• Title/Summary/Keyword: Business Matrix

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Predicting stock movements based on financial news with systematic group identification (시스템적인 군집 확인과 뉴스를 이용한 주가 예측)

  • Seong, NohYoon;Nam, Kihwan
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2019
  • Because stock price forecasting is an important issue both academically and practically, research in stock price prediction has been actively conducted. The stock price forecasting research is classified into using structured data and using unstructured data. With structured data such as historical stock price and financial statements, past studies usually used technical analysis approach and fundamental analysis. In the big data era, the amount of information has rapidly increased, and the artificial intelligence methodology that can find meaning by quantifying string information, which is an unstructured data that takes up a large amount of information, has developed rapidly. With these developments, many attempts with unstructured data are being made to predict stock prices through online news by applying text mining to stock price forecasts. The stock price prediction methodology adopted in many papers is to forecast stock prices with the news of the target companies to be forecasted. However, according to previous research, not only news of a target company affects its stock price, but news of companies that are related to the company can also affect the stock price. However, finding a highly relevant company is not easy because of the market-wide impact and random signs. Thus, existing studies have found highly relevant companies based primarily on pre-determined international industry classification standards. However, according to recent research, global industry classification standard has different homogeneity within the sectors, and it leads to a limitation that forecasting stock prices by taking them all together without considering only relevant companies can adversely affect predictive performance. To overcome the limitation, we first used random matrix theory with text mining for stock prediction. Wherever the dimension of data is large, the classical limit theorems are no longer suitable, because the statistical efficiency will be reduced. Therefore, a simple correlation analysis in the financial market does not mean the true correlation. To solve the issue, we adopt random matrix theory, which is mainly used in econophysics, to remove market-wide effects and random signals and find a true correlation between companies. With the true correlation, we perform cluster analysis to find relevant companies. Also, based on the clustering analysis, we used multiple kernel learning algorithm, which is an ensemble of support vector machine to incorporate the effects of the target firm and its relevant firms simultaneously. Each kernel was assigned to predict stock prices with features of financial news of the target firm and its relevant firms. The results of this study are as follows. The results of this paper are as follows. (1) Following the existing research flow, we confirmed that it is an effective way to forecast stock prices using news from relevant companies. (2) When looking for a relevant company, looking for it in the wrong way can lower AI prediction performance. (3) The proposed approach with random matrix theory shows better performance than previous studies if cluster analysis is performed based on the true correlation by removing market-wide effects and random signals. The contribution of this study is as follows. First, this study shows that random matrix theory, which is used mainly in economic physics, can be combined with artificial intelligence to produce good methodologies. This suggests that it is important not only to develop AI algorithms but also to adopt physics theory. This extends the existing research that presented the methodology by integrating artificial intelligence with complex system theory through transfer entropy. Second, this study stressed that finding the right companies in the stock market is an important issue. This suggests that it is not only important to study artificial intelligence algorithms, but how to theoretically adjust the input values. Third, we confirmed that firms classified as Global Industrial Classification Standard (GICS) might have low relevance and suggested it is necessary to theoretically define the relevance rather than simply finding it in the GICS.

Industry Linkage Analysis and Link Structure Network Analysis of Water Transportation Industry (수상 운송업의 산업연관분석 및 연계구조 네트워크 분석)

  • Park, Sung-Min;Park, Chan-Kwon
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.85-107
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    • 2022
  • This study is to analyze the induced effect, network connectivity, and network visualization of the water transportation industry on the overall economy in relation to all industries. For this, various inducement coefficients of the water transportation industry are analyzed using industry linkage analysis and unit structure matrix, and network visualization analysis is performed using network connectivity and NetDraw using Ucinet 6 that utilizes unit structure matrix and inverse matrix function. As a result of the study, analysis results of input coefficient, production inducement coefficient, value-added inducement coefficient, and inter-industry chain effect were presented as various inducement coefficients in the water transportation industry. content was presented. Through this study, the current position and status of the water transportation industry and its relationship with all industries were confirmed, and the strategic relationship with which industries it should be presented was presented. In the future, it is necessary to further analyze the current status and trends of various induced effects, connectivity (centrality), and network visualization analysis using industry-related analysis published since the 2000s.

An Approximate Analysis of the Queueing Systems with Two Deterministic Heterogeneous Servers

  • 김정섭
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 1999
  • A new approximation method for finding the steady-state probabilities of the number of customers present in queueing systems with Poisson arrivals and two servers with different deterministic service times with infinite waiting room capacity is developed. The major assumption made for the approximation is that the residual service times of the servers have mutually independent uniform distributions with densities equal to the reciprocals of the respective service times. The method reflects the heterogeneity of the servers only through the ratio of their service times, irrespective of the actual magnitudes and difference. The transition probability matrix is established and the steady-state probabilities are found for a variety of traffic intensities and ratios of the two service times; also the mean number of customers present in the system and in the queue, and server utilizations are found and tabulated. The method was validated by simulation and turned out to be very sharp.

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Case study: Improvement of Purchase Conversion Rate in Mobile Game Site using Six Sigma Process (6시그마 프로세스를 활용한 모바일 게임 사이트의 구매 전환율 향상에 관한 사례연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.74-82
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    • 2009
  • This article presents a six sigma project for improving purchase conversion rate in mobile game site. The project was carried out based on DMAIC process. First, a defect rate is defined as low purchase conversion rate. In addition, 60-days purchase data was analyzed and it is shown that the defects level was 2.48 sigma level. In this study, in order to raise the sigma level, six personalization services were used in the mobile game site. Six factors were determined based on FDPM(Functional Deployment Process Map), fishbone chart, linear regression analysis, effort-performance matrix, and so on. The sigma level of defects has improved from 2.48 to 2.93.

Covariance Estimation and the Effect on the Performance of the Optimal Portfolio (공분산 추정방법에 따른 최적자산배분 성과 분석)

  • Lee, Soonhee
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, I suggest several techniques to estimate covariance matrix and compare the performance of the global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) in terms of out of sample mean standard deviation and return. As a result, the return differences among the GMVPs are insignificant. The mean standard deviation of the GMVP using historical covariance is sensitive to the estimation window and the number of assets in the portfolio. Among the model covariance, the GMVP using constant systematic risk ratio model or using short sale restriction shows the best performance. The performance difference between the GMVPs using historical covariance and model covariance becomes insignificant as the historical covariance is estimated with longer estimation window. Lastly, the implied volatilities from ELW prices do not lead to superior performance to the historical variance.

A De-Embedding Technique of a Three-Port Network with Two Ports Coupled

  • Pu, Bo;Kim, Jonghyeon;Nah, Wansoo
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.258-265
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    • 2015
  • A de-embedding method for multiport networks, especially for coupled odd interconnection lines, is presented in this paper. This method does not require a conversion from S-parameters to T-parameters, which is widely used in the de-embedding technique of multiport networks based on cascaded simple two-port relations, whereas here, we apply an operation to the S-matrix to generate all the uncoupled and coupled coefficients. The derivation of the method is based on the relations of incident and reflected waves between the input of the entire network and the input of the intrinsic device under test (DUT). The characteristics of the intrinsic DUT are eventually achieved and expressed as a function of the S-parameters of the whole network, which are easily obtained. The derived coefficients constitute ABCD-parameters for a convenient implementation of the method into cascaded multiport networks. A validation was performed based on a spice-like circuit simulator, and this verified the proposed method for both uncoupled and coupled cases.

ON GLOBAL EXPONENTIAL STABILITY FOR CELLULAR NEURAL NETWORKS WITH TIME-VARYING DELAYS

  • Kwon, O.M.;Park, Ju-H.;Lee, S.M.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.26 no.5_6
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    • pp.961-972
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider the global exponential stability of cellular neural networks with time-varying delays. Based on the Lyapunov function method and convex optimization approach, a novel delay-dependent criterion of the system is derived in terms of LMI (linear matrix inequality). In order to solve effectively the LMI convex optimization problem, the interior point algorithm is utilized in this work. Two numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of our results.

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Color Image Compression based on Inverse Colorization with Meanshift Subdivision Calculation (평균이동 분할계산기법을 사용한 역 컬러라이제이션 기반의 컬러영상압축)

  • Ryu, Taekyung;Lee, Suk-Ho
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.935-938
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    • 2013
  • In this letter, we propose a method for colorization based coding, which divides the colorization matrix into smaller sub-matrices using the meanshift segmentation. Using the proposed method the computation speed becomes more than 30 times faster. Furthermore, the smearing artifact, which appears in conventional colorization based compression method, is greatly reduced.

Challenges and Effective Management of Supply Chain in Wine Industry and Agribusiness

  • Ngoe, Tata Joseph
    • Agribusiness and Information Management
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2012
  • Studies have shown that the future of the wine market rests on the effective and efficient changes in technology to the supply chain used by most of the major global players. In today's wine industry, companies are faced with the ever-shifting demand for their products, strict regulation and increasing price competition. Even at that, mature companies in the wine industry are succeeding by scaling up production, streamlining their supply chains, expanding into new geographic areas, implementing more efficient processes, cleverly marketing products, and focusing on ever closer relationships with suppliers, partners and customers. However, this paper looks at supply chain challenges in the wine industry from a global perspective presented in the inbound, manufacturing and outbound processes as well as offer effective solutions in order for companies to gain a competitive advantage and succeed on a global level.

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Exploratory Research on Dualism Structure of Tourism Alliance Network

  • Joun, Hyo-Kae;Cho, Nam-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Database Society Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.477-486
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    • 2008
  • This paper examines the evolution issues of regional tourism resources in complicated and networked industry the perspective of co-evolution types and dualism. Regional tourism structure has been changing more and faster according to various attractions and internal and external environment; natural resources, facilities, festivals and events, drama and movies, and public resources, etc. This paper approaches Olikowski's dualism perspective as a theoretical view about the alliance network between region's attractions and tourism industry in Korea. Exploratory analysis was explained the dualism cases performed on the matrix between resource characteristics and alliance complexity on human resources based on regional tourism industry.

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