• Title/Summary/Keyword: Choice prediction

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A Exploratory Study on the Determinants Predicting Student Depature of Freshmen: Focusing on the Case of S University (대학 신입생 중도탈락 예측 요인 분석: S대학 사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Eun-jung;Lee, Jeong-hun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.317-330
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to derive the main factors for predicting student departure of university freshmen and provide the basis for establishing policies to prevent student departure at the institutional level. For this purpose, a random forest model is developed with the data observed for 2 years at a four-year private university in Seoul. In the prediction model, 6 variables of school adjustment factors and 12 variables of institution satisfaction factors are applied. The top 6 variables presenting the highest MDA turn out to be emotional stability, financial conditions, assurance in the choice of major, satisfaction with the choice of university, educational method(systematic teaching method), educational method(effectiveness of major education). Based on the results of this study, it is suggested the necessity of institutional design supporting freshmen to adapt to university life and stably continue their studies.

Design of a Hybrid Data Value Predictor with Dynamic Classification Capability in Superscalar Processors (슈퍼스칼라 프로세서에서 동적 분류 능력을 갖는 혼합형 데이타 값 예측기의 설계)

  • Park, Hee-Ryong;Lee, Sang-Jeong
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.741-751
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    • 2000
  • To achieve high performance by exploiting instruction level parallelism aggressively in superscalar processors, it is necessary to overcome the limitation imposed by control dependences and data dependences which prevent instructions from executing parallel. Value prediction is a technique that breaks data dependences by predicting the outcome of an instruction and executes speculatively its data dependent instruction based on the predicted outcome. In this paper, a hybrid value prediction scheme with dynamic classification mechanism is proposed. We design a hybrid predictor by combining the last predictor, a stride predictor and a two-level predictor. The choice of a predictor for each instruction is determined by a dynamic classification mechanism. This makes each predictor utilized more efficiently than the hybrid predictor without dynamic classification mechanism. To show performance improvements of our scheme, we simulate the SPECint95 benchmark set by using execution-driven simulator. The results show that our scheme effect reduce of 45% hardware cost and 16% prediction accuracy improvements comparing with the conventional hybrid prediction scheme and two-level value prediction scheme.

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A study of an effective teaching of listening comprehension (영어 청해력 향상을 위한 효율적인 학습 지도 방안)

  • Park, Chan-Shik
    • English Language & Literature Teaching
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    • no.1
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    • pp.69-108
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    • 1995
  • Listening comprehension can be defined as a process of an integrative, positive and creative activity through which listeners get the message of speakers' production using linguistic or non-linguistic redundancy as well as linguistic or non-linguistic knowledge. Compared with reading comprehension, it has many difficulties especially for foreigners. while it can be transferred to the other skills: speaking, reading, writing. With this said, listening comprehension can be taught effectively using the following teaching strategies. First. systematic and intensive instruction of segmental phonemes, suprasegmental phonemes and sound changes must be given to remove the difficulties of listening comprehension concerned with the identification of sounds. Second, vocabulary drill through various games and other activities is absolutely needed until words can be unconsciously recognized. Without this, comprehension is almost impossible. Third, instruction of sentence structures is thought to be essential considering grammar is supplementary to listening comprehension and reading comprehension for academic purpose. So grammar translation drills, mechanical drills, meaningful drills and communicative drills should be performed in succession with common or frequently used structures. Fourth, listening activities for overall comprehension should teach how to receive overall meaning of intended messages intact. Linguists and literatures have listed some specific activities as follows: Total Physical Response, dictation, role playing, singing songs, selective listening, picture recognition, list activities, completion, prediction, true or false choice, multiple choice, seeking of specific information, summarizing, problem-solving and decision-making, recognization of relationships between speakers, recognition of mood, attitude and behavior of speakers.

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Analysis of Steady State Error on Simple FLC (단순 FLC의 정상상태오차 해석)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Woong;Choi, Han-Soo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.897-901
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a TS (Takagi-Sugeno) type FLC (Fuzzy Logic Controller) with only 3 rules. The choice of parameters of FLC is very difficult job on design FLC controller. Therefore, the choice of appropriate linguistic variable is an important part of the design of fuzzy controller. However, since fuzzy controller is nonlinear, it is difficult to analyze mathematically the affection of the linguistic variable. So this choice is depend on the expert's experience and trial and error method. In the design of the system, we use a variety of response characteristics like stability, rising time, overshoot, settling time, steady-state error. In particular, it is important for a stable system design to predict the steady-state error because the system's steady-state response of the system is related to the overall quality. In this paper, we propose the method to choose the consequence linear equation's parameter of T-S type FLC in the view of steady-state error. The parameters of consequence linear equations of FLC are tuned according to the system error that is the input of FLC. The full equation of T-S type FLC is presented and using this equation, the relation between output and parameters can represented. As well as the FLC parameters of consequence linear equations affect the stability of the system, it also affects the steady-state error. In this study, The system according to the parameter of consequence linear equations of FLC predict the steady-state error and the method to remove the system's steady-state error is proposed using the prediction error value. The simulation is carried out to determine the usefulness of the proposed method.

Research about Choice Attribution Customers make in Food & Beverage Events (식음료 이벤트의 고객 선택속성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Hun;Jin, Yang-Ho
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.32-45
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    • 2004
  • This study is about choice attribution of customers make in food and beverage events. The researcher provided practical plans to uplift food-related enterprises and activate management through surveys and positive analyses, targeting customers who use food services. First of all, all event plans must include customer demands, social changes, special qualities of the business, and market research. Second, low demand season must be customers will be induced to the events. Third, prediction for market variable and solutions must be thoroughly examined and plans should look into the future to maintain a long period of time. Fourth, sufficient communication between planners and employees should be made before the event starts, so that food and beverage businesses can gain trust and quality of event services.Fifth, immaterial service and visible goods/menus in business of food and beverage events must be closely matched. Sixth, menus introducing a variety of merchandise, quality of nutrition and health of the business should be developed. Also, events from countries(regions) should be hold to create a market of cultural exchange. Seventh, for hereafter event plans, feedbacks are needed concerning customers needs and demands through customer care, after the food and beverage events. Eight, faculty management for convenience, kindness, safety, and life preserver accommodations in parking areas must be made, as automobiles are necessaries for people in Mycar era. The ninth, off-line and on-line care through on-line business construction and production of homepage must be done, due to the fact that even the well-made events are bound to fail if they are not delivered to the customers.

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Win/Lose Prediction System : Predicting Baseball Game Results using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model (혼합형 기계 학습 모델을 이용한 프로야구 승패 예측 시스템)

  • 홍석미;정경숙;정태충
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.693-698
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    • 2003
  • Every baseball game generates various records and on the basis of those records, win/lose prediction about the next game is carried out. Researches on win/lose predictions of professional baseball games have been carried out, but there are not so good results yet. Win/lose prediction is very difficult because the choice of features on win/lose predictions among many records is difficult and because the complexity of a learning model is increased due to overlapping factors among the data used in prediction. In this paper, learning features were chosen by opinions of baseball experts and a heuristic function was formed using the chosen features. We propose a hybrid model by creating a new value which can affect predictions by combining multiple features, and thus reducing a dimension of input value which will be used for backpropagation learning algorithm. As the experimental results show, the complexity of backpropagation was reduced and the accuracy of win/lose predictions on professional baseball games was improved.

Prediction of negative peak wind pressures on roofs of low-rise building

  • Rao, K. Balaji;Anoop, M.B.;Harikrishna, P.;Rajan, S. Selvi;Iyer, Nagesh R.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.623-647
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, a probability distribution which is consistent with the observed phenomenon at the roof corner and, also on other portions of the roof, of a low-rise building is proposed. The model is consistent with the choice of probability density function suggested by the statistical thermodynamics of open systems and turbulence modelling in fluid mechanics. After presenting the justification based on physical phenomenon and based on statistical arguments, the fit of alpha-stable distribution for prediction of extreme negative wind pressure coefficients is explored. The predictions are compared with those actually observed during wind tunnel experiments (using wind tunnel experimental data obtained from the aerodynamic database of Tokyo Polytechnic University), and those predicted by using Gumbel minimum and Hermite polynomial model. The predictions are also compared with those estimated using a recently proposed non-parametric model in regions where stability criterion (in skewness-kurtosis space) is satisfied. From the comparisons, it is noted that the proposed model can be used to estimate the extreme peak negative wind pressure coefficients. The model has an advantage that it is consistent with the physical processes proposed in the literature for explaining large fluctuations at the roof corners.

Decision-Making based on Uncertain Information in a Beer Distribution Game U sing the Taguchi Method (맥주매송게임에서 다구찌 방법에 의한 불확실 정보 기반 의사결정 연구)

  • Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2010
  • Information is known to be a key element for the successful operation of a supply chain, which is required of the efficient ordering strategies and accurate predictions of demands. This study proposes a method to effectively utilize the meteorological forecast information in order to make decisions about ordering and prediction of demands by using the Taguchi experimental design. It is supposed that each echelon in a supply chain determines the order quantity with the prediction of precipitation in the next day based on probability forecast information. The precipitation event is predicted when the probability of the precipitation exceeds a chosen threshold. Accordingly, the choice of the threshold affect the performances of a supply chain. The Taguchi method is adopted to deduce a set of thresholds for echelons which is least sensitive to changes in environmental conditions, such as variability of demand distributions and production periods. A simulation of the beer distribution game was conducted to show that the set of thresholds found by the Taguchi method can reduce the cumulative chain cost, which consists of inventory and backlog costs.

Prediction of Jamming Techniques by Using LSTM (LSTM을 이용한 재밍 기법 예측)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Hoon;Jo, Jeil;Park, Cheong Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.278-286
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    • 2019
  • Conventional methods for selecting jamming techniques in electronic warfare are based on libraries in which a list of jamming techniques for radar signals is recorded. However, the choice of jamming techniques by the library is limited when modified signals are received. In this paper, we propose a method to predict the jamming technique for radar signals by using deep learning methods. Long short-term memory(LSTM) is a deep running method which is effective for learning the time dependent relationship in sequential data. In order to determine the optimal LSTM model structure for jamming technique prediction, we test the learning parameter values that should be selected, such as the number of LSTM layers, the number of fully-connected layers, optimization methods, the size of the mini batch, and dropout ratio. Experimental results demonstrate the competent performance of the LSTM model in predicting the jamming technique for radar signals.

A New Approach to Load Shedding Prediction in GECOL Using Deep Learning Neural Network

  • Abusida, Ashraf Mohammed;Hancerliogullari, Aybaba
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.220-228
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    • 2022
  • The directed tests produce an expectation model to assist the organization's heads and professionals with settling on the right and speedy choice. A directed deep learning strategy has been embraced and applied for SCADA information. In this paper, for the load shedding expectation overall power organization of Libya, a convolutional neural network with multi neurons is utilized. For contributions of the neural organization, eight convolutional layers are utilized. These boundaries are power age, temperature, stickiness and wind speed. The gathered information from the SCADA data set were pre-handled to be ready in a reasonable arrangement to be taken care of to the deep learning. A bunch of analyses has been directed on this information to get a forecast model. The created model was assessed as far as precision and decrease of misfortune. It tends to be presumed that the acquired outcomes are promising and empowering. For assessment of the outcomes four boundary, MSE, RMSE, MAPE and R2 are determined. The best R2 esteem is gotten for 1-overlap and it was 0.98.34 for train information and for test information is acquired 0.96. Additionally for train information the RMSE esteem in 1-overlap is superior to different Folds and this worth was 0.018.