• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cash-flow

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Development of a System Dynamics Model for Cost Analysis of Housing Development Projects (공동주택 개발 사업의 비용분석을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Keun-Woo;Yun, Seok-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2011
  • This study is on the development of a System Dynamics Model for business feasibility analysis of an apartment house development project. In this study, we analyzed other apartment development projects and research projects, and identified the cash flow items, which consist of revenue and expenditure items. In addition, we made efforts to find the influence relationship among these using the system thinking method and developed a system dynamics model. In order to test the model, a case study was conducted in which it was applied to an apartment development project. Vensim, a System Dynamics Modeling and simulation software package was used to analyze and test the model. The model suggested in this study can help a developer to make decisions on project financing at the initial stage of an apartment house development project.

A Study of Construction Duration Predicting Method for Mega Project (메가프로젝트 사업초기단계 사업기간 예측 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Woo, Yu-Mi;Lee, Seung-Hoon;Lee, Hei-Duck;Seo, Yuong-Chil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.597-600
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    • 2008
  • Recently, Several Mega project are been performing as a multi-dimensional development project in Korea, but some problem has been revealed about deficiency of the history, experience, and skill. A multi-dimensional development project require the technology which can manage mega project to its specific at the level of program management. predicting schedule and schedule management are the most important for mega project, been performing over several years. This research shows the method of predicting and planning schedule in the early stage as a pre-study on developing a technology of schedule management. First of all, it presents the development of database considering the specific of mega project that can accumulate the history of schedule and search the schedule according to the type of single and multi building. Also it suggests the method of prediction schedule by creating scenarios according to owner requirements and cash flow, affecting schedule management in the early stage, and the shortening possibility of schedule duration using CCPM theory.

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Earned Value based Construction Project Control System (Earned Value 기반 프로젝트 관리체계 및 사례연구)

  • Lee Yoo-Seob;Cho Chang-Yon;Oh Kyu-Hoan;Kim Jung-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2002
  • Project plan and control is a highly skilled task which is vital for business success, and Project control systems are important for successful project execution. To support construction process management effectively, an integrated cost and schedule control function is required to collect quality data in a timely manner and to provide quality historical data for future planning of new projects. In Korea construction industry, the development and implementation cases of a project control system which to efficiently support construction project planning and controlling processes, have been increased to ensure a project success and the profitability of a construction company. To contribute to improving practical effectiveness of a project control system, the paper reviewed and analyzed the current trends and functional features of current project control systems. And it also described the pending issues and their solutions faced on previous project control systems.

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The Prediction of the Apartment Construction Project Cashflow with Changing Sales Point (분양시기 변동에 따른 공동주택 건설공사 현금흐름 예측)

  • Bae Jun-Ho;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.234-237
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    • 2003
  • The Korean housing supply have been provided by the Pre-construction sales system. The Pre-construction sales system contributed to large housing supply. But it followed by the market anomaly. Along the housing market is changing to tile market for consumers, it requires new policy and regulations. This market changes and needs to modify the policy make a discussion about introducing the Post-construction sales system. it concerns to change the time to sale. This paper analyzes the present feasibility study and makes a tool to predict construction cashflow considering changed sales point. The sales timing leads to decide the amount of financial costs in the construction project and that cost affects to the feasibility. The accurate cashflow prediction is required for a successful apartment construction delivery.

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A Study of Development Gains Estimation in Building Land Development Projects (택지개발사업의 개발이익 추계에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.595-613
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    • 2006
  • In the debates of development gains, the general rule is that it results from actions other than those of the landowner, most notably of the public sector as in granting of permissions for the development of specific land uses and densities or through infrastructure investments, or of socio-economic forces due to a general capital accumulation in space. A huge academic literature has investigated the development gains capture that refers to the process by which a portion of or all land value increments attributed to the community effort are recouped by the public sector. Policy instruments for applying development gains capture are based on deepening land value taxation, financing infrastructure, controling land use. But one of the most basic for the efficient policy implementation is the accurate estimation of development gains. This paper estimates the development gains generated by the total 204 building land projects of Korea Land Corporation and Korea National Housing Corporation since 1995.

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Detecting Credit Loan Fraud Based on Individual-Level Utility (개인별 유틸리티에 기반한 신용 대출 사기 탐지)

  • Choi, Keunho;Kim, Gunwoo;Suh, Yongmoo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.79-95
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    • 2012
  • As credit loan products significantly increase in most financial institutions, the number of fraudulent transactions is also growing rapidly. Therefore, to manage the financial risks successfully, the financial institutions should reinforce the qualifications for a loan and augment the ability to detect a credit loan fraud proactively. In the process of building a classification model to detect credit loan frauds, utility from classification results (i.e., benefits from correct prediction and costs from incorrect prediction) is more important than the accuracy rate of classification. The objective of this paper is to propose a new approach to building a classification model for detecting credit loan fraud based on an individual-level utility. Experimental results show that the model comes up with higher utility than the fraud detection models which do not take into account the individual-level utility concept. Also, it is shown that the individual-level utility computed by the model is more accurate than the mean-level utility computed by other models, in both opportunity utility and cash flow perspectives. We provide diverse views on the experimental results from both perspectives.

A Study on the Feasibility analysis model for Housing Environment Improvement Project of Depressed region - Focused on the project by the public sector - (낙후지역 주거환경개선사업 타당성분석 평가모델 연구 - 공공(公共) 시행사업을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jung-Min;Choi, Chan-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Rural Architecture
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to set and analyze the standard model for prioritizing and deciding to take part in housing environment improvement project in the perspective of the public sector. The results of this study were as follows. The location competitiveness, potential demand, marketability and competitive price, etc were selected by assessment indicators. And Various indicators, including of the size of the area, public transportation, accessibility, convenience of living and the influx of the population, were used by weights indexes. The profit of local residents and the public promoter, variability of earnings, sensitivity analysis and the ratio of money in reserve, etc were also established as detailed indexes for the profitability and business risk analysis. To analyze the cash flow of the project process and review the necessary capital in advance, the payback, total working expenses, gearing ratio and sensitivity of a risk, etc were also set as additional detailed indexes. Lastly, considering it is quasi-public projects, the measure to protect tenants, necessity need of redevelopment and local government's will were additionally used by indexes. And Points were distributed on the importance of each index and scored out of 100. It will allow for the public project promoter to decide rationally whether to come in on the project. The public project promoter like the Korea Land and Housing Corporation will be able to make use of various indexes are based on this study to make decision whether joining the housing environment improvement project in depressed region.

A study on the Debt's Janus-Faced reality as a Way of Capital Finance (자본조달 수단으로써 부채의 양면성에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Chang Ho;You, Yen Yoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2014
  • The first, this study analyzed empirically the effects of net profit on sales, total asset turnover and debt ratio on return on equity, the second, verified debt' s mediating effect on return on investment and return on equity and finally, tested the effect of adjusted debt ratio on return on equity in the small medium sized enterprises. Generally speaking, using debt has a positive effect on return on equity. Meanwhile, using debt accelerate return on equity through leverage effect in the quadric function curve model. Eventually, using debt has a positive and negative effects on return on equity. Accordingly, because of the debt' janus-faced reality, using debt is restricted within the level that operating cash flow(or return on asset) excess interest(or rate of interest).

Research on the Influence of FTA between Korea and Japan on Tourism (한.일 FTA체결이 관광산업에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Cheol-Won;Lee, Tae-Suk
    • Journal of Applied Tourism Food and Beverage Management and Research
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.41-67
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    • 2006
  • The study is aimed to analyze the influence of FTA(Free Trade Agreement) between Korea and Japan on tourism and to suggest ways to increase tourists exchange between them by considering countermeasures of Korea's tourism based on the analysis and deriving political significance. The results of the study showed that the expected effects of FTA between Korea and Japan on tourism would overall be positive. There would be increases in employment and a higher rate of foreign-exchange earning, which plays a critical role in the cash flow. Therefore the government is required to prepare for several political measures as follows. First, ways to promote investment in tourism have to be established in a systematic way for FTA. Second, restructuring of tourism has to be considered seriously for tourism to be a high value-added industry after FTA. Third, the tourism information industry needs to be included in the tourism promotion act to promote e-tourism using information technology. In addition to this, an expansive cluster strategy needs to be developed, which relates tourism to other industries like culture and movies and to find ways to re-locate and re-educate manpower currently engaged in the tourism industry. Though the study investigated the influence of FTA on tourism through a practical analysis, it was restricted only to Korea. So the influence of FTA between Korea and Japan on the tourism of Japan should be included in further study. Furthermore, in subsequent studies the CGE(Computable General Equilibrium) model will be applied for objective analysis of the effects. Or measuring the ripple effect with multinational inter-industry relation table will be made for the study to make practical contributions to the development of government policy.

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A Sensitivity Analysis for Risk Management of Private Investment Projects - Focused on BTL Projects - (민자유치사업의 리스크 관리를 위한 민감요인 분석 - BTL 사업을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Sun-Kuk;Park, Tong-Kyu
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.1 s.29
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    • pp.168-175
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    • 2006
  • Since the partly changed 'Private Investment Act for Social Infrastructure Projects' set forth in January 2005, the number of BTL(Build-Transfer-Lease) projects offered to the market has rapidly increased. The scope of BTL projects offered covers not only legally defined facilities but several facilities for the private schools. A BTL project, by definition, is a way of project management that includes the entire process of development such as planning, design, construction and operation over the period of 20-30 years. As a result, various types of risk may happen at each stage of the project and it is extremely important to efficiently control the sensitive factors that affect the risk profiles of the project. The examples of the sensitive factors are construction cost, interest rate, discount rate, lease amount, rental fee, O&M cost and so on. This study examines the characteristics of these sensitivity factors, analyzes their impact on the project feasibility and suggests the alternatives to manage them efficiently.