• Title/Summary/Keyword: By-Election

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An Analysis on the Message Strategies of Candidates in Publishing Bulletins for Election -Focusing on Publishing Bulletins for Local Elections in 2010 (선거공보물에서 후보자의 메시지 전략 분석 -2010년 6.2 지방 선거공보를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Man-Ki
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to suggest the amendment method of publishing bulletins for election in accordance with the changed consciousness of voters and the environment of times after examining the expression strategies of a candidate's message through the analysis of publishing bulletins of local election in 2010. Accordingly, it tries to indicate the strategies of publishing bulletins for election more easily and briefly. As to the description of expression strategies, there were a lot of rational descriptions and positive appeals with the perspective of a third person. It shows the awareness that aggressive and negative expression brings about adverse effects. The appeals of the cover slogan in campaign promises were in the sequence of the candidate's character, regional development, and social welfare, and most campaign promises were within the range of ten promises. The most used symbol of candidates was the party which candidates belong to. The main empathized contents include the name of candidates, the experience of candidates, management, political ability, and region. In addition, slogans had the intention to express folksy and intimacy by raising the rates of residents' emergence.

Interval prediction on the sum of binary random variables indexed by a graph

  • Park, Seongoh;Hahn, Kyu S.;Lim, Johan;Son, Won
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a procedure to build a prediction interval of the sum of dependent binary random variables over a graph to account for the dependence among binary variables. Our main interest is to find a prediction interval of the weighted sum of dependent binary random variables indexed by a graph. This problem is motivated by the prediction problem of various elections including Korean National Assembly and US presidential election. Traditional and popular approaches to construct the prediction interval of the seats won by major parties are normal approximation by the CLT and Monte Carlo method by generating many independent Bernoulli random variables assuming that those binary random variables are independent and the success probabilities are known constants. However, in practice, the survey results (also the exit polls) on the election are random and hardly independent to each other. They are more often spatially correlated random variables. To take this into account, we suggest a spatial auto-regressive (AR) model for the surveyed success probabilities, and propose a residual based bootstrap procedure to construct the prediction interval of the sum of the binary outcomes. Finally, we apply the procedure to building the prediction intervals of the number of legislative seats won by each party from the exit poll data in the $19^{th}$ and $20^{th}$ Korea National Assembly elections.

Implication of the Election Result in line with the Nomination Conflicts of the Korean Political Parties: Based on the nomination of the ruling party and the opposition party in the 20th general election (한국 정당의 공천파동에 따른 선거 결과 함의 : 제20대 총선과정에서 여·야 정당의 공천을 중심으로)

  • Chung, Joo-Shin
    • Korea and Global Affairs
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.31-70
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    • 2017
  • On December 9, 2016, the decision of impeachment of the National Assembly decided against Park Geun-hye came from the nomination conflicts of the 20th general election between Pro-Park group and Anti-Park group at the ruling Saenuri Party. Therefore, this study focused on the nomination conflicts of the ruling party and the opposition party on the election results in the 20th general election on the public sentiment of the people. The nomination conflicts of the ruling and opposite parties were a prelude to the victory of the 19th presidential election, and it was serious faction conflict. Firstly, the study examined how the nomination conflicts of each party were centered on President Park Geun-hye as well as the leaders of each party and the chairman of the nomination committee. Secondly, the study examined what kind of changes would be made to the composition of presidential candidates for each party at the time of the presidential election. Thirdly, the study examined the opposition parties' separation between the Minjoo Party of Korea and the People's Party of Korea before and after the election and the issue of initiative in Honam. As a result of the analysis, the 20th general election failed to obtain a majority seat of the ruling Saenuri Party, and the opposition won and formed the majority. The reason why President Park and Saenuri were greatly defeated in the contest even in the situation where the opposition parties were divided is the root cause in the attitude of Pro-Park group and Anti-Park group who assumed their victory. Therefore, it is highly possible to render its responsibility to President Park Geun-hye, who has become a 'past power', and it has opened up the possibility that the emergence of future power by opposition parties. In the case of the opposition party, it is clear that the battle for Honam, which is a traditional opposition party's support group, is a matter of good fortune of the two major powers, Moon Jae In and Ahn Cheol Soo.

Early Virtual Studio Use Case Study: Focusing on domestic election broadcasting in the mid-1990s (초기 가상스튜디오 활용 사례 연구: 1990년대 중반 국내 선거방송을 중심으로)

  • Nah, So-Mi
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2022
  • The election broadcast began utilizing virtual studios in the mid-1990s. In 1996, SBS's virtual studio was evaluated as an innovation in Korean broadcasting technology that introduced the world's first virtual studio. However, there have been cases where KBS and MBC named it a virtual studio and used it for election broadcasting. Various CG (Computer Graphics) case studies of election broadcasting have been conducted since the 2000s, but the initial research is inadequate. Therefore, this paper complements existing research by analyzing the cases of the mid-1990s when they actually started using virtual studios. Beginning with SMOCKEY (KBS) and MAGICII (MBC) in 1995, we presented the initial model of the virtual studio, and then with SBS Virtual Studio, each broadcasting company evolved into the names Dream Studio (KBS) and Space 21 Studio (MBC). As a result of the analysis, it was found that the election broadcast is a chart showing the data and the winning prediction, and that the election broadcast was the trigger to compose the story based on the introduction of the virtual studio. It is a form of historical research dealing with the value of the early virtual studios in this paper. It is meaningful to see the process of Remediation.

Analysis of public opinion in the 20th presidential election using YouTube data (유튜브 데이터를 활용한 20대 대선 여론분석)

  • Kang, Eunkyung;Yang, Seonuk;Kwon, Jiyoon;Yang, Sung-Byung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.161-183
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    • 2022
  • Opinion polls have become a powerful means for election campaigns and one of the most important subjects in the media in that they predict the actual election results and influence people's voting behavior. However, the more active the polls, the more often they fail to properly reflect the voters' minds in measuring the effectiveness of election campaigns, such as repeatedly conducting polls on the likelihood of winning or support rather than verifying the pledges and policies of candidates. Even if the poor predictions of the election results of the polls have undermined the authority of the press, people cannot easily let go of their interest in polls because there is no clear alternative to answer the instinctive question of which candidate will ultimately win. In this regard, we attempt to retrospectively grasp public opinion on the 20th presidential election by applying the 'YouTube Analysis' function of Sometrend, which provides an environment for discovering insights through online big data. Through this study, it is confirmed that a result close to the actual public opinion (or opinion poll results) can be easily derived with simple YouTube data results, and a high-performance public opinion prediction model can be built.

Secure Cluster Head Elections Based on Trust for Wireless Sensor Networks (무선 센서 네트워크를 위한 신뢰 기반의 안전한 클러스터 헤드 선출)

  • Wang, Gicheol;Cho, Gihwan
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.10
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    • pp.50-64
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    • 2013
  • In clustered sensor networks, since a CH (Cluster Head) collects data from its members and delivers the collected data to the sink, it is very important to prevent compromised nodes from joining a CH election and manipulating and fabricating the election result. In order to protect CH elections from compromised nodes, unpredictability, non-manipulability, and agreement property should be guaranteed in CH elections. However, existing CH election schemes cannot prevent intelligent compromised nodes from skilfully violating those properties via their cooperation. In this paper, we propose a scheme which protects the CH election process by detecting intelligent compromised nodes and excluding them. For every CH election round, each member gives a direct trust value to other members according to their behavior. Then a real reputation value is given to each member by combining the direct trust value and indirect trust values provided by other members. Then, each node evaluates the real reputation values of members in its cluster and excludes some untrustable nodes from CH candidates. The scheme greatly improves the non-manipulability and agreement property of CH election results compared to other rival schemes. Furthermore, the scheme preserves the high non-manipulability and the high agreement property even in an environment where message losses can happen.

Performance Analysis and Optimization of OpenDaylight Controller in Distributed Cluster Environment (분산 클러스터 환경에서 오픈데이라이트 컨트롤러 성능 분석 및 최적화)

  • Lee, Solyi;Kim, Taehong;Kim, Taejoon
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2017
  • OpenDaylight is an SDN (Software Defined Networking) open source framework, which is popular in network fields recently. This paper analyzes the performance of a controller cluster architecture by focusing on distributed datastore and Raft leader election algorithm. In addition, we propose an enhanced version of Raft algorithm in order to improve the performance of distributed datastore by distributing shard leaders over controller cluster. This paper compares the conventional Raft algorithm with the proposed version of the Raft algorithm. Moreover, we compare the performance of distributed datastore according to shard roles such as leader and follower. Experimental results show that Shard leaders provide better performance than followers and Shard updating requests need to be distributed over multiple controllers. So, by using proposed version of Raft algorithm, controller performance can be improved. The details of the experiment results are cleary described.

IPv6 Autoconfiguration for Hierarchical MANETs with Efficient Leader Election Algorithm

  • Bouk, Safdar Hussain;Sasase, Iwao
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.248-260
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    • 2009
  • To connect a mobile ad hoc network (MANET) with an IP network and to carryout communication, ad hoc network node needs to be configured with unique IP adress. Dynamic host configuration protocol (DHCP) server autoconfigure nodes in wired networks. However, this cannot be applied to ad hoc network without introducing some changes in auto configuration mechanism, due to intrinsic properties (i.e., multi-hop, dynamic, and distributed nature) of the network. In this paper, we propose a scalable autoconfiguration scheme for MANETs with hierarchical topology consisting of leader and member nodes, by considering the global Internet connectivity with minimum overhead. In our proposed scheme, a joining node selects one of the pre-configured nodes for its duplicate address detection (DAD) operation. We reduce overhead and make our scheme scalable by eliminating the broadcast of DAD messages in the network. We also propose the group leader election algorithm, which takes into account the resources, density, and position information of a node to select a new leader. Our simulation results show that our proposed scheme is effective to reduce the overhead and is scalable. Also, it is shown that the proposed scheme provides an efficient method to heal the network after partitioning and merging by enhancing the role of bordering nodes in the group.

A Study on Periodic Changes in Fiscal Variables Due to Elections (선거에 따른 재정변수의 주기적인 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seongtae
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.163-209
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    • 2011
  • This study empirically analyzes whether political rent-seeking behavior exits in Korea. The empirical analysis shows that there is a cyclical decline in aggregate revenue immediately following the election year. However, when using other aggregate fiscal variables including aggregate revenue, fiscal balance, tax and public burden ratio, no such cyclical deterioration are found. By sector, the expenditures of the economic affairs show a cyclical increase in the year right after the election. In addition, as the ratio of ruling party senators to total senators is high, the expenditures of the economic affairs tend to increase more and this tendency becomes more stronger right after the presidential election year. Such a result turns out to be consistent even when the expenditure was analyzed separately from the mandatory and discretionary expenditures by sector. This is a testimony to the existence of political rent-seeking behavior in Korea.

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Review of the principle of election - Focusing on the Estonia e-voting case (선거의 원칙에 대한 재고찰 - 에스토니아 전자투표 사례를 중심으로)

  • Moon, Eun-Young
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.67-90
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    • 2022
  • The March 2022 presidential election held at the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic drew flak for undermining the principle of universal suffrage by failing to guarantee properly the voting rights of confirmed and quarantined persons. Guaranteeing their voting rights requires thinking about e-voting that can fundamentally overcome the temporal and spatial limitations of current paper voting polling stations. The question is how to deal with the increased possibility of contradicting or violating the principles of equality and direct and secret suffrage due to the expansion of universal suffrage. In order to obtain implications for this, we looked at the case of Estonia, which has been holding 11 national elections without any problems since the introduction of e-voting in 2005. Estonia was successfully building trust in the system, government, and society through the institutionalization and routinization of the overall socio-technical system of e-voting, along with political and constitutional agreements on the principles of elections. Therefore, we should not only consider the possibility of e-voting in terms of technological development and level but also discuss the establishment of trust by mediating conflicts between election principles from a normative point of view to reach a social consensus.