• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제56권4호
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• pp.59-68
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• 2014

Climate change influences multiple environmental aspects, certain of which are specifically related to agricultural water resources such as water supply, water management, droughts and floods. Understanding the impact of climate change on reservoirs in relation to the passage of time is an important component of water resource management for stable water supply maintenance. Changes on rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can increases the occurrence of reservoir water shortage and affect the future availability of agricultural water resources. It is a main concern for sustainable development in agricultural water resources management to evaluate adaptation capability of water supply under the future climate conditions. The purpose of this study is to predict the sustainability of agricultural water demand and supply under future climate change by applying an irrigation vulnerability assessment model to investigate evidence of climate change occurrences at a local scale with respect to potential water supply capacity and irrigation water requirement. Thus, it is a recommended practice in the development of water supply management strategies on reservoir operation under climate change.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.32-32
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• 2023

Incidences of urban flood and extreme heat waves (due to the urban heat island effect) are expected to increase in New Zealand under future climate change (IPCC 2022; MfE 2020). Increasingly, the mitigation of such events will depend on the resilience of a range Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) used in Sustainable Urban Drainage Schemes (SUDS), or Water Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD) (Jamei and Tapper 2019; Johnson et al 2021). Understanding the impact of changing precipitation and temperature regimes due climate change is therefore critical to the long-term resilience of such urban infrastructure and design. Cuthbert et al (2022) have assessed the trade-offs between the water retention and cooling benefits of different urban greening methods (such as WSUD) relative to global location and climate. Using the Budyko water-energy balance framework (Budyko 1974), they demonstrated that the potential for water infiltration and storage (thus flood mitigation) was greater where potential evaporation is high relative to precipitation. Similarly, they found that the potential for mitigation of drought conditions was greater in cooler environments. Subsequently, Jaramillo et al. (2022) have illustrated the locations worldwide that will deviate from their current Budyko curve characteristic under climate change scenarios, as the relationship between actual evapotranspiration (AET) and potential evapotranspiration (PET) changes relative to precipitation. Using the above approach we assess the impact of future climate change on the urban water-energy balance in three contrasting New Zealand cities (Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch and Invercargill). The variation in Budyko curve characteristics is then used to describe expected changes in water storage and cooling potential in each urban area as a result of climate change. The implications of the results are then considered with respect to existing WSUD guidelines according to both the current and future climate in each location. It was concluded that calculation of Budyko curve deviation due to climate change could be calculated for any location and land-use type combination in New Zealand and could therefore be used to advance the general understanding of climate change impacts. Moreover, the approach could be used to better define the concept of urban infrastructure resilience and contribute to a better understanding of Budyko curve dynamics under climate change (questions raised by Berghuijs et al 2020)). Whilst this knowledge will assist in implementation of national climate change adaptation (MfE, 2022; UNEP, 2022) and improve climate resilience in urban areas in New Zealand, the approach could be repeated for any global location for which present and future mean precipitation and temperature conditions are known.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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• pp.355-355
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• 2018

Natural hydrology systems, including high flow and low flow events, are important for aquatic ecosystem health and are essential for controlling the structure and function of ecological processes in river ecosystems. Ecosystem responses to flow changes have been studied in a variety of ways, but little attention has been given to how episodic typhoons and atmospheric circulation patterns can change these hydrologic regime-ecological response relationships. In this diagnostic study, we use an empirical approach to investigate the salient features of interactions between atmospheric circulation, climate, and runoff in the five major Korean river basins.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제46권8호
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• pp.873-884
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• 2013

우리나라는 몬순기후의 영향으로 여름철 강우가 집중되기 때문에 작은 기후변화에도 심각한 수자원의 문제를 야기시킬 수 있다. 이로 인해 기후변화에 대한 많은 관심이 집중되어 그에 따른 연구도 활발히 진행되고 있다. 본 연구는 남강유역에서의 미래 기후변화에 의한 하천의 흐름과 수질변화를 예측하기 위해 유역-하천모형을 연계하여 하고자 하였다. 인공신경망기법을 이용하여 기후시나리오를 예측한 후 유역수문 모형인 SWAT모형을 구축하였고 모형의 적용성 평가를 위해 환경부자료를 이용하여 검보정한 결과 $R^2$이 0.7 이상으로 적정수준으로 모의되었다. SWAT의 결과와 HEC-ResSIM을 이용한 미래 남강댐 방류량을 QUALKO의 입력 자료로 사용하였다. 그 결과 저수기에는 풍수기와는 달리 연도별 유량에 따라 BOD가 많게는 약 2mg/L의 차이를 보이는 등 변화 폭이 크게 나타났다. 강우와 유역의 유출이 하천의 수질에 큰 영향을 끼치기 때문에 풍수기에 비해 유량이 적은 저수기에 수질 농도가 높은 것을 알 수 있다. 그러므로 남강댐의 저수기의 용수확보를 통해 남강하류 하천의 유지용수를 확보하고 효율적인 관리를 통해 향상된 수질을 관리 할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.141-158
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• 2013

본 연구에서는 IPCC SRES 6개 기후변화 시나리오(A2, A1B, A1FI, A1T, B1, and B2)를 기반으로 우리나라의 현재(1996~2005년)와 미래(2046~2055년, 2091~2100년)에 대한 냉난방도일을 전망하였다. 이를 위하여 전구 기후모델(CCSM3)의 미래 전망 결과를 지역규모 기후모델(MM5)을 이용한 다운스케일링을 통해 고해상도(18km)의 기온 전망을 수행하였다. 21세기 말의 한반도 기온은 현재 대비 약 $1.2{\sim}3.4^{\circ}C$ 수준까지 증가하는 것으로 전망된다. 기온 전망 결과를 이용하여 7개 권역별(서울 경기, 강원 산간, 중부 내륙, 남부 내륙, 남부 해안, 영동 울릉, 제주) 냉난방도일을 전망한 결과, 21세기 말의 난방도일은 현재 대비 8~25% 수준까지 감소하는 반면에 냉방도일은 242~1,448%까지 증가하였다. 또한, 난방기간은 약 1개월 정도 감소하며, 냉방기간은 최대 2개월 이상 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 현재에 비해 미래의 난방에너지 수요는 감소하지만, 냉방에너지 수요는 증가할 것으로 예측된다. 특히, 이러한 변화는 타 권역에 비해 강원산간권역과 제주권역에서 뚜렷하게 나타날 것으로 예측된다. 따라서 미래에는 난방을 위한 화석에너지보다 냉방에너지로 사용되는 전기에너지에 대한 수요관리가 현재보다 더욱 중요해질 수 있음을 의미한다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제46권2호
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• pp.31-41
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• 2015

This study aimed to analyze the relationship between sea surface temperature as a climatic element and catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries in Korea using annual time series data from 1970 to 2013. It also tried to predict the future changes in catch amount of fisheries by climate change. Time series data on variables were estimated to be non-stationary from unit root tests, but one long-term equilibrium relation between variables was found from a cointegration test. The result of Granger causality test indicated that the sea surface temperature would cause directly changes in catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries. The result of regression analysis on sea surface temperature and catch amount showed that the sea surface temperature would have negative impacts on the catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries. Therefore, if the sea surface temperature would increase, all other things including the current level of fishing effort being equal, the catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries was predicted to decrease.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.167-176
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• 2009

Land cover changes associated with urbanization have driven climate change and pollution, which alter properties of ecosystems at local, regional, and continental scales. Thus, the relationships among urban ecological variables such as community composition, structure, health, soil and functioning need to be better understood to restore and improve urban ecosystems. In this study, we discuss urban ecosystem management and research from a futuristic perspective based on analyses of vegetation structure, composition, and successional trends, as well as the chemical properties of soils and the distribution of heat along an urban-rural gradient. Urban thermo-profile analysis using satellite images showed an obvious mitigating effect of vegetation on the Seoul heat island. Community attributes of Quercus mongolica stands reflected the effects of urbanization, such as pronounced increases in disturbance-related and pollution-tolerant species, such as Styrax japonica and Sorbus alnifolia. Retrogressive successional trends were detected in urban sites relative to those in rural sites. Changes in the urban climate and biotic environment have the potential to significantly influence the practice and outcomes of ecological management, restoration and forecasting because of the associated changes in future bio-physical settings. Thus, for management (i.e., creation and restoration) of urban green spaces, forward-thinking perspectives supported by historical information are necessary.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.73-84
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• 2010

A terrestrial LiDAR was used to acquire precise and high-resolution topographical information of Malipo beach, Korea. Terrestrial LiDAR and RTK-DGPS (VRS) were mounted on top of a survey vehicle and used to scan 20 times stop-and-go method with 250 m spacing intervals at ebb tides. In total, 7 measurements were made periodically from 2008 to 2009 and after each beach replenishment event. We carried out GIS-based 3D spatial analysis such as slope and volume calculations in order to assess topographical changes over time. In relation to beach replenishment, comparative analysis of each volume change revealed them to be similar. This result indicates that the terrestrial LiDAR measurements are accurate and can be used to analyze temporal topographical changes. In conclusion, the methodology employed in this study can be used efficiently to exercise coastal management through monitoring and analyzing beach process such as erosion and deposition.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.169-176
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• 2014

Since the operation of the King Sejong Station (KSS) started in Antarctic Peninsula in 1989, there have been continuous efforts to perform the observation for the upper atmosphere. The observations during the initial period of the station include Fabry-Perot Interferometer (FPI) and Michelson Interferometer for the mesosphere and thermosphere, which are no longer in operation. In 2002, in collaboration with York University, Canada, the Spectral Airglow Temperature Imager (SATI) was installed to observe the temperature in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) region and it has still been producing the mesopause temperature data until present. The observation was extended by installing the meteor radar in 2007 to observe the neutral winds and temperature in the MLT region during the day and night in collaboration with Chungnam National University. We also installed the all sky camera in 2008 to observe the wave structures in the MLT region. All these observations are utilized to study on the physical characteristics of the MLT region and also on the wave phenomena such as the tide and gravity wave in the upper atmosphere over KSS that is well known for the strong gravity wave activity. In this article, brief introductions for the currently operating instruments at KSS will be presented with their applications for the study of the upper atmosphere.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2006

Environmental variables, fishing and biological data of the common squid, Todarodes pacificus were used to describe changes in structure, migration and abundance of the squid population in relation to ocean climate shifts. It was possible to consider the main groups of the squid (autumn and winter-spawned groups) as a single population to aid conservation in the waters around Korea and Japan (TWC and KOC regions). The patterns of yearly fluctuations in abundance of the squid population in the two regions were the same during 52 years of $1952{\sim}2003$. The abundance of the squid began to decrease in both regions in the early 1970s, remained low in the 1980s and the main squid groups synchronously increased in the 1990s coincident with favorable changes of thermal conditions and plankton production in those ecosystems. The mechanisms of changes in the structure, distribution and abundance of common squid population in relation to current-mediated migration circuits are explained on the basis of phenological variables responding to climate shifts.