• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate scenario

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Estimation of Adequate Capacity of Ground Source Heat Pump in Energy-saving Pig Farms Using Building Energy Simulation (BES를 사용한 에너지 절감형 양돈장의 지열히트펌프 적정 용량 산정)

  • Lee, Seong-Won;Oh, Byung-Wook;Park, Kwang-Woo;Seo, Il-Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • In Korea, attention is being paid to the use of renewable energy in the livestock industry, and Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP), which is advantageous for temperature control, is considered as one of the ways to reduce the use of fossil fuels. But GSHP is expensive to install, which proper capacity calculation is required. GSHP capacity is related to its maximum energy load. Energy loads are affected by climate characteristics and time, so dynamic analysis is required. In this study, the optimal capacity of GSHP was calculated by calculating the heating and cooling load of pig farms using BES (Building Energy Simulation) and economic analysis was performed. After designing the inside of the pig house using TRNSYS, one of the commercial programs of the BES technique, the energy load was calculated based on meteorological data. Through the calculated energy load, three heating devices and GSHP used in pig farms were analyzed for economic feasibility. As a result, GSHP's total cost of ownership was the cheapest, but the installation cost was the highest. In order to reduce the initial cost of GSHP, the capacity of GSHP was divided, and a scenario was created in which some of it was used as an auxiliary heating device, and economic analysis was conducted. In this study, a method to calculate the proper capacity of GSHP through dynamic energy analysis was proposed, and it can be used as data necessary to expand the spread of GSHP.

Estimation of non-point pollution reduction effect of Haean Catchment by application of Nature-based Solutions (자연기반해법 적용에 따른 강원도 양구군 해안면의 비점오염 저감 효과 추정)

  • Lee, Ji-Woo;Park, Chan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 2022
  • The Ministry of Environment has been working to reduce the impact on biodiversity, ecosystems, and social costs caused by soil runoff from highland Agricultural fields by setting up non-point pollution source management districts. To reduce soil loss, runoff path reduction technology has been applied, but it has been less cost effective. In addition, non-point pollution sources cause environmental conflicts in downstream areas, and recently highland Agricultural fields are becoming vulnerable to climate change. The Ministry of Environment is promoting the optimal management plan in earnest to convert arable land into forests and grasslands, but since non-point pollution is not a simple environmental problem, it is necessary to approach it from the aspect of NbS(Nature-Based Solution). In this study, a scenario for applying the nature-based solution was established for three subwatersheds west of Haean-myeon, Yanggu-gun, Gangwon-do. The soil loss distribution was spatialized through GeoWEPP and the amount of soil loss was compared for the non-point pollution reduction effect of mixed forests and grasslands. When cultivated land with a slope of 20% or more and ginseng fields were restored to perennial grasslands and mixed forests, non-point pollution reduction effects of about 32% and 29.000 tons compared to the current land use were shown. Also, it was confirmed that mixed forest rather than perennial grassland is an effective nature-based solution to reduce non-point pollution.

The change of rainfall quantiles calculated with artificial neural network model from RCP4.5 climate change scenario (RCP4.5 기후변화 시나리오와 인공신경망을 이용한 우리나라 확률강우량의 변화)

  • Lee, Joohyung;Heo, Jun-Haeng;Kim, Gi Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.130-130
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    • 2022
  • 기후변화로 인한 기상이변 현상으로 폭우와 홍수 등 수문학적 극치 사상의 출현 빈도가 잦아지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 기상이변 현상에 적응하기 위하여 보다 정확한 확률강우량 측정의 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 대장 지점의 미래 확률강우량 계산을 위해선 기후변화 시나리오의 비정상성을 고려해야 한다. 본 연구는 비정상적인 미래 기후에서 확률강우량이 어떻게 변화하는지 측정하는 것을 목표로 한다. Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP4.5)에 따른 우리나라의 확률강우량 계산에 인공신경망을 포함한 정상성, 비정상성 확률강우량 산정 모델들이 사용되었다. 지점빈도해석(AFA), 홍수지수법(IFM), 모분포홍수지수법(PIF), 인공신경망을 이용한 Quantile & Parameter regression technique(QRT & PRT)이 정상성 자료에 대해 확률강우량을 계산하는 모델로 사용되었으며, 비정상성 자료에 대해서는 비정상성 지점빈도해석(NS-AFA), 비정상성 홍수지수법(NS-IFM), 비정상성 모분포홍수지수법(NS-PIF), 인공신경망을 사용한 비정상성 Quantile & Parameter regression technique(NS-QRT & NS-PRT)이 사용되었다. Rescaled Akaike information criterion(rAIC)를 사용한 불확실성 분석과 적합도 검정을 통해서 generalized extreme value(GEV) 분포형 모델이 정상성 및 비정상성 확률강우량 산정에 가장 적합한 모델로 선정되었다. 이후, 관측자료가 GEV(0,0,0)을 따르고 시나리오 자료가 GEV(1,0,0)을 따르는 지점들을 선택하여 미래의 확률강우량 변화를 추정하였다. 각 빈도해석 모델들은 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통해 bias, relative bias(Rbias), root mean square error(RMSE), relative root mean square error(RRMSE)를 바탕으로 측정하여 정확도를 계산하였으며 그 결과 QRT와 NS-QRT가 각각 정상성과 비정상성 자료로부터 가장 정확하게 확률강우량을 계산하였다. 본 연구를 통해 향후 기후변화의 영향으로 확률강우량이 증가할 것으로 예상되며, 비정상성을 고려한 빈도분석 또한 필요함을 제안하였다.

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Assessment of Irrigation Water Demand Changes Based on CMIP6 Scenario (CMIP6 시나리오 기반 담수호 유역 농업용수 수요량 변화 평가)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Jun, Sang Min;Kim, Seok Hyeon;Lee, Hyunji;Kim, Jaekyoung;Kim, Sinae;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.243-243
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    • 2021
  • 담수호는 방조제 건설 및 담수화를 통해 다양한 용수공급을 위해 개발된 수자원으로서 담수화된 수자원은 농업용수로 활용이 가능하다. 특히 간월호의 경우, 담수호 주변이 주로 농경지로 이루어져 있으며, 담수화된 수자원은 농업용수를 공급하기 위해 활용되고 있다. 따라서 간월호의 수자원 관리를 위한 장기적인 계획 수립을 위해서는 간월호의 주요 용수공급 대상이 되는 농경지 물수요량의 미래 변화에 대한 평가가 우선되어야 한다. 최근 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서는 기존 대표농도경로에 사회·경제 조건을 추가하여 공동 사회-경제 경로 (SSP, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways)라는 개념을 새롭게 제안하였으며, 이를 기반으로 6차 평가보고서 (6th Assessment Report, AR6)를 발간한 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 CMIP6 기후변화 자료를 기반으로 한 기후변화 자료를 통해 담수호 유역의 농업용수 수요량 변화를 평가하였으며, Makov chain 모형을 이용한 토지이용변화 자료를 검토하여 기후변화 뿐만 아니라 토지이용변화를 함께 고려한 미래 농업용수 수요량 변화 평가를 수행하였다. 이를 통해 CMIP6 시나리오별 미래 농업용수 수요량 변화를 검토하고, 현재 간월호의 용수공급 능력과 비교를 통해 간월호의 수자원 관리 능력을 평가하는 것이 본 연구의 목적이다.

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Determination of Flood-limited Water Levels of Agricultural Reservoirs Considering Irrigation and Flood Control (농업용 저수지의 이·치수 기능을 고려한 홍수기 제한수위 설정 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jihye;Kwak, Jihye;Jun, Sang Min;Lee, Sunghack;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we developed a method to determine the flood-limited water levels of agricultural reservoirs, considering both their irrigation and flood control functions. Irrigation safety and flood safety indices were defined to be applied to various reservoirs, allowing for a comprehensive assessment of the irrigation and flood control properties. Seasonal flood-limited water level scenarios were established to represent the temporal characteristics of rainfall and agricultural water supply and the safety indices were analyzed according to these scenarios. The optimal scenarios were derived using a schematic solution based on Pareto front analysis. The method was applied to Obong, Yedang, and Myogok reservoirs, and the results showed that the characteristics of each reservoir were well represented in the safety indices. The irrigation safety of Obong reservoir was found to be significantly influenced by the late-stage flood-limited water level, while those of Yedang and Myogok reservoir were primarily affected by the early and mid-stage flood-limited water levels. The values of irrigation safety and flood safety indices for each scenario were plotted as points on the coordinate plane, and the optimal flood-limited water levels were selected from the Pareto front. The storage ratio of the optimal flood-limited water levels for the early, mid, and late stages were 65-70%, 70%, and 75% for Obong reservoir, 75%, 70-75%, and 65-70% for Yedang reservoir, and 75-80%, 70%, and 50% for Myogok reservoir. We expect that the method developed in this study will facilitate efficient reservoir operations.

Economic analysis of irrigation facilities for securing water for field crops

  • Hyung Jin Shin;Jae Young Lee;Jae Nam Lee;Han Na Lee;Sang Hyeon Park;Bum Soo Shin;Sang Sun Cha;Se Myung Kwon;Jung Il Seo;Chan Gi Park
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.785-798
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    • 2023
  • Considering irrigation facilities are currently insufficient and drought vulnerability due to climate change is high, efficient measures are required to secure water supply for field crops. This study, therefore, calculated the water shortage to secure water for representative field crops. An economic analysis was further conducted by comparing the production income to the input cost for each method. Here, five distinct regions were selected to represent each crop-Cheongyang-gun for chili peppers, Yesan-gun for apples, Dangjin-si for cabbages, Seosan-si for garlic, and Goesan for beans. The regions with insufficient water supply were estimated by calculating the water requirements and the supplied water from public groundwater wells for each area. A comprehensive set of four scenarios was presented as a strategy to ensure water security and manage irrigation facilities. These scenarios comprised the maintenance of existing groundwater wells, the construction of new water storage tanks, the installation of additional groundwater wells, and the utilization of surface water. B/C (benefit/cost) analysis was conducted for each scenario. As a result, the construction of water storage tanks was selected as a facility and water management plan in Cheongyang-gun, Dangjin-si, and Seosan-si. The analysis additionally indicated the economic viability of installing surface water utilization facilities in Yesan-gun and developing water storage tanks and groundwater (aquifer) wells in Goesan-gun. The results of this study are considered to serve as foundation data that may be utilized in the selection of water management plans for drought-prone areas in the future.

Meat quality and safety issues during high temperatures and cutting-edge technologies to mitigate the scenario

  • AMM Nurul Alam;Eun-Yeong Lee;Md Jakir Hossain;Abdul Samad;So-Hee Kim;Young-Hwa Hwang;Seon-Tea Joo
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.645-662
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    • 2024
  • Climate change, driven by the natural process of global warming, is a worldwide issue of significant concern because of its adverse effects on livestock output. The increasing trend of environmental temperature surging has drastically affected meat production and meat product quality, hence result in economic losses for the worldwide livestock business. Due to the increasing greenhouse gas emissions, the situation would get prolonged, and heat exposure-related stress is expected to worsen. Heat exposure causes metabolic and physiological disruptions in livestock. Ruminants and monogastric animals are very sensitive to heat stress due to their rate of metabolism, development, and higher production levels. Before slaughter, intense hot weather triggers muscle glycogen breakdown, producing pale, mushy, and exudative meat with less water-holding capacity. Animals exposed to prolonged high temperatures experience a decrease in their muscle glycogen reserves, producing dry, dark, and complex meat with elevated final pH and increased water-holding capacity. Furthermore, heat stress also causes oxidative stresses, especially secondary metabolites from lipid oxidation, severely affects the functionality of proteins, oxidation of proteins, decreasing shelf life, and food safety by promoting exfoliation and bacterial growth. Addressing the heat-related issues to retain the sustainability of the meat sector is an essential task that deserves an inclusive and comprehensive approach. Considering the intensity of the heat stress effects, this review has been designed primarily to examine the consequences of hot environment temperatures and related stresses on the quality and safety of meat and secondarily focus on cutting edge technology to reduce or alleviate the situational impact.

Future Changes in Global Terrestrial Carbon Cycle under RCP Scenarios (RCP 시나리오에 따른 미래 전지구 육상탄소순환 변화 전망)

  • Lee, Cheol;Boo, Kyung-On;Hong, Jinkyu;Seong, Hyunmin;Heo, Tae-kyung;Seol, Kyung-Hee;Lee, Johan;Cho, ChunHo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.303-315
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    • 2014
  • Terrestrial ecosystem plays the important role as carbon sink in the global carbon cycle. Understanding of interactions of terrestrial carbon cycle with climate is important for better prediction of future climate change. In this paper, terrestrial carbon cycle is investigated by Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2, Carbon Cycle (HadGEM2-CC) that considers vegetation dynamics and an interactive carbon cycle with climate. The simulation for future projection is based on the three (8.5/4.5/2.6) representative concentration pathways (RCPs) from 2006 to 2100 and compared with historical land carbon uptake from 1979 to 2005. Projected changes in ecological features such as production, respiration, net ecosystem exchange and climate condition show similar pattern in three RCPs, while the response amplitude in each RCPs are different. For all RCP scenarios, temperature and precipitation increase with rising of the atmospheric $CO_2$. Such climate conditions are favorable for vegetation growth and extension, causing future increase of terrestrial carbon uptakes in all RCPs. At the end of 21st century, the global average of gross and net primary productions and respiration increase in all RCPs and terrestrial ecosystem remains as carbon sink. This enhancement of land $CO_2$ uptake is attributed by the vegetated area expansion, increasing LAI, and early onset of growing season. After mid-21st century, temperature rising leads to excessive increase of soil respiration than net primary production and thus the terrestrial carbon uptake begins to fall since that time. Regionally the NEE average value of East-Asia ($90^{\circ}E-140^{\circ}E$, $20^{\circ}N{\sim}60^{\circ}N$) area is bigger than that of the same latitude band. In the end-$21^{st}$ the NEE mean values in East-Asia area are $-2.09PgC\;yr^{-1}$, $-1.12PgC\;yr^{-1}$, $-0.47PgC\;yr^{-1}$ and zonal mean NEEs of the same latitude region are $-1.12PgC\;yr^{-1}$, $-0.55PgC\;yr^{-1}$, $-0.17PgC\;yr^{-1}$ for RCP 8.5, 4.5, 2.6.

A Study on the Effect of the Urban Regeneration Project on the Reduction of Carbon Emission - A Case Study of Jeonju Test-Bed - (도시재생사업 적용에 따른 탄소저감 효과 - 전주TB지역을 대상으로 -)

  • Park, Kiyong;Lee, Sangeun;Park, Heekyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2016
  • This study mainly focuses on urban regeneration project as a countermeasure to resolve climate change issues by analyzing the carbon-reduction effect of Jeonju test-bed cases. First, an urban regeneration project is designed for city, Jeonju by analyzing its environmental problems and potential improvement. Then, carbon emission and reduction amounts are evaluated for different businesses and scenarios. Carbon emission sources are classified according to a standard suggested by IPCC, and the emissions are calculated by various standard methods. The result shows that carbon emission amount in Jeonju test-bed is 102,149 tCO2eq. The fact that 70% of the emission from energy sector originates from buildings implies that urban regeneration projects can concentrate on building portions to effectively reduce carbon emission. It is also projected carbon emission will decrease by 3,826tCo2eq in 2020 compared to 2011, reduction mainly based on overall population and industry shrinkage. When urban regeneration projects are applied to 5 urban sectors (urban environment, land use, green transportation, low carbon energy, and green buildings) total of 10,628tCO2eq is reduced and 4,857tCO2 (=15.47%) when only applied to the green building sector. Moreover, different carbon reduction scenarios are set up to meet each goal of different sectors. The result shows that scenario A, B, and C each has 5%, 11%, and 15% of carbon reduction, respectively. It is recommended to apply scenario B to achieve 11% reduction goal in a long term. Therefore, this research can be a valuable guideline for planning future urban regeneration projects and relative policies by analyzing the present urban issues and suggesting improvement directions.

Estimate and Environmental Assessment of Greenhouse Gas(GHG) Emissions and Sludge Emissions in Wastewater Treatment Processes for Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 하수처리공법별 온실가스 및 슬러지 배출량 산정 및 환경성 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Seok;Kim, Min-Jeong;Lim, Jung-Jin;Kim, Yong-Su;Yoo, Chang-Kyoo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2011
  • In compliance with an international law about the ocean dumping of the sludge, the proper sewage treatment process which occurs from the wastewater treatment process has been becoming problem. Generally the sewage and the sludge are controlled from anaerobic condition when the sewage is treated and land filled, where the methane$(CH_{4})$ and the nitrous oxide $(N_{2}O)$ from this process are discharged. Because these gases have been known as one of the responsible gases for global warming, the wastewater treatment process is become known as emission sources of green house gases(GHG). This study is to suggest a new approach of estimate and environmental assessment of greenhouse gas emissions and sludge emissions from wastewater treatment processes. It was carried out by calculating the total amounts of GHG emitted from biological wastewater treatment process and the amount of the sludgegenerated from the processes. Four major biological wastewater treatment processes which are Anaerobic/Anoxic/Oxidation$(A_{2}O)$, Bardenpho, Virginia Initiative Plant(VIP), University of Cape Town(UCT)are used and GPS-X software is used to model four processes. Based on the modeling result of four processes, the amounts of GHG emissions and the sludge produced from each process are calculated by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) 2006 guideline report. GHG emissions for water as well as sludge treatment processes are calculated for environmental assessment has been done on the scenario of various sludge treatments, such as composting, incineration and reclamation and each scenario is compared by using a unified index of the economic and environmental assessment. It was found that Bardenpho process among these processes shows a best process that can emit minimum amount of GHG with lowest impact on environment and composting emits the minimum amount of GHG for sludge treatment.