• Title/Summary/Keyword: Closed Innovation

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Volatility analysis and Prediction Based on ARMA-GARCH-typeModels: Evidence from the Chinese Gold Futures Market (ARMA-GARCH 모형에 의한 중국 금 선물 시장 가격 변동에 대한 분석 및 예측)

  • Meng-Hua Li;Sok-Tae Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.211-232
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    • 2022
  • Due to the impact of the public health event COVID-19 epidemic, the Chinese futures market showed "Black Swan". This has brought the unpredictable into the economic environment with many commodities falling by the daily limit, while gold performed well and closed in the sunshine(Yan-Li and Rui Qian-Wang, 2020). Volatility is integral part of financial market. As an emerging market and a special precious metal, it is important to forecast return of gold futures price. This study selected data of the SHFE gold futures returns and conducted an empirical analysis based on the generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-type model. Comparing the statistics of AIC, SC and H-QC, ARMA (12,9) model was selected as the best model. But serial correlation in the squared returns suggests conditional heteroskedasticity. Next part we established the autoregressive moving average ARMA-GARCH-type model to analysis whether Volatility Clustering and the leverage effect exist in the Chinese gold futures market. we consider three different distributions of innovation to explain fat-tailed features of financial returns. Additionally, the error degree and prediction results of different models were evaluated in terms of mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Theil inequality coefficient(TIC) and root mean-squared error (RMSE). The results show that the ARMA(12,9)-TGARCH(2,2) model under Student's t-distribution outperforms other models when predicting the Chinese gold futures return series.

Computer vision-based remote displacement monitoring system for in-situ bridge bearings robust to large displacement induced by temperature change

  • Kim, Byunghyun;Lee, Junhwa;Sim, Sung-Han;Cho, Soojin;Park, Byung Ho
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.521-535
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    • 2022
  • Efficient management of deteriorating civil infrastructure is one of the most important research topics in many developed countries. In particular, the remote displacement measurement of bridges using linear variable differential transformers, global positioning systems, laser Doppler vibrometers, and computer vision technologies has been attempted extensively. This paper proposes a remote displacement measurement system using closed-circuit televisions (CCTVs) and a computer-vision-based method for in-situ bridge bearings having relatively large displacement due to temperature change in long term. The hardware of the system is composed of a reference target for displacement measurement, a CCTV to capture target images, a gateway to transmit images via a mobile network, and a central server to store and process transmitted images. The usage of CCTV capable of night vision capture and wireless data communication enable long-term 24-hour monitoring on wide range of bridge area. The computer vision algorithm to estimate displacement from the images involves image preprocessing for enhancing the circular features of the target, circular Hough transformation for detecting circles on the target in the whole field-of-view (FOV), and homography transformation for converting the movement of the target in the images into an actual expansion displacement. The simple target design and robust circle detection algorithm help to measure displacement using target images where the targets are far apart from each other. The proposed system is installed at the Tancheon Overpass located in Seoul, and field experiments are performed to evaluate the accuracy of circle detection and displacement measurements. The circle detection accuracy is evaluated using 28,542 images captured from 71 CCTVs installed at the testbed, and only 48 images (0.168%) fail to detect the circles on the target because of subpar imaging conditions. The accuracy of displacement measurement is evaluated using images captured for 17 days from three CCTVs; the average and root-mean-square errors are 0.10 and 0.131 mm, respectively, compared with a similar displacement measurement. The long-term operation of the system, as evaluated using 8-month data, shows high accuracy and stability of the proposed system.

The government role in digital era innovation: the case of electronic authentication policy in Korea (디지털 혁신시대의 정부역할: 한국의 전자 인증정책 사례)

  • Son, Wonbae;Park, Mun-su
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.29-50
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    • 2017
  • In emerging technologies, innovation processes are dynamic in that the government needs to regularly review its policies to resonate with rapid technological advancements, changing public needs, and evolving global trends. In the 1990s, the Internet grew at an explosive rate, but many applications were constrained due to security concerns. Public Key Infrastructure (PKI) seemed to be the fundamental technology to address these concerns by providing security functions. As of 2017, PKI is still one of the best technologies for electronic authentication in an open network, but it is used only in limited areas: for user authentications in closed networks and for server authentications within network security infrastructure like SSL/TLS. The difference between expectation and reality of PKI usage is due to the evolution of the Internet along with the global adoption of new authentication policies under the Internet governance in the early 2000s. The new Internet governance based on the cooperation between multi-stakeholders is changing the way in which a government should act with regard to its technological policies. This paper analyzes different PKI policy approaches in the United States and Korea from the perspective of path-dependence theory. Their different policy results show evidence of the rise of the Internet governance, and may have important implications for policy-makers in the current global Internet society.

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The Analysis for Key Factors of Social Network in aspect of Technology and Service (소셜네트워크의 핵심요인 분석 : 기술과 서비스 측면을 중심으로)

  • Byoun, Tae-Woon;Song, Seung-Keun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.89-108
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    • 2010
  • Social Network Service(SNS) indicates the service to promote mutual friendship built in online focused on social relation between people. While a demand and concern of the service gets higher now more than ever, there are a lack of the approach in aspect of both technology and service still. 'Facebook' is the most famous in the world and the biggest in user number among various social network service. We investigate the key factors of 'Facebook' based on the side of approach both technology and service. We observe the behavior of users who have rich experience on using the social network service to find it. The result of this study reveals that an asynchronous method related to the technology drive to improve a sociality in social media. Furthermore, we find that openness connected with the technology force to intent the closed attribute in service through user observation. It is the unique qualities social media holds. The successful social network service can be expected if social media are developed to concern these factors.

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A Study on the Efficiency of Logistics Systems through the Operation of a Freight Car Sharing Information System among Companies (화물차 공유를 통한 물류효율화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong-Chan
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2014
  • This study set out to develop a logistics rationalization model to reduce logistics costs including return route costs by using open information systems that overcame the limitations of the old closed logistics systems by the corporations and applying the principle of freight car sharing among them. In recent years, information infrastructure that can be easily shared by many such as information networks, however, One of the causes of rising logistics costs is high empty transfer rates on return routes after goods are transported from the distribution center of each company to consumption sites, It is propose to promote logistic efficiency and innovation. The study especially identified a logistics rationalization plan by examining and analyzing the stages of transportation on the circulation route of a distribution system from the distribution center of a corporation to consumption sites and the empty transfer rates and their current state.

A Study of Simulation on the Refrigerated Warehouse System Based on the Cold Energy of Lng Using the Pro-Ii Simulator (LNG 냉열을 이용한 냉장·냉동 창고 모사에 관한 연구)

  • HAN, DANBEE;KIM, YOONJI;YEOM, KYUIN;SHIN, JAERIN;BAEK, YOUNGSOON
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.401-406
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    • 2017
  • When Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) is vaporized into NG for industrial and household usage, tremendous cold energy was transferred from LNG to seawater during phase-changing process. This heat exchanger loop is not only a waste of huge cold energy, but will cause thermal pollution to the coastal fishery area also when cold water was re-injected into the sea. In this study, an innovation design has been performed to reclaim the cold energy for -35 to $62^{\circ}C$ refrigerated warehouse. Conventionally, this was done by installing mechanical refrigeration systems, necessitating tremendous electrical power to drive temperature. A closed loop LNG heat exchangers in series was designed to replace the mechanical or vapor-compression refrigeration cycle by process simulator. The process simulation software of PRO II with provision has been used to simulate this process for various conditions, what to effect on cold energy and used energy for re-liquefaction and evaporation process. In addition, through analysis the effect of the change of LNG supply pressure on sensible and latent heat, optimum operational conditions was suggested for LNG cold energy warehouse.

Operational Strategy of Co-creation Platform: Comparative Analysis of Samsung Apps and Apple Appstore (Co-creation 플랫폼 운영 전략: 삼성 앱스와 애플 앱스토어 비교)

  • Kim, Na Rang;Hong, Soon Goo;Kim, Jong Weon
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2014
  • This study illustrates and compares the platform strategy of Apple and Samsung, which have been operating their own App stores, by using the $IISI^n$ model. Apple, the first mover of the platform, has employed closed strategy for quality control of the platform and customer loyalty. On the other hand, Samsung has employed open strategy for increasing the platform network effects. The result of this study showed that the platform strategy "Openness", which is a free entry of participants, and "Sharing" of created value, are important along with the excellent platform environment. As a pioneering study of the platform strategy for the co-creation, this research contributes to both theory and practice.

An Exploratory Study on the Extraction of Factors of Purchase Intention of a Smart-Phone Game (스마트폰 게임 콘텐츠 구매요인 추출에 관한 탐색적 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyeog-In;Kim, Ho-Il;Choi, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to enhance the factors of the purchase intention of a mobile game for applying existing. For this study, an exploratory analysis was conducted on 40 ordinary peoples to survey through open-ended questionnaires. After that, the factors was examined by 30 experts. finally, closed-ended survey was conducted to confirm the validity and Reliability Verification. As a result, the factors have been identified with 9. From among these, 2 factors were a Newly derived -The factors of a innovation service and device- Through this study, This research will be useful to provide The basis for extended studies of Marketing, Game-development, Market analysis, etc

Performance evaluation study of a commercially available smart patient-controlled analgesia pump with the microbalance method and an infusion analyzer

  • Park, Jinsoo;Jung, Bongsu
    • Journal of Dental Anesthesia and Pain Medicine
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.129-143
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    • 2022
  • Background: Patient-controlled analgesia (PCA) has been widely used as an effective medical treatment for pain and for postoperative analgesia. However, improper dose errors in intravenous (IV) administration of narcotic analgesics from a PCA infusion pump can cause patient harm. Furthermore, opioid overdose is considered one of the highest risk factors for patients receiving pain medications. Therefore, accurate delivery of opioid analgesics is a critical function of PCA infusion pumps. Methods: We designed a microbalance method that consisted of a closed acrylic chamber containing a layer and an oil layer with an electronic balance. A commercially available infusion analyzer (IDA-5, Fluke Co., Everett, WA, USA) was used to measure the accuracy of the infusion flow rate from a commercially available smart PCA infusion pump (PS-1000, UNIMEDICS, Co., Ltd., Seoul, Korea) and compared with the results of the microbalance method. We evaluated the uncertainty of the flow rate measurement using the ISO guide (GUM:1995 part3). The battery life, delay time of the occlusion alarm, and bolus function of the PCA pump were also tested. Results: The microbalance method was good in the short-term 2 h measurement, and IDA-5 was good in the long-term 24 h measurement. The two measurement systems can complement each other in the case of the measurement time. Regarding battery performance, PS-1000 lasted approximately 5 days in a 1 ml/hr flow rate condition without recharging the battery. The occlusion pressure alarm delays of PS-1000 satisfied the conventional alarm threshold of occlusion pressure (300-800 mmHg). Average accuracy bolus volume was measured as 63%, 95%, and 98.5% with 0.1 ml, 1 ml, and 2 ml bolus volume presets, respectively. A 1 ml/hr flow rate measurement was evaluated as 2.08% of expanded uncertainty, with a 95% confidence level. Conclusion: PS-1000 showed a flow accuracy to be within the infusion pump standard, which is ± 5% of flow accuracy. Occlusion alarm of PS-1000 was quickly transmitted, resulting in better safety for patients receiving IV infusion of opioids. PS-1000 is sufficient for a portable smart PCA infusion pump.

Comparison and Evaluation of Clothing Insulation of Newly-Developed Air-Filled Baffle Jackets and Down Padded Jackets (새롭게 개발된 겨울용 공기주입형 배플 패딩 재킷과 기존 방한 패딩 재킷들의 보온력 비교 평가)

  • Kwon, JuYoun;Kim, Siyeon;Baek, Yoon Jeong;Lee, Joo-Young
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the thermal insulation of air-filled winter jackets according to the amount of air-filler using a thermal manikin. The insulation of these jackets' was compared to a down padded jacket with an identical design and size. The amounts of air-filler were 100% (26,219 cm3), 70% (18,645 cm3), 50% (13,110 cm3), and 0% (0 cm3). The results showed that a clothing insulation (Icl) of 0%, 50%, 70%, and 100% air, and 100% down jackets was 0.208, 0.243, 0.207, 0.176, and 0.315 clo, respectively. In addition, the down jacket with waisttaped had a clothing insulation of 0.369 clo. However, the highest value of clothing insulation per clothing weight was the 50% air-filled jacket in all conditions. In terms of regional power consumption of the thermal manikin, the down jacket consumed less power for the shoulder and chest than the air-filled jackets. In conclusion, in order to maximize the thermal insulation of air-filled jackets, an optimal amount of air-filler, that is, an amount which does not compromise (break) the layer of inner air between the surface of manikin and the lining of the jacket, should be explored. Further studies on lining materials, end-closed design, and changes in thermal insulation under the conditions of strong wind or heavy snow are recommended.