• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Strength

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Category-Based Feature Inference: Testing Causal Strength (범주기반 속성추론: 인과관계 강도의 검증)

  • JunHyoung Jo;Hyung-Chul O. Li;ShinWoo Kim
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2023
  • This research investigated category-based feature inference when category features were connected in common cause and common effect causal networks. Previous studies that tested feature inference in causal categories showed unique inference patterns depending on causal direction, number of related features, whether the to-be-inferred feature was cause or effect, etc. However, these prior studies primarily focused on inference pattens that arise from causal relations, and few studies directly explored how the effects of causal relations vary depending on causal strength. We tested feature inference in common cause (Expt. 1) and common effect (Expt. 2) causal categories when casual strengths were either strong or weak. To this end, we had participants learn causal categories where features were causally linked and then perform feature inference task. The results showed that causal strengths as well as causal relations had important impacts on feature inference. When causal strength was strong, inference for common cause feature became weaker but that for the common effect feature became stronger. Moreover, when causal strength was strong and common cause was present, inference for the effect features became stronger, whereas the results were reversed in common effect networks. In particular, in common effect networks, casual discounting was more evident with strong causal strength. These results consistently demonstrate that participants consider not only causal relations but also causal strength in feature inference of causal categories.

Dissipation Effect in Causal Maps as a Source of Communication Problem

  • Kim, Dong-Hwan
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2005
  • This paper investigates psychological differences between constructors and interpreters of causal maps. This paper argues that dissipation effects and dilution effects applies to those who are to interpret causal maps not to those who construct them. Dissipation effects are psychological tendency that people perceive causal effect as weak as the number of causal links increases. Dilution effects occur when people undervalue the strength of causal relation as the number of causal variables increases. Experimental results show that concentration effects opposite to the dissipation effects and dilution effects explain more correctly the perception of constructors of causal maps. This paper points out that this asymmetric psychological tendencies between constructors and interpreters of causal maps is the psychological source of the communication problems between systems thinkers and their clients.

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A study on the relatively causal strength measures in a viewpoint of interestingness measure (흥미도 측도 관점에서 상대적 인과 강도의 고찰)

  • Park, Hee Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2017
  • Among the techniques for analyzing big data, the association rule mining is a technique for searching for relationship between some items using various relevance evaluation criteria. This associative rule scheme is based on the direction of rule creation, and there are positive, negative, and inverse association rules. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the applicability of various types of relatively causal strength measures to the types of association rules from the point of view of interestingness measure. We also clarify the relationship between various types of confidence measures. As a result, if the rate of occurrence of the posterior item is more than 0.5, the first measure ($RCS_{IJ1}$) proposed by Good (1961) is more preferable to the first measure ($RCS_{LR1}$) proposed by Lewis (1986) because the variation of the value is larger than that of $RCS_{LR1}$, and if the ratio is less than 0.5, $RCS_{LR1}$ is more preferable to $RCS_{IJ1}$.

Development of Expert System for Diagnosis of Weld Defects (용접 결함 진단 전문가시스템의 개발)

  • 박주용
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 1996
  • Weld defects degrade the strength and safety of astructure and are resulted from the various cases. The complexity of causal relation of weld defects requires an expert for the analysis of weld defects and the measures counter to them. An expert system has the intelligent functions such as the representation of knowledge and the inference. On this research, weld defect are systematically analysed and their causal model is developed. This information is saved to the knowledge base. The suitable inference algorithm for the diagnosis of weld defects is developed and realized with C++ programming.

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Medical Newcomb Problem and Causal Decision Theory (의학의 뉴컴 문제와 인과적 결정 이론)

  • Yeo, Yeong-Seo
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.89-114
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    • 2009
  • We have many causal beliefs, and they play an important role in our decision making. Unlike evidential decision theory, causal decision theory claims that an account of rational choice must use causal beliefs to identify the considerations that make a choice rational. I claim that evidential decision theory is refuted by the original Newcomb's problem but not by the medical Newcomb problem. The latter is taken to be the best example to point out the weakness of evidential decision theory. However, by the explicit statement about causal relations, I argue that the medical Newcomb problem loses its strength in refuting evidential decision theory. With this argument, this paper clarifies the difference between evidential decision theory and causal decision theory.

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The Impact of Information Systems Integration on Organization

  • Juhn, Sung-Hyun
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.225-266
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    • 1997
  • A Causal Transition Model of the IT impact on organization is proposed. The model is based upon the premise that the IT impact is a multi-phase, multi-realm phenomenon, and that the IT impact in one organizational realm logically transpires to another realm, thus forming complex causal webs among them. Two exploratory research studies, the one qualitative and the other quantitative, were conductea to validate the model in a setting involving major structural reorganization of the organizations' IT function. The research results provide support for the general theory structure of the model. The findings include: ⅰ) the IT impact manifests on multiple organizational realms, with different degrees of strength, ⅱ) the impact on the realms follow a particular causal transition path among them, and ⅲ) the IT impact manifests on and through the information processing aspect of work. The results, however, indicate that people's perception of the IT impact is strongly mitigated by the IT relevance of work, and that the organization is affected as much by the structural arrangement surrounding and accompanying the IT as by the technology itself, suggesting that the IT impact is an organizational phenomenon as well as a technological phenomenon. The implications of the research results are discussed at the end.

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The Influence of Self-Construal on Conditionalization and Discounting Effect in Contingency Judgment (수반성 판단에서 자기해석이 조건부화와 절감효과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kyungil;Kim, Tae Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.323-338
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    • 2013
  • There are multiple process mechanism in causal reasoning, which is estimation of the causal strength between cause and result. Further, because these mechanisms operate on different time phase during causal reasoning, it is highly possible that different individual difference factors are related to individual mechanisms of causal reasoning. Especially, the phenomena of conditionalization and discounting reflect attention to multiple potential causes when people infer the relationship between cause and effect. In this study, we manipulated self-construal which is an individual difference factor that reflects context sensitivity in cognition. As results, no difference was observed in conditionalization between individuals with an independent self-construal and those with an interdependent self-construal. However, independent self-construal group was observed to be lower in discounting than the interdependent self-construal group. The results indicate that conditionalization and discounting are independent cognitive process in human causal reasoning.

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최저가 낙찰제의 확대시행이 건설산업과 공공부문에 미치는 영향성 분석 Causal Loop Diagram 이용

  • Park, Kwang-Kuk;Kim, Tae-Min;Kim, Chang-Duk;Yu, Jung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2007
  • In the construction industry government is not only an owner but also a consumer. Accordingly it should develop the construction industry and this role is important. Among them, the law of the ordering method is standards of selecting a successful bidder and have powerful influence over the construction industry and owners. Therefore this study said how the lowest bid method, which has taken effect still more, has influence on the construction industry and the public sector with the Causal Loop Diagram. According to analyzing this construction law, we can grasp the point of the strength and weakness of this law also examine a trend of how the present law is changed. While we studied, we tried to adhere to neutrality and form a new opinion about it because the previous studies were opposed to each other. As a result, to improve the relation between the government and private company, which were opposed to each other about arguments for and against the lowest bid method, this study suggest the method of making better the relation. The final goal of it is researching the inefficient factors and improving the weakness of this law.

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Experiences of Being Tied with Drugs in the Elderly Women in Community (재가 여성노인의 약물 얽매임 경험)

  • Kim, Jeong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.36 no.7
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    • pp.1215-1223
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: This study was done to understand elderly women within a community who have used lots of drugs. Method: Data was collected through in-depth interviews with four elderly women from April 2001 to February 2002. Data was analyzed by Giorgi's phenomenological method(2000). Results: The components in common with drug usage of elderly women were as follows: 'Awareness of the limitation of physical strength and uncertainty of life', 'Dread of a crisis situation occurring', 'Attachment and dependency on drugs', 'Expectation of a comfortable life and death', 'Prevention of family burden', and 'Pursuit of psychological comfort'. The general structure of experiences was as follows: causal factors were 'Awareness of uncertainty and limitation', 'dread of a crisis situation occurring' the results factor was 'Attachment and dependency on drugs' and the facilitating factors were 'Expectation of a comfortable life and death', 'Prevention of family burden', and 'Pursuit of psychological comfort'. The causal relation was cyclic. This structure showed a realistic adaptation pattern. Conclusion: This study contributed to provide fundamental data for nursing interventions for health promotion and promoting quality of life in elderly women by increasing understanding of the experiences of drugs use.

Design Strategies to Enhance Resilience of Ecosystem Services in Urban Wetland - Using System Thinking - (생태계서비스 회복력 향상을 위한 도시 습지 설계 전략 - 시스템 사고를 활용하여 -)

  • You, Soo-jin;Ham, Eun-Kyung;Lee, Jung-a;Cho, Dong-Gil;Chon, Jin-hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.43-61
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    • 2017
  • The wetlands are facing environmental changes such as desiccation that occurs with the passage of time and reduced ecosystem services from wetlands in the city. In order to maintain the ecosystem services provided by wetlands in urban areas, a system thinking about the trade-off phenomenon of ecosystem services occurring as the wetlands undergo environmental changes is needed. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop strategies for wetland design using system thinking approach to enhance the resilience of ecosystem services degraded by the desiccation of wetlands and other disturbances. The objectives of this study include the system boundary and variables. Second, analyzing the dynamics of wetland design strategy. Third, it analyzes the trade-off phenomenon of ecosystem services in terms of the hydrology, hydric soil, and plants strategies to mitigate these effects. Fourth, wetland basic design to improve the resilience of ecosystem services. A wetland in Abuk-Mountain Neighborhood Park, Miryang-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, has been selected as a case study. Causal loop diagrams(CLDs) are used to analyze feedback in the wetland regime. In summary, hydrology, hydric soil, and plants is suggested as system boundaries to design plan. Design strategies for the wetland focused on robustness, redundancy, rapidity, and resourcefulness as a result of CLD analysis are first proposed in order to effectively maintain the wetland regime over the long term. Secondly, in a section related to hydrology, the CLD results show the trade-offs between provisioning-cultural services and regulating services. In order to control these services, a "water cycling system" has been implemented due to its strength in terms of robustness. The CLDs for hydric soil showed the trade-offs between regulating services and supporting services. An "installation of storm drainage for maintaining water levels" was selected due to the strength offered in terms of redundancy and rapidity. The CLDs for plants showed the trade-offs between provisioning - cultural services and regulating services. In order to control the strategic points, the "planting of indigenous vegetation" was suggested given the strength in terms of redundancy. In this study, a wetland design method is proposed that can improve the resilience of wetland ecosystem services by analyzing the dynamics overtime. The results of this research can theoretically be applied to help restore ecosystem services in wetlands using ecological landscape design. In addition, this study will contribute to reducing maintenance costs by improving wetland resilience.