• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bootstrap confidence interval

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Distribution Functions Describing the Microbiological Contamination of Seasoned Soybean Sprouts

  • Park, Jin-Pyo;Lee, Dong-Sun;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.659-663
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    • 2008
  • Different statistical distribution functions were examined to find an adequate distribution function to describe the microbial contamination behavior of a Korean side dish product, seasoned soybean sprouts for different seasons and market groups. The triang distribution was the best for any market groups in winter, while the logistic distribution could describe the microbial contamination in log CFU/g for all the market groups in spring and summer. From parametric bootstrapping based on the fitted distributions, it was found that a normal distribution could describe the distribution of mean microbial count in log CFU/g for all the seasons and market groups. Statistical parameters for each season/market group are presented to estimate the confidence interval.

Comparative Study of Confidence Intervals for Relative Ratio

  • Park, Sang-Gue;Oh, You-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.621-634
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    • 1999
  • Consider the several methods of constructing interval for relative ration from two independent binomial samples. The special interests are gives in the cases of low rates and small samples. bias-corrected and accelerated bootstrap method is proposed to overcome are the non-efficiency of current methods based on asymptotic resuts. Simulation studies are presented to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.

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A Comparison of the Interval Estimations for the Difference in Paired Areas under the ROC Curves (대응표본에서 AUC차이에 대한 신뢰구간 추정에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Hee-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.275-292
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    • 2010
  • Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves can be used to assess the accuracy of tests measured on ordinal or continuous scales. The most commonly used measure for the overall diagnostic accuracy of diagnostic tests is the area under the ROC curve(AUC). When two ROC curves are constructed based on two tests performed on the same individuals, statistical analysis on differences between AUCs must take into account the correlated nature of the data. This article focuses on confidence interval estimation of the difference between paired AUCs. We compare nonparametric, maximum likelihood, bootstrap and generalized pivotal quantity methods, and conduct a monte carlo simulation to investigate the probability coverage and expected length of the four methods.

Classical and Bayesian studies for a new lifetime model in presence of type-II censoring

  • Goyal, Teena;Rai, Piyush K;Maury, Sandeep K
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.385-410
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes a new class of distribution using the concept of exponentiated of distribution function that provides a more flexible model to the baseline model. It also proposes a new lifetime distribution with different types of hazard rates such as decreasing, increasing and bathtub. After studying some basic statistical properties and parameter estimation procedure in case of complete sample observation, we have studied point and interval estimation procedures in presence of type-II censored samples under a classical as well as Bayesian paradigm. In the Bayesian paradigm, we considered a Gibbs sampler under Metropolis-Hasting for estimation under two different loss functions. After simulation studies, three different real datasets having various nature are considered for showing the suitability of the proposed model.

Estimating the Abundance and Fishing Mortality of Pacific Cod Gadus macrocephalus during the Spawning Season in Jinhae Bay, Korea, Using a Mark-Recapture Method (표지방류 조사를 통한 거제 외포 주변해역 대구(Gadus macrocephalus) 자원량과 어획사망률 추정)

  • Hwang, Kang Seok;Choi, Ilsu;Jung, Sukgeun
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.499-506
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    • 2012
  • We estimated the population size and fishing mortality of Pacific cod Gadus macrocephalus during the spawning season in waters off Woipo, Geoje Island, Korea, using a mark-recapture method. We marked and released 51 cod>50 cm in total length; six were recaptured by local fishermen during the period from December 15 to 31, 2009. The estimated population size was ca. 180,000 and the fishing mortality of the exploitable cod was 26%. Although we could assume a closed population due to the short survey period, we evaluated the uncertainty in the estimates by applying bootstrap resampling because the sample size was small. The estimated 95% confidence interval was 94,000-568,000 for the population size and 8-49% for fishing mortality. Our study demonstrated that the application of mark-recapture methods and bootstrap resampling can be useful in stock assessment for fisheries management in Korea, but requires a larger sample size, spatially extensive coverage, and sophisticated mark-recapture models based on a refined sampling design for reliable stock assessment and biological reference points in sustainable cod management.

Evaluation of the Clark Unit Hydrograph Parameters Depending on Basin and Meteorological Condition: 2. Estimation of Parameter Variability (유역 및 기상상태를 고려한 Clark 단위도의 매개변수 평가: 2. 매개변수의 변동성 추정)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Lee, Ji-Ho;Kim, Kee-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.2 s.175
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2007
  • In this study, as a method for decreasing the confidence interval of the estimates of Clark hydrograph's concentration time and storage coefficient, regression equations of these parameters with respect to those of rainfall, meteorology, and basin characteristics are derived and analyzed using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. The results are also reviewed by comparing them with those derived by applying the Bootstrap technique and empirical equations. Results derived from this research are summarized as follows. (1) Even in case of limited rainfall events are available, it is possible to estimate the mean runoff characteristics by considering the affecting factors to runoff characteristics. (2) It is also possible to use the Monte Carlo simulation technique for estimating and evaluating the confidence intervals for concentration time and storage coefficient. The confidence intervals estimated in this study were found much narrower than those of Yoo et al. (2006). (3) A supporting result could also be derived using the Bootstrap technique. However, at least 20 independent rainfall events are necessary to get a rather significant result for concentration time and storage coefficient. (4) No empirical equations are found to be properly applicable for the study basin. However, empirical equations like the Kraven(I) and Kraven(II) are found valid for the estimation of concentration time, on the other hand the Linsley is found valid for the storage coefficient In this study basin. But users of these empirical formula should be careful as these also provide a wide range of possible values.

Bootstrap estimation of the standard error of treatment effect with double propensity score adjustment (이중 성향점수 보정 방법을 이용한 처리효과 추정치의 표준오차 추정: 붓스트랩의 적용)

  • Lim, So Jung;Jung, Inkyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2017
  • Double propensity score adjustment is an analytic solution to address bias due to incomplete matching. However, it is difficult to estimate the standard error of the estimated treatment effect when using double propensity score adjustment. In this study, we propose two bootstrap methods to estimate the standard error. The first is a simple bootstrap method that involves drawing bootstrap samples from the matched sample using the propensity score as well as estimating the standard error from the bootstrapped samples. The second is a complex bootstrap method that draws bootstrap samples first from the original sample and then applies the propensity score matching to each bootstrapped sample. We examined the performances of the two methods using simulations under various scenarios. The estimates of standard error using the complex bootstrap were closer to the empirical standard error than those using the simple bootstrap. The simple bootstrap methods tended to underestimate. In addition, the coverage rates of a 95% confidence interval using the complex bootstrap were closer to the advertised rate of 0.95. We applied the two methods to a real data example and found also that the estimate of the standard error using the simple bootstrap was smaller than that using the complex bootstrap.

Estimations of Measurement System Variability and PTR under Non-normal Measurement Error (비정규 측정오차의 경우 측정시스템 변동과 PTR 추정)

  • Chang, Mu-Seong;Kim, Sang-Boo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2006
  • ANOVA is widely used for measurement system analysis. It assumes that the measurement error is normally distributed, which may not be seen in some industrial cases. In this study, the estimates of the measurement system variability and PTR (precision-to-tolerance ratio) are obtained by using weighted standard deviation for the case where the measurement error is non-normally distributed. The Standard Bootstrap method is used for estimating confidence intervals of measurement system variability and PTR. The point and confidence interval estimates for the cases with normally distributed measurement error are compared to those with non-normally distributed measurement errors through computer simulation.

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Estimations of Measurement System Variability and PTR under Non-normal Measurement Error (비정규 측정오차의 경우 측정시스템 변동과 PTR 추정)

  • Chang, Mu-Seong;Kim, Sang-Boo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.10-19
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    • 2007
  • ANOVA is widely, used for measurement system analysis. It assumes that the measurement error is normally distributed, which nay not be seen in some industrial cases. In this study the estimates of the measurement system variability and PTR (precision-to-tolerance ratio) are obtained by using weighted standard deviation for the case where the measurement error is non-normally distributed. The Standard Bootstrap method is used foy estimating confidence intervals of measurement system variability and PTR. The point and confidence interval estimates for the cases with normally distributed measurement error are compared to those with non-normally distributed measurement errors through computer simulation.

Generalized nonlinear percentile regression using asymmetric maximum likelihood estimation

  • Lee, Juhee;Kim, Young Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.627-641
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    • 2021
  • An asymmetric least squares estimation method has been employed to estimate linear models for percentile regression. An asymmetric maximum likelihood estimation (AMLE) has been developed for the estimation of Poisson percentile linear models. In this study, we propose generalized nonlinear percentile regression using the AMLE, and the use of the parametric bootstrap method to obtain confidence intervals for the estimates of parameters of interest and smoothing functions of estimates. We consider three conditional distributions of response variables given covariates such as normal, exponential, and Poisson for three mean functions with one linear and two nonlinear models in the simulation studies. The proposed method provides reasonable estimates and confidence interval estimates of parameters, and comparable Monte Carlo asymptotic performance along with the sample size and quantiles. We illustrate applications of the proposed method using real-life data from chemical and radiation epidemiological studies.