• Title/Summary/Keyword: Certainty factor

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Intelligent Navigation Information Fusion Using Fuzzy Expert System (퍼지 전문가 시스템을 이용한 지능형 항행 정보 융합)

  • Kim, Do-Yeon;Yi, Mi-Ra
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2010
  • In navigation, officers receive data about inside and outside of ship from several devices(ex, GPS / AIS / ECDIS / ARPA Radar / etc) in bridge, and use it to recognize and predict safety situations. However, observation work of a officer is still hard for a torrent of data from several devices, and the problem of inconsistent data among the devices. In previous research, we presented the conceptual model of Intelligent Navigation Safety Information System based on information fusion, and showed the example of the conceptual model using CF (Certainty Factor) expert system to solve this problem. The information fusion technology needs various reasoning skills, and CF expert system is not enough to express ambiguous or indefinite factors. In this paper, we propose the concept of an intelligent navigation information fusion using fuzzy expert system to describe the ambiguous factors, and show the validity of applying fuzzy expert system to the Navigation Safety Information System through the design and implementation of the proposed concept.

Quantitative Analysis of GIS-based Landslide Prediction Models Using Prediction Rate Curve (예측비율곡선을 이용한 GIS 기반 산사태 예측 모델의 정량적 비교)

  • 지광훈;박노욱;박노욱
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the landslide prediction models quantitatively using prediction rate curve. A case study from the Jangheung area was used to illustrate the methodologies. The landslide locations were detected from remote sensing data and field survey, and geospatial information related to landslide occurrences were built as a spatial database in GIS. As prediction models, joint conditional probability model and certainty factor model were applied. For cross-validation approach, landslide locations were partitioned into two groups randomly. One group was used to construct prediction models, and the other group was used to validate prediction results. From the cross-validation analysis, it is possible to compare two models to each other in this study area. It is expected that these approaches will be used effectively to compare other prediction models and to analyze the causal factors in prediction models.

Software Piracy in Vietnam: Analysis of Key Factors

  • Tuan, Vo-Quoc;Yoo, Chul-Woo;Kim, Mi-Suk;Choe, Young-Chan
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.487-492
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    • 2007
  • This research focuses on the development and empirical validation of a model of software piracy behavior on the basis of deterrence theory, expected utility theory and the theory of reasoned action. The total of sample numbered 86 and PLS (Partial Least Square) was utilized for analysis. The test of this study revealed that punishment severity was the greatest significant factor to influence to software piracy and subjective norms was also significantly related to it. However punishment certainty and software cost do not significantly affect to software piracy.

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A Model with an Inference Engine for a Fuzzy Production System Using Fuzzy Petri Nets (Fuzzy Petri Nets를 이용한 퍼지 추론 시스템의 모델링 및 추론기관의 구현)

  • ;Zeung Nam Bien
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.29B no.7
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    • pp.30-41
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    • 1992
  • As a general model of rule-based systems, we propose a model for a fuzzy production system having chaining rules and an inference engine associated with the model. The concept of so-called 'fuzzy petri nets' is used to model the fuzzy production system and the inference engine is designed to be capable of handling inexact knowledge. The fuzzy logic is adopted to represent vagueness in the rules and the certainty factor is used to express uncertainty of each rules given by a human expert. Parallel, inference schemes are devised by transforming Fuzzy Petri nets to matrix formula. Futher, the inference engine mechanism under the Mamdani's implication method can be desceribed by a simple algebraic formula, which makes real time inference possible.

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전문가 시스템의 불확실성 추론 방법

  • 이승재
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.39 no.8
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 1990
  • 전문가 시스템에 있어서의 불확실성 정보의 표현 및 처리를 담당하는 주요 추론모델중 Bayesian모델, Certainty Factor 모델 그리고 Dempster-Shafer 모델의 기본이론을 살펴보고자 한다. 이외의 주요 추론 방법으로서 Fuzzy추론 모델이 있는데 이는 판단 지식에 대한 주관적 불확실성과 "매우", "많이" 등의 자연어가 포함하고 있는 불분명성을 체계적이고 효과적으로 다룰 수 있는 Fuzzy Set 이론에 근거한 방법으로서, 불확실성 또는 불명료성을 0에서부터 1 사이의 값을 갖는 membership degree로 표시하며 이를 "MIN"과 "MAX" 함수를 이용한 합성 추론 규칙(Composition Rule of Inference)를 적용하여 처리한다. Fuzzy 추론 모델은 자연어를 포함하는 전문가의 지식 처리에 매우 적합하여 앞으로 그 응용이 높이 기대되는 방법이다. 이외에 Bayesian 모델을 변형 응용한 PROSPECTOR의 Likelyhood Ratio 모델, 정량적 방법인 Theory of Endorsement 모델 등 여러 방법이 있다. 그러나 어느 모델이 더 일반성을 갖고 더 좋은 방법인가 하는 문제에 대하여는 아직 많은 연구가 요구된다. 따라서 이러한 모델들의 전문가 시스템 적용에 있어서는 각 모델의 장단점을 고려하여 주어진 문제 영역에 적합한 모델을 선택하는 것이 바람직하다. 현재 불확실성 처리에 있어서 각 문제에 따른 경험적인 처리에 의존하는 전력 계통 분야의 적용에 있어서도 이러한 실인간 전문가의 추론방법에 근접된 반성을 갖는 불확실성 추론 방버 도입이 요구된다.가의 추론방법에 근접된 반성을 갖는 불확실성 추론 방버 도입이 요구된다.

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A Study on The Expert System for Finding Fault Section of Power System (전력계통의 고장점 판별에 대한 전문가 시스템 연구)

  • Kang, Dong-Ku;Kim, Jeong-Ha;Park, Kyu-Hong;Chung, Jai-Kil
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1995.07b
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    • pp.637-639
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    • 1995
  • Since power systems tend to be more large and complex, expert system substituted for the decision-making achieved by the power system operation expert is required. So far, expert system has been used for fault diagonosis and voltage-reactive power control and so on. In the expert system developed using 'C' language, the faulted element is estimated using the AND operation of lists which are acquired from the information on operated relays. It is also considered to identify the misoperation of protective devices using CF(Certainty Factor), and operation failure of those using the data base of parameter group list. The developed expert system is applied to a 6-bus sample system and through the case studies. It is shown that the expert system is very useful.

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Bayesian Probability and Evidence Combination For Improving Scene Recognition Performance (장면 인식 성능 향상을 위한 베이지안 확률 및 증거의 결합)

  • Hwang Keum-Sung;Park Han-Saem;Cho Sung-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.07b
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    • pp.634-636
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    • 2005
  • 지능형 로봇 기술이 발전하면서 영상에서 장면을 이해하는 연구가 많은 관심을 받고 있으며, 최근에는 불확실한 환경에서도 좋은 성능을 발휘할 수 있는 확률적 접근 방법이 많이 연구되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 확률적 모델링이 가능한 베이지안 네트워크(BN)를 이용해서 장면 인식 추론 모듈을 설계하고, 실제 환경에서 얻어진 증거 및 베이지안 추론 결과를 결합하여 분류 성능을 향상시키기 위한 방법을 제안한다. 영상 정보는 시간에 대해 연속성을 가지고 있기 때문에, 증거 정보와 베이지안 추론 결과들을 적절히 결합하면 더 좋은 결과를 예상할 수 있으며, 본 논문에서는 확신 요소(Certainty Factor: CF) 분석에 의한 결합 방법을 사용하였다. 성능 평가 실험을 위해서 SET (Scale Invariant Feature Transform) 기법을 이용하여 물체 인식 처리를 수행하고, 여기서 얻어진 데이터를 베이지안 추론의 증거로 사용하였으며, 전문가의 CF 값 정의에 의한 베이지안 네트워크 설계 방법을 이용하였다.

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Fuzzy Control Algorithm for Multi-Objective Problems using Orthogonal Array and its Application to an AMB System (직교배열표를 이용한 다목적 퍼지제어 알고리즘 및 능동자기베어링 시스템에의 응용)

  • Kim, Choo-Ho;Lee, Chong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.449-454
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    • 2000
  • A new fuzzy logic control design algorithm suitable for multi-objective control problems is proposed based on the orthogonal array which is widely used for design of experiments in statistics and industrial engineering. The essence of the algorithm is to introduce Nth-certainty factor defined from the F-value of the ANOVA(analysis of variance) table, in order to effectively exclude the less confident rules. The proposed algorithm with multi-objective decision table(MODT) is found to be capable of the detection of inconsistency and the rule classification, reduction and modification. It is also shown that the algorithm can be successfully applied to the fuzzy controller design of an active magnetic bearing system.

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Intradural Lumbar Disc Herniation

  • Lee, Hui-Keun;Hong, Soon-Ki;Whang, Kum;Kim, Hun-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.314-316
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    • 2006
  • Intradural lumbar disc herniation[ILDH] is a rare pathology. The pathogenesis of ILDH is not known with certainty. Adhesions between the ventral wall of the dura and the posterior longitudinal ligament[PLL] could act as a preconditioning factor. Diagnosis of ILDH is difficult and seldom suspected preoperatively. Prompt surgery is necessary because the neurologic prognosis appears to be closely related to preoperative duration of neurologic symptoms. Despite preoperatively significant neurological deficits, the prognosis following surgery is relatively good. We report on case of ILDH at L3/4 with differential diagnoses, and the possible pathogenic factors are discussed.

A Study on Factors Affecting Vocational Competency Development Training Performance (직업능력개발훈련 성과에 영향을 주는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Bok;Kim, Kwang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2022
  • In the case of incumbent training, unlike training for the unemployed, it is difficult to show the results of training. In this study, factors affecting the performance of vocational competency development training were selected and the main factors were derived. Data were collected through Focus Group Interview(FGI), and regression analysis was performed through factor analysis and reliability analysis. As a result, empathy, training participation type, reliability, working experience, and training operation type were derived as factors affecting job satisfaction. did. Confidence and training participation patterns were derived as factors affecting training satisfaction, and the results showed that the larger the variable, the more positive it was. Therefore, as factors affecting the vocational competency development training performance, there are empathy, training participation type, reliability, work experience, training operation type, certainty, and training participation type. It was confirmed that the results had an effect.