• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bootstrap Method

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Applying Bootstrap to Time Series Data Having Trend (추세 시계열 자료의 부트스트랩 적용)

  • Park, Jinsoo;Kim, Yun Bae;Song, Kiburm
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2013
  • In the simulation output analysis, bootstrap method is an applicable resampling technique to insufficient data which are not significant statistically. The moving block bootstrap, the stationary bootstrap, and the threshold bootstrap are typical bootstrap methods to be used for autocorrelated time series data. They are nonparametric methods for stationary time series data, which correctly describe the original data. In the simulation output analysis, however, we may not use them because of the non-stationarity in the data set caused by the trend such as increasing or decreasing. In these cases, we can get rid of the trend by differencing the data, which guarantees the stationarity. We can get the bootstrapped data from the differenced stationary data. Taking a reverse transform to the bootstrapped data, finally, we get the pseudo-samples for the original data. In this paper, we introduce the applicability of bootstrap methods to the time series data having trend, and then verify it through the statistical analyses.

Analysis of BOD Mean Concentration and Confidence Interval using Bootstrap Technique (Bootstrap 기법을 이용한 BOD 평균 농도 및 신뢰구간 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung Sub
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.297-302
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    • 2010
  • It is very important to know mean and confidence interval of water-quality constituents such as BOD for water-quality control and management of rivers and reservoirs effectively. The mean and confidence interval of BOD at Anseong2 and Hwangguji3 sampling stations which are located at the border of local governments in Anseong Stream were estimated and analyzed in this paper using Bootstrap technique which is one of non-parametric statistics. The results of Bootstrap were compared with arithmetic mean, geometric mean, Biweight method mean as a point estimator and distribution mean came from the appropriate probability distribution of Log-normal. In Bootstrap technique 12 data set was randomly selected in each year and 1000 samples was produced to get parameter of population. Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) of Microsoft Excel was utilized in Bootstrap. It was revealed that the Bootstrap technique can be used to explain more rigorously and robustly the achievement or violation of BOD target concentration in Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL).

Bootstrap tack of Fit Test based on the Linear Smoothers

  • Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.357-363
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    • 1998
  • In this paper we propose a nonparametric lack of fit test based on the bootstrap method for testing the null parametric linear model by using linear smoothers. Most of existing nonparametric test statistics are based on the residuals. Our test is based on the centered bootstrap residuals. Power performance of proposed bootstrap lack of fit test is investigated via Monte carlo simulation.

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Bootstrap and Delete-d Jackknife Confidence Intervals for Parameters of an Exponential Distribution

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Cho, Young-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 1997
  • We introduce several estimators of the location and the scale parameters of the two-parameter exponential distribution, and then compare these estimators by the mean square error (MSE). Using the parametric bootstrap estimators and the delete-d jackknife, we obtain the bootstrap and the delete-d jackknife confidence intervals for the location and the scale parameters and compare the bootstrap confidence intervals with the delete-d jackknife confidence intervals by length and coverage probability through Monte Carlo method.

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Frequency Analysis Using Bootstrap Method and SIR Algorithm for Prevention of Natural Disasters (풍수해 대응을 위한 Bootstrap방법과 SIR알고리즘 빈도해석 적용)

  • Kim, Yonsoo;Kim, Taegyun;Kim, Hung Soo;Noh, Huisung;Jang, Daewon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2018
  • The frequency analysis of hydrometeorological data is one of the most important factors in response to natural disaster damage, and design standards for a disaster prevention facilities. In case of frequency analysis of hydrometeorological data, it assumes that observation data have statistical stationarity, and a parametric method considering the parameter of probability distribution is applied. For a parametric method, it is necessary to sufficiently collect reliable data; however, snowfall observations are needed to compensate for insufficient data in Korea, because of reducing the number of days for snowfall observations and mean maximum daily snowfall depth due to climate change. In this study, we conducted the frequency analysis for snowfall using the Bootstrap method and SIR algorithm which are the resampling methods that can overcome the problems of insufficient data. For the 58 meteorological stations distributed evenly in Korea, the probability of snowfall depth was estimated by non-parametric frequency analysis using the maximum daily snowfall depth data. The results of frequency based snowfall depth show that most stations representing the rate of change were found to be consistent in both parametric and non-parametric frequency analysis. According to the results, observed data and Bootstrap method showed a difference of -19.2% to 3.9%, and the Bootstrap method and SIR(Sampling Importance Resampling) algorithm showed a difference of -7.7 to 137.8%. This study shows that the resampling methods can do the frequency analysis of the snowfall depth that has insufficient observed samples, which can be applied to interpretation of other natural disasters such as summer typhoons with seasonal characteristics.

A New Method of Simulation Output Analysis : Threshold Bootstrap

  • Kim, Yun-Bae-
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.2-2
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    • 1993
  • Inference for discrete event simulations usually relies on either independent replications or, if each simulation run is expensive, the method of batch means applied to a single replications. We present a new method, threshold bootstrap, which equals or exceeds the performance of independent replications or batch means. The method works by resampling runs of data created when a stationary time series crosses a threshold level, such as the sample mean of series. Computational results show that the threshold bootstrap matches or exceeds the performance of these alternative methods in estimating the standard deviation of the sample mean and producing valid confidence intervals.

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A Bootstrap Method for Analysis of Noise & Vibration Spectrum (부트스트랩 기법을 이용한 소음진동 스펙트럼 분석법 소개)

  • Chun, Young-Doo;Park, Jong-Chan;Chung, Eui-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.185-188
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    • 2008
  • This paper introduces the Bootstrap method for statistical analysis of noise and vibration spectrum in aeronautic and space fields. Generally, all components of a launch vehicle and its payloads are subjected to high intensive noise and vibration environment during the lift-off phase and the ascent phase through Mach =1 and Max Q. In order to verify their survivabilities against these severe vibroacoustic environments during qualification tests and acceptance tests, it is most important to estimate the proper upper limits of the environmental condition. Although NASA has typically utilized the Normal Tolerance Limit method in deriving these levels, the reference[1] says that the Bootstrap can be also an alternative method to estimate the maximum expected environments. In this paper, a general procedure of the Bootstrap method is summarized, and it is applied to analyze acceleration power spectral density functions, which were measured during acoustic test on the upper stage of KSLV-I.

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Is the t-test insensitive than the bootstrap method in the P300-based concealed information test? (P300 숨긴정보검사에서 t 검증이 부트스트랩 방법보다 덜 민감한가?)

  • Eom, Jin-sup;Sohn, Jin-Hun;Park, Mi-Sook
    • Korean Journal of Forensic Psychology
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 2020
  • In P300-based concealed information test (P300 CIT), it evaluates whether the P300 amplitude for the probe is significantly greater than that of the irrelevant to determine if the suspect is telling a lie. An independent sample t-test or a bootstrap method can be used as a statistical test to make that decision. Rosenfeld et al. (2004) used the bootstrap method, claiming that "t tests on single sweeps are too insensitive to use to compare mean probe and irrelevant P300s within individuals" and their method has been accepted to date. The purpose of the study is to evaluate whether the power of t-test is lower than that of the bootstrap method in the P300 CIT. The Monte Carlo study was conducted by using EEG collected from 39 participants. The results showed that the type I error rates of the t-test and the percentile bootstrap method were similar and the power of the percentile bootstrap method was slightly higher than that of the t-test. The type I error rates of the t-test and the percentile bootstrap method were slightly lower than the significance level and the powers of the two tests were also slightly lower than that of the theoretical t-test. On the other hand, the type I error rate and power of the standard error Bootstrap method were the same as those of the theoretical t-test and its power was .012 ~ .081 higher than that of t-test depending on experimental conditions.

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-Performance Evaluation of $\bar{x}$ and EWMA Control Charts for Time series Model using Bootstrap Technique- (시계열 모형에서 붓스트랩 기법을 이용한 $\bar{x}$ 와 EWMA 관리도의 수행도 평가)

  • 송서일;손한덕
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.57
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2000
  • The Bootstrap method proposed by Efron is non-parametric method which doesn't depend on the estimation of prior distribution refer to population. A typical statistical process control chart which is generally used is developed under the assumption that observations follow mutually independent and identically distributed within a sample and between samples. However, autocorrelation greatly affect the developed control chart under the assumption that observations are mutually independent. Many researchers showed that the result which was analyzed by using a typical control chart for the observations which has the correlation violated to the independence assumption can not be true. Therefore, we compared the standard method with bootstrap method and then evaluated them for x control chart and EWMA control chart by using bootstrap method which was proposed by Efron in the AR(1) model when the observations have correlation.

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Performance Evaluation of $\bar{x}$ and EWMA Control Charts using Bootstrap Technique in the Presence of Correlation (상관관계의 존재하에서 붓스트랩 기법을 이용한 $\bar{x}$ 와 EWMA관리도의 수행도 평가)

  • Shon Han-Deak;Song Suh-Ill
    • Proceedings of the Society of Korea Industrial and System Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 2002
  • In this study, according to MARMA(1,0) model which was suggested by Seppala, in case of existing autocorrelation in X control chart and EWMA control chart, the standard method and the non-parametric bootstrap method were compared and analysed using the bootstrap method which use the resampling prediction residual.

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