• 제목/요약/키워드: Capacity Prediction

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매입말뚝공법의 지지력 예측식 개선에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Bearing Capacity Prediction Equation for Auger-drilled Piling)

  • 최도웅;한병권;서영화;조성한
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.382-389
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    • 2002
  • Recently, auger-drilled piling has been widely used in urban area to reduce the air pollution and noise. But this construction method that its basic theory was introduced from Japan may be changed depending on the each piling company and construction field condition. Therefore, the design code and management method for auger-drilled piling is not defined yet. Especially, the lack of research on the bearing capacity of auger-drilled piling leads to the absence of rational bearing capacity prediction equation. This paper presents the optimum design code and economical construction method of the auger-drilled piling by proposing the new bearing capacity prediction equation based on the site specific soil types and construction conditions. In this paper, existing bearing capacity prediction equations and current pile load tests were compared. And the end bearing capacity and skin friction characteristics were also analyzed by comparing the results of CAPWAP. From the results of analysis, a reliable bearing capacity prediction equation considered soil types is proposed.

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수치해석에 의한 쇄석말뚝의 지지력 특성 고찰 (A Study on the Bearing Capacity characteristics of Stone column by Numerical Analysis)

  • 천병식;김백영
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2004년도 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.90-99
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    • 2004
  • Stone column is one of the soft ground improvement method, which enhances ground conditions through ground water draining, settlement reducing and bearing capacity increasing complexly by using crushed stone instead of sand in general vertical drain methods. In recent, general construction material, sand is in short of supply, because of the unbalance of demand and supply. Also, the bearing capacity improving effect of stone column method is needed in many cases so the bearing capacity estimation is considered as important point. Nevertheless, adequate estimation methods to predict bearing capacity of stone column considering stone column and improving ground behavior reciprocally is not yet prepared. To contribute this situation, bearing capacity behavior of stone column were simulated as numerically on various property cases of crushed stone and surrounded ground. Through the numerical analysis of simulation results, bearing capacity behavior prediction formula was suggested. This formula was verified by comparing the prediction result with in situ test.

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Proposals for flexural capacity prediction method of externally prestressed concrete beam

  • Yan, Wu-Tong;Chen, Liang-Jiang;Han, Bing;Wei, Feng;Xie, Hui-Bing;Yu, Jia-Ping
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제83권3호
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    • pp.363-375
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    • 2022
  • Flexural capacity prediction is a challenging problem for externally prestressed concrete beams (EPCBs) due to the unbonded phenomenon between the concrete beam and external tendons. Many prediction equations have been provided in previous research but typically ignored the differences in deformation mode between internal and external unbonded tendons. The availability of these equations for EPCBs is controversial due to the inconsistent deformation modes and ignored second-order effects. In this study, the deformation characteristics and collapse mechanism of EPCB are carefully considered, and the ultimate deflected shape curves are derived based on the simplified curvature distribution. With the compatible relation between external tendons and the concrete beam, the equations of tendon elongation and eccentricity loss at ultimate states are derived, and the geometric interpretation is clearly presented. Combined with the sectional equilibrium equations, a rational and simplified flexural capacity prediction method for EPCBs is proposed. The key parameter, plastic hinge length, is emphatically discussed and determined by the sensitivity analysis of 324 FE analysis results. With 94 collected laboratory-tested results, the effectiveness of the proposed method is confirmed, and comparisons with the previous formulas are made. The results show the better prediction accuracy of the proposed method for both stress increments and flexural capacity of EPCBs and the main reasons are discussed.

Prediction Partial Molar Heat Capacity at Infinite Dilution for Aqueous Solutions of Various Polar Aromatic Compounds over a Wide Range of Conditions Using Artificial Neural Networks

  • Habibi-Yangjeh, Aziz;Esmailian, Mahdi
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제28권9호
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    • pp.1477-1484
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    • 2007
  • Artificial neural networks (ANNs), for a first time, were successfully developed for the prediction partial molar heat capacity of aqueous solutions at infinite dilution for various polar aromatic compounds over wide range of temperatures (303.55-623.20 K) and pressures (0.1-30.2 MPa). Two three-layered feed forward ANNs with back-propagation of error were generated using three (the heat capacity in T = 303.55 K and P = 0.1 MPa, temperature and pressure) and six parameters (four theoretical descriptors, temperature and pressure) as inputs and its output is partial molar heat capacity at infinite dilution. It was found that properly selected and trained neural networks could fairly represent dependence of the heat capacity on the molecular descriptors, temperature and pressure. Mean percentage deviations (MPD) for prediction set by the models are 4.755 and 4.642, respectively.

부채변화에 대한 순서이론 예측력 검정 및 유통기업의 함의 (Pecking Order Prediction of Debt Changes and Its Implication for the Retail Firm)

  • 이정환;유원석
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This paper aims to investigate whether information asymmetry could explain capital structures in Korean corporations. According to Myers (1984), firms prefer internal funding to external financing due to the costs associated with information asymmetry. When external financing is necessary, firms prefer to issue debt rather than equity by the same reasoning. Since Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999), numerous studies continue to debate the validity of the theory. In this paper, we show how the theory depends on assumptions and incorporated variables. We hope our investigation can provide helpful implications regarding capital structure, information asymmetry, and other firm characteristics. Specifically, our empirical results are complementary to the analysis of Son and Lee's (2015), a recent study that examines the pecking order theory prediction for Korean retail firms. Research design, data, and methodology - We test empirical models that are some variants of model used in Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). The financial and accounting data are provided by WISEfn for the firms listed on the KOSPI during 1990 to 2013. Bond ratings are supplied by the Korea Investor Service (KIS). We take into account the heterogeneity in debt capacity; a firm's debt capacity is measured by using the method of Lemmon and Zender (2010) based on its bond ratings. Finally, we estimate empirical models suggested by Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999), Frank and Goyal (2003), and Lemmon and Zender (2010). Results - First, we find that Shyam-Sunder and Myers' (1999) prediction fails to explain total debt changes of Korean firms. Second, we find a non-monotonic relationship between total debt changes and financial deficits with respect to debt capacity. This contradicts the prediction of Lemmon and Zender (2010) that argues the pecking order theory survives with a monotonically increasing relationship. Third, we estimate a negative correlation coefficient between financial deficit and current debt changes. The result is the complete opposite of the prediction of Lemmon and Zender (2010). Finally, we also confirm the non-monotonic relationship between non-current debt changes and financial deficits with respect to debt capacity. Yet, the slope of coefficient is smaller than that of total debt change case. Indeed, the results are, to some extent, consistent with the prediction of pecking order theory, if we exclude the mid-debt capacity firms. Conclusions - Our empirical results complementary to the analysis of Son and Lee (2015), a recent study focusing on capital structure in Korean retail firms; their paper suggests interesting topics regarding capital structure, information asymmetry, and other firm characteristics in Korean corporations. Contrary to Son and Lee (2015), our results show that total debt changes and current debt changes are inconsistent with the prediction of Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). However, similar to Son and Lee (2015), non-current debt changes are consistent with the pecking order prediction, in the case of excluding the mid-level debt capacity firms. This contrast allows us to infer that industry characteristics significantly affect the validity of the pecking order prediction. Further studies are needed to analyze the economics behind this phenomenon, which is beyond the scope of our paper. In addition, the estimation bias potentially matters regarding the firm-level debt capacity calculation. We also reserve this topic for future research.

임피던스를 이용한 배터리 모니터링 기술 (Development of a Battery Monitoring Technology using Its Impedance)

  • 심재홍;김재동
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.25-29
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    • 2011
  • Emerging demands for rechargeable battery for various applications needs more effective battery management system such as the prediction of the usable time about a battery. Many prediction methods have been suggested but none of them come into bounds of reliability. In this paper, we proposed a new prediction algorithm for the remaining capacity of a rechargeable battery by using the transformed curve based on its impedance. Hardware for monitoring a battery was designed and made. Through a series of experiment, we showed the effectiveness of the proposed prediction algorithm of a battery's remaining capacity.

제주지역 호텔기업 부실예측모형 평가 (Assessing Distress Prediction Model toward Jeju District Hotels)

  • 김시중
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - This current study will investigate the average financial ratio of top and failed five-star hotels in the Jeju area. A total of 14 financial ratio variables are utilized. This study aims to; first, assess financial ratio of the first-class hotels in Jeju to establishing variables, second, develop distress prediction model for the first-class hotels in Jeju district by using logit analysis and third, evaluate distress prediction capacity for the first-class hotels in Jeju district by using logit analysis. Research design, data, and methodology - The sample was collected from year 2015 and 14 financial ratios of 12 first-class hotels in Jeju district. The results from the samples were analyzed by t-test, and the independent variables were chosen. This was an empirical study where the distress prediction model was evaluated by logit analysis. This current research has focused on critically analyzing and differentiating between the top and failed hotels in the Jeju area by utilizing the 14 financial ratio variables. Results - The verification result of the accuracy estimated by logit analysis has shown to indicate that the distress prediction model's distress prediction capacity was 83.3%. In order to extract the factors that differentiated the top hotels in the Jeju area from the failed hotels among the 14 chosen, the analysis of t-black was utilized by independent variables. Logit analysis was also used in this study. As a result, it was observed that 5 variables were statistically significant and are included in the logit analysis for discernment of top and failed hotels in the Jeju area. Conclusions - The distress prediction press' prediction capability was compared in this research analysis. The distress prediction press prediction capability was shown to range from 75-85% by logit analysis from a previous study. In this current research, the study's prediction capacity was shown to be 83.33%. It was considered a high number and was found to belong to the range of the previous study's prediction capacity range. From a practical perspective, the capacity of the assessment of the distress prediction model in the top and failed hotels in the Jeju area was considered to be a prominent factor in applications of future hotel appraisal.

다중회귀분석 및 인공신경망을 이용한 자갈다짐말뚝 개량지반의 극한 지지력 예측 (Prediction of Ultimate Bearing Capacity of Soft Soils Reinforced by Gravel Compaction Pile Using Multiple Regression Analysis and Artificial Neural Network)

  • 봉태호;김병일
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2017
  • 자갈다짐말뚝(Gravel Compaction Pile) 공법은 연약지반 개량공법 중의 하나로 육상 및 해상에서 연약 지반을 개량하기 위해 많이 사용되어 왔다. 자갈다짐말뚝으로 보강된 지반의 극한 지지력은 자갈다짐말뚝 및 지반의 강도, 치환율, 시공조건 등에 영향을 받으며 이를 예측하기 위한 다양한 예측식이 제안되었다. 하지만 기존 예측식을 활용한 극한지지력 예측은 오차율 및 변동성이 매우 크며, 실제 설계에 활용하기에는 부적합한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 자갈다짐말뚝으로 보강된 지반의 극한 지지력을 예측하기 위하여 현장 재하시험결과를 활용한 다중회귀분석을 수행하였으며, 단일잔류 교차검증에 따른 예측오차평가를 통하여 가장 효율적인 입력변수를 선정하고 이에 대한 극한 지지력 예측식을 제안하였다. 또한 선정된 입력변수를 활용하여 인공신경망 적용에 따른 극한 지지력 예측오차를 평가하고 이를 기존 예측식에 따른 결과와 비교 분석하였다.

Fundamental Approach to Capacity Prediction of Si-Alloys as Anode Material for Li-ion Batteries

  • Kim, Jong Su;Umirov, Nurzhan;Kim, Hyang-Yeon;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Electrochemical Science and Technology
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2018
  • Various Si-Fe-Al ternary alloys were prepared with the same amount of Si by the melt spinning technique. The feasibility of the capacity prediction approach based on the estimation of the active amount of Si using the phase diagram was practically examined and reported. These predictions were verified by the electrochemical test of fabricated coin cells and other characterization methods. The capacity prediction approach using the phase diagram might be a fundamental and efficient method to accelerate the practical application of Si-based alloys as the anode material for Li-ion batteries. The details on the prediction procedure were discussed.

Pile bearing capacity prediction in cold regions using a combination of ANN with metaheuristic algorithms

  • Zhou Jingting;Hossein Moayedi;Marieh Fatahizadeh;Narges Varamini
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제51권4호
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    • pp.417-440
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    • 2024
  • Artificial neural networks (ANN) have been the focus of several studies when it comes to evaluating the pile's bearing capacity. Nonetheless, the principal drawbacks of employing this method are the sluggish rate of convergence and the constraints of ANN in locating global minima. The current work aimed to build four ANN-based prediction models enhanced with methods from the black hole algorithm (BHA), league championship algorithm (LCA), shuffled complex evolution (SCE), and symbiotic organisms search (SOS) to estimate the carrying capacity of piles in cold climates. To provide the crucial dataset required to build the model, fifty-eight concrete pile experiments were conducted. The pile geometrical properties, internal friction angle 𝛗 shaft, internal friction angle 𝛗 tip, pile length, pile area, and vertical effective stress were established as the network inputs, and the BHA, LCA, SCE, and SOS-based ANN models were set up to provide the pile bearing capacity as the output. Following a sensitivity analysis to determine the optimal BHA, LCA, SCE, and SOS parameters and a train and test procedure to determine the optimal network architecture or the number of hidden nodes, the best prediction approach was selected. The outcomes show a good agreement between the measured bearing capabilities and the pile bearing capacities forecasted by SCE-MLP. The testing dataset's respective mean square error and coefficient of determination, which are 0.91846 and 391.1539, indicate that using the SCE-MLP approach as a practical, efficient, and highly reliable technique to forecast the pile's bearing capacity is advantageous.