• Title/Summary/Keyword: Business Closure Rate

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Discriminant Prediction Function and Its Affecting Factors of Private Hospital Closure by Using Multivariate Discriminant Analysis and Logistic Regression Models (다변량 판별분석과 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 민간병원의 도산예측 함수와 영향요인)

  • Jung, Yong-Mo;Lee, Yong-Chul
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2010
  • The main purpose of this article is for deriving functions related to the prediction of the closure of the hospitals, and finding out how the discriminant functions affect the closure of the hospitals. Empirical data were collected from 3 years financial statements of 41 private hospitals closed down from 2000 till 2006 and 62 private hospitals in business till now. As a result, the functions related to the prediction of the closure of the private hospital are 4 indices: Return on Assets, Operating Margin, Normal Profit Total Assets, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable. From these discriminant functions predicting the closure, I found that the profitability indices - Return on Assets, Operating Margin, Normal Profit Total Assets - are the significant affecting factors. The discriminant functions predicting the closure of the group of the hospitals, 3 years before the closure were Normal Profit to Gross Revenues, Total borrowings and bonds payable to total assets, Total Assets Turnover, Total borrowings and bonds payable to Revenues, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable and among them Normal Profit to Gross Revenues, Total borrowings and bonds payable to total assets, Total Assets Turnover, Total borrowings and bonds payable to Revenues are the significant affecting factors. However 2 years before the closure, the discriminant functions predicting the closure of the hospital were Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable and it was the significant affecting factor. And, one year before the closure, the discriminant functions predicting the closure were Total Assets Turnover, Fixed Assets Turnover, Growth Rate of Total Assets, Growth Rate of Revenues, Interest expenses to Revenues, Interest expenses to Total borrowings and bonds payable. Among them, Total Assets Turnover, Growth Rate of Revenues, Interest expenses to Revenues were the significant affecting factors.

A study on the change in the business closure rate before and after the outbreak of COVID-19 using survival analysis - Focused on Gangnam-gu, Seoul and Suseong-gu, Daegu (코로나19 발생 전후 상권 생존율 변화 분석 - 서울 강남구와 대구 수성구를 중심으로)

  • Park, Jinbaek;Kim, Minseop
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the survival rate of commercial districts before and after the outbreak of COVID-19 by analyzing Gangnam-gu, Seoul and Suseong-gu, Daegu as independent regions, although the background and distribution of commercial districts are similar. In the basic analysis, the size of the commercial districts was much larger in Gangnam-gu, Seoul, but it was confirmed that the distribution by industry was similar. In both regions, there were more openings than closings before the outbreak of COVID-19 in common, but as the COVID-19 outbreak occurred, the closure ratio of businesses centered on face-to-face services increased significantly. As a result of the survival analysis, it was analyzed that most industries were indifferent to the risk of closure of private institutes before Corona 19, but after the outbreak of Corona 19, it was confirmed that the risk of closure of private institutes increased, especially in Daegu, which was the initial spread of Corona 19. As a result of comparing the survival rate between regions, it was analyzed that the risk of business closure in Gangnam-gu increased relatively after the outbreak of Corona 19, confirming that the contraction in the commercial area of Seoul with a large floating population was greater.

Analysis of small business start-up and closure before and after COVID-19 pandemic by using big data (빅데이터를 활용한 코로나 팬데믹 전후의 소상공인 창업 및 폐업 분석)

  • Song, Seok-Chan;Choi, Hyun-Ah;Woo, Sung-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.539-541
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    • 2022
  • Due to the prolonged covid-19 pandemic, the rate of closure of the self-employed is rapidly increasing, and the economic damage is increasing. In this study, we provide various information such as the degree of overcrowding by region and industry through the analysis of business districts in Chungcheongbuk-do due to the outbreak of covid-19, and analyze the start-up environment by using public data to help start-up success and business stability. It provided support for self-employed people to use as basic data when starting a business.

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A Study on Prediction of Business Status Based on Machine Learning

  • Kim, Ki-Pyeong;Song, Seo-Won
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.23-27
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    • 2018
  • Korea has a high proportion of self-employment. Many of them start the food business since it does not require high-techs and it is possible to start the business relatively easily compared to many others in business categories. However, the closure rate of the business is also high due to excessive competition and market saturation. Cafés and restaurants are examples of food business where the business analysis is highly important. However, for most of the people who want to start their own business, it is difficult to conduct systematic business analysis such as trade area analysis or to find information for business analysis. Therefore, in this paper, we predicted business status with simple information using Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio program. Experimental results showed higher performance than the number of attributes, and it is expected that this artificial intelligence model will be helpful to those who are self-employed because it can easily predict the business status. The results showed that the overall accuracy was over 60 % and the performance was high compared to the number of attributes. If this model is used, those who prepare for self-employment who are not experts in the business analysis will be able to predict the business status of stores in Seoul with simple attributes.

Impact of Self-Determination Characteristic of Small Business Start-Up on Entrepreneurial Intention (소상공인의 자기결정성 특성이 창업의지에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Se Eon;Hwang, Chan Gyu;Kwon, Do Soon
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.1-37
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    • 2015
  • Micro small business start-ups are receiving financial and marketing support from government or public authority, but business closure rate is very high and it causes a hugh burden to households and national economy. This study aims to verify the causal relationship between the self-determination characteristic of small business start-ups and entrepreneurial intention through learning orientation and innovation ability. The man's intrinsic motivation of self-determination theory is expected to have an impact on the entrepreneurial intention of small business start-ups. The self-determination theory includes perceived autonomy, perceived competence, perceived relationship as independent variables. This study presented a research model for explaining the entrepreneurial intention of small business start-ups, and collected 260 survey responses from the small business start-ups In order to validate the proposed research model, PLS analysis is performed with valid 246 questionnaires. By PLS technique, the measurement reliability and validity of research variables are tested and the path analysis is conducted to do the hypothesis test. Path analysis shows that perceived autonomy does not significantly affect the learning orientation and innovation ability. On the other hand, perceived competence significantly influences learning orientation and innovation ability. Perceived relationships had significant influence on learning orientation. It is found that the parameters of learning orientation and innovation ability significantly influence the dependent variable of entrepreneurial intention. Based on the results, a policy and strategy for supporting small business start-up are presented.

A Causal Analysis of COVID-19 Outbreak on Start-ups and Closures by Industry (COVID-19 발생이 업종별 창업 및 폐업에 미치는 인과 영향 분석)

  • Han, Mumoungcho;Son, Jaeik;Noh, Mijin;Rahman, Tazizur;Kim, Yangsok
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2022
  • With the outbreak of COVID-19, the world is in unexpected chaos. In particular, the Korean economy, which has a large number of self-employed people, is experiencing enormous damage from COVID-19. The purpose of this study is to analyze the causal impact of start-ups and closures by industry due to the COVID-19 outbreak. For the causal impact analysis, we collected and analyzed 8,312,224 cases of start-up and closure of 190 businesses that occurred on the local administrative license data public site for 11 years from 2010 to 2020. As a result of the analysis of the causal impact of COVID-19, there were 29 industries in which start-ups increased(increase rate 313.14% ~ 6.39%), 23 industries in which start-ups decreased(decrease rate 70.62% ~ 11.27%), 21 industries in which closures increased(increase rate 157.55% ~ 13.57%), and 18 industries in which business closures decreased(reduction rate 49.45% ~ 12.91%). The industries in which start-ups increased and closures decreased due to the COVID-19 outbreak were disinfection, food transportation, and general sales of health functional food. The industries in where start-ups decreased and closures increased due to the COVID-19 outbreak were youth game providing industry, danran pub business, and general game providing industry. It is expected that the results of this study will help practitioners who manage various infectious diseases to understand the causal impact of infectious disease outbreaks and to prepare countermeasures.

Empirical Analysis of Effect of Entrepreneurship on Export Performance: Focusing on the Mediated Effect of Technology Capability and Export Support Policy of Start-Ups

  • Joo, Se-Hwan;Shin, Gun-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.173-193
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study aims to examine the effect of entrepreneurship of start-ups on export performance when the business closure rate is higher than business start-up rate in Korea. Thus, this study analyzes various factors for start-ups established within the past seven years and uses export performance as an indicator. Prior to analysis of factors, the study defines the concepts of start-up factors based on various studies. Design/methodology - In order to analyze the export performance of startups, this study conducted an empirical analysis using statistical analysis. Theories were established based on previous studies, and hypotheses and research models were designed based on the established theories. Subsequently, in order to verify the research hypothesis and research model, factor analysis such as validity and reliability, and structural equation modeling were analyzed. Findings - As a result of analysis based on previous studies, we found that there is a difference between theoretical and practical aspects. Whereas previous studies showed that market orientation, technology orientation, and social capital have a direct impact on export performance, the present study analyzed that there is no such impact, and that technology capabilities were important as a result of the unique traits of start-ups. Originality/value - Existing studies have limitations in understanding the overall characteristics of a company by using market orientation, technology orientation, and social capital as individual independent variables. In addition, the existing researches have been analyzed in relation to corporate performance, whereas this study has been limited to export performance, so it can be regarded as different from other studies.

A Study of the Sectionalizing for Pipe Deterioration Evaluation in Industrial Facilities (산업시설 배관 노후도 평가를 위한 배관 섹션화 방안 연구)

  • Min, Hyuk-Ki;Kim, Sang-Bum;Kim, Byung-Woo;Kim, Hyoung-Ki;Park, Yool
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2015
  • In general, no particularly well-established standards have been in place so far, for the method of evaluating the deteriorated level of pipes and ducts of industrial facilities. For that reason, the evaluation depends upon various studies which are based on the analysis of the residual life, thickness thinning, closure rate, and scale thickness that measure a few specific positions of pipes. It also depends upon the expertise in business operation and the specific techniques conducted by the inspection companies and institutions. This research introduces the concept of measuring units per section and the selection method of measurement points per section. Furthermore, specific methodologies were developed to plan and analyze deterioration level of industrial pipes and ducts by engineers and managers using a section map. Consequently, applying the outcomes from this study to the plant equipment of the incineration facility resulted in saving 42% of the repairing and remodeling cost.

COVID-19 and Its Impact on the Financial Performance of Kuwaiti Banks: A Comparative Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks

  • ALMUTAIRI, Humoud Awad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.249-257
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    • 2022
  • COVID-19 struck without warning, and by the first quarter of 2020, the world had plunged into a state of total closure as a means of containing the pandemic's devastating effect. Certainly, the pandemic shook many economies; some countries were able to cope, while third-world countries lost their invulnerability. Based on this, the current study looked at financial reports from Kuwaiti conventional and Islamic banks from 2019 to 2020 (before and after the pandemic) and compared the findings to see how much of an impact Kuwaiti conventional and Islamic banks had during the COVID-19 epidemic. Financial analysis of financial reports was used as a quantitative methodology, and variables were compared and analyzed, including (the liquidity ratio, profitability ratio, and financial leverage) within (14) Kuwaiti conventional and Islamic banks. The study found that the pandemic had a detrimental impact on both conventional and Islamic banks in Kuwait, as they were the first line of defense for the Kuwaiti economy during lockdowns and quarantines. Furthermore, there were significant implications on the Rate of Return on Investment, Debt, Financial Leverage, and Return on Equity.

A Spatial Analysis on the Formation and Dissolution of Start-up Firms in the Seoul Metropolitan Region (수도권 창업기업의 생멸에 대한 공간분포 패턴 분석)

  • Yi, Chang-Hyo
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.241-256
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to verify the spatial distribution difference between formation and dissolution of start-up firms related to life-cycle. For this purpose, a Korean business directories and information on business closures were used, and location information, starting time, and closure time of start-up firms in the Seoul metropolitan region from 2007 to 2009 were generated in this study. It applied The spatial distribution analysis methods on the formation and dissolution of the start-up firms included Barcki measurements and global spatial autocorrelation. The total number of start-up firms was 5,810, and their five-year survival rate was 77.25%. The dissolution pattern of the start-up firms was dispersed more than their formation pattern in each of the Seoul metropolitan regions, the city of Seoul, and the city of Incheon-Gyeonggi province. In addition, differences between the formation and dissolution patterns according to size and industry category of the firms were confirmed.