• Title/Summary/Keyword: Change-point model

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Statistical Properties of News Coverage Data

  • Lim, Eunju;Hahn, Kyu S.;Lim, Johan;Kim, Myungsuk;Park, Jeongyeon;Yoon, Jihee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.771-780
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    • 2012
  • In the current analysis, we examine news coverage data widely used in media studies. News coverage data is usually time series data to capture the volume or the tone of the news media's coverage of a topic. We first describe the distributional properties of autoregressive conditionally heteroscadestic(ARCH) effects and compare two major American newspaper's coverage of U.S.-North Korea relations. Subsequently, we propose a change point detection model and apply it to the detection of major change points in the tone of American newspaper coverage of U.S.-North Korea relations.

A detection procedure for a variance change points in AR(1) models (AR(1) 모형에서 분산변화점의 탐지절차)

  • 류귀열;조신섭
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1987
  • In time series analysis, we usually require the assumption that time series are stationary. But we may often encounter time series whose parameter values subject to change. Inthis paper w propose a method which can detect the variance change point in anAR(1) model which is subjct to changesat non-predictable time points. Proposed method is compared with other methods using the simulated and real data.

Nodal method for handling irregularly deformed geometries in hexagonal lattice cores

  • Seongchan Kim;Han Gyu Joo;Hyun Chul Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.772-784
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    • 2024
  • The hexagonal nodal code RENUS has been enhanced to handle irregularly deformed hexagonal assemblies. The underlying RENUS methods involving triangle-based polynomial expansion nodal (T-PEN) and corner point balance (CPB) were extended in a way to use line and surface integrals of polynomials in a deformed hexagonal geometry. The nodal calculation is accelerated by the coarse mesh finite difference (CMFD) formulation extended to unstructured geometry. The accuracy of the unstructured nodal solution was evaluated for a group of 2D SFR core problems in which the assembly corner points are arbitrarily displaced. The RENUS results for the change in nuclear characteristics resulting from fuel deformation were compared with those of the reference McCARD Monte Carlo code. It turned out that the two solutions agree within 18 pcm in reactivity change and 0.46% in assembly power distribution change. These results demonstrate that the proposed unstructured nodal method can accurately model heterogeneous thermal expansion in hexagonal fueled cores.

An Analysis on Productivity Change in Environment-Friendly Farming of Fruit Vegetables (과채류 친환경 실천 농가의 생산성 변화 분석)

  • Choi, Don-Woo;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.335-345
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    • 2014
  • The productivity decrease in environment-friendly farming is the biggest obstacle for the development of environment-friendly food market. This paper aimed to analyze the productivity change in environment-friendly farming of fruit vegetables (oriental melon, watermelon, and strawberry). Box-Cox transformation model was used to infer the functional form of productivity change. The results showed that the periods of productivity restoration to 90% level in oriental melon, strawberry, and watermelon were 14.1 years, 11.4 years, and 6.0 years, respectively. The forms of productivity restoration of fruit vegetables showed differences due to their growth characteristics, incidences of crop pests, preference for the environment- friendly agricultural products, cultivation period and so on. Because the form and period of productivity restoration were different depending on kinds of fruit vegetable, the government policy should be established considering this point of view.

Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

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A Study on the Effect of Weighting Matrix of Robot Vision Control Algorithm in Robot Point Placement Task (점 배치 작업 시 제시된 로봇 비젼 제어알고리즘의 가중행렬의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Jae-Kyung;Jang, Wan-Shik;Sung, Yoon-Gyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.29 no.9
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    • pp.986-994
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    • 2012
  • This paper is concerned with the application of the vision control algorithm with weighting matrix in robot point placement task. The proposed vision control algorithm involves four models, which are the robot kinematic model, vision system model, the parameter estimation scheme and robot joint angle estimation scheme. This proposed algorithm is to make the robot move actively, even if relative position between camera and robot, and camera's focal length are unknown. The parameter estimation scheme and joint angle estimation scheme in this proposed algorithm have form of nonlinear equation. In particular, the joint angle estimation model includes several restrictive conditions. For this study, the weighting matrix which gave various weighting near the target was applied to the parameter estimation scheme. Then, this study is to investigate how this change of the weighting matrix will affect the presented vision control algorithm. Finally, the effect of the weighting matrix of robot vision control algorithm is demonstrated experimentally by performing the robot point placement.

A STUDY OF OCCLUSAL CONTACT VARIATON DUE TO CHANGE IN EACH HEAD POSITION IN NORMAL OCCLUSION (정상교합인의 두부위치변화에 따른 교합접촉점의 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hee-Cheol;Lee, Sung-Bok;Choi, Dae-Gyun;Park, Nam-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.769-779
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    • 1995
  • The understanding the nature of occlusal tooth contacts of natural dentition is important for correct diagnosis and treatment of diseases developed in stomatognatic system. Several investigator have studied the distribution of tooth contacts in maximum intercuspation and have repored contact locations with respect to the tooth position. However, there are few report the variation of the occlusal contact point with change in each head position. This study analysed the number of occlusal contact point with change in each head position. 30 subject(male 17, female 13), who ahad natural occlusion and no symptoms of temporomandibular disorder, were selected. The numbers and patterns of tooth contact were recorded by silicone bite registration on stone model at four different head positions with head anguration gauge(from the supine to the upright position). The results obtained were as follows : 1. The numbers of total occlusal contact point on teeth increased to average 25, 29, 35, 42 points as head angulation was changed from the supine to the upright position against the ala-tragus line, and there was significant difference(P<0.05). 2. In the 19 subject(65%)of total 30 subject, the perforated point of the silicone bite indicated that the locus for the prime contact point moved mesially as the head angulation was changed from the supine to the upright position. 3. On the basis of the fact that the anterior occlusal contact point increase as head angulation changed from the supine to the upright position, we could find that the mandibular position is moved anteriorly.

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Advanced Lane Change Assist System for Automatic Vehicle Control in Merging Sections : An algorithm for Optimal Lane Change Start Point Positioning (고속도로 합류구간 첨단 차로변경 보조 시스템 개발 : 최적 차로변경 시작 지점 Positioning 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Jinsoo;Jeong, Jin-han;You, Sung-Hyun;Park, Janhg-Hyon;Young, Jhang-Kyung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 2015
  • A lane change maneuver which has a high driver cognitive workload and skills sometimes leads to severe traffic accidents. In this study, the Advanced Lane Change Assist System (ALCAS) was developed to assist with the automatic lane changes in merging sections which is mainly based on an automatic control algorithm for detecting an available gap, determining the Optimal Lane Change Start Point (OLCSP) in various traffic conditions, and positioning the merging vehicle at the OLCSP safely by longitudinal automatic controlling. The analysis of lane change behavior and modeling of fundamental lane change feature were performed for determining the default parameters and the boundary conditions of the algorithm. The algorithm was composed of six steps with closed-loop. In order to confirm the algorithm performance, numerical scenario tests were performed in various surrounding vehicles conditions. Moreover, feasibility of the developed system was verified in microscopic traffic simulation(VISSIM 5.3 version). The results showed that merging vehicles using the system had a tendency to find the OLCSP readily and precisely, so improved merging performance was observed when the system was applied. The system is also effective even during increases in vehicle volume of the mainline.

Development of Automated Model of Tree Extraction Using Aerial LIDAR Data (항공 라이다 자료를 이용한 수목추출의 자동화 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Su-Jee;Park, Jin-Yi;Kim, Eui-Myoung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.3213-3219
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    • 2014
  • Currently, increase of greenhouse gas has had a signigicant impact on climate change in urbanization. As a result, the government has been looking for ways to take advantage of the trees that generate oxygen and reduce carbon dioxide for the prevention of climate change. It is essential to extract individual tree for calculating the amount of carbon dioxide reduction of trees. Aerial LIDAR data have three-dimensional information of building as well as trees as form of point clouds. In this study, automated model was developed to extract individual tree using aerial LIDAR data. For this purpose, we established a methodology for extracting trees and then proceeded the process of developing it as an automated model based on model builder of ArcGIS Software. In order to evaluate the applicability of the developed model, the model was compared with commercial software in study area located in Yongin City. Through the experimental result, the proposed model was extract trees 9.91% higher than commercial software. From this results, it was found that the model effectively extracted trees.

Comparison of Structural Change Tests in Linear Regression Models

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1197-1211
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    • 2011
  • The actual power performance of historical structural change tests are compared under various alternatives. The tests of interest are F, CUSUM, MOSUM, Moving Estimates and empirical distribution function tests with both recursive and ordinary least-squares residuals. Our comparison of the structural tests involves limiting distributions under the hypothesis, the ability to detect the alternative hypotheses under one or double structural change, and smooth change in parameters. Even though no version is uniformly superior to the other, the knowledge about the properties of those tests and connections between these tests can be used in practical structural change tests and in further research on other change tests.