• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제56권6호
• /
• pp.542-551
• /
• 2023

Objectives: Prospective studies on vaccination status and mortality related to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in low-resource settings are still limited. We assessed the association between vaccination status (full, partial, or none) and in-hospital mortality among COVID-19 patients at most hospitals in Jakarta, Indonesia during the Delta predomination wave. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among hospitalized COVID-19 patients who met the study criteria (>18 years old and admitted for inpatient treatment because of laboratory-confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection). We linked individual-level data in the hospital admission database with vaccination records. Several socio-demographic and clinical characteristics were also analyzed. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to explore the association between vaccination status and in-hospital mortality in this patient group. Results: In total, 40 827 patients were included in this study. Of these, 70% were unvaccinated (n=28 543) and 19.3% (n=7882) died during hospitalization. The mean age of the patients was 49 years (range, 35-59), 53.2% were female, 22.0% had hypertension, and 14.2% were treated in the intensive care unit, and the median hospital length of stay across the group was 9 days. Our study showed that the risk of in-hospital mortality among fully and partially vaccinated patients was lower than among unvaccinated adults (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.40 to 0.47 and aHR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.64 to 0.77, respectively). Conclusions: Vaccinated patients had fewer severe outcomes among hospitalized adults during the Delta wave in Jakarta. These features should be carefully considered by healthcare professionals in treating adults within this patient group.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제32권4호
• /
• pp.452-458
• /
• 1999

연구자들은 만성간질환의 코호트연구에서 잠재적 발병자 집단이 포함되어 있을 때 분석 결과의 비뚤림을 평가하고 적절한 분석전략을 제안하기 위하여 본 연구를 수행하였다. 1993년 현재 서울코호트로 구축된 14,529명을 대상으로 4년 6개월 동안 만성간질환 발생을 파악하였다. 의료보험공단의 수진내역 및 해당 의무기록 조사, 암등록사업자료 및 통계청 사망원인통계자료와의 연계를 통하여 총 102명에서 간질환이 발생하였다. 대상 코호트를 간질환의 잠재적 발병자 집단은 기초조사 자료에서 B형간염 표면할원 양성인 경우, 혈청 간효소인 GPT(ALT)가 40 이상으로 증가된 경우, 또는 설문조사 결과 간질환을 앓았거나 현재 앓고 있는 대상자로 정의하였으며 총 2,217명이었다. Cox의 회귀분석모형으로 전체 코호트 대상자, 잠재적 발병자 집단 및 기타 대상자 7,305명에 대하여 각각 위험요인을 파악하였으며, 각 분석결과를 비교하였다. 전체 대상자 및 잠재적 발병자 집단에 대한 분석결과는 대체적으로 일치하며, 표면항원 양성, 높은 간효소치, 급성간염 과거력, 최근 금연, 금주 등이 유의한 위험요인이었으며, 식이 측면에서는 돼지고기, 커피 등이 보호요인으로 관찰되었다. 한편 잠재군에서는 비만도가 높을 경우 위험도가 감소하는 경향이 있었다. 잠재적 발병자 집단을 제외한 코호트 대상자 분석에서는 상이한 양상이 관찰되었는데 체질량지표의 경우 비만도가 높은 집단에서 발생 위험도가 4배 정도로 증가하였다(p<0.10). 그러나 금주나 금연 등은 무관하였으며, 생간(生肝) 섭취, 가공생선 및 된장찌개의 섭취 빈도가 위험도를 증가시켰다. 한편 표면항원 양성, 높은 간효소치, 급성간염 과거력 등은 다른 대상자의 분석결과가 유사하였다. 이상의 결과에서 잠재적 발병자 집단을 포함할 경우, 질병의 결과로 변화하는 생활습관이 해당 질병의 위험요인으로 파악될 가능성이 있었으며, 특히 금연, 금주 및 비만도 등이었다. 즉 연구자들은 만성적 경과를 밟아 진행되며 임상적으로 확인되는 질병에 대한 코호트 연구에서 잠재적 발병자 집단을 감안하지 않을 경우 발생하는 비뚤림의 가능성을 실증적으로 평가하였다. 4년 6개월간의 추적조사기간 동안 102명의 만성간질환 발병 예를 확인하였지만 잠재적 발병자 집단을 제외한 분석이 타당하며, 이들에서는 19명의 환자만이 발생하였다. 만성간질환의 위험요인에 대한 유용하고도 정밀한 연구결과를 도출하기 위해서는 향후 추적조사기간을 연장하여 충분한 발병 예를 확보할 필요가 있다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제45권5호
• /
• pp.301-308
• /
• 2012

Objectives: To examine the association between alcohol consumption habit, types of beverages, alcohol consumption quantity, and overall and cancer-specific mortality among Korean adults. Methods: The alcohol consumption information of a total of 16 320 participants who were 20 years or older from the Korean Multicenter Cancer Cohort were analyzed to examine the association between alcohol consumption habit and mortality (median follow-up of 9.3 years). The Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of alcohol consumption to mortality adjusting for age, sex, geographic areas, education, smoking status, and body mass index. Results: Alcohol drinkers showed an increased risk for total mortality compared with never drinkers (HR, 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38 to 2.14 for past drinkers; HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.39 for current drinkers), while past drinkers only were associated with higher risk for cancer deaths (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.34 to 2.53). The quantity of alcohol consumed per week showed a J-shaped association with risk of mortality. Relative to light drinkers (0.01 to 90 g/wk), never drinkers and heavy drinkers (>504 g/wk) had an increased risk for all-cause and cancer deaths: (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.45) and (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.83) for all-cause mortality; and (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.11) and (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.39 to 3.09) for all cancer mortality, respectively. Heavy drinkers (>504 g/wk) showed an elevated risk for death from stomach and liver cancers. Conclusions: The present study supports the existence of a J-shaped association between alcohol consumption quantity and the risk of all-cause and cancer deaths. Heavy drinkers had an increased risk of death from cancer overall and liver and stomach cancer.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제28권4호
• /
• pp.663-683
• /
• 2015

저출산과 고령화 등의 인구구조의 변화는 미래 건강보험 재정의 안전성을 위협하고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 2002년부터 2013년까지 국민건강보험 표본코호트 DB를 이용하여 유병율 및 진료비에 대한 통계적 모형을 추정하고 인구구조와 경제상황의 변화에 대한 다양한 미래 가정들을 반영하여 건강보험 재정의 연도별 수입과 지출을 2060년까지 추계하였다. 지출 추계에는 건강보험공단 표본 코호트 DB를 이용하여 유병율 및 진료비를 추계하였다. 유병율 모형은 VECM-LC모형을 그리고 1인당 공단 부담 진료비에 대한 추계는 이중지수평활법에 근거 하였다. 두 모형 모두를 의료기관별, 질병별, 성별, 연령별로 적합하고 경제상황의 변화에 대한 국회와 정부의 여러 가정들을 반영하여 최종 추계치를 산출하였다. 수입 추계는 고령화 속도에 대한 두 개의 다른 가정에 근거한 두 개의 미래 인구구조를 반영한 두 개의 피부양률 가정에 근거하고, 지출 추계에서와 마찬가지로 경제 상황의 변화에 대한 여러 가지 가정을 반영하여 최종 추계치를 산출하였다. 그 결과 건강보험 재정적자는 2015년 불변가격으로 2030년에는 2030조 원, 2060년에는 4070조 원이 될 것으로 추계되었다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제43권2호
• /
• pp.151-158
• /
• 2010

Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between cigarette smoking and total mortality, cancer mortality and other disease mortalities in Korean adults. Methods: A total of 14 161 subjects of the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort who were over 40 years of age and who were cancer-free at baseline enrollment reported their lifestyle factors, including the smoking status. The median follow-up time was 6.6 years. During the follow-up period from 1993 to 2005, we identified 1159 cases of mortality, including 260 cancer mortality cases with a total of 91 987 person-years, by the national death certificate. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of cigarette smoking for total mortality, cancer mortality and disease-specific mortality, as adjusted for age, gender, the geographic area and year of enrollment, the alcohol consumption status, the education level and the body mass index (BMI). Results: Cigarette smoking was significantly associated with an increased risk of total mortality, all-cancer mortality and lung cancer mortality (p-trend, < 0.01, <0.01, <0.01, respectively). Compared to non-smoking, current smokers were at a higher risk for mortality [HR (95% CI)=1.3 (1.1 - 1.5) for total mortality; HR (95% CI)=1.6 (1.1 -2.2) for all-cancer mortality; HR (95% CI)=3.9 (1.9-7.7) for lung cancer mortality]. Conclusions: This study's results suggest that cigarette smoking might be associated with total mortality, all-cancer mortality and especially lung cancer mortality among Korean adults.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제31권4호
• /
• pp.604-615
• /
• 1998

Although previous studies revealed the association of physical activity with mortality rate, it is unclear whether there is a linear trend between physical activity and mortality rate. In this study, the association of physical activity with the risk of all-cause mortality was analysed using Cox's proportional hazard model for a cohort of 14,204 healthy Korean men aged 40-59 years followed up for 4 years(Jan. 1993-Dec. 1996). Physical activity and other life style were surveyed by a postal questionnaire in December 1992. Total of 14,204 subjects were grouped into quartiles by physical activity. Using death certificate data, 123 deaths were identified. The second most active quartile had a lowest mortality .ate with relative risk of 0.44(95% C.I. : 0.23-0.84) compared with most sedentary quartile, showing a J-shape pattern of physical activity-mortality curve. By examining the difference in proportion of cause of the death between most active quartile and the other quartiles, there was no significant difference of proportional mortality from cardiovascular deaths, cerebrovascular deaths or deaths from trauma. The covariates were stratified into two group between which the trend of RR was compared to test the effect modification. There was no remarkable effect modification by alcohol intake, smoking, body mass index, calorie consumption, percent fat consumption. In conclusion, moderate activity was found to have more protective effect on all-cause mortality than vigorous activity and that the J-shape pattern of physical activity-mortality curve was not due to the difference of mortality pattern or effect modification by alcohol intake, smoking, body mass index, calorie consumption and percent fat consumption.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제30권3호
• /
• pp.475-486
• /
• 2017

국민 건강의 향상 및 복지의 선진화를 위해 객관적이고 정확한 건강기대수명의 필요성이 대두되었다. 또한 건강기대수명은 삶의 질을 평가하는 주요한 지표이기 때문에 기대수명 및 건강기대수명에 근거한 사회계층간의 삶의 질의 불평등에 대한 논의는 이미 여러 해외연구에서 계속되어 왔다. 이에 본 논문에서는 우리나라 유병률과 사망률에서 모집단에 대한 대표성을 갖고 있는 표본코호트DB를 통해 건강기대수명을 도출하였다. 본 논문에서는 건강기대수명의 산출을 위해 Sullivan (1971)의 단일상태 접근법을 이용하였다. 이때, 사망률과 유병률이 관측되지 않은 연령대의 경우에는 Greville (1945)의 9-order correction factor 방법과 Brass (1971)의 Brass-logit 모형을 통하여 보정하여 주었다. 그 결과 2013년 기준 한국여성의 기대수명은 87세, 남성은 80세 였으나 여성의 경우는 60년, 남성은 61년 동안만 질병이 없는 '건강한 삶'을 영위하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 또한 2003년부터 2013년까지 한국인의 특정 질병으로부터의 건강한 삶의 영위기간을 성별, 소득수준별, 건강보험가입 구분별로 산출하였다. 그 결과 건강기대수명 측면에서 한국의 성별, 소득수준별, 건강보험 가입 구분별 삶의 질의 불평등을 확인하였다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
• /
• 제17권3호
• /
• pp.1373-1377
• /
• 2016

Background: We vigorously reviewed patients' operation record who had adhesion of the Denonvilliers' fascia and found out most of these patients had prostatic bleeding after prostatic gland biopsies. We examined the magnitude of prostatic bleeding and frequency after biopsies and the relationship with oncological outcomes. Materials and Methods: A total of 285 patients were selected for the final analyses. Inclusion criteria were as follows: receiving MRI three weeks after biopsiesand laparoscopic radical prostatectomy within 300 days after biopsy. We divided the patients into two groups with (group A) or without (group B) prostatic bleeding. We examined the magnitude of prostatic bleeding after biopsies and the relationship with operation time (OT), positive surgical margin (PSM), biochemical recurrence (BCR) and other factors. Furthermore, we created a logistic-regression model to derive a propensity score for prostatic bleeding after biopsies, which included all patient and hospital characteristics as well as selected interaction terms, and we examined the relationship with PSM and BCR. Results: In all patients, the OT in the group B was shorter than the group A (p < 0.001). Prostatic bleeding was associated with PSM (p=0.000) and BCR (p=0.036). In this propensity-matched cohort, 11 of 116 patients in the group B had PSM as compared with 36 of 116 patients from group A (match-adjusted odds ratio, 4.30; 95%CI confidence interval, 2.06 to 8.96; P=0.000). In addition, eight of 116 patients in group B encountered BCR, as compared with 18 of 116 patients in group A (match-adjusted odds ratio, 2.48; 95%CI, 1.03 to 5.96; P=0.042). Kaplan-Meier analysis in the propensity matching cohort showed a significant biochemical recurrence-free survival advantage for being free of prostate bleeding after biopsies. Conclusions: Our findings in the present cohort should help equip surgeons to pay attention to careful excision especially for those who experienced deferred prostatic bleeding.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
• /
• 제17권3호
• /
• pp.1437-1443
• /
• 2016

Background: We investigated four factors, height, weight gain since age 20, physical activity, and alcohol drinking, for associations with risk of breast cancer (BC) according to menopausal status, using the latest data of the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study (JACC Study). Materials and Methods: We confined the analysis to 24 areas available of cancer incidence information, excluding women with a previous diagnosis of BC. Baseline data were collected from 38,610 (9,367 premenopausal, and 29,243 postmenopausal) women during 1988 and 1990. The study subjects were followed-up at the end of 2009, and 273 (84 premenopausal, and 189 postmenopausal) cases of BC were newly diagnosed in 501,907 person-years. The Cox model was used to estimate a hazards ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) of BC risk. Results: As a result of the multivariate analysis adjusting for age at baseline survey, age at menarche, number of live births, and, age at first delivery, weight gain since age 20 of 6.7 kg-9.9 kg, and ${\geq}10.0kg$ were significantly associated with increased risk for postmenopausal BC (HR=2.48, 95% CI 1.40-4.41, and, HR=2.94, 95% CI 1.84-4.70, respectively). Significantly increased trend of BC risk was also observed in weight gain since age 20 (p for trend, p<0.001). Amount of ethanol intake per day${\geq}15.0g$ was significantly associated with increased risk for postmenopausal BC in the multivariable-adjusted analysis (HR=2.74, 95% CI 1.32-5.70). Conclusions: Higher weight gain in adulthood and larger amounts of ethanol intake were significantly associated with increased risk of BC in Japanese postmenopausal women. None of the investigated factors were significantly associated with BC risk in Japanese premenopausal women.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
• /
• 제17권7호
• /
• pp.3545-3549
• /
• 2016

Background: The incidence of bladder cancer is lower in Asian than in Western countries. However, the crude incidence and mortality of bladder cancer have recently increased in Japan because of the increased number of senior citizens. We have already reported risk factors for urothelial cancer in a large population-based cohort study in Japan (JACC study). However, we did not evaluate the cancer risk in the upper and lower urinary tract separately in our previous study. Materials and Methods: Here we evaluated the risk of cancer death in the upper and lower urinary tracts, separately, using the database of the JACC study. The analytic cohort included 46,395 males and 64,190 females aged 40 to 79 years old. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to determine hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals. Results: Current smoking increased the risk of both upper and lower urinary tract cancer deaths. A history of kidney disease was associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer death, even after controlling for age, sex and smoking status. Conclusions: The present study confirmed that current smoking increases the risk of both upper and lower urinary tract cancer deaths and indicated the possibility that a history of kidney disease may be a risk factor for bladder cancer death in the Japanese population.