• Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.93-104
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• 2022

Agriculture is one of the most vulnerable sector to droughts, and drought damage on the agriculture sector could have effects on other sector. Droughts have different characteristics compared to other extreme events, which means more sophisticated methods considering the characteristics of droughts are required when measuring their damage. The purpose of this study is to analyze the damage of droughts based on limited computational general equilibrium model. To be specific, we constructed a CGE model focusing on the agriculture sector in Korea. Also, to limit changes in land use and labor, we limited them, and assume droughts only have effects on productivity of value-added. Lastly, we simulate drought effects on rice production in Korea based on several climate scenarios and GCM to identify the economic effects of droughts. The results show that 1) the cumulated damage of droughts during 2021~2040 is higher than other periods (2040~2061, 2081~2100), 2) the correlation between the damage of droughts and SSP scenarios is insignificant. This result implies the necessity of the effective drought risk management to prevent future droughts effects, irrespective of mitigation policies. 3) Due to increases in rice price, GDP of rice sector is increased. However, GDP of the other sector and consumer welfare are decreased. This result show that indirect effects of droughts would be more important when measuring drought effects on agriculture sector.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.45-62
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• 2022

Purpose - Using unexpected changes in geopolitical tensions on the Korean peninsula as a quasi-natural experimental setting, we examine whether and how geopolitical risks travel across borders through firm-level imports and exports linkages. We also test whether the effects are driven by either imports or exports and assess whether firms can effectively hedge themselves against geopolitical risks. Design/methodology - We focus on a series of unanticipated geopolitical events taken place in Korea in 2018. Making use of the shocks to geopolitical climate, we identify five milestone events toward peace talks. We employ the event studies methodology. We examine heterogenous firm-level stock price reactions around key event dates depending on firms' exposure to geopolitical risks. As a measure of firms' exposure to geopolitical risks in Korea, we utilize a text-based measure of firm-level trade links. When a firm announces and discusses its purchase of inputs from Korea or sales of outputs to Korea in their annual disclosure filings, we define a firm to have a trade relationship with Korea and have exposure to Korean geopolitical risks. Similarly, we use a measure of a firm's hedging policies based on a firm's textual mention of the use of foreign exchange derivatives in their annual disclosure. Findings - We find that U.S. firms that have direct trade links to Korea gained significantly more value when the intensity of geopolitical risks drops compared to firms without such trade links to Korea. The effects are pronounced for firms purchasing inputs from or selling outputs to Korea. We find that the effectiveness of foreign exchange hedging against geopolitical risks is limited. Originality/value - We document the international transmission of geopolitical uncertainty through trade linkages. Export links as well as import links serve as important nexus of transmission of geopolitical risks across borders. Hedging strategies involving foreign-exchanges derivatives do not seem to insulate firms again geopolitical risks. With the recent movements of localization and reshuffling of the global value chain, our results suggest a significant impact of geopolitical risks in Korea on the construction of the global value chain.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.61 no.3
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• pp.412-418
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• 2023

The surge in the oil prices, increasing global population, climate change, and waste management problems are the major issues which have led to the development of biofuels from lignocellulosic wastes. Cellulosic or second generation (2G) bioethanol is produced from lignocellulosic biomass via pretreatment, hydrolysis, and fermentation. Pretreatment of lignocellulose is of considerable interest due to its influence on the technical, economic and environmental sustainability of cellulosic ethanol production. In this study, furniture waste sawdust was subjected to alkaline peroxide (H₂O₂) for the production of reducing sugars. Sawdust was pretreated at different concentrations from 1-3% H₂O₂ (v/v) loadings at a pH of 11.5 for a residence time of 15-240 min at 50, 75 and 90 ℃. Optimum pretreatment conditions, such as time of reaction, operating temperature, and concentration of H₂O₂, were varied and evaluated on the basis of the amount of total reducing sugars produced. It was found that the changes in the amount of lignin directly affected the yield of reducing sugars. A maximum of 50% reduction in the lignin composition was obtained, which yielded a maximum of 75.3% total reducing sugars yield and 3.76 g/L of glucose. At optimum pretreatment conditions of 2% H₂O₂ loading at 75 ℃ for 150 min, 3.46 g/L glucose concentration with a 69.26% total reducing sugars yield was obtained after 48 hr. of the hydrolysis process. Pretreatment resulted in lowering of crystallinity and distortion of the sawdust after the pretreatment, which was further confirmed by XRD and SEM results.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.243-243
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• 2021

담수호는 방조제 건설 및 담수화를 통해 다양한 용수공급을 위해 개발된 수자원으로서 담수화된 수자원은 농업용수로 활용이 가능하다. 특히 간월호의 경우, 담수호 주변이 주로 농경지로 이루어져 있으며, 담수화된 수자원은 농업용수를 공급하기 위해 활용되고 있다. 따라서 간월호의 수자원 관리를 위한 장기적인 계획 수립을 위해서는 간월호의 주요 용수공급 대상이 되는 농경지 물수요량의 미래 변화에 대한 평가가 우선되어야 한다. 최근 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서는 기존 대표농도경로에 사회·경제 조건을 추가하여 공동 사회-경제 경로 (SSP, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways)라는 개념을 새롭게 제안하였으며, 이를 기반으로 6차 평가보고서 (6th Assessment Report, AR6)를 발간한 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 CMIP6 기후변화 자료를 기반으로 한 기후변화 자료를 통해 담수호 유역의 농업용수 수요량 변화를 평가하였으며, Makov chain 모형을 이용한 토지이용변화 자료를 검토하여 기후변화 뿐만 아니라 토지이용변화를 함께 고려한 미래 농업용수 수요량 변화 평가를 수행하였다. 이를 통해 CMIP6 시나리오별 미래 농업용수 수요량 변화를 검토하고, 현재 간월호의 용수공급 능력과 비교를 통해 간월호의 수자원 관리 능력을 평가하는 것이 본 연구의 목적이다.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• v.23 no.6
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• pp.127-139
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• 2023

Numerous genuine issues, for example, financial exchange expectation, climate determining and so forth has inalienable arbitrariness related with them. Receiving a probabilistic system for forecast can oblige this dubious connection among past and future. Commonly the interest is in the contingent likelihood thickness of the arbitrary variable included. One methodology for expectation is with time arrangement and auto relapse models. In this work, liner expectation technique and approach for computation of forecast coefficient are given and likelihood of blunder for various assessors is determined. The current methods all need in some regard assessing a boundary of some accepted arrangement. In this way, an elective methodology is proposed. The elective methodology is to gauge the restrictive thickness of the irregular variable included. The methodology proposed in this theory includes assessing the (discretized) restrictive thickness utilizing a Markovian definition when two arbitrary factors are genuinely needy, knowing the estimation of one of them allows us to improve gauge of the estimation of the other one. The restrictive thickness is assessed as the proportion of the two dimensional joint thickness to the one-dimensional thickness of irregular variable at whatever point the later is positive. Markov models are utilized in the issues of settling on an arrangement of choices and issue that have an innate transience that comprises of an interaction that unfurls on schedule on schedule. In the nonstop time Markov chain models the time stretches between two successive changes may likewise be a ceaseless irregular variable. The Markovian methodology is especially basic and quick for practically all classes of classes of issues requiring the assessment of contingent densities.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.266-266
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• 2020

본 연구에서는 기후변화로 인한 남북공유하천유역의 미래 수문특성 변화를 전망하기 위해 ArcGIS 프로그램을 통해 산정된 격자형 수문특성 매개변수를 분포형 모형인 GRM에 적용하여 임진강유역의 미래 유출수문특성 변화를 분석하였다. 분포형 모형에 사용되는 강우량 자료는 기상관측소 단위로 상세화된 13개 전지구 기후 모델 중 RCP4.5, 8.5 시나리오의 공유하천유역 인접 11개 관측소별 빈도해석 결과를 시·공간적으로 분포하여 사용하였다. 또한 미래기간별 유출특성 변화추이를 분석하기 위하여 참조기간(1981-2005), 21세기 전반기(F1, 2011-2040), 중반기(F2, 2041-2070), 후반기(F3, 2071-2100)로 구분하여 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 본 연구의 대상지점인 임진강유역은 기후변화로 인해 확률강우량이 증가하여 유역의 유출수문특성에 직접적인 영향이 있을 것으로 예측되었다. RCP 4.5 시나리오에서는 21세기 후반기인 F3에 확률강우량 및 유출량의 증가추세가 줄어들 것으로 전망되나, 참조기간 대비 F1에서 20.4%, F2에서 35.7%, F3에서 34.6%의 평균 유출량 증가율을 보였으며, RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 F1에서 19.9%, F2에서 38.3%, F3에서 67.8%로 지속적인 증가가 전망되었다. 또한 첨두홍수량 발생시각은 참조기간 대비 약 4.6~13.3% 감소가 예상되었다. 기후변화로 인한 홍수량의 변화는 재해위험을 증가시킬 수 있으며, 이러한 상황에서 남한과 북한의 협력을 통한 유역통합관리의 필요성은 점차 커질 것으로 보인다. 이를 위해서는 정확한 수문학적 분석을 선행하여야 하며, 본 연구가 남북공유하천유역의 재해위험을 평가하는 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.45-59
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• 2023

This study aims to find implications for the introduction and practice of ESG by domestic fashion companies by examining the core ESG topics and strategies of Samsung C&T Fashion Division, Kolon FnC, F&F holdings, and Fila. ESG management analysis examined the importance of the criticality evaluation process, critical issues, and implementation strategies for each key topic based on the company's 2021 ESG sustainable management report, and analyzed the relationship with UN SDGs and the GRI. The analysis results are as follows: As for KCGS' ESG rating, Samsung C&T's fashion division, Kolon FnC, and Fila Holdings were rated A, while F&F Holdings was rated B+. The major issues derived from ESG's criticality assessment are environmental issues related to Samsung C&T's fashion division. Kolon FnC was found to have focused on the social sector and F&F Holdings focused on governance structure. After examining the correlation between the ESG core strategies of the investigated fashion companies and the 17 SDGs, the common areas were identified as quality employment, sustainable production and consumption, and climate changes and response. Correlation with the GRI Standards 2021 Index, (GRI 1, GRI 11, and GRI 12 created in 2021) was not reflected. In the future, it will be necessary to have a transparent governance structure that meets global standards, sets measurable goals, and continuously manages them. Other companies should also recognize ESG management processes that embrace various stakeholders and strengthens win-win cooperation to manage risks, and establish mid- to long-term response strategies.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2021.10a
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• pp.376-378
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• 2021

According to the 2020 Global Climate Report released by the World Meteorological Organization, the average temperature of the Earth in 2019 was measured 1.1℃ higher on average than the temperature measured between 1850 and 1900 before industrialization. The change in average temperature affects the distribution of plants, and according to the vulnerability analysis paper, it can be seen that there is a change in the distribution area of plants when the average temperature rises. In this paper, to cope with these environmental changes, we propose a method of fabricating intermittent flow hydroponic smart farms using Arduino and sensors and controlling them through PCs and applications. The manufactured hydroponic smart farm identifies the farm's temperature and humidity, positive pH concentration, illumination, and water quality to check the amount of pumping, supplement LED control, sensor condition, overall management and cultivation of the farm, and grows in an appropriate environment.

• Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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• v.41 no.4
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• pp.318-327
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• 2022

BACKGROUND: The mean annual temperature of the Korean Peninsula will continue to rise due to global warming. 'Shiranuhi' mandarin-a late-harvest cultivar-is primarily cultivated in plastic greenhouses where high temperatures cannot be directly avoided. Therefore, growth and fruit quality changes under elevated temperatures must be investigated. METHODS AND RESULTS: Elevated temperatures were divided into three groups [2℃ (T-I), 4℃ (T-II), and 6℃ (T-III) above the ambient temperature] during the 2019-2020 season. Mean temperatures were 17.1℃, 18.6℃, and 20.2℃ in T-I, T-II, and T-III, respectively. The bud bursts in T-II and T-III were earlier than that in T-I at 7 days and 11 days, respectibely. And the full blooms in T-II and T-III were earlier than that in T-I at 11 days and 23 days, respectively. Fruit size significantly increased with increased temperature. The citrus color index in the coloring phase markedly differed across treatments. Further, total soluble solid and acid contents markedly changed with temperature rise but the sugar-to-acid ratio did not. Sucrose content tended to decrease with increase in temperature, but citric acid content remained unaffected. CONCLUSION(S): Elevated temperature accelerated plant growth and development but delayed rind color development in 'Shiranuhi' mandarin. Therefore, rise in ambient temperature by >4.6℃ may negatively affect yield and fruit quality.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• v.51 no.4
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• pp.295-308
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• 2023

This study applied a real-time IoT (Internet of Things) environmental monitoring system to wooden cultural heritages (WCHs) located in suburbs and forests in Korea. It automated the graphs of seasonal Temperature (T) and relative humidity (RH) changes inside the heritage structures and seasonal Performance Index (PI) values. While utilizing line graphs of the existing T and RH change trends and a bar graph expressing the PI values, this study examined the current status of the conservation environment inside the WCHs throughout the year and its diagnosis. Consequently, at higher latitudes, the organic cultural heritage repeatedly experienced large T fluctuations, and the risk of physical and chemical degradation of the materials was greater. However, the RH showed significant seasonal differences, even within the same latitude, indicating that the impact of latitude was not significant. Therefore, the staff in charge must manage RH by considering the surrounding environmental conditions and adjusting the internal environment of the structures. The PI values for the year-round T and RH inside the heritages were confirmed to only be a maximum of approximately 60% of the environmental suitability for conservation throughout the year, depending on the season. The relationship between the germination and growth potential period of xerophilic fungi and the monthly internal temperature and humidity in five heritages located at different latitudes was analyzed. As a result, we could thus determine that four particular months of the year (June-September) represent the periods with the highest risk of damage from xerophilic fungi in the country, regardless of latitude.