• 제목/요약/키워드: Conjoint Model

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EBA 모형을 활용한 유사 컨조인트 분석 (Conjoint-like Analysis Using Elimination-by-Aspects Model)

  • 박상준
    • 경영과학
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2008
  • Conjoint Analysis is marketers' favorite methodology for finding out how buyers make trade-offs among competing products and suppliers. Thousands of applications of conjoint analysis have been carried out over the past three decades. The conjoint analysis has been so popular as a management decision tool due to the availability of a choice simulator. A conjoint simulator enables managers to perform 'what if' question accompanying the output of a conjoint study. Traditionally the First Choice Model (FCM) has been widely used as a choice simulator. The FCM is simple to do, easy to understand. In the FCM, the probability of an alternative is zero until its value is greater than others in the set. Once its value exceeds that threshold, however, it receives 100%. The LOGIT simulation model, which is also called as "Share of Preference", has been used commonly as an alternative of the FCM. In the model part worth utilities aren't required to be positive. Besides, it doesn't require part worth utilities computed under LOGIT model. The simulator can be used based on regression, monotone regression, linear programming, and so on. However, it is not free from the Independent from Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) problem. This paper proposes the EBA (Elimination-By-Aspects) model as a useful conjoint-like method. One advantage of the EBA model is that it models choice in terms of the actual psychological processes that might be taking place. According to EBA, when choosing from choice objects, a person chooses one of the aspects that are effective for the objects and eliminates all objects which do not have this aspect. This process continues until only one alternative remains.

주제공원 이용자들의 선택행동 연구 -Constraints-Induced Conjoint Choice Model의 적용- (A Study on the Theme Park Users' Choice behavior -Application of Constraints-Induced Conjoint Choice Model-)

  • 홍성권;이용훈
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2000
  • The importance of constraints has been one of major issues in recreation for prediction of choice behavior; however, traditional conjoint choice model did not consider the effects of these variables or fail to integrate them into choice model adequately. The purposes of this research are (a) to estimate the effects of constraints in theme park choice behavior by the constraints-induced conjoint choice model, and (b) to test additional explanatory power of the additional constraints in this suggested model against the more parsimonious traditional model. A leading polling agency was employed to select respondents. Both alternative generating and choice set generating fractional factorial design were conducted to meet the necessary and sufficient conditions for calibration of the constraints-induced conjoint choice model. Th alternative-specific model was calibrated. The log-likelihood ratio test revealed that suggested model was accepted in the favor of the traditional model, and the goodness-of-fit($\rho$$^2$) of suggested and traditional model was 0.48427 and 0.47950, respectively. There was no difference between traditional and suggested model in estimates of attribute levels of car and shuttle bus because alternatives were created to estimate the effects of constraints independently from mode related variables. Most parameters values of constraints had the expected sign and magnitude: the results reflected the characteristics of the theme parks, such as abundance of natural attractions and poor accessibility in Everland, location of major fun rides indoor in Lotte World, city park like characteristics of Dream Land, and traffic jams in Seoul. Instead of the multinomial logit model, the nested logit model is recommended for future researches because this model more reasonably reflects the real decision-making process in park choice. Development of new methodology too integrate this hierarchical decision-making into choice model is anticipated.

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Jeffrey′s Noninformative Prior in Bayesian Conjoint Analysis

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Kim, Yura
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.137-153
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    • 2000
  • Conjoint analysis is a widely-used statistical technique for measuring relative importance that individual place on the product's attributes. Despsite its practical importance, the complexity of conjoint model makes it difficult to analyze. In this paper, w consider a Bayesian approach using Jeffrey's noninformative prior. We derive Jeffrey's prior and give a sufficient condition under which the posterior derived from the Jeffrey's prior is paper.

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Conjoint Choice Model을 이용한 주제공원 이용자들의 선택행동 연구 (A Study on the Theme Park Users's Choice behavior: Application of Conjoint Choice Model)

  • 홍성권
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2000
  • The purposes of this study are two folds: a) to introduce conjoint choice model to research the choice behavior of theme park users, and b) to suggest the strategies to strengthen the competitiveness of theme parks. The major four theme parks in Seoul metropolitan areas were selected as study areas. A leading polling agency was employed to select 432 respondents by probability sampling and to conduct face-to-face interview. Both alternative generating and choice set generating fractional factorial design were conducted simultaneously to meet the necessary and sufficient conditions for calibration of the conjoint choice model. Dummy coding was used to represent the attribute levels, and the alternative-specific model was calibrated. The goodness-of-fit of the model was quite satisfactory($\rho$$^2$=0.47950), and most parameters values had to expected sign and magnitude. Car was preferred transport mode to shuttle bus for visiting theme parks ; however the most ideal attribute levels only were estimated significantly. Most attribute levels of shuttle bus were estimated significantly except the Dream Land, which is the least attractive park among study areas. Simulation results showed that the shuttle bus was a mode worth providing to switch the current car dominant visiting pattern of theme parks, which will be one the effective strategies to attract more patrons, especially for potential users adjacent to parks. Several ideals were suggested for future researches, in terms of utilization of more general utility function and new base alternative, and inclusion of more salient attributes such as constraints in the model.

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관광 지역 음식점에 대한 관광객들의 선호도 평가 (Assessing Tourists' Restaurant Preferences within Tourism Area)

  • 강종헌;정항진
    • 동아시아식생활학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.165-171
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to measure tourists' preference for alternative restaurants with different combinations of attribute levels: grown area logo, origin description, traditional food, fusion food, national food, and price. A total of 210 questionnaires were completed. A conjoint experimental method was used to develop hypothetical restaurants, and an ordinal probit model was used to measure the effects of the attribute levels on tourists' preference. The ordinal probit model analysis results for the data indicated an excellent model fit. The effects of the attribute levels on tourists' preferences were statistically significant. As expected, estimates of the marginal willingness to pay were statistically significant Moreover, the tourists were more willing to pay for grown area logo as compared to the other attribute levels. The tourists also considered the grown area logo as a very important attribute. Withe regard to developing and testing conjoint models in the design of choice experiments involving multifactor alternatives, this study may approach a deeper understanding of the conjoint experiment. Greater understanding of the conjoint experiment can improve the managerial diagnoses of the problems as well as the opportunities for different marketing strategies including local branding programs and menu development and marketing communications.

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Preference Attributes of Foreign Infant Education Materials: Focused on Brand, Service, Distribution

  • Kim, Byoung-Goo;Lee, Chun-Su
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - There is little research on the market of foreign infant education materials. So, it is needed to deeply examine the development and preference factors of foreign infant education materials. Therefore, this study presents a future method and model for analyzing the important variables of buying foreign infant education materials. Research design, data, and methodology - The conjoint analysis method and model of this paper is used as follows. Conjoint analysis method is possible to derive the attributes to be analyzed through the model of the preferred factors, and then to derive the sub-attributes of the attributes. Results - This study derived preference attributes between brand benefit, equity (brand image, loyalty, awareness), distribution network (department store, specialty stores, discount store, internet mall), and service quality (tangibles, reliability, responsiveness, assurance, empathy) in infant education materials conjoint model. Conclusions - Since the opening of the education market in Korea, parents have a high education level due to low birth rate. The advantages of the conjoint analysis method have been extended to the study of infant education materials. Based on this, this paper will identify important attributes that are considered in preference of foreign infant education materials and help to establish and implement future marketing strategies.

서비스제품 선택에서 전통적 컨조인트기법과 선택형 컨조인트기법간의 예측력 비교에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Comparison of the Predictability among Traditional and Choice-based Conjoint Analyses in the Choice of Service Products)

  • 임병훈;안광호;박운용
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2006
  • 기업의 마케터들은 어느 때보다 빨라진 소비자 욕구의 변화와 경쟁제품 출시에 대응하여 신제품 성공의 확률을 극대화시키려 노력한다. 소비자의 욕구에 맞는 신제품을 개발하기 위해 활용되는 기법 중 하나가 컨조인트분석이다. 본 논문은 컨조인트기법 중 가장 널리 이용되는 전통적 컨조인트분석과 선택형 컨조인트분석의 예측력을 비교하는데 초점을 맞추었으며 그 대상으로 병원산업을 선택하였다. 모형간 예측력 비교를 위해 전통적 컴조인트분석과 선택형 컨조인트분석 중심으로 4가지 모형을 선정하였다. 분석결과, 전통적 컨조인트와 선택형 컨조인트를 결합한 혼합형 컨조인트기법의 예측력이 가장 높은 것으로 나타났으며, 각 모형에서 추정된 모수간의 일관성도 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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소비자 선택을 고려한 신기술 혁신의 확산 예측: 한국의 홈네트워킹 시장을 대상으로 (Forecasting the Evolution of Innovation Considering Consumers' Choice : An Application of Home-Networking Market in Korea)

  • 이철용;이정동;김연배
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2005
  • This paper applies a prelaunch forecasting model to the Home-Networking (HN) market of South Korea. The HN market of Korea is categorized into two distinctive markets. One HN market consists of new apartments in which builders install HN and the other HN market consists of existing houses in which residents purchase HN Among these markets, this paper focuses on existing houses as capturing consumers' choice. To forecast sales of HN for existing houses, we use a conjoint model based on our survey data of consumer preferences. By incorporating various indicators of HN technologies into our conjoint model, we also forecast diffusion of HN system embodied in PLC or Wireless Lan. We call this model Choice-Based Diffusion Model. In addition, based on the simulation experiments, we also identify important factors that affect the demands of HN system.

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A Study of Smartphone Sustainable Business in the Chinese Market through Conjoint Analysis

  • Junyan YANG;Jun ZHANG
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study focuses on the Chinese smartphone market to estimate product attributes influencing Chinese customers' preference for developing new smartphones through conjoint analysis. Research design, data and methodology: The online questionnaire survey is processed among Chinese potential smartphone customers. Conjoint analysis including traditional conjoint analysis (TCA) and choice-based conjoint analysis (CBCA), is used to analyze the useful data of 500. Results: Results indicate that price is the most important predictor while screen size is the least for Chinese customers' preference whether the method is TCA or CBCA. However, the importance of brand, capacity, CPU, and screen design is different. Moreover, based on each smartphone attribute level's utility, the new products with the best combinations are different compared with both methods. Finally, the predicted market shares of the top 3 products are the same with maximum utility rule model between TCA and CBCA. However, when considering with the new best combined product, they are significantly different. Conclusions: Managers should recognize the differences between TCA and CBCA and select the best method to develop new smartphones for sustainable business in the Chinese competitive market based on the important attributes of price, brand, capacity, CPU, screen design, and size.

AHP와 Conjoint Analysis간의 통합에 의한 인터페이스 사용성 평가 방법 개발 (Development of the Interface Usability Evaluation Technique Using Integration of AHP and Conjoint Analysis)

  • 문형돈;박범
    • 대한인간공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한인간공학회 1998년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 1998
  • Recently, consumers are tend to purchase the user-centered designed product using interface enginnering and human factors techniques. Therefore, it is important that the designer's requirements should be analyzed focused on the human machine interface. This paper described the interface usability evaluation technique(suvjective evaluation) for the interface between user and product. This methodology is the integrated interface usbility evaluation method AHP and Conjoint Analysis. AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) is a multicriteria decision model to give priority after expressing hierarchically for decision making problem. Conjoint Analysis enduavors to unravel the value, or partworths, that consumers place on the product or service's attributes from experimental subjects' evluation of profiles based on hypothetical products or services. A new usability test methodology proposed by this paper includes techniques jointed both consistency test by AHP and experimental subjective evaluation of profiles by Conjoint Analysis for evaluating the user's emotion and impression.

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