• Title/Summary/Keyword: Choice prediction

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The Mechanism of the Influence of Advanced Selling on Consumer Choice (사전예약을 통한 구매결정이 소비자의 선택에 미치는 영향력의 작동원리에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ho;Lee, Hyoung-Tark;Seo, Heon-Joo
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - In recent, a research finds that advanced selling can influence a consumer's choice(Kim et al., 2013). Advanced selling is defined as the new product launching strategy which company allows consumers to preorder new product before its release(Chu & Zhang, 2011). Prior researches have focused on the benefits of advanced selling(e.g., information gathering for demand prediction, an advantage for pricing strategy, and so on) for companies using this strategy(Chen, 2001; Chu & Zhang, 2011; Li & Zhang, 2013; Tang et al., 2004; Xie & Shugan, 2009). However, Kim et al.(2013) find it can also influence a consumer's choice. In detail, they suggest that when consumers use advanced selling, they are likely to prefer high-performance options rather than low-price options based on construal level theory(Trope & Liberman, 2003). In this paper, we tried to expand the prior researches for finding the mechanism of the influence of advanced selling on a consumer's choice. The purpose of this research is to test the mediating effect on the influence of advanced selling. Research design, data, and methodology - To find the mechanism of the influence of advanced selling, we designed an experiment for testing mediation effect. we recruited 93 students from a university. We assigned participants into one of two groups using randomization method. The participants with each group were given a scenario describing the sales strategy. Finally, they made a choice between high-performance option and low-price option. Sequentially, they also responded some questions for testing mediation effect. Results - First, we replicated prior research to test the influence of advanced selling. As a result, we could find that consumers prefer the high-performance option when they preorder it to purchase at the time of consumption. Thus, the replication result is the same as prior research. Second, we tested that advanced selling can influence the perception of temporal distance. The results confirmed that consumers perceived longer temporal distance in advanced selling condition(β = 1.575, SE = 0.272, p < 0.001). Third, we predicted that temporal distance can increase the importance of desirable attributes and decrease the importance of feasible attributes. The results suggested that temporal distance decreased significantly the importance of attributes related to feasibility(β = -0.19, SE = 0.07, p < 0.01), however, it had non-significant effect on increasing the importance of desirable attributes. Finally, we used Sobel-test for testing mediation effect, and it confirmed that the importance of feasible attributes had mediating role of the influence of advanced selling(Sobel test statistic = -2.110, SE = 0.111, p < 0.05). Conclusions - In this paper, we tried to find the mechanism of the influence on advanced selling from a consumer's choice. With an experiment, we confirmed that the importance of feasible attributes could mediate the effect on advanced selling. Therefore, we suggested some theoretical and practical contributions from this research. Finally, we discussed research limitations and suggested future research topics.

Effects of Self Message Type and Incidental Pride Type on Product Purchase Intention (제품의 구매의도에 대한 자아 메시지의 유형과 환경적 프라이드의 유형의 효과)

  • CHOI, Nak-Hwan
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.53-65
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - Current study aimed at investigating the effects of the choice easiness as a thought triggered at the time of making decision and the goal achievement emotion as a prediction of how consumers feel in the state of achieving consumption goal on brand purchase intention. And It also explored moderation role of incidental pride type such as ambient hubris pride and ambient authentic pride felt before the event in the effects of message type such as self-verifying message and self-enhancing message on the choice easiness and the goal achievement emotion. Research design, data, and methodology - Message type was divided into self-verifying message and self-enhancing message. Incidental pride type was divided into hubris and authentic pride. Smart mobile phone was selected for empirical study. And the experiment was performed with 2(pride type: hubristic versus authentic) × 2(message type: self-verifying message versus self-enhancing message) between-subjects design. Questionnaires from 215 undergraduate students were used to test hypotheses by Macro process model 7. The hypotheses were tested at each of self-verifying message group and self-enhancing message group. Results - First, both choice easiness and goal achievement emotion positively influenced on the purchase intention at both self-verifying message group and self-enhancing message group. Second, at self-verifying message group, the positive effects of self verification on both choice easiness and goal achievement emotion were higher to the customers under incidental hubris pride than to those under incidental authentic pride customers. Third, at self-enhancing message group, the positive effects of self enhancement on goal achievement emotion were higher to the customers under incidental authentic pride than to those under incidental hubris pride. However, at self-enhancing message group, the positive effects of self enhancement on choice easiness (goal achievement emotion) were not higher (higher) to the customers under incidental authentic pride than to those under incidental hubris pride. Conclusions - Focusing on the results of this study, to promote their brand purchase intention, brand managers should use self-enhancing message to induce goal achievement emotion from incidental authentic pride customers. And the brand managers should develop and use self-verifying message to induce choice easiness as well as goal achievement emotion from hubris pride customers, which in turn, promote their brand purchase intention.

Prediction of Outdoor Railway Noise by Using SONICS (SONICS를 이용한 철도변 소음예측)

  • 김정태;이규철
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.353-360
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    • 1998
  • SONICS is the software developed by authors. The program provides the noise level in outdoors due to various noise source types : construction machines including blast sources, railroad vehicles and automobiles. It operates in the Windows system. Since the software is compiled by using Visual C++ 4.0, users can un the program interactively. Also SONICS uses Windows dialog-box and choice-button so that a novice user can easily implement the program for the enviromental noise planning.

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A Study on the Prediction and Control of Welding Deformation of the BRACKET TILT in Automotive Parts (I) - Experimental Examination- (자동차 부품 BRACKET TILT의 용접변형 예측 및 제어에 관한 연구 (I) - 실험적 검토-)

  • 장경복;김하근;강성수
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.97-103
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    • 1998
  • The bracket tilt among automobile parts is weld parts which construct the column assembly bracket tilt of equipments and accurate dimension after welding is more essential than weldment strength. By the way, it is insufficient that systematic study about this parts which have an importance on welding deformation. The reason is that welding deformation is complex problem with shape, size, material of parts and welding sequence, conditions etc. For reduction and removal of welding deformation, therefore, it is necessary that the security of welding deformation data and systematic examination about equipment, costs, work environment, manufacturing process etc. It is all the better that the prediction of welding deformation using simulation of welding process by FEA is supplemented. In this study, the countermeasure for this welding deformation of bracket tilt is brought up through experimental inspection before the choice of the optimum welding conditions with minimum welding deformation by simulation of welding process.

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Evaluation of the Block Effects in Response Surface Designs with Random Block Effects over Cuboidal Regions

  • Park, Sang-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.741-757
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    • 2000
  • In may experimental situations, whenever a block design is used, the block effect is usually considered to be fixed. There are, however, experimental situations in which it should be treated as random. The choice of a blocking arrangement for a response surface design can have a considerable effect on estimating the mean response and on the size of he prediction variance even if the experimental runs re the same. Therefore, care should be exercised in the selection of blocks. In this paper, in the presence of a random block effect, we propose a graphical method or evaluating the effect of blocking in response surface designs using cuboidal regions. This graphical method can be used to investigate how the blocking has influence on the prediction variance throughout all experimental regions of interest when this region is cuboidal, and compare the block effects in the cases of the orthogonal and non-orthogonal block designs, respectively.

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A Measure for Evaluating the Effect of Blocking in Response Surface Designs Using Cuboidal Regions (입방형 영역을 사용한 반응표면계획에서 블록효과를 평가하기 위한 측도)

  • 박상현;장대흥
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.59-79
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    • 1999
  • The fitting of a response surface model and the subsequent exploration of the response surface are usually based on the assumption that the experimental runs are carried out under homogeneous conditions. This, however, may be quite often difficult to achieve in many experiments. To control such an extraneous source of variation, the response surface design should be arranged in several blocks within which homogeneity of conditions can be maintained. In this case, when fitting a response surface model, the least squares estimates of the model's parameters and the prediction variance will generally depend on how the response surface design is blocked. That is, the choice of a blocking arrangement for a response surface design can have a considerable effect on estimating the mean response and on the size of the prediction variance. In this paper, we propose a measure for evaluating the effect of blocking of response surface designs using cuboidal regions.

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Application of ANFIS for Prediction of Daily Water Supply (상수도 1일 급수량 예측을 위한 ANFIS적용)

  • Rhee, Kyoung-Hoon;Kang, Il-Hwan;Moon, Byoung-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.281-290
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    • 2000
  • This study investigates the prediction of daily water supply, which is a necessary for the efficient management of water distribution system. ANFIS, namely artificial intelligence, is a neural network into which fuzzy information is inputted and then processed. In this study, daily water supply was predicted through an application of network-based fuzzy inference system(ANFIS) for daily water supply prediction. This study was investigated methods for predicting water supply based on data about the amount of water which supplied in Kwangju city. For variables choice, four analyses of input data were conducted: correlation analysis, autocorrelation analysis, partial autocorrelation analysis, and cross-correlation analysis. Input variables were (a) the amount of water supply, (b) the mean temperature, and (c) the population of the area supplied with water. Variables were combined in an integrated model. Data of the amount of daily water supply only was modelled and its validity was verified in the case that the meteorological office of weather forecast is not always reliable. Proposed models include accidental cases such as a suspension of water supply. The maximum error rate between the estimation of the model and the actual measurement was 18.46% and the average error was lower than 2.36%. The model is expected to be a real-time estimation of the operational control of water works and water/drain pipes.

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Water Quality Prediction of Chungju Reguration Reservoir by WASP Model (WASP 모형에 의한 충주댐 조정지호의 수질예측)

  • Chang, In-Soo;Park, Ki-Bum;Lee, Won-Ho;Kim, Ji-Hak
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.683-690
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    • 2009
  • The water quality of reservoir can be controled by water quality prediction model because it can not only grasping the present water state but also predicting the water quality in future. In this study, WASP model is used to predict the water quality of Chungju reguration reservoir. This model has some special option which predicts the pollutant outflow phenomenon caused by the contamination sources. So this model is widely used because that can present the scientific basis in this field. This model can help the managers make the right choice of water quality policy. Environmental grade of Chungju reguration reservoir is in III,IV grade which is in bad condition comparatively. The water contamination will be in poor as the year passes. When considering T-N, T-P which are the nutrient to control eutrophication, the concentrated administration about contamination sources is in urgent.

Rain Attenuation over Terrestrial Microwave Links at 18 GHz as Compared with Prediction by ITU-R Model

  • Shrestha, Sujan;Lee, Jung-Jae;Kim, Sun-Woong;Choi, Dong-You
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2017
  • Absorption of microwave radio frequency signal by atmospheric rain is prevalent at frequencies above 10 GHz. This paper presents the studies on rain attenuation at 18 GHz for 3.2 km experimental link between Khumdang (Korea Telecom, KT station) and Icheon (National Radio Research Agency, RRA station). The received signal data for rain attenuation and rain rate were collected at 10 second intervals over a three year periods from 2013 to 2015. Out of several models, the paper present discussion and comparison of ITU-R P.530-16 model, Moupfouma model, Da Silva Mello model along with suitable rain attenuation prediction method. The limitation of research lies on the experimental system that is set up in only one location, however, the preliminary results indicate the application of suitable 1-minute rain attenuation model for specific site. The method provides useful information for microwave engineers and researchers in making decision over the choice of most suitable rain attenuation prediction in terrestrial links.

Fiber element-based nonlinear analysis of concrete bridge piers with consideration of permanent displacement

  • Ansari, Mokhtar;Daneshjoo, Farhad;Safiey, Amir;Hamzehkolaei, Naser Safaeian;Sorkhou, Maryam
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.69 no.3
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    • pp.243-255
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    • 2019
  • Utilization of fiber beam-column element has gained considerable attention in recent years due mainly to its ability to model distributed plasticity over the length of the element through a number of integration points. However, the relatively high sensitivity of the method to modeling parameters as well as material behavior models can pose a significant challenge. Residual drift is one of the seismic demands which is highly sensitive to modeling parameters and material behavior models. Permanent deformations play a prominent role in the post-earthquake evaluation of serviceability of bridges affected by a near-fault ground shaking. In this research, the influence of distributed plasticity modeling parameters using both force-based and displacement-based fiber elements in the prediction of internal forces obtained from the nonlinear static analysis is studied. Having chosen suitable type and size of elements and number of integration points, the authors take the next step by investigating the influence of material behavioral model employed for the prediction of permanent deformations in the nonlinear dynamic analysis. The result shows that the choice of element type and size, number of integration points, modification of cyclic concrete behavior model and reloading strain of concrete significantly influence the fidelity of fiber element method for the prediction of permanent deformations.