• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
• /
• 제13권3호
• /
• pp.377-385
• /
• 2012

The Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) system is a key component of CNS/ATM recommended by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) as the next generation air traffic control system. ADS-B broadcasts identification, positional data, and operation information of an aircraft to other aircraft, ground vehicles and ground stations in the nearby region. This paper explores the ADS-B based trajectory prediction and the conflict detection algorithm. The multiple-model based trajectory prediction algorithm leads accurate predicted conflict probability at a future forecast time. We propose an efficient and accurate algorithm to calculate conflict probability based on approximation of the conflict zone by a set of blocks. The performance of proposed algorithms is demonstrated by a numerical simulation of two aircraft encounter scenarios.

• 한국항행학회논문지
• /
• 제15권6호
• /
• pp.977-985
• /
• 2011

항공기 분리보증은 자유비행 분리보증의 핵심요구사항이다. 본 논문에서는 자유비행 공역 효율성 측정을 위한 다양한 분리보증 및 효율성 측정 모델을 고찰하고, 자유비행 분리보증을 위한 포텐셜 필드 알고리즘과 기하학적 알고리즘, 두 가지의 충돌회피 기법을 모델링 하여 항공기 성능데이터와 두 가지 조건의 시나리오 상황에서 분리보증 해결과 운항 효율성을 측정하였다. 실험결과 자유비행 공역 하에서 기하학적 알고리즘 적용이 포텐셜 필드 알고리즘 보다 분리보증 해결, 운항 효율성 측면에서 우수하였으며, 동일한 알고리즘에서도 선회각, 속도 복합모델인 기하학적 결합 알고리즘이 더욱 효율적인 것으로 나타났다.

• 정보보호학회논문지
• /
• 제29권2호
• /
• pp.451-463
• /
• 2019

본 연구의 목적은 정보보안 조직갈등의 단계와 유형이 정보보안 종사자의 직무이탈 의도에 미치는 영향을 파악하는데 있다. 폰디의 조직갈등이론을 적용하여 공기업 정보보안 종사자를 대상으로 한 설문자료를 분석하였으며 구조 방정식 모형을 사용하여 정보보안 종사자가 직무 활동에서 경험하는 갈등의 단계, 유형, 결과를 분석했다. 분석 결과, 정보보안 종사자가 조직갈등의 잠재요인을 감정적으로 받아들일수록 정보보안 종사자의 직무이탈의도가 높아지는 것으로 나타났다. 반면에, 인식메커니즘은 직무를 변경하여 조직을 이탈할 확률을 낮추는 조절 효과를 가진 것으로 나타났다. 조직 내 정보보안 종사자의 갈등에 관한 실증연구는 많지 않다. 본 연구의 분석 결과는 정보보호 조직의 관리자가 조직 내 갈등을 생산적인 방향으로 이끌어 가는데 활용할 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국도로학회논문집
• /
• 제18권5호
• /
• pp.95-103
• /
• 2016

PURPOSES : Permitted left turn is a turning maneuver in which a vehicle turns left using a gap between oncoming vehicles, called gap acceptance, and it enables for more efficient traffic operation at intersections. In Korea, the permitted left turn has not been a common maneuver at signalized or un-signalized intersections. However, many experts and the Police Agency tried to apply this effective turning maneuver at intersections in Korea since 2010. Though the investigation of gap acceptance is significantly important in understanding a driver's behavior at intersections, there have not been many studies about this topic, specifically a study to develop probability models of gap acceptance behavior. METHODS : In this study, the probability model of gap acceptance behavior for a permitted left turn was developed based on observational field studies. To develop the model, seven variables were analyzed including gap, waiting time, traffic volume, conflict-flow vehicle type, left-turning vehicle type, the number of lane, and time. RESULTS : In the final model, gap and left-turning vehicle type were found to be significant influencing factors. CONCLUSIONS : Through this model development, it was concluded that as the gap size increased, the probability of gap acceptance was higher. Moreover, when a left-turning vehicle was a passenger car, the probability of gap acceptance was higher than compared to large size buses or freight cars.

• 한국노년학
• /
• 제38권4호
• /
• pp.811-835
• /
• 2018

노년기의 사회적 관계와 인지기능은 상호 밀접한 관계가 존재한다. 사회적 관계(social relation)는 구조적 특성과 이에 대한 인지적 정서적 평가를 반영하는 질적 특성으로 구분되며, 최근 노년기의 사회적 관계와 관련하여 사회적 고립(social isolation) 개념이 부각되고 있다. 사회적 고립은 사회연결망, 가구형태, 사회참여 등 객관적 차원과 지각된 사회적 지지에 대한 결핍과 외로움 등 주관적 차원으로 구분되는 다차원적인 이론적 구조를 가진다. 노년기 대인관계갈등 역시 인지기능과 밀접한 관계가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 사회적 관계의 구조적 특성을 나타내는 객관적 사회적 고립과, 질적 특성을 나타내는 주관적 사회적 고립, 대인관계갈등이 노년기 연령집단별 인지기능에 미치는 주효과와 상호작용효과를 검증하였다. 분석자료는 KSHAP 1차조사부터 3차조사까지 총 1,740명의 패널자료를 활용하여, 무선효과 패널로짓모형을 적용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 노년기 연령증가에 따라 인지기능 저하는 급격하게 증가하는 경향성이 나타났다. 객관적 주관적 사회적 고립은 모두 80세를 변곡점으로 U자형의 분포가 나타났다. 아울러 배우자, 자녀 친척, 이웃 친구 노년기 연령증가에 따라 대체적으로 감소하는 분포가 나타났다. 둘째, 인지기능저하에 대한 주효과는 객관적 주관적 사회적 고립과 정적으로 유의미하게 나타난 반면, 대인관계갈등 유형은 유의미하게 나타나지 않았다. 셋째, 노년기 인지기능저하에 영향을 미치는 이원상호작용효과 분석결과, 주관적 사회적 고립과 인지기능저하와의 관계는 배우자와의 갈등수준별로 유의미하게 다른 것으로 나타났다. 또한 주관적 사회적 고립을 많이 느낄수록 연소노인(65~74세)에 비해 초고령노인(85세 이상)의 경우 인지기능저하가 급격하게 높아지는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구결과에 기초하여 노년기 연령집단별 인지기능 저하를 감소시키기 위한 정책적 실천적 시사점을 제시하였으며, 연구의 한계점과 추후연구를 위한 제언에 대해 논의하였다.

• 보건행정학회지
• /
• 제14권2호
• /
• pp.78-98
• /
• 2004

The purpose of this study was to categorize the contribution evasion and develop the expected models for contribution arrears in National Health Care System. The modified logistic regression model in non-payments was used as logistic regression model based on the statistical method. By using this model, we arranged non-payment types and typical branches those are appeared by statistical technique. First fact, sex and age branches those are able to take a part in economy had effect mostly. Also they had difference in non-payment probability by existence of their incomes and property. Especially people who didn't have their own house and car were appeared in high non-payment probability, disease and reduction characteristic(rare diseases, reduction of seniors, handicaps, numbers of medical treatments) didn't effect much in probability. The reason for some characteristic of non-payment which is higher than the correct threshold value of Logistic Regression Model (a suggested model for predicting non-payment)'s distribution of probability was mostly moral hazard. Living difficulty was the bigger reason for non-payment, but moral slackening was the bigger reason for non-payment. But it is careless to decide that moral hazard is just the reason, there is a necessity to examine on the side of sociology based in family. By the reason, the member's non-payment reason can be classified by economy, population, and psychology, but there was a comprehension that losing of work desire could be one reason. So we analyzed informations for composition of family of members. In conclusion, we grasped that family conflict makes non-payment and conversion of member in the National Basic Livelihood Protection System difficult.

• 한국도로학회논문집
• /
• 제19권4호
• /
• pp.61-68
• /
• 2017

PURPOSES : A complete signal system is not always the best solution for improving traffic operation efficiency at intersections. An alternative solution is to use a Protected Permitted Left Turn (PPLT) operation method. However, the PPLT method needs to be developed after a detailed study of driving tendencies, most notably the gap acceptance behavior, for successful implementation. In this study, the gap acceptance behavior was investigated under various variables and weather conditions, especially under rain, and the results were compared to the case of normal weather. The results of this study will be helpful in introducing the PPLT method, and are important considering the tendency of attempting unprotected left turns that is extremely common in Korean drivers. METHODS : Data was obtained by analyzing traffic footage at four intersections on a day when the precipitation was greater than 5 mm/h. The collected data was classified into seven variables for statistical analysis. Finally, we used logistic regression analysis to develop a probability distribution model. RESULTS : Gap, traffic volume, and the number of conflicting lanes were factors affecting the gap acceptance behavior of unprotected left turns under rainy conditions. CONCLUSIONS : The probability of attempting unprotected left turns is higher for larger gaps. On the other hand, the probability of attempting unprotected left turns decreases with an increase in the traffic volume. Finally, an increase in the number of conflict lanes leads to a decrease in the probability of attempting unprotected left turns.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제25권3호
• /
• pp.331-345
• /
• 2007

Uncertainties enter a complex analysis from a variety of sources: variability, lack of data, human errors, model simplification and lack of understanding of the underlying physics. However, for many important engineering applications insufficient data are available to justify the choice of a particular probability density function (PDF). Sometimes the only data available are in the form of interval estimates which represent, often conflicting, expert opinion. In this paper we demonstrate that Bayesian estimation techniques can successfully be used in applications where only vague interval measurements are available. The proposed approach is intended to fit within a probabilistic framework, which is established and widely accepted. To circumvent the problem of selecting a specific PDF when only little or vague data are available, a hierarchical model of a continuous family of PDF's is used. The classical Bayesian estimation methods are expanded to make use of imprecise interval data. Each of the expert opinions (interval data) are interpreted as random interval samples of a parent PDF. Consequently, a partial conflict between experts is automatically accounted for through the likelihood function.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제63권5호
• /
• pp.639-646
• /
• 2017

According to the multi-index system of dam safety assessment and the standard of safety, a comprehensive evaluation model for dam safety based on a cloud model is established to determine the basic probability assignment of the Dempster-Shafer theory. The Dempster-Shafer theory is improved to solve the high conflict problems via fusion calculation. Compared with the traditional Dempster-Shafer theory, the application is more extensive and the result is more reasonable. The uncertainty model of dam safety multi-index comprehensive evaluation is applied according to the two theories above. The rationality and feasibility of the model are verified through application to the safety evaluation of a practical arch dam.

• ETRI Journal
• /
• 제37권1호
• /
• pp.186-196
• /
• 2015

In resource-constrained, low-cost, radio-frequency identification (RFID) sensor-based mobile ad hoc networks (MANETs), ensuring security without performance degradation is a major challenge. This paper introduces a novel combination of steps in lightweight protocol integration to provide a secure network for RFID sensor-based MANETs using error-correcting codes (ECCs). The proposed scheme chooses a quasi-cyclic ECC. Key pairs are generated using the ECC for establishing a secure message communication. Probability analysis shows that code-based identification; key generation; and authentication and trust management schemes protect the network from Sybil, eclipse, and de-synchronization attacks. A lightweight model for the proposed sequence of steps is designed and analyzed using an Alloy analyzer. Results show that selection processes with ten nodes and five subgroup controllers identify attacks in only a few milliseconds. Margrave policy analysis shows that there is no conflict among the roles of network members.