에서 상위모델과는 다른 수심 자료 및 내·외삽 방법에 의해 나타날 수 있는 개방 경계자료의 왜곡에 대한 보정방법을 제시하였다. 구축한 시스템을 이용하여, 2018년 울릉도-독도 지역에서 수평해상도가 300 m인 초고해상도 해양순환 모의 결과를 산출하였다. 초고해상도 수치모델은 같은 조건임에도 불구하고 초기장 및 개방 경계자료에 따라 서로 다른 특징이 나타났다. 따라서 수치모델 결과를 인공위성 고도계 자료로 추정한 유속 자료 및 국립수산과학원의 수온 관측자료를 사용하여 비교 검증하였다. 검증결과 HYCOM 자료를 경계장으로 사용한 둥지격자기법 결과는 1 km 격자모델 보다 300 m 격자모델 결과에서 RMSE, Mean Bias, Pattern Correlation, Vector Correlation이 전반적으로 향상되었다. 그러나 동해 3 km 수치모델을 사용한 결과에서는 1 km 모델의 결과가 300 m 결과보다 우수하게 나타났다. 수온 수직단면도에서는 수평해상도가 고해상도일수록, 등온선의 골과 마루의 수직구조가 뚜렷해지는 경향이 나타났다. 또한 울릉도-독도 300 m 모델은 상위모델에서 재현되지 않았던 섬의 지형 효과에 따른 카르만 와열이 나타났다.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.545-554
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• 1999

We would like to develop a short-term model to predict the time-related concentration of ozone whose reaction mechanism is complex. The paper targets Seoul where an ozone alert system has recently been employed. In order to develop a short-term prediction model for ozone, we suggested the Ozone Peak Indicator(OPI), an equivalent of the potential daily maximum ozone concentration, with precursors being the only limiting factor, and we calculated the Ozone Peak Indicarot as OPI={$rac{(O_3)_{max}cdot(H_{eH})_{max}(Rad)_{max}$ to preclude the influence of mixing height and solar radiation on the daily maximum ozone concentration. The OPI on the day of the prediction is to be calcultated by using the relation between OPI and the initial value of precursors. The basic prediction formula for time-related ozone concentration was established as $O_3(1)={(OPI)cdot Rad(t-2)H_{eH}}$, using the OPI, solar radiation two hours before prediction and mixing height. We developed, along with the basic formula for predicting photochemical oxidants, "SEOM"(Seoul Empirical Oxidants Model), a Fortran program that helps predict solar radiation and mixing height needed in the prediction of ozone pollution. When this model was applied to Seoul and an analysis of the correlation between the observed and the predicted ozone concentrations was made through SEOM, there appeared a very high correlation, with a coefficient of 0.815. SEOM can be described as a short-term prediction model for ozone concentration in large cities that takes into account the initial values of precursors, and changes in solar radiation and mixing height. SEOM can reflect the local characteristics of a particular and region can yield relatively good prediction results by a simple data input process.t process.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.287-298
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 피에조콘 관입시험 결과로부터 점토의 비배수전단강도를 예측하기 위한 인공신경망 이론의 적용과 최적 모델 구축에 대하여 기술하였다. 먼저 등방 및 비등방 삼축압축실험(CIUC and CAUC)으로 얻어진 비배수전단강도 결과를 바탕으로 오차역전파 알고리즘에 의하여 간단한 다층 구조를 갖는 최적 인공신경망 모델이 구성되었다. 구성된 인공신경망 모델은 모델 구축 시에 사용되지 않은 새로운 자료에 대해 비배수전단강도 예측을 수행하고 예측결과와 실내시험 결과를 비교함으로써 그 타당성이 검증되었다. 또한 기존의 이론적 방법, 경험적 방법 및 direct correlation method 등으로 예측된 비배수전단강도와 제안된 모델의 예측결과를 비교하였다. 본 논문에서 제안된 인공신경망 모델링 기법은 피에조콘 관측결과들과 비배수전단강도 간의 비선형적 상관관계를 정의하는 데에 유용하며 구성된 인공신경망 모델은 기존의 이론적 및 경험적 방법들에 비하여 예측 신뢰성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 지금까지 주로 사용되어 온 경험적 방법들이 특정 지역에 대한 상관관계에 만족하던 것과 비교해 인공신경망 모델은 다양한 지역과 국가에서 일반적으로 적용 가능한 상관관계로서 발전될 가능성이 있음을 알 수 있었다.

• 한국의류학회지
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• 제38권5호
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• pp.769-782
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• 2014

This study considers the correlation between model pose and clothes in Patrick Demarchelier's fashion photos as well as expression characteristics. The conclusions of the study are as follows. The type of model pose in Patrick Demarchelier's fashion photos can be categorized into five types: maximized type of upper and lower body part, minimized type of upper and lower body part, maximized type of upper body and minimized type of lower body part, minimized type of upper body and maximized type of lower body part, basic type of upper and lower body part. In case of having examined the correlation between body movement and costume, the clothes in the model pose included in the maximization of the body were formed mainstream by silhouette, which was formed by decorative elements or full drapery. In the model poses included in the reduction of the body, the costume tended to expose many parts of the body to provide a simple or structural silhouette form. The costume was expressed in colorful form and poses assumed without body movements. The expression characteristics of the model poses in Patrick Demarchelier's fashion photos were sensuality, dynamicity, and simplicity. First, sensuality was expressed as feminine sensuality accompanying an erotic mood by naturally emphasizing a woman's breast or leg by reducing the body. Second, dynamicity provided a vividness to the image as if directly living and moving by highlighting the rhythmic aspect of the body. Simplicity aroused the effect of paying attention to clothes or other incidental elements rather than the image expressed by the body of a model by excluding body movement.