• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cohort model

Search Result 395, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

A Study on the Rejection Capability Based on Anti-phone Modeling (반음소 모델링을 이용한 거절기능에 대한 연구)

  • 김우성;구명완
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.3-9
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper presents the study on the rejection capability based on anti-phone modeling for vocabulary independent speech recognition system. The rejection system detects and rejects out-of-vocabulary words which were not included in candidate words which are defined while the speech recognizer is made. The rejection system can be classified into two categories by their implementation methods, keyword spotting method and utterance verification method. The keyword spotting method uses an extra filler model as a candidate word as well as keyword models. The utterance verification method uses the anti-models for each phoneme for the calculation of confidence score after it has constructed the anti-models for all phonemes. We implemented an utterance verification algorithm which can be used for vocabulary independent speech recognizer. We also compared three kinds of means for the calculation of confidence score, and found out that the geometric mean had shown the best result. For the normalization of confidence score, usually Sigmoid function is used. On using it, we compared the effect of the weight constant for Sigmoid function and determined the optimal value. And we compared the effects of the size of cohort set, the results showed that the larger set gave the better results. And finally we found out optimal confidence score threshold value. In case of using the threshold value, the overall recognition rate including rejection errors was about 76%. This results are going to be adapted for stock information system based on speech recognizer which is currently provided as an experimental service by Korea Telecom.

  • PDF

Geriatric risk model for older patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (GERIAD): a prospective multicenter cohort study

  • Ho-Young Yhim;Yong Park;Jeong-A Kim;Ho-Jin Shin;Young Rok Do;Joon Ho Moon;Min Kyoung Kim;Won Sik Lee;Dae Sik Kim;Myung-Won Lee;Yoon Seok Choi;Seong Hyun Jeong;Kyoung Ha Kim;Jinhang Kim;Chang-Hoon Lee;Ga-Young Song;Deok-Hwan Yang;Jae-Yong Kwak
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.501-512
    • /
    • 2024
  • Background/Aims: Optimal risk stratification based on simplified geriatric assessment to predict treatment-related toxicity and survival needs to be clarified in older patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Methods: This multicenter prospective cohort study enrolled newly diagnosed patients with DLBCL (≥ 65 yr) between September 2015 and April 2018. A simplified geriatric assessment was performed at baseline using Activities of Daily Living (ADL), Instrumental ADL (IADL), and Charlson's Comorbidity Index (CCI). The primary endpoint was event-free survival (EFS). Results: The study included 249 patients, the median age was 74 years (range, 65-88), and 125 (50.2%) were female. In multivariable Cox analysis, ADL, IADL, CCI, and age were independent factors for EFS; an integrated geriatric score was derived and the patients stratified into three geriatric categories: fit (n = 162, 65.1%), intermediate-fit (n = 25, 10.0%), and frail (n = 62, 24.9%). The established geriatric model was significantly associated with EFS (fit vs. intermediate-fit, HR 2.61, p < 0.001; fit vs. frail, HR 4.61, p < 0.001) and outperformed each covariate alone or in combination. In 87 intermediate-fit or frail patients, the relative doxorubicin dose intensity (RDDI) ≥ 62.4% was significantly associated with worse EFS (HR, 2.15, 95% CI 1.30-3.53, p = 0.002). It was related with a higher incidence of grade ≥ 3 symptomatic non-hematologic toxicities (63.2% vs. 27.8%, p < 0.001) and earlier treatment discontinuation (34.5% vs. 8.0%, p < 0.001) in patients with RDDI ≥ 62.4% than in those with RDDI < 62.4%. Conclusions: This model integrating simplified geriatric assessment can risk-stratify older patients with DLBCL and identify those who are highly vulnerable to standard dose-intensity chemoimmunotherapy.

Estimation of the Cure Rate in Iranian Breast Cancer Patients

  • Rahimzadeh, Mitra;Baghestani, Ahmad Reza;Gohari, Mahmood Reza;Pourhoseingholi, Mohamad Amin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.15 no.12
    • /
    • pp.4839-4842
    • /
    • 2014
  • Background: Although the Cox's proportional hazard model is the popular approach for survival analysis to investigate significant risk factors of cancer patient survival, it is not appropriate in the case of log-term disease free survival. Recently, cure rate models have been introduced to distinguish between clinical determinants of cure and variables associated with the time to event of interest. The aim of this study was to use a cure rate model to determine the clinical associated factors for cure rates of patients with breast cancer (BC). Materials and Methods: This prospective cohort study covered 305 patients with BC, admitted at Shahid Faiazbakhsh Hospital, Tehran, during 2006 to 2008 and followed until April 2012. Cases of patient death were confirmed by telephone contact. For data analysis, a non-mixed cure rate model with Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution were employed. All analyses were carried out using a developed Macro in WinBugs. Deviance information criteria (DIC) were employed to find the best model. Results: The overall 1-year, 3-year and 5-year relative survival rates were 97%, 89% and 74%. Metastasis and stage of BC were the significant factors, but age was significant only in negative binomial model. The DIC also showed that the negative binomial model had a better fit. Conclusions: This study indicated that, metastasis and stage of BC were identified as the clinical criteria for cure rates. There are limited studies on BC survival which employed these cure rate models to identify the clinical factors associated with cure. These models are better than Cox, in the case of long-term survival.

Field data analyses for repairable products (수리가능한 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석)

  • 배도선;윤형제;최인수
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.133-145
    • /
    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distribution from field data for repairable products with multiple modes of failure, and is an extension of Bai et al.(1995). The log linear function is considered as a model for describing the relation between failure time of a product and covariates. Using the nonhomogeneous poisson process, general methods for obtaining pseudo maximum likelihood estimators(PMLEs) for the parameters are outlined and specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. Effects of follow-up percentage on the PMLEs are investigated. Extension to case-cohort design is also considered.

  • PDF

생태계 복원사업의 생태${\cdot}$경제 통합체계 동태분석 II;임진강 참게 복원사업의 확장모형을 중심으로

  • Jeong, Hoe-Seong;Jeon, Dae-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
    • /
    • 2006.11a
    • /
    • pp.49-69
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 선행연구인 정회성${\cdot}$전대욱 (2005)의 모형을 중심으로 선행연구에서 미처 다루지 못한 체계 변화 및 모형 확장 등에 대해 다루고 있다. 선행연구에서는 우리나라의 참게 복원사업에 대한 개체수 동태모형(population dynamics)과 자원 경제학적 이론모형을 근거로 생태${\cdot}$경제 통합시스템에 대한 동태모형을 도출하고 이를 통해 실증분석을 수행하였는데, 본 논문에서는 이 통합 모형에 있어서 밀도 제약(density restriction)과 공식 행위(cannibalistic behavior), 주민참여에 의한 환경개선 등 일련의 가정들에 대한 확장을 통해 보다 일반화된 통합체계 및 시스템 다이내믹스 분석을 제시한다. 이와 같은 모형 확장 및 파라메터의 내생화 등은 관련 피드백 루프들의 변형과 추가 등을 의미하며, 이와 같은 변화를 포함한 확장 모델을 제시하고 분석함으로써 참게 복원사업에 대한 보다 폭넓은 논의를 제시하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Development of a Model for a National Animal Health Monitoring System in Gyeongnam II. Methodological Issues in the Estimation of Frequencies of Disease in a Prospective Study of Multiple Dynamic Population (동물(젖소) 건강 Monitoring System 모델 개발 II. 동적인 모집단(젖소)의 질병 발생빈도 예측 측정 방법에 대하여)

  • 김종수;김용환;이효종;김곤섭;김충희;박정희;하대식;최민철
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.422-427
    • /
    • 1999
  • We are proposed for the computation of disease frequency measures and of their associated variances from data collected through prospective study of multiple dynamic cohort (herds) with a National Animal Health Monitoring System (NAHMS) in Gyeongnam. We can be estimated and calculated the annual incidence density for a group of herds and the 1-month risk of disease from the same within herd measure of monthly incidence density. We are proposed that the choice of measure to be estimated depend on the intended use of the information. From results in this study, Our study demonstrate that risk estimates are appropriates for producers and clinic veterinarian making decisions at the animal or herd level. Incidence density measures are appropriate for extrapolation to reference populations used for state and regional-level decision making.

  • PDF

A sample size calibration approach for the p-value problem in huge samples

  • Park, Yousung;Jeon, Saebom;Kwon, Tae Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.545-557
    • /
    • 2018
  • The inclusion of covariates in the model often affects not only the estimates of meaningful variables of interest but also its statistical significance. Such gap between statistical and subject-matter significance is a critical issue in huge sample studies. A popular huge sample study, the sample cohort data from Korean National Health Insurance Service, showed such gap of significance in the inference for the effect of obesity on cause of mortality, requiring careful consideration. In this regard, this paper proposes a sample size calibration method based on a Monte Carlo t (or z)-test approach without Monte Carlo simulation, and also proposes a test procedure for subject-matter significance using this calibration method in order to complement the deflated p-value in the huge sample size. Our calibration method shows no subject-matter significance of the obesity paradox regardless of race, sex, and age groups, unlike traditional statistical suggestions based on p-values.

Applying Steady State Analysis to the Study of Mitten Crabs in Jichun, Kum River (동적 균형상태를 중심으로 본 금강 지천의 참게자원 분석)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk;Jeong, Hoi-Seong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-57
    • /
    • 2010
  • This article deals with an ecological-economic analysis of the 'Pasture Project of Kum River', which is the farming plan of mitten crabs using Jichun, a stream of the River Kum where the natural propagation of mitten crabs are blocked because of the estuary dam constructed in 1990. Toward analyzing the ecological and economic effects of the crab releasing and harvesting activities in Jichun, a two-stage cohort model of population dynamics with cannibalistic behaviors and density restrictions in biomathematics is adopted, despite of the current infertility in Kum, considering the opportunity of establishing dam fishways in the near future. This study moreover presents a method of parameter estimation especially with assuming a steady state of the ecosystem, and performs various analyses such as the risk measurement of climate change and the economic value of such fishways.

  • PDF

Cost-Utility Analysis of Bosentan Versus Iloprost in Korean Patients with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (우리나라 폐동맥고혈압환자에 대한 Bosentan과 Iloprost의 비용-효용 분석)

  • Sohn, Hyun-Soon;Lee, Tae-Jin
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
    • /
    • v.54 no.2
    • /
    • pp.126-133
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to analyze cost-utility of bosentan versus iloprost indicated for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) in a Korean healthcare setting from a payer's perspective. We constructed a Markov model to estimate total costs and outcomes for 1-year time horizon in a hypothetical cohort of 50-year-old patients with PAH. Base analysis showed that bosentan resulted in KW 5.5 billions saving and 18 quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gains per 100 patients compared to iloprost. Bosentan as a dominant strategy was found to be robust through various sensitivity analyses.

Cost-Effectiveness of Paclitaxel plus Cisplatin as a Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Locally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer (국소진행성 두경부암에서 선행항암화학요법제로 사용되는 Paclitaxel과 Cisplatin 병용요법의 비용-효과성)

  • Sohn, Hyun-Soon;Lee, Tae-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.30-38
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to analyze cost-effectiveness of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced head and neck cancer in Korean healthcare setting. We constructed a decision analytical model to estimate total costs and outcomes of paclitaxel+cisplatin (PC) or docetaxel+cisplatin+5-FU (DCF) for 2 years time horizon in 100 patient cohort with locally advanced head and neck cancer. Base analysis showed that cost savings of PC regimen were 379 million Korean Won and 231 million Korean Won in societal and payer's perspectives, respectively, compared to DCF regimen, and life saved was 0.18. PC regimen as a dominant strategy was found to be robust through sensitivity analyses.