• Title/Summary/Keyword: Capacity Prediction

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Steel-UHPC composite dowels' pull-out performance studies using machine learning algorithms

  • Zhihua Xiong;Zhuoxi Liang;Xuyao Liu;Markus Feldmann;Jiawen Li
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.531-545
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    • 2023
  • Composite dowels are implemented as a powerful alternative to headed studs for the efficient combination of Ultra High-Performance Concrete (UHPC) with high-strength steel in novel composite structures. They are required to provide sufficient shear resistance and ensure the transmission of tensile forces in the composite connection in order to prevent lifting of the concrete slab. In this paper, the load bearing capacity of puzzle-shaped and clothoidal-shaped dowels encased in UHPC specimen were investigated based on validated experimental test data. Considering the influence of the embedment depth and the spacing width of shear dowels, the characteristics of UHPC square plate on the load bearing capacity of composite structure, 240 numeric models have been constructed and analyzed. Three artificial intelligence approaches have been implemented to learn the discipline from collected experimental data and then make prediction, which includes Artificial Neural Network-Particle Swarm Optimization (ANN-PSO), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and an Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). Among the factors, the embedment depth of composite dowel is proved to be the most influential parameter on the load bearing capacity. Furthermore, the results of the prediction models reveal that ELM is capable to achieve more accurate prediction.

A Study on the Development of Critical Transmission Operating Constraint Prediction (CTOCP) System With High Wind Power Penetration (대규모 풍력발전 계통 연계시 주요 송전망 제약예측시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Hur, Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.86-93
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    • 2015
  • Globally, wind power development is experiencing dramatic growth and wind power penetration levels are increasing. Wind generation is highly variable in time and space and it doesn't guarantee the system reliability and secure system operation. As wind power capacity becomes a significant portion of total generation capacity, the reliability assessment for wind power are therefore needed. At present, this operational reliability assessment is focusing on a generation adequacy perspective and does not consider transmission reliability issues. In this paper, we propose the critical transmission operating constraint prediction(CTOCP) system with high wind power penetration to enhance transmission reliability.

Evaluation of the Performance on WindPRO Prediction (WindPRO의 예측성능 평가)

  • O, Hyeon-Seok;Go, Gyeong-Nam;Heo, Jong-Cheol
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.300-305
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    • 2008
  • Using WindPRO that was software for windfarm design developed by EMD from Denmark, wind resources for the western Jeju island were analyzed, and the performance of WindPRO prediction was evaluated in detail. The Hansu site and the Yongdang site that were located in coastal region were selected, and wind data for one year at the two sites were analyzed using WindPRO. As a result, the relative error of the Prediction for annual energy Production and capacity factor was about ${\pm}20%$. For evaluating wind energy more accurately, it is necessary to obtain lots of wind data and real electric power production data from real windfarm.

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Comparison of the Machine Learning Models Predicting Lithium-ion Battery Capacity for Remaining Useful Life Estimation (리튬이온 배터리 수명추정을 위한 용량예측 머신러닝 모델의 성능 비교)

  • Yoo, Sangwoo;Shin, Yongbeom;Shin, Dongil
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2020
  • Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have a longer lifespan, higher energy density, and lower self-discharge rates than other batteries, therefore, they are preferred as an Energy Storage System (ESS). However, during years 2017-2019, 28 ESS fire accidents occurred in Korea, and accurate capacity estimation of LIB is essential to ensure safety and reliability during operations. In this study, data-driven modeling that predicts capacity changes according to the charging cycle of LIB was conducted, and developed models were compared their performance for the selection of the optimal machine learning model, which includes the Decision Tree, Ensemble Learning Method, Support Vector Regression, and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). For model training, lithium battery test data provided by NASA was used, and GPR showed the best prediction performance. Based on this study, we will develop an enhanced LIB capacity prediction and remaining useful life estimation model through additional data training, and improve the performance of anomaly detection and monitoring during operations, enabling safe and stable ESS operations.

Machine Learning Based Capacity Prediction Model of Terminal Maneuvering Area (기계학습 기반 접근관제구역 수용량 예측 모형)

  • Han, Sanghyok;Yun, Taegyeong;Kim, Sang Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of air traffic flow management is to balance demand and capacity in the national airspace, and its performance relies on an accurate capacity prediction of the airport or airspace. This paper developed a regression model that predicts the number of aircraft actually departing and arriving in a terminal maneuvering area. The regression model is based on a boosting ensemble learning algorithm that learns past aircraft operational data such as time, weather, scheduled demand, and unfulfilled demand at a specific airport in the terminal maneuvering area. The developed model was tested using historical departure and arrival flight data at Incheon International Airport, and the coefficient of determination is greater than 0.95. Also, the capacity of the terminal maneuvering area of interest is implicitly predicted by using the model.

Prediction of the shear capacity of reinforced concrete slender beams without stirrups by applying artificial intelligence algorithms in a big database of beams generated by 3D nonlinear finite element analysis

  • Markou, George;Bakas, Nikolaos P.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.533-547
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    • 2021
  • Calculating the shear capacity of slender reinforced concrete beams without shear reinforcement was the subject of numerous studies, where the eternal problem of developing a single relationship that will be able to predict the expected shear capacity is still present. Using experimental results to extrapolate formulae was so far the main approach for solving this problem, whereas in the last two decades different research studies attempted to use artificial intelligence algorithms and available data sets of experimentally tested beams to develop new models that would demonstrate improved prediction capabilities. Given the limited number of available experimental databases, these studies were numerically restrained, unable to holistically address this problem. In this manuscript, a new approach is proposed where a numerically generated database is used to train machine-learning algorithms and develop an improved model for predicting the shear capacity of slender concrete beams reinforced only with longitudinal rebars. Finally, the proposed predictive model was validated through the use of an available ACI database that was developed by using experimental results on physical reinforced concrete beam specimens without shear and compressive reinforcement. For the first time, a numerically generated database was used to train a model for computing the shear capacity of slender concrete beams without stirrups and was found to have improved predictive abilities compared to the corresponding ACI equations. According to the analysis performed in this research work, it is deemed necessary to further enrich the current numerically generated database with additional data to further improve the dataset used for training and extrapolation. Finally, future research work foresees the study of beams with stirrups and deep beams for the development of improved predictive models.

Discharging/Charging Voltage-Temperature Pattern Recognition for Improved SOC/Capacity Estimation and SOH Prediction at Various Temperatures

  • Kim, Jong-Hoon;Lee, Seong-Jun;Cho, Bo-Hyung
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates an application of the Hamming network-dual extended Kalman filter (DEKF) based on pattern recognition for high accuracy state-of-charge (SOC)/capacity estimation and state-of-health (SOH) prediction at various temperatures. The averaged nine discharging/charging voltage-temperature (DCVT) patterns for ten fresh Li-Ion cells at experimental temperatures are measured as representative patterns, together with cell model parameters. Through statistical analysis, the Hamming network is applied to identify the representative pattern that matches most closely with the pattern of an arbitrary cell measured at any temperature. Based on temperature-checking process, model parameters for a representative DCVT pattern can then be applied to estimate SOC/capacity and to predict SOH of an arbitrary cell using the DEKF. This avoids the need for repeated parameter measuremet.

Shear-Strengthening of Reinforced & Prestressed Concrete Beams Using FRP: Part I - Review of Previous Research

  • Ary, Moustapha Ibrahim;Kang, Thomas H.K.
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2012
  • Fiber-Reinforced Polymers (FRP) are used to enhance the behavior of structural components in either shear or flexure. The research conducted in this paper was mainly focused on the shear-strengthening of reinforced and prestressed concrete beams using FRP. The main objective of the research was to identify the parameters affecting the shear capacity provided by FRP and evaluate the accuracy of analytical models. A review of prior experimental data showed that the available analytical models used to estimate the added shear capacity of FRP struggle to provide a unified design equation that can predict accurately the shear contribution of externally applied FRP. In this study, the ACI 440.2R-$08^1$ model and the model developed by Triantafillou and Antonopoulos$^2$ were compared with the prior experimental data. Both analytical models failed to provide a satisfactory prediction of the FRP shear capacity. This study provides insights into potential reasons for the unsatisfactory prediction.

Fracture Behavior of Cast-in-place Headed Anchors to Concrete (콘크리트 CIP 앵커시스템의 파괴거동에 관한 연구)

  • 박성균;김호섭;윤영수;김상윤
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.491-496
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents the evaluation of behavior and the prediction of tensile capacity of anchors that fail concrete, as the design basis for anchorage. Tests of cast-in-place headed anchors, domestically manufactured and installed in uncracked, unreinforced concrete are performed to investigate the behavior of single anchors and multiple anchors with the consideration of various embedment lengths and edge distances. The failure mode and the load-deformation response of these anchors are discussed and the concrete failure dta are then compared with capacity predictions by the two existing methods : the 45 degree cone method of ACI 349, 318 and the concrete capacity design (CCD) method. Discrepancies between the test results and these two prediction methods, FEM analysis are assessed.

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Fracture behavior of Cast-in-place Headed Anchors to Concrete (콘크리트 CIP 앵커시스템의 파괴 거동에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Gyun;Kim, Ho-Seop;Yoon, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents the evaluation of behavior and the prediction of tensile capacity of anchors that can cause a failure of the concrete on the basis of the design for anchorage. Tests of cast-in-place headed anchors, domestically manufactured and installed in uncracked and unreinforced concrete member are conducted to test the effected of embedment length and edge distance. The failure modes and the load-deformation responses of the anchors are discussed and then the concrete failure data are compared with capacities by the two present methods : the 45 degree cone method of ACI 349, 318 and the concrete capacity design (COD) method. Differences between the results by test and by two prediction methods are analyzed Finite Element Method (FEM).

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