• Title/Summary/Keyword: Chinese GDP

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The analysis for an effect influence between a China's regional firm's export and economic growth - Focused on China economy after the direction of Chinese reform - (중국의 지역별 수출과 경제성장 간의 영향관계 분석 -개혁개방 이후의 중국경제를 중심으로-)

  • Song, Jun;Kim, Soo-Eun;Hwang, Yun-Seop
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.239-265
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    • 2010
  • After reform and openness action, china has been recorded high rate of increasing in export and continuous economic growth. Also their role in the international economy has been rise. The major reason of these incredible growth of China is the openness by a trade, after all the economic growth of China is evaluated an export-led growth. But, some insist that the growth of China has been accomplished by a domestic-based economy not but an export-led economy. For verification of former insists, using a yearly data, China exports and GDP, from 1979 to 2007 and performs time-series to examine an existence of causality between China's regional exports and GDP. As result of analysis, GDP and exports have two-way causality significantly when not considering region case. After the direction of Chinese reform, the east region has a strong significant relation, which support that export-led growth. While, middle and west region has weak causality between exports and GDP.

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An Analysis of Factors Influencing on Chinese Agricultural Exports to Korea (중국 농수산품의 대(對)한국 수출 영향요인 분석)

  • Ji-Eun Pyeon;Eun-Young Nam
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to analyze the factors influencing exports of agricultural products(HS01~HS24) from China to Korea by estimating the gravity model with panel data from 31 provinces in China. The results of the empirical analysis from the panel Tobit model are as follows: The effects of GDP and GDP per capita on agricultural exports are reversed, but their impacts are different on exports of each product, notably HS03, HS07 and HS20. As expected, distance decreases Chinese agricultural exports, and the impact of the relative exchange rate variable is also statistically significant, although it differs from product to product. However, differences in latitude, which considers the heterogeneity of climate and agricultural production conditions between Korea and each Chinese region, does not seem to affect agricultural exports to Korea. The road length, which affects the logistical conditions of each province in China, is not statistically significant either. On the other hand, increases in the number of Chinese visitors to Korea raises the amount of Chinese agricultural exports, including exports of HS03 and HS20. The results also shows that after the Korea-China FTA agreements, agricultural exports have actually decreased, especially exports of non-processed agricultural products, such as HS07.

Base Metal's Price Hike and Chinese Economic Growth (Base Metal 가격상승과 중국의 경제성장)

  • Lee, Hyun-Bock
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.523-528
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    • 2010
  • With the financial crisis from USA had negative impacts on the real economy, base metals price on LME was downward in 4 quarter of 2008. Following the deepest global downturn in recent history, economic growth solidified and broadened to advanced countries and simultaneously the price of base metal on LME showed a rising curve over 2009. There are three factors supported an upward tendency of base metal's price. The First factor is the US economy recovery, the second factor is the weak dollar, the third factor is the chinese base metal demand. Among the factors, the last one is a major factor. Therefore, this study analyze the factor of the movement of price of base metal with linear regression analysis. The result of analysis show that the chinese GDP growth has effect on the recent upward base metal price. Despite the result, the upward movement is difficult to be sustained without the full recovery of advanced economies.

A Study on Evaluation of the Potential of Omni-Channel Market in China by Region (중국의 지역별 옴니채널시장 잠재력 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Seok-Mo;Lee, Choong-Bae
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.131-152
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    • 2018
  • This study evaluates the potential by Chines region for entry of Korean logistics companies and retailers. The variables affecting e-commerce business and retail sales concerning the Chinese omni-channel market were extracted from a thorough literature review. Empirical analyses for variables based on 31 regions in China were performed. Results show that e-commerce is affected by disposable income and internet traffic and that retail sales are affected by urban and rural population, GRDP and urbanization. In addition, we performed variance decomposition analysis in order to estimate responses of logistics GDP(transport, storage and communication) and the number of Chinese mobile users. Exogenous shocks to logistics GDP and the number of mobile phone users play a strong role in explaining the forecast error of express service variance over time. Based on our results, we suggest 7 potential regions(Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Beijing, Shanghai, Liaoning and Shandong) as well as managerial implications for entry into China for logistics companies and retailers.

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An Analysis of Chinese Technology Billionaires (중국의 기술업 억만장자 분석)

  • Sun, Yunhao;Seol, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1577-1605
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes China's technology billionaires. However, this study does not show the accumulating process of wealth in each of the Chinese billionaires, because there are many technology billionaires, but only deals with the macro analysis of the technology billionaire; the pattern of existence, comparison with other industries, the process of wealth creation reflecting China's particularity, and comparison with the world's technology billionaires. The findings of this study are as follows. First, more than 10 billion yuan of Chinese billionaires will emerge from 2004. Second, in the early days, illegal and corruption made rich, but the wealth of own efforts has gradually increased. Third, the real estate and manufacturing billionaires are still strong overall, but the growth of billionaires in technology, medicine and finance industry is remarkable. Fourth, in the case of the top 10 richest, four are from real estate, four from technology, and two from manufacturing and distribution. Most technology billionaires are in Guangdong, Zhejiang, Beijing and Shanghai. The determinants of the number of billionaires are GDP, exchange rate to US Dollar and Shenzen Stock Index, and those of technology billionaire are GDP and exchange rate. Given the relationship with existing theories, this study can be called the fifth type of billionaire research. Conceptually, the main reason for accumulating wealth is the search for policy opportunities, market opportunities and technology opportunities.

A Study on Estimating Tourism Elasticities using Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) model (ARDL 모형을 이용한 관광탄력성 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2017
  • This study was to investigate the elasticity in tourism demand of Chinese tourists visiting Malaysia through ARDL models by using Chinese tourists arrivals, GDP, CPI, transportation costs and others. When China was implementing an open-door policy with foreign countries in the early 15th century, the movement of Chinese was very limited, and then communication between China and other countries was very weak. However, the Chinese government persistently and entirely implemented an open-door policy by participating in the World Trade Organization(WTO) in 2001. The Chinese government has opened the economy through foreign direct investment by providing various incentives for foreign investment. As a result, inbound and outbound Chinese movements increased in the early 21st century. China was one of the top five most visited tourist destinations in the world by 2016, and also Chinese tourists traveling abroad increased, so they made Malaysia a popular tourists destination because of increase sharply to around 1.41 million. This study examined the significance of major economic factors affecting the increase in Chinese tourists arriving in Malaysia. Other factors that induced their arrival included income, tourism prices, transportation costs and promotional activities. Short-run shocks from the Asian economic crisis and the outbreak of SARS were included to understand how tourism demand in Malaysia was affected. Finally this study found that the combination of the ARDL and the Error Correction Model were useful to statistically estimate the elasticities of tourism demand.

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Estimation of Port Traffic in Korea (우리나라 해상물동량 추정)

  • Jang, Bong-Gyu;Yang, Hang-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.255-274
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    • 2005
  • To acquire a port traffic, governments in North-East Asia have intensively invested port development. Furthermore, the major shipping company directly make a call at northern chinese ports like Qingdao, Dalian and Tianjin. Those changes of port environment will have a considerable effect on a port traffic in Korea. In order to prepare against those changes, it is necessary to estimate a port traffic in Korea A port traffic in Korea is estimated by the use of explanation variables like GDP of Korea, real effective exchange rate, world economic performances and the trade in China, et al. When GDP in Korea goes up 1%, it is estimated that container port traffic of all ports and Pusan Port is upward $1.0{\sim}1.2%$ and $0.8{\sim}0.9%$ respectively. When the trade in China goes up 1%, it is estimated that Container transshipment is upward $1.6{\sim}1.7%$ approximately.

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Is the RCEP a Cornerstone or Just Collaboration? Regional General Equilibrium Model Based on GAMS

  • Ahmed, Yosri Nasr;Delin, Huang;Reeberg, Benito Giovanni;Shaker, Victor
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.171-207
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This paper investigates the potential effect of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) on trade liberalization among member countries in order to answer key questions in our research on whether the RCEP will be a cornerstone or just collaboration. Furthermore, it aims to measure the likely magnitude of the economic impact it has on its members. Design/methodology - Toward achieving research objectives, we developed a regional CGE model based on the GTAP 9 database. Findings - The simulation results show Korea, Australia, India, and Japan ranked the top countries with an average growth in GDP of 0.38 %, 0.36%, 0.29%, and 0.23%, respectively. Moreover, China and New Zealand followed with a percentage of 0.12% each. The lower economic performing group is the ASEAN group due to a contraction in GDP by 0.13%. Accordingly, there was a positive impact of the RCEP agreement on all member states, as empirically demonstrated. Furthermore, Korea is one of the countries that will benefit most from joining this agreement. Finally, this agreement is important; it has many economic benefits to member states, but it is not a cornerstone. Originality/value - The examination of the quantitative effects of tariff removal among the RCEP's countries is its value. We will address all member countries of the convention simultaneously using a regional CGE model GAMS language, where we employed a Mathematical Programming System for General Equilibrium (MPSGE) to establish a Regional CGE model. This study is directed to policymakers looking at evaluating RCEP agreement.

A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Trade Efficiency for the Sino-Korea Trade

  • Gong, Wen-Chao;Li, Kan-Yong;Wang, Wen-Xia
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.20-32
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper intends to make theoretical analysis and empirical test on the factors influencing China's export to South Korea, and draw conclusions about China's export efficiency and trade potential. Based on the conclusions, the reasons for China's trade deficit with South Korea are found, and a solution is put forward for solving the problem of China's trade deficit with South Korea. Design/methodology - Based on the data of 2004-2017 years in China, this paper uses the stochastic frontier gravity model to analyze the influencing factors of China's export to South Korea, as well as the export efficiency of each province and the export potential that can be explored. Findings - First, in terms of the factors affecting China's export trade to South Korea, the GDP of the provinces and cities in China, the FDI of South Korea to the provinces and cities in China, the GDP of South Korea, the population and education level of provinces and cities in China can significantly promote the export scale of Chinese provinces and cities to South Korea. The distance between Chinese provincial capitals and the South Korean capital significantly hinders Chinese exports to South Korea; Second, in terms of export trade efficiency, the trade exchange rate of the economically developed cities along the eastern coast of China and several provinces that are close to South Korea is higher than that of the cities in the central and western regions; Third, economic globalization makes trade more convenient, the average export trade efficiency of China's exports to South Korea showed an upward trend. However, under the influence of the 2008 global financial crisis, the export trade efficiency declined from 2008 to 2009, indicating that the impact of the financial crisis on the trade efficiency cannot be ignored. Originality/value - This paper finds out the influencing factors of China's export to South Korea, analyzes the export efficiency of different provinces and cities, excavates the export potential, and puts forward some suggestions for the balanced development of China and South Korea trade in the next step.

Factors of China Art Price Formation -Focusing on contemporary artists- (중국 미술품 가격 형성 요인 실증분석 -컨템퍼러리 미술 작가 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Hyeog-In;Lee, Jae-Hwa;Lee, Jin-Kyung;Song, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.629-639
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    • 2011
  • This paper classifies factors that form Chinese contemporary art price which comes into the spotlight in the current fine art market and consider the characteristics that form price with Chinese art only. The data were analyzed applying hedonic price setting models which include market value as a dependent variable with the various characteristics that art includes as the individual factors. The result has found that Chinese contemporary art has the more effects on factors of artists than sales factors. The social factor is worthy of notice in that Chinese GDP jointly raised with the price of Chinese contemporary art. At this point that interest in and demand of Chinese contemporary art are higher, it is thought that the result of this study will raise comprehension and convincing purchase direction will be suggested to collectors.