• Title/Summary/Keyword: Collapse prediction

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Ground motion selection and scaling for seismic design of RC frames against collapse

  • Bayati, Zeinab;Soltani, Masoud
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.445-459
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    • 2016
  • Quantitative estimation of seismic response of various structural systems at the collapse limit state is one of the most significant objectives in Performance-Based Earthquake Engineering (PBEE). Assessing the effects of uncertainties, due to variability in ground motion characteristics and random nature of earthquakes, on nonlinear structural response is a pivotal issue regarding collapse safety prediction. Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) and fragility curves are utilized to estimate demand parameters and seismic performance levels of structures. Since producing these curves based on a large number of nonlinear dynamic analyses would be time-consuming, selection of appropriate earthquake ground motion records resulting in reliable responses with sufficient accuracy seems to be quite essential. The aim of this research study is to propose a methodology to assess the seismic behavior of reinforced concrete frames at collapse limit state via accurate estimation of seismic fragility curves for different Engineering Demand Parameters (EDPs) by using a limited number of ground motion records. Research results demonstrate that accurate estimating of structural collapse capacity is feasible through applying the proposed method offering an appropriate suite of limited ground motion records.

Evaluation of Progressive Collapse Resisting Capacity of Tall Buildings

  • Kwon, Kwangho;Park, Seromi;Kim, Jinkoo
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.229-235
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    • 2012
  • In this paper the progressive collapse potential of building structures designed for real construction projects were evaluated based on arbitrary column removal scenario using various alternate path methods specified in the GSA guidelines. The analysis model structures are a 22-story reinforced concrete moment frames with core wall building and a 44-story interior concrete core and exterior steel diagrid structure. The progressive collapse resisting capacities of the model structures were evaluated using the linear static, nonlinear static, and nonlinear dynamic analyses. The linear static analysis results showed that progressive collapse occurred in the 22-story model structure when an interior column was removed. However the structure turned out to be safe according to the nonlinear static and dynamic analyses. Similar results were observed in the 44-story diagrid structure. Based on the analysis results, it was concluded that, compared with nonlinear analysis procedures, the linear static method is conservative in the prediction of progressive collapse resisting capacity of building structure based on arbitrary column removal scenario.

A Basic Study on the Prediction of Collapse of Tunnels Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망 기법을 이용한 터널 붕괴 예측에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Hong-Heum;Lim, Heui-Dae
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2016
  • Collapse of a tunnel can occur anytime, anywhere due to the special characteristics of tunnel structures and unexpected geological conditions during construction. Tunnel collapse will lead to economic losses and casualties. So various studies are continually being conducted to prevent economic losses, casualties and accidents. In this study, we analyzed data from 56 domestic construction tunnel collapse sites, and input factors to be applied to the artificial neural network were selected by the sensitivity analysis. And for the artificial neural network model design studies were carried out with the selected input factors and optimized ANN model to predict the type of tunnel collapse was determined. By using it, in 12 sites where tunnel collapse occurred applicability evaluation was conducted. Thus, the tunnel collapse type predictability was verified. These results will be able to be used as basic data for preventing and reinforcing collapse in the tunnel construction site.

Numerical Analysis of Anchored In-situ wall using Back-Analysis Technique (역해석기법을 이용한 앵커지지 흙막이벽체의 수치해석)

  • Woo, Je-il;Chung, Dae-seouk
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: In this study, the safety management method supplementing the field displacement prediction management technique was performed using the numerical analysis. Method: The analysis was performed using MIDAS GTS / NX program based on the finite element method (FEM). Approximating the displacement data and displacement trend as close as possible to the collapse site, the collapse prevention method was applied after estimating the cause of collapse. Result: The cause of the collapse was estimated by soil parametar, one of the results obtained by performing the Back-analysis. As a result, it was confirmed that the free length of the anchor was insufficient, and the free length of the anchor was changed by the collapse prevention method, and the displacement was significantly reduced. Conclusion: If Back-analysis technique is used in field management, estimating the cause of collapse and suggesting a reasonable collapse prevention measure will help to reduce collase.

Simplified Nonlinear Dynamic Progressive Collapse Analysis of Welded Steel Moment Frames Using Collapse Spectrum (붕괴스펙트럼을 활용한 용접철골모멘트골조의 비선형 동적 연쇄붕괴 근사해석)

  • Lee, Cheol Ho;Kim, Seon Woong;Lee, Kyung Koo;Han, Kyu Hong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the behavior of column-removed double-span beams in welded steel moment frames and proposes a simplified nonlinear dynamic analysis method for the preliminary evaluation of progressive collapse potential. The nonlinear finite element analysis and the associated analytical study showed that the column gravity load and the beam span-to-depth ratio govern the maximum dynamic deformation demand of the double-span beams. Based on these results, the concept of a collapse spectrum, which describes the relationship between the gravity load parameter and the maximum chord rotation of the double-span beams, was newly proposed. A procedure for the application of the collapse spectrum to multi-story welded steel moment frames was then suggested. The inelastic dynamic finite element analysis results showed that the proposed method gives satisfactory prediction of the nonlinear progressive collapse behavior of welded steel moment frames.

Development of Downstream Flood Damage Prediction Model Based on Probability of Failure Analysis in Agricultural Reservoir (3차원 수리모형을 이용한 농업용 저수지의 파괴확률에 따른 하류부 피해예측 모델 개발)

  • Jeon, Jeong Bae;Yoon, Seong Soo;Choi, Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.3
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2020
  • The failures of the agricultural reservoirs that most have more than 50 years, have increased due to the abnormal weather and localized heavy rains. There are many studies on the prediction of damage from reservoir collapse, however, these referenced studies focused on evaluating reservoir collapse as single unit and applyed to one and two dimensional hydrodynamic model to identify the fluid flow. This study is to estimate failure probability of spillway, sliding, bearing capacity and overflowing targeting small and medium scale agricultural reservoirs. In addition, we calculate failure probability by complex mode. Moreover, we predict downstream flood damage by reservoir failure applying three dimensional hydrodynamic model. When the reservoir destroyed, the results are as follows; (1) the flow of fluid proceeds to same stream direction and to a lower slope by potential and kinetic energy; (2) The predicted damage in downstream is evaluated that damage due to building destruction is the highest.

WEB-BASED GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR CUT-SLOPE COLLAPSE RISK MANAGEMENT

  • HoYun Kang;InJoon Kang;Won-Suk Jang;YongGu Jang;GiBong Han
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1260-1265
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    • 2009
  • Topographical features in South Korea is characterized that 70% of territory is composed of the mountains that can experience intense rainfall during storms in the summer and autumn. Efficient planning and management of landscape becomes utmost important since the cutting slopes in the mountain areas have been increased due to the limited construction areas for the roadway and residential development. This paper proposed an efficient way of slope management for the landslide risk by developing Web-GIS landslide risk management system. By deploying the Logistic Regression Analysis, the system could increase the prediction accuracy that the landslide disaster might be occurred. High resolution survey technology using GPS and Total-Station could extract the exact position and visual shape of the slopes that accurately describe the slope information. Through the proposed system, the prediction of damage areas from the landslide could also make it easy to efficiently identify the level of landslide risks via web-based user interface. It is expected that the proposed landslide risk management system can support the decision making framework during the identification, prediction, and management of the landslide risks.

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Assessment of Steam Generator Tubes with Multiple Axial Through-Wall Cracks (축방향 다중관통균열이 존재하는 증기발생기 세관 평가법)

  • Moon, Seong-In;Chang, Yoon-Suk;Kim, Young-Jin;Lee, Jin-Ho;Song, Myung-Ho;Choi, Young-Hwan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.1741-1751
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    • 2004
  • It is commonly requested that the steam generator tubes wall-thinned in excess of 40% should be plugged. However, the plugging criterion is known to be too conservative for some locations and types of defects and its application is limited to a single crack in spite of the fact that the occurrence of multiple through-wall cracks is more common in general. The objective of this research is to propose the optimum failure prediction models for two adjacent through-wall cracks in steam generator tubes. The conservatism of the present plugging criteria was reviewed using the existing failure prediction models for a single crack, and six new failure prediction models for multiple through-wall cracks have been introduced. Then, in order to determine the optimum ones among these new local or global failure prediction models, a series of plastic collapse tests and corresponding finite element analyses for two adjacent through-wall cracks in thin plate were carried out. Thereby, the reaction force model, plastic zone contact model and COD (Crack-Opening Displacement) base model were selected as the optimum ones for assessment of steam generator tubes with multiple through-wall cracks. The selected optimum failure prediction models, finally, were used to estimate the coalescence pressure of two adjacent through-wall cracks in steam generator tubes.

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF DATA-BASED MODELS FOR ESTIMATING COLLAPSE MOMENTS OF WALL-THINNED PIPE BENDS AND ELBOWS

  • Kim, Dong-Su;Kim, Ju-Hyun;Na, Man-Gyun;Kim, Jin-Weon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2012
  • The development of data-based models requires uncertainty analysis to explain the accuracy of their predictions. In this paper, an uncertainty analysis of the support vector regression (SVR) model, which is a data-based model, was performed because previous research showed that the SVR method accurately estimates the collapse moments of wall-thinned pipe bends and elbows. The uncertainty analysis method used in this study was an analytic uncertainty analysis method, and estimates with a 95% confidence interval were obtained for 370 test data points. From the results, the prediction interval (PI) was very narrow, which means that the predicted values are quite accurate. Therefore, the proposed SVR method can be used effectively to assess and validate the integrity of the wall-thinned pipe bends and elbows.