• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate-economy model

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The Economic Impacts of Subsidizing Water Industry Under Greenhouse Gases Mitigation Policy in Korea: A CGE Modeling Approach (국가 온실가스 저감정책과 물산업 지원의 경제적 영향 분석 - 연산일반균형모형 분석)

  • Kim, Jae Joon;Park, Sung Je
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.12
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    • pp.1201-1211
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    • 2012
  • This paper constructed the single country sequential dynamic CGE model to analyze the economic impacts of subsidizing water industry under the GHG emission abatement policy in Korea. We introduced the carbon tax to reduce the GHG emission and made two scenarios. One is to transfer the total tax revenue to household. The other is to mix the tax transfer and water industry support. Our Simulation results show that the macroeconomic effects might be positive by subsidizing water industry compared with the pure tax transfer. However, the support of water industry doesn't contribute to head for the non-energy intensive economy because it's economic activity highly depend on fossil energy and energy intensive products as intermediate demand. This means that it is important to make efforts on the cost effective measures such as energy technology progress, alternative energy development, and energy efficiency improvement in water industry against climate change policy.

A Study on Zero Energy House Model of Housing Complex (주택 단지 제로 에너지 하우스 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Huh, Myung Hoi;Shin, shung jung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2020
  • In many parts of the world, climate warming has caused tremendous environmental disasters to repeat every year. Overuse of fossil fuels, the main source of energy, has affected the global environment, destroying the global ecosystem and depleting resources. To overcome this, efforts to reduce carbon emissions through the development of renewable energy are being actively studied at home and abroad. Already, new technologies are being reported abroad to reduce carbon emissions. Zero Energy House is a model that reduces low carbon emissions and energy use due to the use of high-density materials for high-heated materials, and can live in real life by receiving the minimum required energy through renewable energy. Although the government is trying to apply this in Korea, it is difficult to become common because of the lack of economic feasibility. The purpose of this study is to study models that can zero carbon emissions, which are eco-friendly elements, secure construction economy of zero energy house by using ventilation system, heat exchanger and energy storage system for public use, and attach automation system to window opening/closing to maintain indoor temperature.

An Analysis on the Decoupling between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in South Korea (한국의 에너지 소비와 경제성장의 탈동조화에 대한 분석)

  • Hyun-Soo Kang
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.305-318
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study analyzed the decoupling phenomenon between energy consumption and economic growth in Korea from 1990 to 2021. The main purpose of this study is to suggest policy implications for achieving a low-carbon society and decoupling that Korea must move forward in the face of the climate change crisis. Design/methodology/approach - This study investigated the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth by energy source and sector using the energy-EKC (EEKC) hypothesis which included the energy consumption on the traditional Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), and the impulse response function (IRF) model based on Bayesian vector auto-regression (BVAR). Findings - During the analysis period, the trend of decoupling of energy consumption and economic growth in Korea is confirmed starting from 1996. However, the decoupling tendency appeared differently depending on the differences in energy consumption by sources and fields. The results of the IRF model using data on energy consumption by source showed that the impact of GDP and renewable energy consumption resulted in an increase in energy consumption of bio and waste, but a decrease in energy consumption by sources, and the impact of trade dependence was found to increase the consumption of petroleum products. Research implications or Originality - According to the main results, efficient distribution by existing energy source is required through expansion of development of not only renewable energy but also alternative energy. Additionally, in order to increase the effectiveness of existing energy policies to achieve carbon neutrality, more detailed strategies by source and sector of energy consumption are needed.

Economic Impacts of Carbon Reduction Policy: Analyzing Emission Permit Price Transmissions Using Macroeconometric Models (탄소감축 정책의 경제적 영향: 거시계량모형에 기반한 배출권가격 변동 효과 분석)

  • Jehoon Lee;Soojin Jo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2024
  • The emissions trading system stands as a pivotal climate policy in Korea, incentivizing abatement equivalent to 87% of total emissions (as of 2021). As the system likely has a far-reaching impact, it is crucial to understand how the real economic activity, energy sector, as well as environment would be influenced by its implementation. Employing a macroeconometric model, this paper is the first study analyzing the effects of the Korean emissions trading policy. It interconnects the Korean Standard Industrial Classification (Economy), Energy Balance (Energy), and National Inventory Report (Environment), enhancing its real-world explanatory power. We find that a 50% increase in emission permit price over four years results in a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions (-0.043%) and downward shifts in key macroeconomic variables, including real GDP (-0.058%), private consumption (-0.003%), and investment (-0.301%). The price increase in emission permit is deemed crucial for achieving greenhouse gas reduction targets. To mitigate transition risk associated with price shocks, revenue recycling using auction could ensure the sustainability of the economy. This study confirms the comparative advantage of expanded current transfers expenditure over corporate tax reduction, particularly from an economic growth perspective.

Influence Factors Suggestion and Prediction Model Development of Regional Building Damage Costs according to Typhoon (태풍에 따른 지역별 건물피해액에 영향을 미치는 요인 도출 및 피해 예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Ji-myung;Kim, Boo-Young;Yang, Seongpil;Oh, Jeongill;Son, Kiyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2015
  • Currently, according to the climate change, serious damage by typhoon has been occurred in the world. In this respect, the research on the prediction model to minimize the damage from various natural disaster has been conducted in several developed countries. In the case of U.S, various models to predict building damage costs have been used widely in many organizations such as insurance companies and governments. In South Korea, although studies regarding damage prediction model according to typhoon have been conducted, the scope has been only limited to consider the property of typhoon. However, it is necessary to consider various factors such as typhoon information, geography, construction environment, and socio-economy factors to predict the damages. Therefore, to address this issue, first, correlation analysis is conducted between various variables based on the data of typhoon from 2003 to 2012. Second, the damage prediction model by using regression analysis is developed based on suggested influence factors. The findings of this study can be utilized to develop the model for predicting the damage costs of buildings by typhoon like HAZUS-MH of US.

Design for Carbon Neutral Arboretum in Gwangju Metropolitan City (광주광역시 탄소중립 수목원 설계)

  • Kim, Hoon Hee
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2009
  • Gwangju Metropolitan Government & Ministry of Environment have signed a model city in response to Climate Change agreement. The agreement calls for Gwangju to cut greenhouse gas emissions 10% below 2005 levels by 2015. Gwangju has seen this agreement as an opportunity to cut pollution and conserve the environment as well as to reinvigorate local economy. According to policy of Gwangju, Gwangju held design competition for Gwangju City Arboretum on march, 2009. The purpose of design competition was to give a wide publicity to Gwangju as Hub City of Asian Culture and construct carbon-neutral arboretum in accordance with the policy of 'Low-Carbon and Green Growth'. First of all, a design concept of arboretum is 'winding, round, overlay 'to reflect the landscape of Nam-do which is surrounded by mountains and river flows through the village. Second, the arboretum has five different places with these themes - Forest of Festivals, Health, Nature, Nostalgia, Education and Future. Each place has a symbolic theme park and different flow planning respectively. Third, the most critical point is that the arboretum is a carbon-neutral park. Gwangju arboretum will soon be developed in metropolitan sanitary landfill and constructed as the O2 arboretum based on low carbon strategy. Fourth, the O2 arboretum suggests specialized issue : 'Energy Saving', 'Recycling System', 'Green Network', 'Water System(rainwater maintenance and wetland development)'. Besides, main buildings(greenhouse, visitor center, Nam-do experience exhibition hall, and forest museum) is designed in consideration of harmony with topography character, surroundings. Also, planting will be a multilayer plant based on native landscape trees in consideration of function and the growth characteristics.

A Development of Construction Industry Production Index(CIPI) with Temperature Effects (기온효과를 고려한 건설업생산지수 예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Seok-Jong;Kim, Hyun-Woo;Chin, Kyung-Ho;Jang, Han-Ik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2013
  • After 1990s, the influence of construction industry has been decreased on national economy and construction business condition has been changed on economic recession and boom repeatedly. Larger fluctuation of business condition makes a forecast of it to be more difficult. Uncertainty in business prediction results in damages on construction companies and stakeholders. Therefore, study on forecasting a construction business is very important. This study suggests the Construction Industry Production Index(CIPI) to predict a construction business in consider of temperature effects. The results show that construction business is much influenced by temperature effects certainly and GDP. With the CBFM, this study examines CIPI for 2013 with two scenarios: 1)with GDP growth rate of 3.5% 2)with GDP growth rate of 2.4%. Thus, CIPI would be used as the economic state index to display the construction business conditions. Also, CIPI will be utilized as basic methodology in the impact of climate change in the construction industry.

Reforming Environmentally-Harmful Subsidies in the Energy and Electricity Sectors in Korea (우리나라 에너지·전력 부문 보조금의 환경친화적 개편 효과 분석 : 연산일반균형분석을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Seung-Rae;Kang, Man-Ok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.827-858
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    • 2011
  • In Korea, various environmentally harmful subsidies are granted in agriculture, fishery, energy, electricity, transportation, steel and shipbuilding industry. Examples include tax-exempt fuel for agriculture & fishery, VAT- exemption for briquette & anthracite, temporary subsidy for fuel, production stabilizing subsidy for coal mining, subsidy for briquette. Korea's yearly total subsidy in energy area is about 5,291 billion won, among them is 4,870 billion won. To reduce air pollutants and to mitigate climate change, Korea has to review the phase-out of environmentally harmful subsidies and the phase-in of environment-friendly subsidy. The reduction or removal of environmentally harmful subsidies will enhance economic efficiency and bring about environmental benefits. Economic efficiency means less use of inputs, which reduces environmental cost and improves social benefits. This paper applies the Shoven and Whalley's model to the Korean economy and analyzes the general equilibrium incidence effects of reforming environmentally harmful subsidies in the energy and electricity in Korea. We consider several counterfactual scenarios in which current environmentally harmful subsidies are reduced or abolished, compare them with the reference case in the economy, and evaluated the change in efficiency costs and distributional incidence of tax reforms related to subsidies.

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An Analysis on the Economic Impacts of the Bio-gas Supply Sector (바이오가스 공급 확대의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Baek, Min-Ji;Kim, Ho-Young;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.74-82
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    • 2014
  • The government is planning to expand the bio-gas supply as a method for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions to deal with climate change. By means of a policy instrument, the government is considering an introduction of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) whose targets include bio-gas. This paper attempts to look into the economic effects of expanding the bio-gas supply by applying an input-output (I-O) analysis using a 2011 I-O table. The bio-gas supply sector consists of liquefied petroleum gas supply sector and city gas supply sector, based on the tenets of introducing the RFS. The production-inducing effect, value-added creation effect, and employment-inducing effect of the bio-gas sector are analyzed. The supply shortage effect and the price pervasive effect are also investigated. The results show that the production or investment of 1.0 won in the bio-gas supply sector induces the production of 1.0539 won and the value-added of 0.1998 won in the national economy. Moreover, the production or investment of 1.0 billion won, supply shortage of 1.0 won, and a price increase of 10.0% in the bio-gas supply sector touch off the employment of 0.5279 person, 1.6229 won, and an increase in overall price level by 0.0183%, respectively.

An interaction between flood and economy on socio-hydrology perspective -Case study for Yangjae River- (사회수문학적 관점에서 홍수-경제-지역사회 상호작용 -양재천 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Kang, Subin;Kim, Jin-Young;Lee, Sangeun;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.7
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    • pp.509-522
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    • 2021
  • In many countries, including Korea, it has been challenging to understand flood-related social dynamics due to urbanization and climate change. In this regard, socio-hydrology has been proposed to consider the interaction between hydrologic systems, land-use change, and human activities. However, there is a general lack of understanding of the interactions of socio-hydrologicsystems. This study examines the interactions between human activities and hydrologic systems from a sociological perspective using a dynamic system model. In other words, this study aims to present a conceptualization model that considers the mutual interaction of flood and community from a socio-hydrologic perspective. Depending on the construction cost of the levee for the Yangjae River, this study considered three scenarios to simulate the interaction of socio-hydrologic systems. Socio-hydrologic interactions can effectively reproduce the changes in the Yangjae River. Moreover, It is expected that the proposed model can be further used to understand possible hydrologic changes and interaction with social systems in the future as a decision-making tool in water resources management.