• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.41 no.1
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• pp.10-16
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• 2015

In this study, we suggest a method to predict probability distribution of a new customer's degree of loyalty using C-CRF that reflects the RFM score and similarity to the neighbors of the customer. An RFM score prediction model is introduced to construct the first feature function of C-CRF. Integrating demographical similarity, purchasing characteristic similarity and purchase history similarity, we make a unified similarity variable to configure the second feature function of C-CRF. Then parameters of each feature function are estimated and we train our C-CRF model by training data set and suggest a probabilistic distribution to estimate a new customer's degree of loyalty. An example is provided to illustrate our model.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.307-320
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• 2000

It has been studied to find relationships between pine-mushroom yield and climatic factors. Recently, Hyun-Park, Key-I! shin and Hyun-Joong Kim(1998) investigated relationships between pine-mushroom yield and climatic factors by autoregression model. In this paper, to improve the forecast we suggest the conditional autoregression model using probability of existing pine-mushroom production.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.107-128
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• 2004

Bivariate Laplace distributions for which both marginal distributions and Laplace are discussed. Three kinds of bivariate Laplace distributions which are extended bivariate exponential distributions of Gumbel (1960) are introduced in this paper. These symmetrical distributions are compared with asymmetrical distributions of Kotz et al. (2000). Their probability density functions, cumulative distribution functions are derived. Conditional skewnesses and kurtoses are also defined. Their correlation coefficients are calculated and compared with others. We proposed bivariate random vector generating methods whose distributions are bivariate Laplace. With sample means and medians obtained from generated random vectors, variance and covariance matrices of means and medians are calculated and discussed with those of bivariate normal distribution.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.5 no.6
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• pp.839-851
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• 1997

Closed-form solutions are analytically derived for stochastic properties of earthquake ground motion fields, which are conditioned by an observed time series at certain observation sites and are characterized by spectra with uncertainties. The theoretical framework presented here can estimate not only the expectations of such simulated earthquake ground motions, but also the prediction errors which offer important information for the field of engineering. Before these derivations are made, the theory of conditional random fields is summarized for convenience in this study. Furthermore, a method for stochastic interpolation of power spectra is explained.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.22 no.12
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• pp.63-68
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• 2017

In this paper, we propose a bounding box prediction algorithm using multiple probability maps to improve object detection result of object detector. Although the performance of object detectors has been significantly improved, it is still not perfect due to technical problems and lack of learning data. Therefore, we use the result correction method to obtain more accurate object detection results. In the proposed algorithm, the preprocessed bounding box created as a result of object detection by the object detector is clustered in various form, and a conditional probability is given to each cluster to make multiple probability map. Finally, multiple probability map create new bounding box of object using morphological elements. Experiment results show that the newly predicted bounding box reduces the error in ground truth more than 45% on average compared to the previous bounding box.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.464-467
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• 2010

In this letter, we analyze the error performance of a mobile communication system with microdiversity and macrodiversity reception in gamma-shadowed Rician fading channels for a binary differential phase-shift keying modulation scheme. Analytical expressions for the probability density function (PDF) and moment-generating function (MGF) are derived. The average bit error probability can be calculated by averaging the conditional bit error probability over the PDF or using the MGF-based approach. Numerical results are graphically presented to show the effects of macrodiversity, correlation, number of diversity branches, and severity of both fading and shadowing.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.205-220
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• 1998

Dependence concepts for ordered two-way contingency tables have been of considerable interest. We consider a dependence concept which is less restrictive than likelihood ratio dependence and more restrictive than regression dependence. Maximum likelihood estimation of cell probability under this dependence restriction is studied. The likelihood ratio statistics for and against this dependence are proposed and their large sample distributions are derived. A real data is analyzed to illustrate the estimation and testing procedures.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.324-329
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to improve the performance of a statistical model-based voice activity detection (VAD) which is based on the conditional maximum a posteriori (CMAP) with deviation. In our approach, the VAD decision rule is expressed as the geometric mean of likelihood ratios (LRs) based on adapted threshold according to the speech presence probability conditioned on both the speech activity decisions and spectral deviation in the pervious frame. Experimental results show that the proposed approach yields better results compared to the CMAP-based VAD using the LR test.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.14 no.6
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• pp.47-54
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• 2014

Based on the indiscernible relation of rough set, the inevitability of superposition and inconsistency of data makes the reduction of attributes very important in information system. Rough set has difficulty in the difference of attribute reduction between consistent and inconsistent information system. In this paper, we propose the new uncertainty measure and attribute reduction algorithm by Bayesian posterior probability for correlation analysis between condition and decision attributes. We compare the proposed method and the conditional information entropy to address the uncertainty of inconsistent information system. As the result, our method has more accuracy than conditional information entropy in dealing with uncertainty via mutual information of condition and decision attributes of information system.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.210-218
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• 2011

Battiti's mutual information feature selector (MIFS) and its variant algorithms are used for many classification applications. Since they ignore feature synergy, MIFS and its variants may cause a big bias when features are combined to cooperate together. Besides, MIFS and its variants estimate feature redundancy regardless of the corresponding classification task. In this paper, we propose an automated greedy feature selection algorithm called conditional mutual information-based feature selection (CMIFS). Based on the link between interaction information and conditional mutual information, CMIFS takes account of both redundancy and synergy interactions of features and identifies discriminative features. In addition, CMIFS combines feature redundancy evaluation with classification tasks. It can decrease the probability of mistaking important features as redundant features in searching process. The experimental results show that CMIFS can achieve higher best-classification-accuracy than MIFS and its variants, with the same or less (nearly 50%) number of features.