• 제목/요약/키워드: Business Risk

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AHP 기법을 이용한 부유식 해상 풍력 단지 내 근해자망어업 위험 요인 분석 (Analysis of the risk factors for offshore gillnet fisheries in the floating offshore wind farms based on AHP technique)

  • 안종갑;박유진;정유진;안영수
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제59권4호
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    • pp.354-361
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the AHP (analytic hierarchy process) technique was used to analyze the risk of expected risk factors and fishing possibilities during gillnet fishing within the floating offshore wind farms (floating OWF). For this purpose, the risks that may occur during gillnet fishing within the floating offshore wind farms were defined as collisions, entanglements, and snags. In addition, the risk factors that cause these risks were classified into three upper risk factors and ten sub risk factors, and the three alternatives to gillnet fishing available within the floating OWF were classified and a hierarchy was established. Lastly, a survey was conducted targeting fisheries and marine experts and the response results were analyzed. As a result of the analysis, among the top risk factors, the risk was the greatest when laying fishing gear. The risk of the sub factors for each upper risk was found to be the highest at the berthing (mooring), the final hauling of fishing net, and the laying of the bottom layer net. Based on the alternatives, the average of the integrated risk rankings showed that allowing full navigation/fisheries had the highest risk. As a result of the final ranking analysis of the integrated risk, the overall ranking of allowing navigation/fisheries in areas where bottom layer nets were laid was ranked the first when moving vessels within the floating OWF was analyzed as the lowest integrated risk ranking of the 30th at the ban on navigation/fisheries. Through this, navigation was analyzed to be possible while it was analyzed that the possibility of gillnet fishing within the floating OWF was not high.

사업위험에 대한 인지가 창업의욕 및 사업유지의욕에 미치는 영향 분석 (Analysis of Recognition on Business Risks and Entrepreneurial Intention)

  • 하규수;서상혁
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제14권spc호
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    • pp.1285-1311
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 현재 사업을 운영하고 있는 사업자와 사업을 운영하지 않고 있는 잠재창업자인 20세 이상 남녀를 조사대상으로 사업에 대한 태도 및 위험인지가 여러 특성에 따라 어떤 차이가 있는지 그리고 어떤 변수들에 의해 영향 받는지를 조사하였다. 또한, 태도 행동 모델과 소비자의사결정 모델을 응용하여 사업태도와 위험인지 변수가 창업 및 사업유지의사에 미치는 영향력을 조사하였다. 본 연구 결과를 정리 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 남성, 비전문직 종사자, 부모가 창업경험을 가진 경우 사업에 대한 태도가 긍정적인 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 취업하지 않은 경우, 연령이 40대 이상인 경우, 과거 사업경험이 있는 경우 사업에 대한 위험인지 수준이 높은 것으로 드러났다. 둘째, 남성, 부모가 창업한 경험이 있는 경우, 자아실현의 창업동기를 갖는 경우 창업의사가 강한 것으로 드러났다. 한편, 사업실패경험이 없는 경우, 101억부터 1천억 사이의 매출액을 갖고 있는 사업체 운영자, 긍정적인 사업태도를 가진 경우 사업유지의사가 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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Capital Structure and Default Risk: Evidence from Korean Stock Market

  • GUL, Sehrish;CHO, Hyun-Rae
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzes the effect of the capital structure of Korean manufacturing firms on default risk based on Moody's KMV option pricing model where the probability of default is obtained by measuring the distance to default as a covariant in logit model developed by Merton (1974). Based on the panel data of manufacturing firms, this study achieves its primary objective, using a fixed effect regression model and examines the effect of a firm's capital structure on default risk amongst publicly listed firms on Korea exchange during 2005-2016. Empirical results obtained suggest that the rise in short-term debt to assets leads to increase the risk of default whereas the increase in long-term debt to assets leads to decrease the default risk. The benefits of short-term debt financing over a short-term period fade out in the presence of information asymmetry. However, long-term debt financing overcomes the information asymmetry and enjoys the paybacks of tax advantage associated with long-term debt. Additionally, size, tangibility and interest coverage ratio are also the important determinants of default risk. Findings support the trade-off theory of capital structure and recommend the optimal use of long-term debt in a firm's capital structure.

Credit Risk Evaluations of Online Retail Enterprises Using Support Vector Machines Ensemble: An Empirical Study from China

  • LI, Xin;XIA, Han
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권8호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2022
  • The e-commerce market faces significant credit risks due to the complexity of the industry and information asymmetries. Therefore, credit risk has started to stymie the growth of e-commerce. However, there is no reliable system for evaluating the creditworthiness of e-commerce companies. Therefore, this paper constructs a credit risk evaluation index system that comprehensively considers the online and offline behavior of online retail enterprises, including 15 indicators that reflect online credit risk and 15 indicators that reflect offline credit risk. This paper establishes an integration method based on a fuzzy integral support vector machine, which takes the factor analysis results of the credit risk evaluation index system of online retail enterprises as the input and the credit risk evaluation results of online retail enterprises as the output. The classification results of each sub-classifier and the importance of each sub-classifier decision to the final decision have been taken into account in this method. Select the sample data of 1500 online retail loan customers from a bank to test the model. The empirical results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms a single SVM and traditional SVMs aggregation technique via majority voting in terms of classification accuracy, which provides a basis for banks to establish a reliable evaluation system.

지역별 수산물 공급지장의 경제적 파급효과 분석 - 수산업 리스크 요인을 중심으로 - (Economic Effect of The Regional Fishery Product Supply Shortage - Focusing on Fisheries Risk Factors -)

  • 엄권오;이무희
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제53권3호
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    • pp.65-83
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    • 2022
  • In addition to simply providing quality food to the people, the fishery industry must be maintained and developed because it has various functions such as national food security, preservation of natural scenery, protection of national territory, and revitalization of the local economy. However, risk factors such as climate changes and environmental destruction have raised concerns about the sustainable development of the industry. Since these risk factors are becoming larger and more complex over time, it is time to conduct research related to the risk of the fishery industry. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to explore the risk factors facing the fisheries at this point, to analyze the economic ripple effect of regional fishery product supply shortage, and to draw implications. As a result of this study, the economic ripple effect of fishery product shortage per won was highest in Busan, followed by Gangwon, Gyeongnam, and Gyeongbuk. Considering the size of the local fishery industry, Busan had the highest supply shortage per 1% of local fisheries production. It is also necessary to prepare special risk management and countermeasures for these regions since the effect of supply shortage in regions such as Jeonnam, Gyeongnam, and Jeju is large compared to other regions.

Risk Tolerance of Small-to-Medium Enterprise Owners and Operators Towards Capital Markets: Evidence from the Philippines

  • ROSARIO, Elvin P.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this research was to determine the degree to which Small-to-Medium Enterprise (SME) owners and operators in Mountain Province were willing to take on financial risk to invest in the capital markets as a potential additional source of income, as well as the extent to which these five indicator variables-particularly their income, expenses, financial goals, liquid cash, and insurance coverage-were influenced by demographic factors. The study used a quantitative approach and employed a descriptive survey research method. The results show that the SME Owners and Operators in Mountain Province have minimal knowledge of capital market investments which makes them moderate investors with a neutral level of financial risk tolerance toward capital market investment. Their marital status, net income, and educational attainment significantly influence their financial risk tolerance level. The respondents also believe that engaging in the capital markets will grow their businesses. Further, the extent of influence of Income, Expenses, Liquid Cash, and Insurance Cover on the financial risk tolerance of the SME owners and operators in Mountain Province a great extent; thus, making them careful in investing in the capital markets, and it is primarily affected by their Net Income. Consequently, the financial goals of SME owners and operators in Mountain Province have a vital role in their financial risk tolerance level.

해외 대형 프로젝트의 복잡성, 위험인지 및 기회주의의 관계: 계약적 지배구조의 조절효과 (Relations of Complexity, Risk Perception and Opportunism on Overseas Mega-Project: Modulating Effect of Contractual Governance)

  • 김택규;정헌주
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.91-116
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    • 2020
  • The construction industry can be described as one of the most volatile industry depending on the situation. As such, a contractor, who is usually positioned to take all kinds of risk, may frequently require to form a strategic partnership for better execution of a project. In this study, we are going to review act or behavior that may happen among such partnership. For such review, a survey targeted at domestic construction companies has been conducted on their thoughts as regards opportunism, risk perception, and the contractual governance between partners. The analysis result of structural equation and regression has indicated that there exists a positive effect on the opportunistic behavior from the risk perception, a moderating effect on contractual governance between the performance risk and opportunism, whereas no such moderating effect on the same between relational risk and the opportunism. The output of this study may assist various domestic individuals who wish to participate large scaled overseas projects.

Capital Buffer and Determinant Factors of Conventional Banks in Indonesia

  • ANISA, Anisa;SUTRISNO, Sutrisno
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.377-384
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    • 2020
  • Banking is very regulated by the government and even has to follow regulations issued by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, which regulates banking in the world. According to Basel III, banks must provide capital reserves called capital buffers. The purpose of this study is to examine the factors that determine capital buffer. Factors thought to affect the capital buffer studied consisted of profitability (ROA), credit risk (NPL), liquidity risk (LDR), capital adequacy in the previous period (CARt-1), management risk (NIM), and ratio of operating risk (OER). The population in this study is conventional banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, as many as 42 banks, with a sample of 40 banks taken by purposive sampling method with an observation period of four years with quarterly data (2016-2019). To test the hypotheses, regression panel data is used. After being tested, it turns out that the fixed effect model is better than the common effect and random effect. The results of the study with fixed effect models show that ROA, NPL, and OER significantly and negatively affect capital buffer. CARt-1 has a positive and significant effect on capital buffer, while LDR and NIM do not affect capital buffer.

Social Network Service에서의 사용자 저항에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Factors Affecting the User Resistance in Social Network Service)

  • 박은경;최정일;연지영
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.387-406
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The widespread use of social network services (SNS) has caused users concern about the disclosure of their privacy or personal information. The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors of privacy concern and self presentation that affect the user resistance in the use of social network service. Methods: This study verifies the factors that affecting the user resistance in SNS. The research model suggested in this study is tested via a survey of 260 SNS users. SPSS and Smart PLS had been used to test the suggested hypotheses. Results: This study shows that privacy experience, privacy awareness, self esteem, and social desirability significantly influence perceived risk and that privacy awareness, self esteem, self efficacy, and perceived risk significantly influence perceived trust. It also verifies that perceived risk and perceived trust positively affect user resistance. Conclusion: This paper suggests that high awareness on privacy of SNS user encourages the SNS companies to consider the privacy protection mechanism for eliminating various factors that affecting the risk. This study also shows that the privacy calculus model applies to understanding the mechanism on resistance of SNS user.

Premiums/Discounts, Tracking Errors and Performance of Saudi Arabian ETFs

  • DIAW, Alassane
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.9-13
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to investigate the performance of domestic Saudi Arabian ETFs. ETFs are investment vehicles in vogue. These instruments were the first levers for investors allowing them to enter some markets that have been highly protected or out of reach. Saudi Arabia, which has been promoted as an emerging country by MSCI, seeks to attract more foreign investors. The first ETFs were launched in the years 2010-2011. Even though their number has not increased since then, there is a desire to attract a large number of investors. We use premiums/discounts analysis, standard risk-return models, and tracking errors measurements to assess how closely their replicate the underlying benchmark based on monthly data. The results indicate that out of the three funds investigated two are slightly traded at premium, while the latter exhibit a price discount. However, tracking errors are at minimum for all funds suggesting that they track well the benchmark index. Further, the Jensen's model shows that alphas are negative or null, and betas capture largely the systematic risk which is consistent with index investing strategies. Finally, traditional risk-adjusted measures of performance are used to compare ETFs, and results exhibit negative ratios showing that portfolios achieve lower return than the risk-free rate.