• Title/Summary/Keyword: Contingency Level

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Enhancing the Satisfaction Value of User Group Using Meteorological Forecast Information: Focused on the Precipitation Forecast (기상예보 정보 사용자 그룹의 만족가치 제고 방안: 강수예보를 중심으로)

  • Kim, In-Gyum;Jung, Jihoon;Kim, Jeong-Yun;Shin, Jinho;Kim, Baek-Jo;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.382-395
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    • 2013
  • The providers of meteorological information want to know the level of satisfaction of forecast users with their services. To provide better service, meteorological communities of each nation are administering a survey on satisfaction of forecast users. However, most researchers provided these users with simple questionnaires and the respondents had to choose one answer among different satisfaction levels. So, the results of this kind of survey have low explanation power and are difficult to use in developing strategy of forecast service. In this study, instead of cost-loss concept, we applied satisfaction-dissatisfaction concept to the $2{\times}2$ contingency table, which is a useful tool to evaluate value of forecast, and estimated satisfaction value of 24h precipitation forecasts in Shanghai, China and Seoul, Korea. Moreover, not only the individual satisfaction value of forecast but the user group's satisfaction value was evaluated. As for the result, it is effective to enhance forecast accuracy to improve the satisfaction value of deterministic forecast user group, but in the case of probabilistic forecast, it is important to know the level of dissatisfaction of user group and distribution of probability threshold of forecast users. These results can help meteorological communities to search for a solution which can provide better satisfaction value to forecast users.

A study of the need for education and first aid recognition level of Security major students (경호전공 대학생의 응급처치 인식 수준 및 교육 필요성에 관한연구)

  • Kang, Kyoung Soo;Choi, Pan Am
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.220-230
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we investigated the recognition of the first aid of guard major college students are trained to deal well and flexibly to the situation of unforeseen circumstances, you are trying to present the teaching methods and effective importance of first aid. Analysis of data collected in this study is as follows: The results obtained using the statistical program SPSS18.0. First, education has not been done properly, there is no difference between the average score of people who did not receive the people who received the fact of first aid veritable we are specialized in, the second education systematic is needed, training of first aid has not been properly implemented, problems of education there were many. Third, because there is no difference in the level of knowledge by training institutions of first aid, the places where there is training of first aid, there is no effect on the knowledge level. Therefore, it can be the need training first aid practical to enhance the ability to proactively address the situation of contingencies.

A Multi-objective Placement of Phasor Measurement Units Considering Observability and Measurement Redundancy using Firefly Algorithm

  • Arul jeyaraj, K.;Rajasekaran, V.;Nandha kumar, S.K.;Chandrasekaran, K.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.474-486
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a multi-objective optimal placement method of Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) in large electric transmission systems. It is proposed for minimizing the number of PMUs for complete system observability and maximizing measurement redundancy of the buses, simultaneously. The measurement redundancy of the bus indicates that number of times a bus is able to monitor more than once by PMUs set. A high level of measurement redundancy can maximize the system observability and it is required for a reliable power system state estimation. Therefore, simultaneous optimizations of the two conflicting objectives are performed using a binary coded firefly algorithm. The complete observability of the power system is first prepared and then, single line loss contingency condition is added to the main model. The practical measurement limitation of PMUs is also considered. The efficiency of the proposed method is validated on IEEE 14, 30, 57 and 118 bus test systems and a real and large- scale Polish 2383 bus system. The valuable approach of firefly algorithm is demonstrated in finding the optimal number of PMUs and their locations by comparing its performance with earlier works.

A Study on the Relationship between New Product Development Strategies and New Product Outcomes (신제품개발전략의 유형과 성과에 관한 연구)

  • 김지대;김기영
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.11-46
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    • 1996
  • The objectives of this research paper are to identify the types of the firm's new product development strategy and their characteristics about business strategy, to examine the effect of each type on new product outcomes, and to explore the contingency variable influencing the relationship between these types and new product outcomes. The result of the research are summarized as follows : First, in terms of both the resource allocation for product innovativeness and technology acquisition method, this study suggests 9 types of the firm's new product development strategies- Type 1 (pursuing low innovative products/relying on external technology), Type 2 (pursuing low innovative products oriented/relying on internal technology), Type 3 (pursuing low innovative products/relying on mixed technology), Type 4 (pursuing high innovative products/relying on internal technology), Type 6(pursuing high innovative products /relying on mixed technology), Type 7 (balancing low and high innovative products/relying on external technology), Type 8 (balancing low and high innovative products/relying on internal technology), Type 9 (balancing low and high innovative products/relying on mixed technology). Second, these 9 types are deeply associated with the firm's business strategic variables such as product differentiation and market differentiation, and exhibit different level of both technical and commercial performance of new products. Finally, the effects of these types on new product outcomes are different according to industrial environment and firms' characteristics with respect to size and technological capability.

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Reliability analysis of the switch installation in the main feeder and in the radial/loop lateral feeders in distribution system (간선 및 분기선의 개폐기 설치 효과 분석(I))

  • Cho, Nam-Hun;O, Jae-Hyeong;Lee, Heung-Ho;Ha, Bok-Nam
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07a
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    • pp.79-82
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    • 2002
  • The addition of switches to a distribution feeder does, in general, increase reliability by decreasing the duration of the outage of many to the customers on the feeder. To cover its service area so that feeder-level delivery reaches sufficiently close to all customers, feeders typically split their routes many times, in what is often called a lateral feeder. It is interesting to note, however, that the effectiveness of a switch is very much dependent on the types of lateral feeder. The types of lateral are classified into two types. The first is loop lateral feeder that can connect its load to an adjacent feeder through a tie line in case that a fault occurs in its feeder and it is laid out so that every feeder has complete fault backup through re-switching of its loads to other sources like a main feeder. The second is the radial lateral feeder cannot connect its load to an adjacent line, no provision is made for contingency backup of feeders. There are no other circuits in the radial lateral feeder form which to restore power. In this study, we evaluate the effectiveness of a switch installation between on the radial and loop lateral feeders to increase reliability by decreasing the duration of the outage. These results can help power utility to design the switch layouts on the radial and loop lateral feeder system.

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Forecasting of Seasonal Inflow to Reservoir Using Multiple Linear Regression (다중선형회귀분석에 의한 계절별 저수지 유입량 예측)

  • Kang, Jaewon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.953-963
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    • 2013
  • Reliable long-term streamflow forecasting is invaluable for water resource planning and management which allocates water supply according to the demand of water users. Forecasting of seasonal inflow to Andong dam is performed and assessed using statistical methods based on hydrometeorological data. Predictors which is used to forecast seasonal inflow to Andong dam are selected from southern oscillation index, sea surface temperature, and 500 hPa geopotential height data in northern hemisphere. Predictors are selected by the following procedure. Primary predictors sets are obtained, and then final predictors are determined from the sets. The primary predictor sets for each season are identified using cross correlation and mutual information. The final predictors are identified using partial cross correlation and partial mutual information. In each season, there are three selected predictors. The values are determined using bootstrapping technique considering a specific significance level for predictor selection. Seasonal inflow forecasting is performed by multiple linear regression analysis using the selected predictors for each season, and the results of forecast using cross validation are assessed. Multiple linear regression analysis is performed using SAS. The results of multiple linear regression analysis are assessed by mean squared error and mean absolute error. And contingency table is established and assessed by Heidke skill score. The assessment reveals that the forecasts by multiple linear regression analysis are better than the reference forecasts.

Characteristics of the Bullying in Children with Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (주의력결핍 과잉행동장애 아동에서 집단따돌림 양상)

  • Shin, Dong-Won;Lee, Seung-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 2009
  • Objectives: This study examined clinical characteristics associated with bullying in children with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder(ADHD). Methods.: Children and their parents were asked to fill out a structured self-report form regarding bullying incidents. To evaluate the characteristics of the children, the results of the ADHD Rating Scale, the Korean version of the Child Behavior Checklist, the ADHD Diagnostic system and the Emotional Recognition Test were used. The agreement of bullying data between each child and their mother and father was measured using Cohen's kappa. The association between victim and perpetrator was analyzed by calculating a contingency coefficient based on chi-square. To compare the characteristics of victimized children and didn't, an independent sample T-test was performed. Results: When children were victims of bullying incidents there was significant agreement between children and parents on the information provided on the self-reports. However, more children reported themselves as a perpetrator of bullying than their parents did. Victimization, that is, the tendency towards being a perpetrator, is associated with the higher level of parental reports of aggressiveness. Conclusion: Victimization of bullying is associated with aggression in children with ADHD. This study suggests that victimized children with ADHD warrant careful evaluation, in particular with regard to the credence placed on parental reports of aggressiveness, and management for aggression.

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Contingency Model to Increase the Uptake of Higher Education Graduates in the Job Market

  • TRISNANINGSIH, Sri;SUTRISNO, Sutrisno;PERMATASARI, Yani;HENDRA, Failasuf Herman;SULISTYOWATI, Erna
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates graduate competencies that can improve the uptake of higher education graduate outcomes in the working environment in Indonesia. This research was conducted by collecting data through sending questionnaires directly by the research team, via courier, or via postal service to respondents. A survey with questionnaire is carried out on April 2019, and the data from 117 respondents was analyzed. The sample population was all private higher education in the area of the I-XIV Higher Education Service Institution in Indonesia. This study employs factor analysis and structural equation modelling. The results show that the Graduates' competencies had a significant direct effect on the uptake of higher education graduates in the job market. The indirect effect of a Diploma Supplement and networking as mediation has a level of influence that is higher than the direct effect of graduate competence on the uptake of higher education graduate outcomes in the job market. The findings suggest that the Diploma Supplement and networking can increase the uptake of higher education graduates in Indonesia as expected by stakeholders and be able to compete in the global or international scale of environmental working. The professionalism of lecturers has a significant influence on the quality of learning.

Adaptive Supply Chain Management under Severe Supply Chain Disruption: Evidence from Indonesia

  • ONGKOWIJOYO, Gracia;SUTRISNO, Timotius F.C.W.;TEOFILUS, Teofilus;HONGDIYANTO, Charly
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.91-103
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    • 2020
  • The recent Covid-19 outbreak has caused severe disruption of the global supply chain, which tests firms' ability to survive and build resilience. The concept of adaptive supply chain management (A-SCM) has never been tested against a severe supply chain disruption, such as a pandemic. Purpose: The aim of this study is to examine how firms in Indonesia develop resilience through the implementation of components of adaptive supply chain management, namely risk management, resource reconfiguration and supply chain flexibility, in order to survive severe supply chain disruption. Research design, data and methodology: A qualitative method and PLS-SEM were used to analyze 120 data collected from Indonesian manufacturing firms in various industries. Results: The findings show that risk management, resource reconfiguration, and supply chain flexibility are important components that make up A-SCM. However, only risk management contributes to help build firm resilience in the presence of severe supply chain disruption. Conclusions: The components of A-SCM have been empirically tested. The implication is that managers should carefully use RM to prepare firms for different scenarios to develop contingency strategies. This research contributes to the supply chain management body of knowledge in the context of pandemic-level disruption and broadens the dynamic capabilities perspective.

The Potential Risk of Sports Sponsorship: Categorization of Crisis and Developing Contingency Plans in Perspective of SCCT (스포츠 스폰서십의 잠재적 위험: SCCT를 적용한 위기 유형 분류와 대응전략 개발)

  • Shin, Seongyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.214-221
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    • 2018
  • This study was conducted to identify the negative effects of sports sponsorships on consumer attitudes towards sports celebrities and the products advertised by them. The results of this study verified the main effects of sports celebrities' responsibility level on consumer attitudes toward the sports celebrity and his/her products in cases of negative incidents. Furthermore, the moderating roles of sports celebrities' response strategies were identified. Data were collected from 135 undergraduate students in the Republic of Korea using a questionnaire. The data from nine participants were discarded because of disingenuous answers to the questionnaire; thus, the final sample consisted of 126 participants. Multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) of the obtained data revealed that a sports celebrity's responsibility level has negative effects on consumer attitude toward the sports celebrity and the product. The moderating effects of the sports celebrity's response strategies were also significant.