• 제목/요약/키워드: Coastal conflict

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통일 한국의 적정 군사력에 관한 연구 - 분쟁 시나리오와 상대적 균형전략을 중심으로 - (A Study on Appropriate Military Strength of Unified Korea (Focused on relative balance strategy and conflict scenario))

  • 홍봉기
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권13호
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    • pp.687-738
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    • 2016
  • To prepare for the complicated international relationship regarding Korean Peninsula after reunification, this thesis started off with the awareness that Unified Korea should build its international posture and national security at an early stage by determining its appropriate military strength for independent defense and military strategies that Unified Korea should aim. The main theme of this thesis is 'The research on appropriate military strength of the Unified Korean military'. To derive appropriate military strength of Unified Korea, this research focuses on conflict scenario and relative balance strategy based on potential threats posed by neighboring countries, and this is the part that differentiates this research from other researches. First of all, the main objective of the research is to decide appropriate military strength for Unified Korea to secure defense sufficiency. For this, this research will decide efficient military strategy that Unified Korea should aim. Than by presuming the most possible military conflict scenario, this research will judge the most appropriate military strength for Unified Korea to overcome the dispute. Second, after deciding appropriate military strength, this research will suggest how to operate presumed military strength in each armed force. The result of this thesis is as in the following. First, Unified Korea should aim 'relative balance strategy'. 'Relative balance strategy' is a military strategy which Unified Korea can independently secure defense sufficiency by maintaining relative balance when conflicts occur between neighboring countries. This strategy deters conflicts in advance by relative balance of power in certain time and place. Even if conflict occurs inevitably, this strategy secures initiative. Second, when analyzing neighboring countries interest and strategic environment after unification, the possibility of all-out war will be low in the Korean Peninsula because no other nation wants the Korean Peninsula to be subordinated to one single country. Therefore appropriate military strength of the Unified Korean military would be enough when Unified Korea can achieve relative balance in regional war or limited war. Third, Northeast Asia is a region where economic power and military strength is concentrated. Despite increasing mutual cooperation in the region, conflicts and competition to expand each countries influence is inherent. Japan is constantly enhancing their military strength as they aim for normal statehood. China is modernizing their military strength as they aspire to become global central nation. Russia is also enhancing their military strength in order to hold on to their past glory of Soviet Union as a world power. As a result, both in quality and quantity, the gap between military strength of Unified Korea and each neighboring countries is enlarged at an alarming rate. Especially in the field of air-sea power, arms race is occurring between each nation. Therefore Unified Korea should be equipped with appropriate military strength in order to achieve relative balance with each threats posed by neighboring countries. Fourth, the most possible conflicts between Unified Korea and neighboring countries could be summarized into four, which are Dokdo territorial dispute with Japan, Leodo jurisdictional dispute with China, territorial dispute concerning northern part of the Korea Peninsula with China and disputes regarding marine resources and sea routes with Russia. Based on those conflict scenarios, appropriate military strength for Unified Korea is as in the following. When conflict occurs with Japan regarding Dokdo, Japan is expected to put JMSDF Escort Flotilla 3, one out of four of its Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force Escort Fleet, which is based in Maizuru and JMSDF Maizuru District. To counterbalance this military strength, Unified Korea needs one task fleet, comprised with three task flotilla. In case of jurisdictional conflict with China concerning Leodo, China is expected to dispatch its North Sea fleet, one out of three of its naval fleet, which is in charge of the Yellow Sea. To response to this military action, Unified Korea needs one task fleet, comprised with three task flotilla. In case of territorial dispute concerning northern part of the Korean Peninsula with China, it is estimated that out of seven Military Region troops, China will dispatch two Military Region troops, including three Army Groups from Shenyang Military Region, where it faces boarder with the Korean Peninsula. To handle with this military strength, Unified Korea needs six corps size ground force strength, including three corps of ground forces, two operational reserve corps(maneuver corps), and one strategic reserve corps(maneuver corps). When conflict occurs with Russia regarding marine resources and sea routes, Russia is expected to send a warfare group of a size that includes two destroyers, which is part of the Pacific Fleet. In order to balance this strength, Unified Korea naval power requires one warfare group including two destroyers. Fifth, management direction for the Unified Korean military is as in the following. Regarding the ground force management, it would be most efficient to deploy troops in the border area with china for regional and counter-amphibious defense. For the defense except the border line with china, the most efficient form of force management would be maintaining strategic reserve corps. The naval force should achieve relative balance with neighboring countries when there is maritime dispute and build 'task fleet' which can independently handle long-range maritime mission. Of the three 'task fleet', one task fleet should be deployed at Jeju base to prepare for Dokdo territorial dispute and Leodo jurisdictional dispute. Also in case of regional conflict with china, one task fleet should be positioned at Yellow Sea and for regional conflict with Japan and Russia, one task fleet should be deployed at East Sea. Realistically, Unified Korea cannot possess an air force equal to neither Japan nor China in quantity. Therefore, although Unified Korea's air force might be inferior in quantity, they should possess the systematic level which Japan or China has. For this Unified Korea should build air base in island areas like Jeju Island or Ullenong Island to increase combat radius. Also to block off infiltration of enemy attack plane, air force needs to build and manage air bases near coastal areas. For landing operation forces, Marine Corps should be managed in the size of two divisions. For island defense force, which is in charge of Jeju Island, Ulleung Island, Dokdo Island and five northwestern boarder island defenses, it should be in the size of one brigade. Also for standing international peace keeping operation, it requires one brigade. Therefore Marine Corps should be organized into three divisions. The result of the research yields a few policy implications when building appropriate military strength for Unified Korea. First, Unified Korea requires lower number of ground troops compared to that of current ROK(Republic of Korea) force. Second, air-sea forces should be drastically reinforced. Third, appropriate military strength of the Unified Korean military should be based on current ROK military system. Forth, building appropriate military strength for Unified Korea should start from today, not after reunification. Because of this, South Korea should build a military power that can simultaneously prepare for current North Korea's provocations and future threats from neighboring countries after reunification. The core of this research is to decide appropriate military strength for Unified Korea to realize relative balance that will ensure defense sufficiency from neighboring countries threats. In other words, this research should precisely be aware of threats posed by neighboring countries and decide minimum level of military strength that could realize relative balance in conflict situation. Moreover this research will show the path for building appropriate military strength in each armed force.

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순천만 자연생태공원 관리를 위한 중요도.만족도 분석 (Important-Satisfaction Analysis as a Management Strategy of Suncheon Bay Ecological Park)

  • 이동근;김보미
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2010
  • 해안생태계 지역은 휴양이나 관광을 위한 기회 제공과 더불어 자연자원의 보전이라는 두 가지 가치가 상충하는 공간이다. 하지만 대부분 이러한 지역에서는 자연자원의 중요도를 높이 평가하여 관리전략을 세우다 보니 방문객의 만족도 면이 간과되고 있는 실정임에도 불구하고, 방문객들의 지속적인 증가로 1970년대 이후부터 이를 보완하기 위한 수단으로 중요도 만족도 분석이 실시되고 있다. 본 논문은 현재 기조성되어 있는 순천만 자연생태공원의 방문객을 대상으로 관리전략이 상충되는 주요 관리요소에 대한 중요도와 실제 방문객들이 느끼는 만족도 사이의 차이를 주중과 주말로 나누어 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 자연생태공원이나 시 차원에서 많은 관심과 투자를 기울이고 있었지만 홍보효과 측면에서 그 효용성이 떨어졌다. 따라서 안내시설이나 홍보교육을 위한 시설과 인력구축이 이루어져야 한다. 또한 주말과 주중의 방문객의 동반형태가 달라지기 때문에 차별화된프로그램이 필요하며, 연령대에 따른 정보 교육 통제를 위한 가이드투어 프로그램을 운영하여 시공간별 이용객 통제가 이루어져야 한다. 그리고 조류출현에 대한 만족도 부분에서는 조류 출현에 대한 사람들의 기대심리를 충족시켜줄 수 있도록 관찰 교육 전시를 위한 사육종 공간이 조성되어야 할 것이다. 방문객의 긍정적인 만족도는 제한된 지역에서의 관리전략 수립시 매우 중요한 결과물로 제공될 수 있다. 따라서 중요도 만족도가 상충하는 해안생태계지역의 관리우선순위를 통한 관리 전략의 필요성과 연관된 지침을 세우는데 기초 자료로 제공될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

일본(日本)의 어업관리제도(漁業管理制度)에 관한 법적 고찰 (A Legal Study on the Fisheries Management System in Japan)

  • 차철표
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.121-148
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    • 1997
  • The Japanese fishery management system has been established on the basis of various experience accumulated over many years. The fishery management system in Japan, one of the oldest fishery management systems in the world, is aimed at ensuring comprehensive utilization of the water surface and developing fishery productivity, by giving protection of the breeding environment of aquatic animals and plants, enabling the appropriate use of fishery grounds, preventing and solving disputes over fishery grounds and making other fishery adjustments. Japanese Fishery Law has been changed largely into (1) The Feudal Era(to 1900), (2) The Oldest Fishey Law(1901~48), (3) Current Fishery Law(1949 to present). Japanese fishery legislation is designed as a single package combining coastal, offshore and distant-water fisheries. During the period of the old fishery law, numerous conflicts arose over the joint use of fishing grounds and fish stocks. Such conflicts occurred among users of the same gear as well as between users of different gears or of different sizes of fishing craft. Large scale conflict sometime occurred between neighbouring fishing communities due to a lack of fairness in principle and coordination in practice. Therefore, the new fishery law enacted in 1949. This law was designed primarily to realize the most effective and rational use of fishing grounds and fishery resources, the basic philosophy being that, through democratic organization by fishermen themselves, productivity would be stimulated and incomes and living standards eventually improved. Nowadays, Community Based Fisheries Management through democratic organization by fishermen themselves have to enforce at coastal fisheries. This Community Based Fisheries Management manage to fishery resources by fishermen themselves and harvest in collaboration with that resources. Therefore, this paper is intended to briefly to describe the entire system and the historical development of Japanese fishery legislation in order to assist in reform of our country fisheries management regime.

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동북아 수역의 신 어업질서 성립과 향후 과제 (The Future Tasks for Reorganization of International Fisheries Order between Korea, China and Japan in Northeast Asian Seas)

  • 김대영
    • 해양정책연구
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.57-82
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    • 2018
  • This study aimed to review the reorganization of fisheries and the future tasks in accordance with the establishment of new fishery order in the Northeast Asian Seas. As the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, which recognized the sovereign rights of Coastal States in a 200-nautical mile exclusive economic zone (EEZ), entered into force in 1994, the three countries of Korea, China and Japan ratified the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea in 1996 and started negotiations to establish a new fishery order consistent with the EEZ system. However, a conflict of interest occurred because of differences in fisheries between countries, negotiations many times have proceeded, resulting in the signing of fishery agreement between China and Japan in 1997, Korea and Japan in 1998, and Korea and China in 2000. Each fishery arrangement consists of a dual system of EEZ and provisional waters (middle waters, provisional waters). The two countries are engaged in mutual fishing based on coastal states in EEZ, and in the fishing operation under the principle of flag state in provisional waters. There are overlapping or ambiguous jurisdictions in the intermediate waters and provisional waters that are jointly available to both fisheries. The presence of these seas is a challenge to the establishment of a reasonable international fisheries management system for the entire Northeast Asian Seas. In this context, the challenges of the reorganization of the new fisheries order are as follows: 1) conversion to a fishery order for coexistence of fisheries, 2) expansion to an international fishery management system, and 3) establishment of a multilateral fishery cooperation system. Although the jurisdiction of their own waters has been expanded through the establishment of EEZ according to new fishery order, the need for mutual cooperation grows when considering the movement and migration of fishery resources, fishery management, fish consumption and trade. In addition to the fisheries cooperation between the governments, it is also necessary to revitalize the civil cooperation focused on fishermen who exploit fishing grounds together.

해양환경보전과 이용·개발의 상충 분석과 해양공간계획에 대한 시사점 (Diagnosis of Conflict Problem between the Marine Environmental Conservation and Development, and Policy Implication for Marine Spatial Planning)

  • 이대인;탁대호;김귀영
    • 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 2016
  • 최근 해양에서 이루어지고 있는 해역이용 개발 현황 분석을 통해 입지의 적정성과 환경영향 측면에서 상충될 수 있는 대표적인 개발사례를 진단하여 해양공간계획수립의 필요성에 대한 시사점을 제공하였다. 해양 신재생에너지개발(조력 및 해상풍력), 바다골재채취, 공유수면매립, 연안골프장 조성, 온배수 및 고염수 배출, 침식영향 개발사업 등의 주요 사례 분석결과, 해당 공간이용 및 관리방향 간의 상충성이 빈발하고, 누적환경영향에 따른 해양환경과 생태계 훼손, 어장이용과 이행당사자사이의 갈등이 지속적으로 나타나고 있는 상황이다. 이러한 이유는 개발 입지 및 주변 공간영역에 대한 충분한 현황 파악이 부족하고, 공간이용과 관련된 개별법의 상호성 및 연계성 평가가 미흡한 것과 관련되어 있다. 사전예방적인 해양환경관리 정책을 강화하기 위해서는 입지 적정성과 개발규모에 대한 평가 검토를 강화해야 할 것이다. 특히, 전략환경영향평가 등 상위계획 심의단계에서 입지와 규모의 적정성에 대한 평가 시, 해양공간이용 현황, 상위계획과 지역계획간의 연계성(특히, 연안관리지역계획과 통합계획), 해양수산규제지역과 보호대상 해양생물 분포 등 핵심 평가사항을 제시하도록 하여 보다 철저한 진단이 이루어져야 할 것이다. 지속가능한 보전과 개발의 조화를 위해서는 TOP-DOWN 방식의 해양공간계획 전략(연안과 EEZ, 광역과 협역 해역 등 전체적 Zoning과 Sector 연계성을 강화, 3차원 정보 포함 등)을 마련해야 하고, 이 과정에서 체계적이고 최신의 해양공간정보 속성자료 파악 및 공유를 위한 통합 정보시스템 구축이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 해양수산과 관련된 전 부문, 즉, 항만 어항, 수산, 연안관리, 해양환경과 생태계 분야에서 해양공간이용의 상호적이고 일관성있는 전략이 필요할 것이다.

남중국해 중재판결 : 군사적 분쟁 고조인가 국제법적 해결의 증진인가? (PCA Ruling on SCS : Is it a Peaceful Solution or Cause of Military Tension?)

  • 양희철
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권40호
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    • pp.144-161
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    • 2016
  • A unanimous Award has been issued on 12 July 2016 by the Arbitral Tribunal constituted under Annex VII to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea in the arbitration instituted by the Republic of the Philippines against the People's Republic of China. The current security issues in the regional sea shall be carefully reflected to anticipate whether the Award could resolve the existing political conflict or rather will grow military tension in the region. The Award clearly directs the scope of delimiting maritime jurisdiction to coastal States in the Southern China sea, so it seems to help facilitating finding resolutions of regional disputes on maritime boundaries. On the other hand, there are several limitations in reality to implementation of the decisions included in the Award. USA could use the decisions to restrict military activities and exercise of unilateral maritime jurisdiction by China in the region, while China shall encounter guilt to illegitimacy of its activities as well as shaking the legal foundation of its policy in the region. Then the resolution of this dispute through application of international law would rather cause more political confusion. The intension of bringing the case to an international court were to resolve political difficulties. If, however, the political difficulties are not properly reflected in the legal decisions, such decision would possibly raise more political risks.

어장이용의 기회비용접근법에 의한 공동소유 어업권의 손실보상금 분배연구 - A어촌계의 미역양식어업권의 취소보상액 분배사례를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Distribution of Compensation for Damages of Common Property Fisheries by Alternative Cost Approach of Utilizing Fishing Ground)

  • 김기수;강용주
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.9-30
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    • 2003
  • This paper tries to suggest a rational proposal for the distribution of compensation of common property fisheries damages caused by a large scale coastal reclamation. For the purpose the paper introduces the approach of alternative cost of the use of fishing ground. The background of the paper is the legal conflict between tenants and non-tenants, both of whom are common owners of seaweed cultivation ground, in the distribution of compensation for damages. In principal, so far as the seaweed cultivation right is a common property of the fishing association, the compensation is also a common property of it. Therefore the distribution method of the compensation entirely depends on the decision of the association. But in case that the numbers of non-tenants is larger than those of tenants, the distribution of the compensation is usually unfavorable to the tenants even though the latter is the key contributor to the realization of present value of the common property. The paper aims to show an appropriate distribution method based on the economic principle of optimal distribution. In others words, the value added to the economic value of alternative use of the fishing ground should be distributed to the tenants. the value amount of alternative use of the fishing ground should be equally distributed to the members of the association.

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A comprehensive evaluation method study for dam safety

  • Jia, Fan;Yang, Meng;Liu, Bingrui;Wang, Jianlei;Gao, Jiaorong;Su, Huaizhi;Zhao, Erfeng
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제63권5호
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    • pp.639-646
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    • 2017
  • According to the multi-index system of dam safety assessment and the standard of safety, a comprehensive evaluation model for dam safety based on a cloud model is established to determine the basic probability assignment of the Dempster-Shafer theory. The Dempster-Shafer theory is improved to solve the high conflict problems via fusion calculation. Compared with the traditional Dempster-Shafer theory, the application is more extensive and the result is more reasonable. The uncertainty model of dam safety multi-index comprehensive evaluation is applied according to the two theories above. The rationality and feasibility of the model are verified through application to the safety evaluation of a practical arch dam.

새만금: 역사와 갈등 (The Saemangeum: History and Controversy)

  • 고철환;류종성;김종성
    • 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.327-334
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    • 2010
  • 새만금 간척사업의 역사와 갈등을 소개하고 행정소송과정을 서술하였다. 세계 최대의 간척공사인 새만금 간척사업은 한국에서 가장 갈등이 심한 환경이슈로 여겨진다. 1996년에 발생한 시화호 오염사건을 계기로 새만금 사업의 인공 담수호수 수질문제가 사회적인 관심사와 이해당사자의 갈등을 불러일으켰다. 이를 해결하기 위해 사법재판부가 개입한 것이 시화호와 다른 새만금 사업의 특징이다. 1, 2차 재판부가 동일한 사실에 대해서 경제적 타당성, 생태계 가치, 토지이용, 수질에 대한 상이한 판결을 내린 것은 복잡한 환경문제를 다루는데 있어 법률적 제도의 한계점을 보여준다. 대법원의 최종판결 직후 지역주민과 국회의원의 강력한 지지에 힘입어 새만금 사업촉진을 위한 특별법이 제정되었다. 2009년에는 이 법에 근거한 새로운 토지이용 계획이 수립되었다. 새만금 사업은 시화호와는 전혀 다른 진행과정을 보여주고 있다. 새만금 지역은 개발과 보존이 조화를 이루며 지역주민과 미래세대의 번영을 위한 지속가능한 방법으로 관리되어야 한다.

W국외 모니터링 사례를 통한 해상풍력발전의 환경적 영향 고찰 (A Study on the Environmental Impact of Offshore Wind Farms Through Monitoring Case in Overseas Country)

  • 맹준호;조범준;임오정;서재인
    • 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.276-289
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    • 2013
  • 해상풍력발전 단지를 개발함에 있어 전력수급과 경제성 논리에만 초점이 맞춰짐으로써 여러 가지 환경적 문제들이 발생하고 있으며, 이에 따른 지역사회의 갈등이 유발되고 있는 실정이다. 특히 최근에 국내 해역의 풍황과 해황 조건 등을 중심으로 해상풍력에 대한 입지와 개발량에 대한 연구가 이루어져 왔으나, 해양환경 및 해양생태계에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구는 매우 부족하다. 유럽의 해상풍력발전 선진국에서는 개발 사업에 뒤따르는 환경 모니터링이 활발히 진행되고 있는 데 비해, 국내에서는 해상풍력을 설치하고 운영할 때에 발생할 수 있는 환경적 영향에 관한 모니터링 자료가 전무하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국외 해상풍력의 모니터링 사례 및 참고문헌의 사례를 분석함으로써 공사 시와 운영 시의 환경적 영향과 국내 해역에 적합한 환경영향평가 단계에서의 가이드라인을 제시하였다. 이에 따라 궁극적으로는 해상풍력개발에 따른 환경영향을 최소화하고 환경영향평가의 행정절차에 소요되는 협의기간을 단축시키는 데에 목적이 있다.