• Title/Summary/Keyword: Black-Scholes Model

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Black-Scholes Option Pricing with Particle Swarm Optimization (Particle Swarm Optimization을 이용한 블랙 슐츠 옵션가격 결정모형)

  • Lee, Ju-Sang;Lee, Sang-Uk;Jang, Seok-Cheol;Seok, Sang-Mun;An, Byeong-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.753-755
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    • 2005
  • The Black-Scholes (BS) option pricing model is a landmark in contingent claim theory and has found wide acceptance in financial markets. However, it has a difficulty in the use of the model, because the volatility which is a nonlinear function of the other parameters must be estimated. The more accurately investors are able to estimate this value, the more accurate their estimates of theoretical option values will be. This paper proposes a new model which is based on Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for finding more precise theoretical values of options in the field of evolutionary computation (EC) than genetic algorithm (GA)or calculus-based search techniques to find estimates of the implied volatility.

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Nonlinear Regression for an Asymptotic Option Price

  • Song, Seong-Joo;Song, Jong-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.755-763
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    • 2008
  • This paper approaches the problem of option pricing in an incomplete market, where the underlying asset price process follows a compound Poisson model. We assume that the price process follows a compound Poisson model under an equivalent martingale measure and it converges weakly to the Black-Scholes model. First, we express the option price as the expectation of the discounted payoff and expand it at the Black-Scholes price to obtain a pricing formula with three unknown parameters. Then we estimate those parameters using the market option data. This method can use the option data on the same stock with different expiration dates and different strike prices.

Option Pricing with Leptokurtic Feature (급첨 분포와 옵션 가격 결정)

  • Ki, Ho-Sam;Lee, Mi-Young;Choi, Byung-Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.211-233
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    • 2004
  • This purpose of paper is to propose a European option pricing formula when the rate of return follows the leptokurtic distribution instead of normal. This distribution explains well the volatility smile and furthermore the option prices calculated under the leptokurtic distribution are shown to be closer to the market prices than those of Black-Scholes model. We make an estimation of the implied volatility and kurtosis to verify the fitness of the pricing formula that we propose here.

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A Study on Interval Estimation of Technology R&D Investment Value using Black-Scholes Model (블랙-숄즈모형을 이용한 기술 R&D 투자가치 구간추정 연구)

  • Seong, Ung-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.29-50
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    • 2005
  • Real options provide a new and productive way to view corporate r&d investment decisions. DCF approach is well established and beloved of financial executives, but is known to systematically underestimate investment value under significant uncertainty. Though real options are not inherent in a r&d investment, they can be used to compute the investment value including managerial flexibility like option value. In this paper, we explain how the interval of option value in black-scholes model can be estimated using simulation. We also present a process framework for interval estimation of volatility and efficient of period of investment value. In such a setting, we can obtain the appropriate interval estimation of the expanded investment value.

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The Pricing of Corporate Common Stock By OPM (OPM에 의한 주식가치(株式價値) 평가(評價))

  • Jung, Hyung-Chan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.133-149
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    • 1985
  • The theory of option pricing has undergone rapid advances in recent years. Simultaneously, organized option markets have developed in the United States and Europe. The closed form solution for pricing options has only recently been developed, but its potential for application to problems in finance is tremendous. Almost all financial assets are really contingent claims. Especially, Black and Scholes(1973) suggest that the equity in a levered firm can be thought of as a call option. When shareholders issue bonds, it is equivalent to selling the assets of the firm to the bond holders in return for cash (the proceeds of the bond issues) and a call option. This paper takes the insight provided by Black and Scholes and shows how it may be applied to many of the traditional issues in corporate finance such as dividend policy, acquisitions and divestitures and capital structure. In this paper a combined capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and option pricing model (OPM) is considered and then applied to the derivation of equity value and its systematic risk. Essentially, this paper is an attempt to gain a clearer focus theoretically on the question of corporate stock risk and how the OPM adds to its understanding.

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Gaussian Process Regression and Its Application to Mathematical Finance (가우시언 과정의 회귀분석과 금융수학의 응용)

  • Lim, Hyuncheul
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents a statistical machine learning method that generates the implied volatility surface under the rareness of the market data. We apply the practitioner's Black-Scholes model and Gaussian process regression method to construct a Bayesian inference system with observed volatilities as a prior information and estimate the posterior distribution of the unobserved volatilities. The variance instead of the volatility is the target of the estimation, and the radial basis function is applied to the mean and kernel function of the Gaussian process regression. We present two types of Gaussian process regression methods and empirically analyze them.

Valuation of workout firms considering characteristics of the construction industry : focused on Black·Scholes Models (건설산업의 특성을 고려한 워크아웃기업의 가치평가 : Black·Scholes 모형을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Gu-Hoi;Won, You-Ho;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.4863-4873
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    • 2014
  • The Korean construction industry has played a major role among all industries despite its relative small ratio of all. The global economic crisis, however, has adversely affected the construction industry. Therefore, the Korean government implemented a corporate restructuring process to ensure the stability of the financial market. The selection standard on workout enterprises by the government is based on two perspectives: (1) external factors, including macroeconomic indices and (2) internal factors, including financial statements of private enterprises. On the other hand, if considering the characteristics of the construction industry, a certain construction company may not be evaluated only by its financial statements. In other words, a valuation process that utilizes the financial statements only can be concluded to be irrational. Accordingly, this study aims to provide the valuation model, which embraces the characteristics of workout firms, and determines their implications. To accomplish this, each enterprise valuation was measured using DCF and Black Scholes models, and by comparing such results with their market value, each enterprise was determined to be either under or over-valued. The results of this study verified that the valuations of 2 workout companies (out of 4) showed a higher value than the market value.

The Default Risk of the Research Funding with Uncertain Variable in South Korea, Along with the Greeks (옵션민감도를 고려한 기술자금의 경제적 가치와 실패확률)

  • Sim, Jaehun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2021
  • As a nation experiencing rapid economic growth, South Korea and its government have made a continuous effort toward efficient research investments to achieve transformation of the Korean industry for the fourth industrial revolution. To achieve the maximum effectiveness of the research investments, it is necessary to evaluate its funding's worth and default risk. Thus, incorporating the concepts of the Black-Scholes-Merton model and the Greeks, this study develops a default-risk evaluation model in the foundation of a system dynamics methodology. By utilizing the proposed model, this study estimates the monetary worth and the default risks of research funding in the public and private sectors of Information and Communication technologies, along with the sensitivity of the R&D economic worth of research funding to changes in a given parameter. This study finds that the public sector has more potential than the private sector in terms of monetary worth and that the default risks of three types of research funding are relatively high. Through a sensitivity analysis, the results indicate that uncertainty in volatility, operation period, and a risk-free interest rate has trivial impacts on the monetary worth of research funding, while volatility has large impacts on the default risk among the uncertain factors.

PRICING CONVERTIBLE BONDS WITH KNOWN INTEREST RATE

  • Kim, Jong Heon
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.185-202
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, using the Black-Scholes analysis, we will derive the partial differential equation of convertible bonds with both non-stochastic and stochastic interest rate. We also find numerical solutions of convertible bonds equation with known interest rate using the finite element method.

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Option Pricing Models with Drift and Jumps under L$\acute{e}$vy processes : Beyond the Gerber-Shiu Model (L$\acute{e}$vy과정 하에서 추세와 도약이 있는 경우 옵션가격결정모형 : Gerber-Shiu 모형을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Seung-Mo;Lee, Phil-Sang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.1-43
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    • 2007
  • The traditional Black-Scholes model for option pricing is based on the assumption that the log-return of the underlying asset follows a Brownian motion. But this assumption has been criticized for being unrealistic. Thus, for the last 20 years, many attempts have been made to adopt different stochastic processes to derive new option pricing models. The option pricing models based on L$\acute{e}$vy processes are being actively studied originating from the Gerber-Shiu model driven by H. U. Gerber and E. S. W. Shiu in 1994. In 2004, G. H. L. Cheang derived an option pricing model under multiple L$\acute{e}$vy processes, enabling us to adopt drift and jumps to the Gerber-Shiu model, while Gerber and Shiu derived their model under one L$\acute{e}$vy process. We derive the Gerber-Shiu model which includes drift and jumps under L$\acute{e}$vy processes. By adopting a Gamma distribution, we expand the Heston model which was driven in 1993 to include jumps. Then, using KOSPI200 index option data, we analyze the price-fitting performance of our model compared to that of the Black-Scholes model. It shows that our model shows a better price-fitting performance.

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