• Title/Summary/Keyword: Combined Uncertainty

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Measurement Uncertainty of Vibration Testing Result with Including Uncertainty of Testing Facilities (시험장비의 특성을 고려한 진동시험결과에 대한 측정불확도 추정)

  • Moon, Seok-Jun;Chung, Jung-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.781-786
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    • 2016
  • All measurements are subject to uncertainty and a measurement result is complete only when it is accompanied by a statement of the associated uncertainty. By international agreement, this uncertainty has a probabilistic basis and reflects incomplete knowledge of the quantity value. The "Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement", commonly known as the GUM, is the definitive document on this subject. The requirements for estimation of measurement uncertainty apply to all results provided by calibration laboratories and results produced by testing laboratories under the optional circumstances. In this paper, a procedure for estimation of measurement uncertainty from vibration testing is proposed on KS F 2868:2003 as an example. Both Type A and Type B evaluation of uncertainty are considered to calculate the combined standard uncertainty and expanded uncertainty.

Uncertainty Evaluation of the Analysis of Methamphetamine and Amphetamine in Human Hair by GC/MS (GC/MS를 이용한 모발 중 메스암페타민 및 암페타민 분석의 측정불확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Jong-Sang;Kim, Min-Kyoung;Lee, Jae-Il;Suh, Yong-Jun;In, Moon-kyo
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.206-213
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    • 2007
  • Recently estimating the uncertainty of an analytical result has become an essential part of quantitative analysis. This study describes the uncertainty of the measurement for the determination of methamphetamine and its major metabolite amphetamine in human hair, The method consists of washing, drying, weighing, incubation and extraction with methanolic HCI solution, clean-up, trifluoroacetyl derivatization, and qualification/quantification of residues by gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (GC/MS). Traceability of measurement was established through traceable standards and calibrated volumetric equipment and measuring instruments. Measurement uncertainty associated with each analyte in real samples was estimated using quality control (QC) data. The main source of combined standard uncertainty comprised two components, which are uncertainties associated with calibration linearity and variations in QC, while those associated with preparation of analytical standards and sample weighing were not so important considering the degree of contribution. Relative combined standard uncertainties associated with the described method ranged for individual analytes from 4.99 to5.03%.

Uncertainty of Measurement in Nitrate Analysis from Burley Leaf Tobacco (버어리종 담배 중 질산성 질소에 대한 측정불확도)

  • Lee Jeong-Min;Lee Kyoung-Ku;Han Sang-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.226-234
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    • 2005
  • The uncertainty of measurement in nitrate from burley leaf tobacco by continuous-flow analysis method was evaluated following internationally accepted guidelines. The sources of uncertainty associated with the analysis of nitrate were weight of standard and sample, purity of standard, dilution of standard solution, calibration curve, water content, etc. The calculation of uncertainty based on the GUM(Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement) and EURACHEM/CITAC Guide. An expanded uncertainty was obtained by multiplying the combined standard uncertainty with a coverage factor (k) calculated from the effective degree of freedom. The concentration of nitrate from burley leaf tobacco was $2.09\%$ and the expanded uncertainty by multiplying by the coverage factor(k, 2.20) was $0.13\%\;at\;a\;95\%$ confidence level.

Estimation of Measurement Uncertainty in Vitamin C Analysis from Vegetable and Fruit Juice (야채음료 중 비타민 C 분석에 있어서의 측정불확도 추정)

  • Kim, Young-Jun;Kim, Hyeon-Wee
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1053-1059
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    • 2003
  • This study aimed to determine the amount of vitamin C from vegetable & fruit juice by high performance liquid chromatograhy (HPLC). Components for estimation of measurement uncertainty associated with the analysis of vitamin C, such as standard weight, purity, molecular weight, dilution of standard solution, calibration curve, recovery, and precision, were importantly applied. The estimation of uncertainty obtained with systematic and random error based on the GUM (Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement) and EURACHEM document with mathematical calculation and statistical analysis. The components, evaluated ty either Type A or Type B methods, were combined to produce an overall value of uncertainty known as the combined standard uncertainty. An expanded uncertainty was obtained by multiplying the combined standard uncertainty with a coverage factor (k) calculated from the effective degree of freedom. The content of vitamin C from vegetable and fruit juice was 27.53 mg/100g and the expanded uncertainty by multiplying by the coverage factor (k, 2.06) was 0.63 mg/100g at a 95% confidence level. It was concluded that the main sources were, in order of recovery and precision, weight and purity of the reference material, dilution of the standard solution, and calibration curve. Careful experiments on other higher uncertainties is further needed in addition to better personal proficiency in sample analysis in terms of accuracy and precision.

Solving Robust EOQ Model Using Genetic Algorithm

  • Lim, Sung-Mook
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.35-53
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    • 2007
  • We consider a(worst-case) robust optimization version of the Economic Order Quantity(EOQ) model. Order setup costs and inventory carrying costs are assumed to have uncertainty in their values, and the uncertainty description of the two parameters is supposed to be given by an ellipsoidal representation. A genetic algorithm combined with Monte Carlo simulation is proposed to approximate the ellipsoidal representation. The objective function of the model under ellipsoidal uncertainty description is derived, and the resulting problem is solved by another genetic algorithm. Computational test results are presented to show the performance of the proposed method.

Measurement of Uncertainty Using Standardized Protocol of Hand Grip Strength Measurement in Patients with Sarcopenia

  • Ha, Yong-Chan;Yoo, Jun-Il;Park, Young-Jin;Lee, Chang Han;Park, Ki-Soo
    • Journal of Bone Metabolism
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.243-249
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    • 2018
  • Background: The aim of this study was to determine the accuracy and error range of hand grip strength measurement using various methods. Methods: Methods used for measurement of hand grip strength in 34 epidemiologic studies on sarcopenia were analyzed. Maximum grip strength was measured in a sitting position with the elbow flexed at 90 degrees, the shoulder in 0 degrees flexion, and the wrist in neutral position (0 degrees). Maximum grip strength in standing position was measured with the shoulder in 180 degrees flexion, the elbow fully extended, and the wrist in neutral position (0 degrees). Three measurements were taken on each side at 30 sec intervals. The uncertainty of measurement was calculated. Results: The combined uncertainty in sitting position on the right and left sides was 1.14% and 0.38%, respectively, and the combined uncertainty in standing position on the right and left sides was 0.35 and 1.20, respectively. The expanded uncertainty in sitting position on the right and left sides was 2.28 and 0.79, respectively, and the expanded uncertainty in standing position on the right and left sides was 0.71 and 2.41, respectively (k=2). Conclusions: Uncertainty of hand grip strength measurement was identified in this study, and a significant difference was observed between measurement. For more precise diagnosis of sarcopenia, dynamometers need to be corrected to overcome uncertainty.

Comparison among Methods of Modeling Epistemic Uncertainty in Reliability Estimation (신뢰성 해석을 위한 인식론적 불확실성 모델링 방법 비교)

  • Yoo, Min Young;Kim, Nam Ho;Choi, Joo Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.605-613
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    • 2014
  • Epistemic uncertainty, the lack of knowledge, is often more important than aleatory uncertainty, variability, in estimating reliability of a system. While the probability theory is widely used for modeling aleatory uncertainty, there is no dominant approach to model epistemic uncertainty. Different approaches have been developed to handle epistemic uncertainties using various theories, such as probability theory, fuzzy sets, evidence theory and possibility theory. However, since these methods are developed from different statistics theories, it is difficult to interpret the result from one method to the other. The goal of this paper is to compare different methods in handling epistemic uncertainty in the view point of calculating the probability of failure. In particular, four different methods are compared; the probability method, the combined distribution method, interval analysis method, and the evidence theory. Characteristics of individual methods are compared in the view point of reliability analysis.

A Combined Procedure of RSM and LHS for Uncertainty Analyses of CsI Release Fraction Under a Hypothetical Severe Accident Sequence of Station Blackout at Younggwang Nuclear Power Plant Using MAAP3.0B Code

  • Han, Seok-Jung;Tak, Nam-Il;Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.507-521
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    • 1996
  • Quantification of uncertainties in the source term estimations by a large computer code, such as MELCOR and MAAP, is an essential process of the current Probabilistic safety assessment. The main objective of the present study is to investigate the applicability of a combined procedure of the response surface method (RSM) based on input determined from a statistical design and the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) technique for the uncertainty analysis of CsI release fractions under a Hypothetical severe accident sequence of a station blackout at Younggwang nuclear power plant using MAAP3. OB code as a benchmark problem. On the basis of the results obtained in the present work, the RSM is recommended to be used as a principal tool for an overall uncertainty analysis in source term quantifications, while using the LHS in the calculations of standardized regression coefficients (SRC) and standardized rank regression coefficient (SRRC) to determine the subset of the most important input parameters in the final screening step and to check the cumulative distribution functions obtained by RSM. Verification of the response surface model for its sufficient accuracy is a prerequisite for the reliability of the final results that can be obtained by the combined procedure proposed in the present work.

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Uncertainty in Determination of Menthol from Mentholated Cigarette (담배 중 멘톨 분석에 대한 불확도 측정)

  • 장기철;이운철;백순옥;한상빈
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to evaluate the uncertainty in the analysis of menthol content from the mentholated cigarette. Menthol in the sample cigarette was extracted with methanol containing an anethole as an internal standard, and then analyzed by gas chromatography. As the sources of uncertainty associated with the analysis of menthol, were the following points tested, such as the weighing of sample, the preparation of extracting solution, the pipetting of extracting solution into the sample, the preparation of standard solution, the precision of GC injections for standard & sample solution, the GC response factor of standard solution, the reproducibility of menthol analysis, and the determination of water content in tobacco, etc. For calculating the uncertainties, type A of uncertainty was evaluated by the statistical analysis of a series of observation, and type B by the information based on supplier's catalogue and/or certificated of calibration. Sources of uncertainty were subsequently included and mathematically combined with the uncertainty arising from the assessment of accuracy to provide the overall uncertainty. It was shown that the main source of uncertainty came from the errors in the reproducibility of menthol and water determination, the purity of menthol reference material in the preparation of standard solution, and the precision of GC injections for sample solution. The errors in sample weighing and volume measurement contributed relatively little to the overall uncertainty. The expanded uncertainty in the mentholated cigarettes, Korean and American brand, at 0.95 level of statistical confidence was $\pm$0.06 and $\pm$0.07 mg/g for a menthol content of 1.89 and 2.32 mg/g, respectively.

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