• Title/Summary/Keyword: CoKriging

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Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation using Co-kriging (공동크리깅 모형을 활용한 일반국도 연평균 일교통량 추정)

  • Ha, Jung-Ah;Heo, Tae-Young;Oh, Sei-Chang;Lim, Sung-Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2013
  • Annual average daily traffic (AADT) serves the important basic data in transportation sector. Despite of its importance, AADT is estimated through permanent traffic counts (PTC) at limited locations because of constraints in budget and so on. At most of locations, AADT is estimated using short-term traffic counts (STC). Though many studies have been carried out at home and abroad in an effort to enhance the accuracy of AADT estimate, the method to simplify average STC data has been adopted because of application difficulty. A typical model for estimating AADT is an adjustment factor application model which applies the monthly or weekly adjustment factors at PTC points (or group) with similar traffic pattern. But this model has the limit in determining the PTC points (or group) with similar traffic pattern with STC. Because STC represents usually 24-hour or 48-hour data, it's difficult to forecast a 365-day traffic variation. In order to improve the accuracy of traffic volume prediction, this study used the geostatistical approach called co-kriging and according to their reports. To compare results, using 3 methods : using adjustment factor in same section(method 1), using grouping method to apply adjustment factor(method 2), cokriging model using previous year's traffic data which is in a high spatial correlation with traffic volume data as a secondary variable. This study deals with estimating AADT considering time and space so AADT estimation is more reliable comparing other research.

Analyzing Impact of the Effect of Large-scale Green Space on Air Pollution in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권의 대규모 녹지공간이 대기오염에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Hee-Jae
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the relations among greenbelt, air pollution empirically in order to assess the environmental effects of the greenbelt in the Seoul metropolitan area, objectively. For this purpose, this study conducts an empirical analysis of impacts of greenbelt on urban air pollution using a multiple-regression model. The major findings are summarized as follows. As a result of an empirical analysis of the impacts of greenbelt on air pollution, it is found that the characteristics of the city have impacts on air pollution concentration. It is found that the population and employment are the causes of increases in CO and NO2 concentrations, and the number of employees in the manufacturers has impacts on increases of O3 and SO2, while power plants have impacts on PM10, CO and NO2. Intersections have impacts on O3 and SO2, while the areas of the roads have impacts on CO and NO2. In addition, as for the spatial distribution of air pollutants, it is found that CO and NO2 concentrations are relatively higher in the center of the Seoul metropolitan area, while PM10, O3 and SO2 concentrations are relatively higher in the suburbs. It is found that air pollution concentration is low in greenbelt zone. In the greenbelt zone, PM10, CO and SO2 concentrations are low.

Prediction of rock fragmentation and design of blasting pattern based on 3-D spatial distribution of rock factor

  • Sim, Hyeon-Jin;Han, Chang-Yeon;Nam, Hyeon-U
    • 지반과기술
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2006
  • The optimum blasting pattern to excavate a quarry efficiently and economically can be determined based on the minimum production cost, which is generally estimated according to rock fragmentation. Therefore, it is a critical problem to predict fragment size distribution of blasted rocks over an entire quarry. By comparing various prediction models, it can be ascertained that the result obtained from Kuz-Ram model relatively coincides with that of field measurements. Kuz-Ram model uses the concept of rock factor to signify conditions of rock mass such as block size, rock jointing, strength and others. For the evaluation of total production cost, it is imperative to estimate 3-D spatial distribution of rock factor for the entire quarry. In this study, a sequential indicator simulation technique is adopted for estimation of spatial distribution of rock factor due to its higher reproducibility of spatial variability and distribution models than Kriging methods. Further, this can reduce the uncertainty of predictor using distribution information of sample data. The entire quarry is classified into three types of rock mass and optimum blasting pattern is proposed for each type based on 3-D spatial distribution of rock factor. In addition, plane maps of rock factor distribution for each ground level are provided to estimate production costs for each process and to make a plan for an optimum blasting pattern.

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Application of Multivariate Statistics and Geostatistical Techniques to Identify the Distribution Modes of the Co, Ni, As and Au-Ag ore in the Bou Azzer-East Deposits (Central Anti-Atlas Morocco)

  • Souiri, Muhammad;Aissa, Mohamed;Gois, Joaquim;Oulgour, Rachid;Mezougane, Hafid;El Azmi, Mohammed;Moussaid, Azizi
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.363-381
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    • 2020
  • The polymetallic Co, Ni, Cu, As, Au, and Ag deposits of Bou Azzer East are located in the western part of the Bou Azzer inlier in the Central Anti Atlas, Morocco. Six stages of emplacement of the mineralization have been identified. Precious metals (native gold and electrum) are present in all stages of this deposit except the early nickeliferous stage. From the Statistical analysis of the Co, As, Ni, Au, and Ag contents of a set of 501 samples, shows that the Pearson correlation coefficient between As-Co elements (0.966) is the highest followed by that of the Au-Ag couple (0.506). Principal component analysis (PCA) and hierarchical ascending classification (HAC) of the grades show, that Ni is associated with the pair (As-Co) and Cu is rather related to the pair (Au-Ag). The kriging maps show that the highest values of the Co, As and Ni appear in the contact of the serpentinite with other facies, as for those of Au and Ag, in addition to anomalous zones concordant with those of Co, Ni and As, they show anomalies at the extreme South and North of the study area. The development of the anomalous Au and Ag zones is mainly along the N40-50°E and N145°E directions.

Shape Optimization of Grinding Spindle using Response Surface Analysis (반응표면분석을 이용한 연삭가공용 스핀들 형상 최적화)

  • Bae, Gyeong-Tae;Kim, Gwi-Nam;Choi, Boo-Young;Moon, Hong-Man;Noh, Jung-Pil;Huh, Sun-Chul
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2015
  • To improve the accuracy of a machine, research needs to be conducted on the relationship between the output variables and design variables of a spindle-shaped part from the thermal and static viewpoints. Therefore, research was carried out by examining the correlation of each variable to find the optimum conditions. Moreover, DOE (design of experiments) was extensively used. The model used in this study was a grinding spindle to which a hydrostatic bearing was applied. This model was used in a preliminary analysis based on the experimental results of the previous studies. The influences of the output variables and design variables were compared through a main effect analysis. Generated response surfaces were applied to the Kriging model. To optimize the model, a screening method was selected. In comparison with the initial model, the deformation of the optimized model designed by DOE decreased by 4.1 μm, while the thermal deformation decreased by 1.2 μm. Therefore, it was efficient to design a spindle-shaped part through DOE to improve the accuracy of the machine.

A Study on the Improvement of Quantitative Precipitation Estimation with Real-time Z-R Relationships (실시간 Z-R관계식을 이용한 레이더 강우산정기법의 문제점 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Kim, Jong-Pil;Yim, Tae-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1121-1124
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    • 2009
  • 면적강우량은 수치예보모형(NWP; Numerical Weather Prediction)이나 분포형 강우유출모형 등에서 가장 중요한 입력변수이다. 기상레이더는 광범위한 시공간분해능을 지닌 강우관측기기로서 널리 이용되고 있다. 레이더 반사도 자료를 이용한 강우추정에 대한 연구는 Z-R 관계식을 이용한 방법, 지상우량계와 연계한 통계적인 방법 등 다양하게 전개되어 왔다. 일반적으로 많이 사용되는 Marshall and Palmer(1948)가 제시한 Z-R 관계식은 층운형 강우에는 비교적 타당한 결과를 얻을 수 있지만 적운형 강우에 대해서는 그러하지 못하다. 또한 지상우량계와 연계한 방법은 주로 geostatistic 기법(ordinary kriging, co-kringing, kriging with external drift 등)을 사용하지만, 배리오그램(variogram)을 작성해야 되는 등 계산절차가 복잡하고 시간이 많이 걸려 실무에 적용하여 실시간으로 강우정보를 제공하기에는 다소 무리가 따른다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지상우량계로 관측된 강우량과 레이더 추정강우 사이의 보정계수를 이용한 실시간 Z-R 관계식으로 레이더강우를 추정할 경우 발생될 수 있는 문제점들을 제시하고 개선방안을 모색하여 보다 정확한 레이더 강우를 추정하고자 하였다. 연구 대상지역은 부산레이더 반경 240km 이내 지역이며, 강우사상으로는 2002년 8월 31일 (태풍 "루사")의 레이더 반사도 자료를 이용하였다. 또한, 지상관측 강우량자료는 AWS(Auto Weathering System) 중에서 부산레이더 관측범위 내에 존재하는 68곳의 1시간 누적강우량을 사용하였다. 연구 결과, 기존의 실시간 Z-R 관계식을 이용할 경우 단순히 지상우량계와 레이더 강우 사이의 보정계수를 사용하면서 물리적인 범위를 벗어나 과대 추정되는 결과를 발생시켰다. 본 연구에서는 이렇게 과대 추정되는 부분을 제한함으로써 보다 현실적이고 타당한 면적강우량을 산정할 수 있었다.

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Generation of Meteorological Parameters for Tropospheric Delay on GNSS Signal (GNSS 신호의 대류층 지연오차 보정을 위한 기상 정보 생성)

  • Jung, Sung-Wook;Baek, Jeong-Ho;Jo, Jung-Hyun;Lee, Jae-Won;Park, In-Kwan;Cho, Sung-Ki;Park, Jong-Uk
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.267-282
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    • 2008
  • The GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) signal is delayed by the neutral atmosphere at the troposphere, so that the delay is one of major error sources for GNSS precise positioning. The tropospheric delay is an integrated refractive index along the path of GNSS signal. The refractive index is empirically related to standard meteorological variables, such as pressure, temperature and water vapor partial pressure, therefore the tropospheric delay could be calculated from them. In this paper, it is presented how to generate meteorological data where observation cannot be performed. KASI(Korea Astronomy & Space Science Institute) has operated 9 GPS (Global Positioning System) permanent stations equipped with co-located MET3A, which is a meteorological sensor. Meteorological data are generated from observations of MET3A by Ordinary Kriging. To compensate a blank of observation data, simple models which consider periodic characteristics for meteorological data, are employed.

Optimization of ejector for swirl flow using CFD (CFD를 이용한 회전 운동을 하는 이젝터의 최적화)

  • Kang, Sang-Hoon;Park, Young-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2017
  • This paper investigates the effect of the rotational motion of a driving fluid generated by a rotational motion device at the inlet of a driving nozzle for a gas-liquid ejector, which is the main device used for ozonated ship ballast water treatment. An experimental apparatus was constructed to study the pressure and suction flow rate of each port of the ejector according to the back pressure. Experimental data were acquired for the ejector without rotational motion. Based on the data, a finite element model was then developed. The rotational motion of the driving fluid could improve the suction efficiency of the ejector based on the CFD model. Based on the CFD results, structure optimization was performed for the internal shape of the rotation induction device to increase the suction flow rate of the ejector, which was performed using the kriging technique and a metamodel. The optimized rotation induction device improved the ejector efficiency by about 3% compared to an ejector without rotational motion of the driving fluid.

Estimation of Spatial Distribution Using the Gaussian Mixture Model with Multivariate Geoscience Data (다변량 지구과학 데이터와 가우시안 혼합 모델을 이용한 공간 분포 추정)

  • Kim, Ho-Rim;Yu, Soonyoung;Yun, Seong-Taek;Kim, Kyoung-Ho;Lee, Goon-Taek;Lee, Jeong-Ho;Heo, Chul-Ho;Ryu, Dong-Woo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.353-366
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    • 2022
  • Spatial estimation of geoscience data (geo-data) is challenging due to spatial heterogeneity, data scarcity, and high dimensionality. A novel spatial estimation method is needed to consider the characteristics of geo-data. In this study, we proposed the application of Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) among machine learning algorithms with multivariate data for robust spatial predictions. The performance of the proposed approach was tested through soil chemical concentration data from a former smelting area. The concentrations of As and Pb determined by ex-situ ICP-AES were the primary variables to be interpolated, while the other metal concentrations by ICP-AES and all data determined by in-situ portable X-ray fluorescence (PXRF) were used as auxiliary variables in GMM and ordinary cokriging (OCK). Among the multidimensional auxiliary variables, important variables were selected using a variable selection method based on the random forest. The results of GMM with important multivariate auxiliary data decreased the root mean-squared error (RMSE) down to 0.11 for As and 0.33 for Pb and increased the correlations (r) up to 0.31 for As and 0.46 for Pb compared to those from ordinary kriging and OCK using univariate or bivariate data. The use of GMM improved the performance of spatial interpretation of anthropogenic metals in soil. The multivariate spatial approach can be applied to understand complex and heterogeneous geological and geochemical features.

An Approximation Method in Collaborative Optimization for Engine Selection coupled with Propulsion Performance Prediction

  • Jang, Beom-Seon;Yang, Young-Soon;Suh, Jung-Chun
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2004
  • Ship design process requires lots of complicated analyses for determining a large number of design variables. Due to its complexity, the process is divided into several tractable designs or analysis problems. The interdependent relationship requires repetitive works. This paper employs collaborative optimization (CO), one of the multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) techniques, for treating such complex relationship. CO guarantees disciplinary autonomy while maintaining interdisciplinary compatibility due to its bi-level optimization structure. However, the considerably increased computational time and the slow convergence have been reported as its drawbacks. This paper proposes the use of an approximation model in place of the disciplinary optimization in the system-level optimization. Neural network classification is employed as a classifier to determine whether a design point is feasible or not. Kriging is also combined with the classification to make up for the weakness that the classification cannot estimate the degree of infeasibility. For the purpose of enhancing the accuracy of a predicted optimum and reducing the required number of disciplinary optimizations, an approximation management framework is also employed in the system-level optimization.