• 제목/요약/키워드: Boosting

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Forecasting KOSPI Return Using a Modified Stochastic AdaBoosting

  • Bae, Sangil;Jeong, Minsoo
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.403-424
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    • 2021
  • AdaBoost tweaks the sample weight for each training set used in the iterative process, however, it is demonstrated that it provides more correlated errors as the boosting iteration proceeds if models' accuracy is high enough. Therefore, in this study, we propose a novel way to improve the performance of the existing AdaBoost algorithm by employing heterogeneous models and a stochastic twist. By employing the heterogeneous ensemble, it ensures different models that have a different initial assumption about the data are used to improve on diversity. Also, by using a stochastic algorithm with a decaying convergence rate, the model is designed to balance out the trade-off between model prediction performance and model convergence. The result showed that the stochastic algorithm with decaying convergence rate's did have a improving effect and outperformed other existing boosting techniques.

부스팅 기계 학습과 SHAP를 이용한 설명 가능한 소프트웨어 분야 대졸자 취업 모델 개발 (Explainable Software Employment Model Development of University Graduates using Boosting Machine Learning and SHAP)

  • 권준희;김성림
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.177-192
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    • 2023
  • The employment rate of university graduates has been decreasing significantly recently. With the advent of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the demand for software employment has increased. It is necessary to analyze the factors for software employment of university graduates. This paper proposes explainable software employment model of university graduates using machine learning and explainable AI. The Graduates Occupational Mobility Survey(GOMS) provided by the Korea Employment Information Service is used. The employment model uses boosting machine learning. Then, performance evaluation is performed with four algorithms of boosting model. Moreover, it explains the factors affecting the employment using SHAP. The results indicates that the top 3 factors are major, employment goal setting semester, and vocational education and training.

Performance Comparison of Machine-learning Models for Analyzing Weather and Traffic Accident Correlations

  • Li Zi Xuan;Hyunho Yang
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.225-232
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    • 2023
  • Owing to advancements in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and artificial-intelligence technologies, various machine-learning models can be employed to simulate and predict the number of traffic accidents under different weather conditions. Furthermore, we can analyze the relationship between weather and traffic accidents, allowing us to assess whether the current weather conditions are suitable for travel, which can significantly reduce the risk of traffic accidents. In this study, we analyzed 30000 traffic flow data points collected by traffic cameras at nearby intersections in Washington, D.C., USA from October 2012 to May 2017, using Pearson's heat map. We then predicted, analyzed, and compared the performance of the correlation between continuous features by applying several machine-learning algorithms commonly used in ITS, including random forest, decision tree, gradient-boosting regression, and support vector regression. The experimental results indicated that the gradient-boosting regression machine-learning model had the best performance.

투자와 수출 및 환율의 고용에 대한 의사결정 나무, 랜덤 포레스트와 그래디언트 부스팅 머신러닝 모형 예측 (Investment, Export, and Exchange Rate on Prediction of Employment with Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine Learning Models)

  • 이재득
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.281-299
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning methods to forecast the employment. The machine learning methods, such as decision tree, artificial neural network, and ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree were used to forecast the employment in Busan regional economy. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the forecasting power of machine learning methods can predict the employment well. Second, the forecasting values for the employment by decision tree models appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees. Third, the predictive power of artificial neural network model, however, does not show the high predictive power. Fourth, the ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree model show the higher predictive power. Thus, since the machine learning method can accurately predict the employment, we need to improve the accuracy of forecasting employment with the use of machine learning methods.

Anomaly-Based Network Intrusion Detection: An Approach Using Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Algorithm

  • Kashif Gul Chachar;Syed Nadeem Ahsan
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2024
  • With the seamless growth of the technology, network usage requirements are expanding day by day. The majority of electronic devices are capable of communication, which strongly requires a secure and reliable network. Network-based intrusion detection systems (NIDS) is a new method for preventing and alerting computers and networks from attacks. Machine Learning is an emerging field that provides a variety of ways to implement effective network intrusion detection systems (NIDS). Bagging and Boosting are two ensemble ML techniques, renowned for better performance in the learning and classification process. In this paper, the study provides a detailed literature review of the past work done and proposed a novel ensemble approach to develop a NIDS system based on the voting method using bagging and boosting ensemble techniques. The test results demonstrate that the ensemble of bagging and boosting through voting exhibits the highest classification accuracy of 99.98% and a minimum false positive rate (FPR) on both datasets. Although the model building time is average which can be a tradeoff by processor speed.

Dynamic Caching Routing Strategy for LEO Satellite Nodes Based on Gradient Boosting Regression Tree

  • Yang Yang;Shengbo Hu;Guiju Lu
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.131-147
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    • 2024
  • A routing strategy based on traffic prediction and dynamic cache allocation for satellite nodes is proposed to address the issues of high propagation delay and overall delay of inter-satellite and satellite-to-ground links in low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite systems. The spatial and temporal correlations of satellite network traffic were analyzed, and the relevant traffic through the target satellite was extracted as raw input for traffic prediction. An improved gradient boosting regression tree algorithm was used for traffic prediction. Based on the traffic prediction results, a dynamic cache allocation routing strategy is proposed. The satellite nodes periodically monitor the traffic load on inter-satellite links (ISLs) and dynamically allocate cache resources for each ISL with neighboring nodes. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed routing strategy effectively reduces packet loss rate and average end-to-end delay and improves the distribution of services across the entire network.

Damage identification in suspension bridges under earthquake excitation using practical advanced analysis and hybrid machine-learning models

  • Van-Thanh Pham;Duc-Kien Thai;Seung-Eock Kim
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.695-711
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    • 2024
  • Suspension bridges are critical to urban transportation, but those in earthquake-prone areas face unique challenges. In the event of a moderate or strong earthquake, conventional linear theory-based approaches for detecting bridge damage become inadequate. This study presents an efficient method for identifying damage in suspension bridges using time history nonlinear inelastic analysis. A practical advanced analysis program is employed to model cable-supported bridges with low computational cost, generating a dataset for four hybrid models: PSO-DT, PSO-RF, PSO-XGB, and PSO-CGB. These models combine decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and categorical gradient boosting (CGB) with particle swarm optimization (PSO) to capture nonlinear correlations between displacement response and damage. Principal component analysis reduces dataset dimensions, and PSO selects the optimal model. A numerical case study of a suspension bridge under simulated earthquake conditions identifies PSO-XGB as the best model for predicting stiffness reduction. The results demonstrate the method's robustness for nonlinear damage detection in suspension bridges under earthquake excitation.

Gradient Boosting 모형을 이용한 중소기업 R&D 지원금 결정요인 분석 (Who Gets Government SME R&D Subsidy? Application of Gradient Boosting Model)

  • 강성원;강희찬
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.77-109
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문에서는 그래디언트 부스팅 모형을 활용하여 정부의 중소기업 연구개발 지원 결정에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 파악하였다. 기존 연구가 사후적으로 정부의 연구개발 지원이 수혜 기업에 미친 영향을 분석하는 것에 중점을 두었다면, 본 논문은 정부의 연구개발 지원 결정 방식을 파악하고, 그 방식이 기업에게 제공하는 유인을 분석하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 본 논문은 지원금 결정에 영향을 미치는 다양한 잠재적 요인들을 선택하고, 기계학습 접근법을 활용하여 추정오차 축소효과가 큰 요인들을 선별하였다. 구체적으로 본 논문은 한국과학기술평가원이 구축한 국가연구개발조사분석 자료와 한국신용평가자료를 연결한 자료에 그래디언트 부스팅(Gradient Boosting) 모형을 적용하여 지원금 추정모형을 구축하였다. 본 논문에서 구축한 그래디언트 부스팅 모형은 선형회귀분석 응용모형에 비해 평균제곱근오차를 7.20% 축소할 수 있었다. 각 변수의 순열 중요도(permutation importance)를 분석한 결과 연구성과지표 및 연구개발비가 추정오차 축소에 기여가 큰 것으로 파악되었다. 그리고 각 변수의 부분의존도(Partial Dependence Plot: PDP) 및 SHAP 값(SHAP value: SHapley Additive exPlanation value)을 분석한 결과 연구성과지표가 좋고 연구개발비 지출이 큰 기업이 많은 연구개발 지원금을 받는 반면, 영업이익이 크고 자기자본회전율이 높은 기업은 적은 지원금을 받는 경향이 발견되었다. 본 연구의 결과는 현재 중소기업 연구개발 지원금 배분 방식이 연구성과지표 제고 및 연구개발투자 증가 유인은 제공하나, 기업 경영성과 제고 유인은 취약함을 시사한다.

최대 엔트로피 부스팅 모델을 이용한 품사 모호성 해소 (Resolving Part-of-Speech Tagging Ambiguities by a Maximum Entropy Boosting Model)

  • 박성배;장병탁
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표논문집 Vol.30 No.1 (B)
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    • pp.522-524
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    • 2003
  • 품사 결정 문제는 자연언어처리의 가장 기본적인 문제들 중 하나이며, 기계학습의 관점에서 보면 분류 문제(classification problem)로 쉽게 표현된다. 본 논문에서는 품사 결정의 모호성을 해소하기 위해서 최대 엔트로피 부스팅 모델(maximum entropy boosting model)을 이 문제에 적응하였다. 그리고, 품사 결정에서 중요한 요소 중의 하나인 미지어 처리를 위해서 특별히 설계된 일차 자질을 고려하였다. 최대 엔트로피 부스팅 모델의 장점은 쉬운 모델링인데, 실제로 품사 결정을 위한 일차 자질만 작성하는 노려만 들이고도 96.78%의 정확도를 보여 지금까지 알려진 최고의 성능과 거의 비슷한 결과를 보였다.

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최대 엔트로피 부스팅 모델을 이용한 전치사 접속 모호성 해소 (Resolving Prepositional Phrase Attachment Using a Maximum Entropy Boosting Model)

  • 박성배;장병탁
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표논문집 Vol.29 No.2 (2)
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    • pp.670-672
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    • 2002
  • Park과 Zhang은 최대 엔트로피 모델(maximum entropy model)을 실제 자연언어 처리에 적용함에 있어서 나타날 수 있는 여러가지 문제를 해결하기 위한 최대 엔트로피 모델(maximum entropy boosting model)을 제시하여 문서 단위화(text chunking)에 성공적으로 적용하였다. 최대 엔트로피 부스팅 모델은 쉬운 모델링과 높은 성능을 보이는 장점을 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 최대 엔트로피 부스팅 모델을 영어 전치사 접속 모호성 해소에 적용한다. Wall Street Journal 말뭉치에 대한 실험 결과, 아주 작은 노력을 들였음에도 84.3%의 성능을 보여 지금까지 알려진 최고의 성능과 비슷한 결과를 보였다.

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