• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate Technology

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Assessment of causality between climate variables and production for whole crop maize using structural equation modeling

  • Kim, Moonju;Sung, Kyungil
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.63 no.2
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    • pp.339-353
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    • 2021
  • This study aimed to assess the causality of different climate variables on the production of whole crop maize (Zea mays L.; WCM) in the central inland region of the Korea. Furthermore, the effect of these climate variables was also determined by looking at direct and indirect pathways during the stages before and after silking. The WCM metadata (n = 640) were collected from the Rural Development Administration's reports of new variety adaptability from 1985-2011 (27 years). The climate data was collected based on year and location from the Korean Meteorology Administration's weather information system. Causality, in this study, was defined by various cause-and-effect relationships between climatic factors, such as temperature, rainfall amount, sunshine duration, wind speed and relative humidity in the seeding to silking stage and the silking to harvesting stage. All climate variables except wind speed were different before and after the silking stage, which indicates the silking occurred during the period when the Korean season changed from spring to summer. Therefore, the structure of causality was constructed by taking account of the climate variables that were divided by the silking stage. In particular, the indirect effect of rainfall through the appropriate temperature range was different before and after the silking stage. The damage caused by heat-humidity was having effect before the silking stage while the damage caused by night-heat was not affecting WCM production. There was a large variation in soil surface temperature and rainfall before and after the silking stage. Over 350 mm of rainfall affected dry matter yield (DMY) when soil surface temperatures were less than 22℃ before the silking stage. Over 900 mm of rainfall also affected DMY when soil surface temperatures were over 27℃ after the silking stage. For the longitudinal effects of soil surface temperature and rainfall amount, less than 22℃ soil surface temperature and over 300 mm of rainfall before the silking stage affected yield through over 26℃ soil surface temperature and less than 900 mm rainfall after the silking stage, respectively.

Projecting forest fire potential in the Baekdudaegan of the Chungcheong region under the SSP scenario climate change using KBDI Drought Index (KBDI 가뭄지수를 이용한 SSP 기후변화 시나리오하의 충청지역 백두대간 산불 잠재력 전망)

  • Choi, Jaeyong;Kim, Su-Jin;Jung, Huicheul;Kim, Sung-Yeol;Moon, Geon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2022
  • Recently, climate change has been regarded as a major cause of large-scale forest fires worldwide, and there is concern that more frequent and severe forest fires will occur due to the level of greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, the daily Keetch and Byram Drought Index (KBDI) of the Baekdudaegan in Chungcheong region including Sobaeksan, Songnisan, and Woraksan National Parks were calculated to assess effect of climate change on the forest fire potential- severity of annual maximum KBDI and frequency of high KBDI days. The present (2000~2019) and future KBDI(2021~2040, 2041~2060, 2081~2090) were calculated based on the meteorological observation and the ensemble regional climate model of the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios with a spatial resolution of 1-km provided by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, 6.5℃ increase and 14% precipitation increase are expected at the end of the 21st century. The severity of maximum daily KBDI increases by 48% (+50mm), and the frequency of high KBDI days (> 100 KBDI) increases more than 100 days, which means the high potential for serious forest fires. The analysis results showed that Songnisan National Park has the highest potential for forest fire risk and will continue to be high in intensity and frequency in the future. It is expected that the forest vulnerability of the Baekdudaegan in the Chungcheong region will greatly increase and the difficulty in preventing and suppressing forest fires will increase as the abundance of combustible materials increases along with climate changes.

A copula based bias correction method of climate data

  • Gyamfi Kwame Adutwum;Eun-Sung Chung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.160-160
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    • 2023
  • Generally, Global Climate Models (GCM) cannot be used directly due to their inherent error arising from over or under-estimation of climate variables compared to the observed data. Several bias correction methods have been devised to solve this problem. Most of the traditional bias correction methods are one dimensional as they bias correct the climate variables separately. One such method is the Quantile Mapping method which builds a transfer function based on the statistical differences between the GCM and observed variables. Laux et al. introduced a copula-based method that bias corrects simulated climate data by employing not one but two different climate variables simultaneously and essentially extends the traditional one dimensional method into two dimensions. but it has some limitations. This study uses objective functions to address specifically, the limitations of Laux's methods on the Quantile Mapping method. The objective functions used were the observed rank correlation function, the observed moment function and the observed likelihood function. To illustrate the performance of this method, it is applied to ten GCMs for 20 stations in South Korea. The marginal distributions used were the Weibull, Gamma, Lognormal, Logistic and the Gumbel distributions. The tested copula family include most Archimedean copula families. Five performance metrics are used to evaluate the efficiency of this method, the Mean Square Error, Root Mean Square Error, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Percent Bias, Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency and the Kullback Leibler Divergence. The results showed a significant improvement of Laux's method especially when maximizing the observed rank correlation function and when maximizing a combination of the observed rank correlation and observed moments functions for all GCMs in the validation period.

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Predictability of Sea Surface Temperature in the Northwestern Pacific simulated by an Ocean Mid-range Prediction System (OMIDAS): Seasonal Difference (북서태평양 중기해양예측모형(OMIDAS) 해면수온 예측성능: 계절적인 차이)

  • Jung, Heeseok;Kim, Yong Sun;Shin, Ho-Jeong;Jang, Chan Joo
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2021
  • Changes in a marine environment have a broad socioeconomic implication on fisheries and their relevant industries so that there has been a growing demand for the medium-range (months to years) prediction of the marine environment Using a medium-range ocean prediction model (Ocean Mid-range prediction System, OMIDAS) for the northwest Pacific, this study attempted to assess seasonal difference in the mid-range predictability of the sea surface temperature (SST), focusing on the Korea seas characterized as a complex marine system. A three-month re-forecast experiment was conducted for each of the four seasons in 2016 starting from January, forced with Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) forecast data. The assessment using relative root-mean-square-error was taken for the last month SST of each experiment. Compared to the CFSv2, the OMIDAS revealed a better prediction skill for the Korea seas SST, particularly in the Yellow sea mainly due to a more realistic representation of the topography and current systems. Seasonally, the OMIDAS showed better predictability in the warm seasons (spring and summer) than in the cold seasons (fall and winter), suggesting seasonal dependency in predictability of the Korea seas. In addition, the mid-range predictability for the Korea seas significantly varies depending on regions: the predictability was higher in the East Sea than in the Yellow Sea. The improvement in the seasonal predictability for the Korea seas by OMIDAS highlights the importance of a regional ocean modeling system for a medium-range marine prediction.

Potential of regression models in projecting sea level variability due to climate change at Haldia Port, India

  • Roshni, Thendiyath;K., Md. Sajid;Samui, Pijush
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 2017
  • Higher prediction efficacy is a very challenging task in any field of engineering. Due to global warming, there is a considerable increase in the global sea level. Through this work, an attempt has been made to find the sea level variability due to climate change impact at Haldia Port, India. Different statistical downscaling techniques are available and through this paper authors are intending to compare and illustrate the performances of three regression models. The models: Wavelet Neural Network (WNN), Minimax Probability Machine Regression (MPMR), Feed-Forward Neural Network (FFNN) are used for projecting the sea level variability due to climate change at Haldia Port, India. Model performance indices like PI, RMSE, NSE, MAPE, RSR etc were evaluated to get a clear picture on the model accuracy. All the indices are pointing towards the outperformance of WNN in projecting the sea level variability. The findings suggest a strong recommendation for ensembled models especially wavelet decomposed neural network to improve projecting efficiency in any time series modeling.

Changes in the Tsushima Warm Current and the Impact under a Global Warming Scenario in Coupled Climate Models (기후모델에 나타난 미래기후에서 쓰시마난류의 변화와 그 영향)

  • Choi, A-Ra;Park, Young-Gyu;Choi, Hui Jin
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2013
  • In this study we investigated changes in the Tsushima Warm Current (TWC) under the global warming scenario RCP 4.5 by analysing the results from the World Climate Research Program's (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Among the four models that had been employed to analyse the Tsushima Warm Current during the 20th Century, in the CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 and HadGEM2-CC models the transports of the Tsushima Warm Current were 2.8 Sv and 2.1 Sv, respectively, and comparable to observed transport, which is between 2.4 and 2.77 Sv. In the other two models the transports were much greater or smaller than the observed estimates. Using the two models that properly reproduced the transport of the Tsushima Warm Current we investigated the response of the current under the global warming scenario. In both models the volume transports and the temperature were greater in the future climate scenario. Warm advection into the East Sea was intensified to raise the temperature and consequently the heat loss to the air.

Effects of Ethical Climate on Job Satisfaction of Clinical Dental Hygienists (윤리풍토가 일부 임상치과위생사 직무만족에 미치는 영향)

  • Cheon, Seok-Yeon;Hwang, Chang-Ju
    • Journal of Korean society of Dental Hygiene
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.515-524
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study is to investigate whether the ethical climate affects the job satisfaction of the clinical dental hygienists. Methods: A self-reported questionnaire was filled out by 207 dental hygienists. The data were analyzed by t-test or one-way ANOVA, multiple regression analysis, and Pearson's correlation analysis using IBM SPSS Statistics 19.0 program. Results: The factors affecting the job satisfaction of the general and ethical climate were the work experiences, the completion of vocational ethics education, the self interest type, the friendship type, the rule and the procedure type. When working experience and vocational ethics education are completed, self interest type and friend type have improved job satisfaction as the score increases, while job satisfaction is lowered as the rule and procedure type are increased. Conclusions: Since healthy ethical climate correlates with job satisfaction, it is necessary to establish an ethical climate in order to improve the job satisfaction of clinical dental hygienists. Efficient and stable management of ethical climate within dental clinics can be achieved when mutual interests are emphasized and respected rather than obedience is empathized to hospital regulations, procedures and policies.

The Impact of Organizational Climate on Organizational Reputation - The Mediating Role of Organizational Health: An Empirical Study from Jordan

  • AL HARAISA, Yazan Emnawer;AL-HARAIZAH, Ahed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2021
  • The current study's objective isto determine the impact of organizational climate on organizational reputation in the context of organizational health as a mediating variable, in a case study of textile enterprises in Jordan that are listed on the Industrial Qualified zones. The study population contains (12) companies, according to the industrial qualified zones, with 317 employees who are working at CEO, deputy CEO, and supervisor positions chosen through convenience sampling. While the final sample of the current study consists of 174. Furthermore, to test the current study's hypotheses, the Smart Partial Least Square (PLS) technique was applied. Additionally, the current study concludes that there is a positive impact of organizational climate on organizational reputation. The current study shows that organizational climate has a positive impact on organizational health and organizational health has a positive impact on organizational reputation. Moreover, there is the mediation impact of organizational health on the relationship between organizational climate and organizational reputation. Based on the results of the current study, the study proposes that the level of organizational climate, organizational health, and organizational reputation in the examined companies be enhanced and increased.

The Perception about the Climate of the Korean Peninsula by Westerners Visited in Enlightenment Period (1876~1910) (개화기(1876~1910) 서양인이 본 한반도 기후 해석)

  • Shin, Jieun;Chun, Youngsin;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.161-181
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    • 2012
  • The Enlightenment period (1876~1910) of Joseon was the age of turbulence in terms of introduction of the Western science and technology. The interaction of modern and oriental science in the enlightenment period can be got insights from the records of Westerners. This study especially focuses to the viewpoints of Western visitors toward the weather and climate of the Korean peninsula. As a result, there are three characteristics in Westerners' awareness of Korean climate: quantitative records using numeric; interpretation of weather in the system of the modern science; and the distinct records about rainfall. In conclusion, from these result, it can be suggested that the Western visitors systematically grasped the climate of Korean peninsula.

Impacts of Climate Change and Financial Support on Household Livelihoods: Evidence from the Northwest Sub-Region of Vietnam

  • DO, Thi Thu Hien;NGUYEN, Thi Lan Anh;NGUYEN, Thi Hoai Phuong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2022
  • The study's goal is to determine the amount of climate change's impact on ethnic minority (EM) households' livelihoods, as well as their adaptability to climate change and long-term viability. The research was conducted in Vietnam's Northwestern Sub-region, where ethnic minorities account for more than half of the overall population. The study uses a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods based on a survey of 480 households in 04 provinces severely affected by climate change in the Northwest sub-region of Vietnam. The results show that: climate change (extreme weather events) occurs with increasing frequency, mainly affecting the life expectancy, health, and capital of households; Vulnerable groups (women, ethnic minorities) have a poor adaptive capacity and mainly suffer the consequences of shocks, are afraid to change their livelihoods; Microfinance plays an important role in enhancing the sustainability of livelihoods through increasing capital and financial assets and reducing the vulnerability of ethnic minority households. Finally, research has some solutions for microfinance - special credit specifically for ethnic minority households in the Northwest Sub-region: support for microfinance advice, home credit with transition orientations to adapt to climate change response and relieves its impact on the social lives.