• 제목/요약/키워드: Business Closure Rate

검색결과 14건 처리시간 0.024초

다변량 판별분석과 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 민간병원의 도산예측 함수와 영향요인 (Discriminant Prediction Function and Its Affecting Factors of Private Hospital Closure by Using Multivariate Discriminant Analysis and Logistic Regression Models)

  • 정용모;이용철
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2010
  • The main purpose of this article is for deriving functions related to the prediction of the closure of the hospitals, and finding out how the discriminant functions affect the closure of the hospitals. Empirical data were collected from 3 years financial statements of 41 private hospitals closed down from 2000 till 2006 and 62 private hospitals in business till now. As a result, the functions related to the prediction of the closure of the private hospital are 4 indices: Return on Assets, Operating Margin, Normal Profit Total Assets, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable. From these discriminant functions predicting the closure, I found that the profitability indices - Return on Assets, Operating Margin, Normal Profit Total Assets - are the significant affecting factors. The discriminant functions predicting the closure of the group of the hospitals, 3 years before the closure were Normal Profit to Gross Revenues, Total borrowings and bonds payable to total assets, Total Assets Turnover, Total borrowings and bonds payable to Revenues, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable and among them Normal Profit to Gross Revenues, Total borrowings and bonds payable to total assets, Total Assets Turnover, Total borrowings and bonds payable to Revenues are the significant affecting factors. However 2 years before the closure, the discriminant functions predicting the closure of the hospital were Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable and it was the significant affecting factor. And, one year before the closure, the discriminant functions predicting the closure were Total Assets Turnover, Fixed Assets Turnover, Growth Rate of Total Assets, Growth Rate of Revenues, Interest expenses to Revenues, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable. Among them, Total Assets Turnover, Growth Rate of Revenues, Interest expenses to Revenues were the significant affecting factors.

코로나19 발생 전후 상권 생존율 변화 분석 - 서울 강남구와 대구 수성구를 중심으로 (A study on the change in the business closure rate before and after the outbreak of COVID-19 using survival analysis - Focused on Gangnam-gu, Seoul and Suseong-gu, Daegu)

  • 박진백;김민섭
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 상권의 형성 배경이나 분포 등이 유사하지만 지역간 독립적인 지역으로 서울 강남구와 대구 수성구를 분석 대상으로 코로나19 발생 전후 상권의 생존율을 분석하였다. 기초분석에서는 상권의 규모는 서울 강남구가 훨씬 더 크지만, 업종별 분포가 유사한 것을 확인하였다. 두 지역은 공통적으로 코로나19가 발생하기 전에는 개업이 폐업보다 많았지만, 코로나19가 발생함에 따라 대면서비스 중심의 업종의 폐업배율이 크게 증가하였다. 생존 분석결과, 코로나19 이전에는 대부분의 업종이 학원의 폐업위험과 무차별한 것으로 분석되었으나, 코로나19 발생 이후에는 학원의 폐업위험보다 증가하는 것을 확인하였고, 특히 초기 코로나19 확산지역이었던 대구에서 뚜렷하게 나타났다. 지역간 생존율을 비교를 한 결과에서는 코로나19 발생 이후 상대적으로 강남구의 폐업위험이 높아진 것으로 분석되어 유동인구가 많은 서울 상권의 위축이 더 컸음을 확인하였다.

빅데이터를 활용한 코로나 팬데믹 전후의 소상공인 창업 및 폐업 분석 (Analysis of small business start-up and closure before and after COVID-19 pandemic by using big data)

  • 송석찬;최현아;우성희
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2022년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.539-541
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    • 2022
  • 코로나 팬데믹의 장기화로 자영업자들의 폐업률이 급증하고, 경제적 피해가 심해지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 코로나19 발생에 따른 충청북도 상권 창폐업 분석을 통해 지역별, 업종별 과밀 정도 등 다양한 정보를 제공하고 창업 성공 및 경영안정에 도움을 주기 위하여 공공데이터를 활용하여 창업환경을 분석하고 창폐업 현황을 제공하여 자영업자들이 창업 시 기초자료로 활용하도록 지원하였다.

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A Study on Prediction of Business Status Based on Machine Learning

  • Kim, Ki-Pyeong;Song, Seo-Won
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.23-27
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    • 2018
  • Korea has a high proportion of self-employment. Many of them start the food business since it does not require high-techs and it is possible to start the business relatively easily compared to many others in business categories. However, the closure rate of the business is also high due to excessive competition and market saturation. Cafés and restaurants are examples of food business where the business analysis is highly important. However, for most of the people who want to start their own business, it is difficult to conduct systematic business analysis such as trade area analysis or to find information for business analysis. Therefore, in this paper, we predicted business status with simple information using Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio program. Experimental results showed higher performance than the number of attributes, and it is expected that this artificial intelligence model will be helpful to those who are self-employed because it can easily predict the business status. The results showed that the overall accuracy was over 60 % and the performance was high compared to the number of attributes. If this model is used, those who prepare for self-employment who are not experts in the business analysis will be able to predict the business status of stores in Seoul with simple attributes.

소상공인의 자기결정성 특성이 창업의지에 미치는 영향 (Impact of Self-Determination Characteristic of Small Business Start-Up on Entrepreneurial Intention)

  • 박세언;황찬규;권두순
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.1-37
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    • 2015
  • Micro small business start-ups are receiving financial and marketing support from government or public authority, but business closure rate is very high and it causes a hugh burden to households and national economy. This study aims to verify the causal relationship between the self-determination characteristic of small business start-ups and entrepreneurial intention through learning orientation and innovation ability. The man's intrinsic motivation of self-determination theory is expected to have an impact on the entrepreneurial intention of small business start-ups. The self-determination theory includes perceived autonomy, perceived competence, perceived relationship as independent variables. This study presented a research model for explaining the entrepreneurial intention of small business start-ups, and collected 260 survey responses from the small business start-ups In order to validate the proposed research model, PLS analysis is performed with valid 246 questionnaires. By PLS technique, the measurement reliability and validity of research variables are tested and the path analysis is conducted to do the hypothesis test. Path analysis shows that perceived autonomy does not significantly affect the learning orientation and innovation ability. On the other hand, perceived competence significantly influences learning orientation and innovation ability. Perceived relationships had significant influence on learning orientation. It is found that the parameters of learning orientation and innovation ability significantly influence the dependent variable of entrepreneurial intention. Based on the results, a policy and strategy for supporting small business start-up are presented.

COVID-19 발생이 업종별 창업 및 폐업에 미치는 인과 영향 분석 (A Causal Analysis of COVID-19 Outbreak on Start-ups and Closures by Industry)

  • 한무명초;손재익;노미진;타지주르 라만;김양석
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제11권7호
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2022
  • COVID-19가 유행하면서 전 세계는 예상치 못한 혼란에 빠졌다. 특히, 자영업자 수가 많은 한국 경제는 COVID-19로 인한 피해가 엄청나게 발생하고 있다. 본 연구는 COVID-19 발생으로 인한 업종별 창업 및 폐업의 인과 영향(Causal Impact)을 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구를 수행하기 위하여 지방행정 인허가 데이터 개방 사이트에서 2010년부터 2020년까지 11년간 발생한 창업 및 폐업 데이터 190개 업종 8,321,224건의 데이터를 수집하여 분석하였다. 연구 결과 COVID-19의 발생으로 창업이 증가한 업종은 29개(증가율 313.14% ~ 6.39%), 창업이 감소한 업종은 23개(감소율 70.62%~11.27%), 폐업이 증가한 업종은 21개(증가율 157.55% ~ 13.57%), 폐업이 감소한 업종은 18개(감소율 49.45% ~ 12.91%)로 나타났다. COVID-19 발생으로 창업이 증가하면서 폐업이 감소한 업종은 소독업, 식품운반업, 건강기능식품일반판매업이었다. COVID-19 발생으로 창업이 감소하면서 폐업이 증가한 업종은 청소년게임제공업, 단란주점영업, 일반게임제공업이었다. 본 연구의 결과가 다양한 전염성 질병을 관리하는 실무자들에게 전염성 질병 발생 상황의 인과 영향을 파악하고 대응책을 마련하는 데 도움이 되기를 기대한다.

Empirical Analysis of Effect of Entrepreneurship on Export Performance: Focusing on the Mediated Effect of Technology Capability and Export Support Policy of Start-Ups

  • Joo, Se-Hwan;Shin, Gun-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.173-193
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study aims to examine the effect of entrepreneurship of start-ups on export performance when the business closure rate is higher than business start-up rate in Korea. Thus, this study analyzes various factors for start-ups established within the past seven years and uses export performance as an indicator. Prior to analysis of factors, the study defines the concepts of start-up factors based on various studies. Design/methodology - In order to analyze the export performance of startups, this study conducted an empirical analysis using statistical analysis. Theories were established based on previous studies, and hypotheses and research models were designed based on the established theories. Subsequently, in order to verify the research hypothesis and research model, factor analysis such as validity and reliability, and structural equation modeling were analyzed. Findings - As a result of analysis based on previous studies, we found that there is a difference between theoretical and practical aspects. Whereas previous studies showed that market orientation, technology orientation, and social capital have a direct impact on export performance, the present study analyzed that there is no such impact, and that technology capabilities were important as a result of the unique traits of start-ups. Originality/value - Existing studies have limitations in understanding the overall characteristics of a company by using market orientation, technology orientation, and social capital as individual independent variables. In addition, the existing researches have been analyzed in relation to corporate performance, whereas this study has been limited to export performance, so it can be regarded as different from other studies.

산업시설 배관 노후도 평가를 위한 배관 섹션화 방안 연구 (A Study of the Sectionalizing for Pipe Deterioration Evaluation in Industrial Facilities)

  • 민혁기;김상범;김병우;김형기;박률
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2015
  • In general, no particularly well-established standards have been in place so far, for the method of evaluating the deteriorated level of pipes and ducts of industrial facilities. For that reason, the evaluation depends upon various studies which are based on the analysis of the residual life, thickness thinning, closure rate, and scale thickness that measure a few specific positions of pipes. It also depends upon the expertise in business operation and the specific techniques conducted by the inspection companies and institutions. This research introduces the concept of measuring units per section and the selection method of measurement points per section. Furthermore, specific methodologies were developed to plan and analyze deterioration level of industrial pipes and ducts by engineers and managers using a section map. Consequently, applying the outcomes from this study to the plant equipment of the incineration facility resulted in saving 42% of the repairing and remodeling cost.

COVID-19 and Its Impact on the Financial Performance of Kuwaiti Banks: A Comparative Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks

  • ALMUTAIRI, Humoud Awad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.249-257
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    • 2022
  • COVID-19 struck without warning, and by the first quarter of 2020, the world had plunged into a state of total closure as a means of containing the pandemic's devastating effect. Certainly, the pandemic shook many economies; some countries were able to cope, while third-world countries lost their invulnerability. Based on this, the current study looked at financial reports from Kuwaiti conventional and Islamic banks from 2019 to 2020 (before and after the pandemic) and compared the findings to see how much of an impact Kuwaiti conventional and Islamic banks had during the COVID-19 epidemic. Financial analysis of financial reports was used as a quantitative methodology, and variables were compared and analyzed, including (the liquidity ratio, profitability ratio, and financial leverage) within (14) Kuwaiti conventional and Islamic banks. The study found that the pandemic had a detrimental impact on both conventional and Islamic banks in Kuwait, as they were the first line of defense for the Kuwaiti economy during lockdowns and quarantines. Furthermore, there were significant implications on the Rate of Return on Investment, Debt, Financial Leverage, and Return on Equity.

수도권 창업기업의 생멸에 대한 공간분포 패턴 분석 (A Spatial Analysis on the Formation and Dissolution of Start-up Firms in the Seoul Metropolitan Region)

  • 이창효
    • 지적과 국토정보
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.241-256
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구의 목적은 창업기업의 생성과 소멸이라는 생애주기 변화와 관련하여 나타나는 공간분포 패턴의 차이를 확인하는 것이다. 이를 위하여, 본 연구에서는 전국기업체총람과 폐업기업정보를 활용하여, 2007년부터 2009년까지 수도권에서 창업한 기업의 위치정보와 생성시점, 그리고 소멸시점을 파악하였다. 창업기업의 생멸분포 패턴에 대한 분석은 공간상의 분석단위에 대한 분포패턴을 정량적으로 분석하는 방법론인 평균점, 표준거리, 타원형 표준편차, 그리고 공간자기상관도 분석기법이 적용되었다. 분석 대상 창업기업 5,810개 중, 1,322개 기업이 5년 내에 소멸함으로써 77.25%의 5년 생존율이 산정되었다. 지역별 생멸분포 패턴의 분석 결과, 수도권 전체, 서울, 그리고 인천 경기 모두에서 기업의 생성분포에 비해 소멸분포가 분산의 정도가 큰 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 기업속성별 생멸분포 패턴 분석결과, 기업의 규모와 업종에 따라 창업기업의 생성과 소멸분포에 차이가 있는 것으로 확인되었다.