• Title/Summary/Keyword: CUSUM monitoring

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Multivariate CUSUM Chart to Monitor Correlated Multivariate Time-series Observations (상관된 시계열 자료 모니터링을 위한 다변량 누적합 관리도)

  • Lee, Kyu Young;Lee, Mi Lim
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.539-550
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to propose a multivariate CUSUM control chart that can detect the out-of-control state fast while monitoring the cross- and auto- correlated multivariate time series data. Methods: We first build models to estimate the observation data and calculate the corresponding residuals. After then, a multivariate CUSUM chart is applied to monitor the residuals instead of the original raw observation data. Vector Autoregression and Artificial Neural Net are selected for the modelling, and Separated-MCUSUM chart is selected for the monitoring. The suggested methods are tested under a number of experimental settings and the performances are compared with those of other existing methods. Results: We find that Artificial Neural Net is more appropriate than Vector Autoregression for the modelling and show the combination of Separated-MCUSUM with Artificial Neural Net outperforms the other alternatives considered in this paper. Conclusion: The suggested chart has many advantages. It can monitor the complicated multivariate data with cross- and auto- correlation, and detects the out-of-control state fast. Unlike other CUSUM charts finding their control limits by trial and error simulation, the suggested chart saves lots of time and effort by approximating its control limit mathematically. We expect that the suggested chart performs not only effectively but also efficiently for monitoring the process with complicated correlations and frequently-changed parameters.

The Z-CUSUM Control Chart for the Process with Recurring Cycles or Frequent Small Shifts (순환주기나 빈번한 작은 이동이 발생하는 공정관리틀 위한 Z-CUSUM 관리도)

  • 강해운;강창욱;백재원
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.132-153
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    • 2004
  • CUSUM control charts are widely used to monitor processes with small shifts. CUSUM control charts are, however, less effective in detecting for recurring cycles or frequent small shifts in the processes. With Shewhart control charts, we have applied the variety of run rules to check the stability of process in addition to the situations that some points fall outside the control limits. In this paper, we propose the Z -CUSUM control chart for monitoring the process with recurring cycles or frequent small shifts by use of the zone concept as like the Shewhart control charts.

The Z-CUSUM Control Chart for the Process with Recurring Cycles or Frequent Small Shifts (순환 주기나 빈번한 작은 이동이 발생하는 공정관리를 위한 Z-CUSUM 관리도)

  • Kang Hae Woon;Kang Chang Wook;Paik Jae Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2004
  • CUSUM control charts are widely used to monitor processes with small shifts. CUSUM control charts, however, are less effective in detecting for recurring cycles or frequent small shifts in the process. With Shewhart control charts, we have applied the variety of run rules to check the stability of process in addition to the situations that some points fall outside the control limits. In this paper, we propose the Z-CUSUM control chart for monitoring the process with recurring cycles or frequent small shifts by use of the zone concept as like the Shewhart control charts.

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Statistical Analysis of Count Rate Data for On-line Seawater Radioactivity Monitoring

  • Lee, Dong-Myung;Cong, Binh Do;Lee, Jun-Ho;Yeo, In-Young;Kim, Cheol-Su
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.64-71
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    • 2019
  • Background: It is very difficult to distinguish between a radioactive contamination source and background radiation from natural radionuclides in the marine environment by means of online monitoring system. The objective of this study was to investigate a statistical process for triggering abnormal level of count rate data measured from our on-line seawater radioactivity monitoring. Materials and Methods: Count rate data sets in time series were collected from 9 monitoring posts. All of the count rate data were measured every 15 minutes from the region of interest (ROI) for $^{137}Cs$ ($E_{\gamma}=661.6keV$) on the gamma-ray energy spectrum. The Shewhart ($3{\sigma}$), CUSUM, and Bayesian S-R control chart methods were evaluated and the comparative analysis of determination methods for count rate data was carried out in terms of the false positive incidence rate. All statistical algorithms were developed using R Programming by the authors. Results and Discussion: The $3{\sigma}$, CUSUM, and S-R analyses resulted in the average false positive incidence rate of $0.164{\pm}0.047%$, $0.064{\pm}0.0367%$, and $0.030{\pm}0.018%$, respectively. The S-R method has a lower value than that of the $3{\sigma}$ and CUSUM method, because the Bayesian S-R method use the information to evaluate a posterior distribution, even though the CUSUM control chart accumulate information from recent data points. As the result of comparison between net count rate and gross count rate measured in time series all the year at a monitoring post using the $3{\sigma}$ control charts, the two methods resulted in the false positive incidence rate of 0.142% and 0.219%, respectively. Conclusion: Bayesian S-R and CUSUM control charts are better suited for on-line seawater radioactivity monitoring with an count rate data in time series than $3{\sigma}$ control chart. However, it requires a continuous increasing trend to differentiate between a false positive and actual radioactive contamination. For the determination of count rate, the net count method is better than the gross count method because of relatively a small variation in the data points.

Poisson GLR Control Charts (Poisson GLR 관리도)

  • Lee, Jaeheon;Park, Jongtae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.787-796
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    • 2014
  • Situations where sample size is not constant are common when monitoring a process with Poisson count data. In this paper, we propose a generalized likelihood ratio(GLR) control chart to detect shifts in the Poisson rate when the sample size varies. The performance of the proposed GLR chart is compared with the performance of several cumulative sum(CUSUM) type charts. It is shown that the overall performance of the GLR chart is comparable with CUSUM type charts and is significantly better in cases where the actual value of the shift is different from the pre-specified value in CUSUM type charts.

A GLR Chart for Monitoring a Zero-Inflated Poisson Process (ZIP 공정을 관리하는 GLR 관리도)

  • Choi, Mi Lim;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.345-355
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    • 2014
  • The number of nonconformities in a unit is commonly modeled by a Poisson distribution. As an extension of a Poisson distribution, a zero-inflated Poisson(ZIP) process can be used to fit count data with an excessive number of zeroes. In this paper, we propose a generalized likelihood ratio(GLR) chart to monitor shifts in the two parameters of the ZIP process. We also compare the proposed GLR chart with the combined cumulative sum(CUSUM) chart and the single CUSUM chart. It is shown that the overall performance of the GLR chart is comparable with CUSUM charts and is significantly better in some cases where the actual directions of the shifts are different from the pre-specified directions in CUSUM charts.

Monitoring of plasma color using neural network and CUSUM control chart (신경망과 CUSUM 제어차트를 이용한 플라즈마 색 감시)

  • Gwon, Min-Ji;Kim, Byeong-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.231-232
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    • 2009
  • 공정의 질 (Quality)과 장비생산성을 향상시키기 위해서는 플라즈마를 엄격히 감시해야 하며, 본 연구에서는 플라즈마 색 정보와 신경망을 결합한 감시 기법을 보고한다. 본 기법은 인-시추 색 정보 수집, 시계열 신경망 모델링, 그리고 CUSUM 제어로 구성된다. 제안한 기법을 소스전력을 변화시켜 발생한 색 정보에 적용하였으며, 신경망 모델은 비정상 플라즈마를 정확하게 탐지할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

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Cusum Control Chart for Monitoring Process Variance (공정분산 관리를 위한 누적합 관리도)

  • Lee, Yoon-Dong;Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.149-155
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    • 2005
  • Cusum control chart is used for the purpose of controling the process mean. We consider the problem related to cusum chart for controling process variance. Previous researches have considered the same problem. The main difficulty shown in the related researches was to derive the ARL function which characterizes the properties of the chart. Sample variance, differently with sample mean, follows chi-squared type distribution, even when the quality characteristics are assumed to be normally distributed. The ARL function of cusum is described by a type of integral equation. Since the solution of the integral equation for non-normal distribution is not known well, people used simulation method instead of solving the integral equation directly, or approximation method by taking logarithm of the sample variance. Recently a new method to solve the integral equation for Erlang distribution was published. Here we consider the steps to apply the solution to the problem of controling process variance.

A Study on Cumean - a self Starting Cusum (누적합(累積合)에서 출발(出發)한 누적평균(累積平均)에 관한 고찰(考察))

  • Jo, Jae-Ip
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.26-30
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    • 1981
  • A typical industrial data - monitoring scheme often requires trend detection Trend detection can be accomplished in many ways. Common statistical methods are the sign test, the run test, and the trend test. Graphical methods include various smoothing schemes and the cusum. The cusum has established itself as an efficient method of detecting changes in the mean level of a process being monitored. The cusum requires a "target value" with which the raw data are compared. At production start - up it is often difficult to designate the target value. This paper offers a means of initiating the cusum technique without a target value.

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Cusum control chart for monitoring process variance (공정분산 관리를 위한 누적합 관리도)

  • Lee, Yoon-Dong;Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2006
  • Cusum control chart is used for the purpose of controling the process mean. We consider the problem related to cusum chart for controling process variance. Previous researches have considered the same problem. The main difficulty shown in the related researches was to derive the ARL function which characterizes the properties of the chart. Sample variance, differently with sample mean, follows chi-squared type distribution, even when the quality characteristics are assumed to be normally distributed. The ARL function of cusum is described by a type of integral equation. Since the solution of the integral equation for non-normal distribution is not known well, people used simulation method instead of solving the integral equation directly, or approximation method by taking logarithm of the sample variance. Recently a new method to solve the integral equation for Erlang distribution was published. Here we consider the steps to apply the solution to the problem of controling process variance.

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