• 제목/요약/키워드: Bivariate Probit Model

검색결과 25건 처리시간 0.02초

The Effect of Bribery on Firm Innovation: An Analysis of Small and Medium Firms in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Toan Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.259-268
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to provide empirical evidence on the causal relationship between bribery and firm innovation. To this end, we use a micro-dataset of small and medium firms in Vietnam surveyed in 2015. Given the binary nature of the dependent variable, a simple probit regression model is employed. However, as bribery variable is potentially endogenous, a simple probit regression may give biased estimates. We deal with the potential endogeneity by making use of the bivariate probit model. A property of the bivariate probit model is that it can produce efficient estimates of a typical probit model with endogenous binary explanatory variable. A Hausman-like likelihood ratio test is implemented following the estimation to test the existence of endogeneity. We find that bribery significantly undermines firm innovation. Also, firms run by household appear less innovative. The probability of innovation diminishes significantly if firm owners or managers have previous experience in firm products. As expected, larger firms seem to be more innovative. Exporters tend to be more innovative compared to non-exporters. Our findings provide support to the hypothesis that bribery is detrimental to firm innovation and, thus, innovation may be a mediating channel, through which, bribery impedes firm long-term performance.

Bivariate Ordered Probit 모형을 이용한 미국 농업의 다원적 기능에 대한 소비자 인식분석 (Assessing Public Attitude for Multifunctional Roles of the U.S. Agriculture Using a Bivariate Ordered Probit Model)

  • 한정희;문완기;조용성
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.413-439
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    • 2009
  • This study conducts a survey and test to understand U.S. public's perception about multifunctionality. The questionnaire suggests seven alternative way of providing questions about intangible benefits provided by agriculture in the U.S. The final questionnaire was administered as an e-mail survey in June 2008 to a nationally representative household panel maintained in the U.S. by the Ipsos Observer. Data analysis shows that 64 percent of respondents considered the multifunctionality of agriculiture as an important issue and 45 percent of respondents were in favor of increasing government expenditure to support farmland preservation. Using Fishbein's multi-attribute model as a theoretical background, this paper develops an empirical model to assess and attributes of multifunctionality. For the analysis, bivariate orderd probit model was set up to reflect respondent's attitude. Regression analyses show that two questions (how much you agree with agriculture's intangible benefit and increasing government expenditure to support agriculture) are shaped by different sets of facts.

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빈곤과 실업의 원인과 복지정책의 효과 (Interdependence of Poverty and Unemployment and the Welfare Policy Effectiveness)

  • 안종범;김철희;전승훈
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.75-95
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 빈곤과 실업의 결정요인과 상호관계를 살펴보고, 복지정책의 효과를 분석해 본다. 특히, 빈곤가구와 가구주의 특성, 가구주의 경제활동상태 변화 및 이들 변수에 영향을 미치는 결정요인을 분석해 본다. probit 모형과 bivariate probit 모형을 이용한 실증분석 결과, 빈곤의 주된 원인으로 실업이 작용했고, 가구월수, 가구주의 연령 및 저학력 등도 원인으로 작용했음이 밝혀졌다. 사회보험 수급 등을 포함하는 복지정책은 이러한 실업이 빈곤에 미치는 영향을 축소시키는 요인으로 역할하고 있음이 추정 결과 나타났다.

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Development of a Recursive Multinomial Probit Model and its Possible Application for Innovation Studies

  • Jeong, Gicheol
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2011
  • This paper develops a recursive multinomial probit model and describes its estimation method. The recursive multinomial probit model is an extension of a recursive bivariate probit model. The main difference between the two models is that a single decision among two or more alternatives can be considered in each choice equation in the proposed model. The recursive multinomial probit model is developed based on a standard framework of the multinomial probit model and a Bayesian approach with a Gibbs sampling is adopted for the estimation. The simulation exercise with artificial data sets is showed that the model performed well. Since the recursive multinomial probit model can be applied to analyze the causal relationship between discrete dependent variables with more than two outcomes, the model can play an important role in extending the methodology of the causal relationship analysis in innovation research.

이변량 프로빗모형을 이용한 미결정자 추론 (Undecided inference using bivariate probit models)

  • 홍종선;정미향
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2011
  • 신용평가를 판단하기 어렵기 때문에 평가를 유보하고 특별한 전문가에게 재심사를 의뢰하기 위하여 결정이 보류된 미결정자에 대한 미결정자 추론은 신용평가 분야 이외에도 의학통계와 스포츠통계등 대부분의 통계적 모형에서 발생하는 문제이다. 본 연구에서는 미결정자 추론을 비임의결측 가정하에서의 결측자료 유형으로 간주하고, 표본선택모형 중의 하나인 이변량 프로빗모형을 이용한다. 결정된 차주의 특성을 나타내는 확률변수를 사용하여 미결정자를 추론하는 방법과 보다 정확한 정보를 수집한 후 추가적인 확률변수를 사용하여 추론하는 방법을 제안한다. 실증예제를 통하여 특성변수의 조합과 다양한 미결정 구간, 그리고 절단점의 변동에 따라 미결정자와 전체 오분류율을 비교한다. 미결정구간을 확대하거나 정확한 신용정보를 모형에 추가하여 사용하면 정상 집단과 부도 집단의 정보를 더욱 정확하게 반영할 수 있기 때문에 미결정자와 전체 오분류율의 큰 감소효과를 기대할 수 있다.

친환경농업 생산조직 참여결정 요인분석 - 충남지역을 중심으로 - (Determinants of Participation in Environment-Friendly Agricultural Production Organization - Focusing on Chungnam Area -)

  • 서환석;황재현
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.271-288
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    • 2019
  • It has continuously promoted to scale up the agricultural management body in order to cope with the market-opening pressure such as the UR negotiation, the DDA negotiation, and more conclusions of FTAs and to enhance the competitiveness of our agriculture. This study evaluated the factors associated with production organization participation centered on environmentally-friendly agriculture farmers in order to improve the production efficiency of environmentally-friendly agriculture in the aspect of production. In order to achieve this objective, this study evaluated the factors that contributed to participating in an organization using the bivariate probit model focusing on environmentally-friendly agriculture farmers in Chungnam. This study examined the validity and reliability of the study model through exploratory factor analysis. The results of factor analyses identified four factors: "distribution", "production", "organization operation", and "social capital". The results of the bivariate probit model showed that distribution significantly affected production activities and distribution, organization operation, agricultural income, and gender significantly influenced sale activities. Environmentally-friendly production organization had not been able to provide the productive support that was needed for local farmers to produce environmentally-friendly agricultural products in a region. Additionally, farming education did not provide the information needed by the farmers. Although producers had a network within a production organization, it was operated mainly for administrators. Therefore, participants felt somewhat lacking. This study identified the level of organization of producer organizations in Chungnam area, where environmentally-friendly agriculture is well activated. This study suggested implications for future production organization participation by evaluating factors affecting participation quantitatively.

차세대 통신서비스 환경에서 3GPP LTE-Advanced 도입과 와이브로(WiBro) 활성화 요인분석 (An Analysis of 3GPP LTE-Advanced Service Introduction and WiBro Active Factors in the Next-generation Telecommunications Service Environment)

  • 이용석;조상섭;강신원
    • 정보화정책
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 와이브로(WiBro) 가입과 3GPP LTE-Advanced 가입이 동시에 이루어지는 통신서비스 환경에서 통신서비스선택행위결정모형에 대한 분석을 목적으로 한다. 2009년 수도권 이동통신가입자 500명을 중심으로 설문 조사한 자료를 바탕으로 선택모형을 분석하였다. 분석결과는 첫째, 미래 통신서비스 사용자의 유망한 두 종류 선택상황에서 와이브로 선택과 3GPP LTE-Advanced 선택행위는 서로 높은 보완적 연관성을 보였다. 둘째, 이변량 프라빗 모형추정 결과 연령, 지출액 그리고 소득변수는 와이브로와 3GPP LTE-Advanced 선택행위에 중요한 영향을 미치는 결정변수로 나타났다. 반면 성별, 사용연수 그리고 이동통신제공 통신사에 관련된 변수는 두 통신서비스 선택의 중요한 변수로 작용하지 못했다. 이 분석 결과는 단일 프라빗 및 이변량 프라빗추정결과에서 동일하게 나타났다. 마지막으로 이변량 프라빗 추정결과를 이용하여 두 통신 서비스 가입전망을 실시한 결과, 와이브로 선택전망이 28.6% 그리고 3GPP LTE-Advanced 가입전망이 25.3%로 나타났다. 또한 두 통신서비스를 동시에 가입할 확률은 19.3%로 나타났다. 따라서 와이브로 선택확률이 3GPP LTE-Advanced 선택확률 보다 높게 나타났다. 분석결과의 시사점은 미래 통신서비스 선택은 근본적으로 경제적인 요인 즉 소득 및 통신비 지출정도에 의하여 결정될 것으로 볼 수 있다.

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중국 지역에서의 한국산 스프레이 장미 구입 결정요인 분석 (An Analysis of Determinants for Korean Spray Rose Purchase in China)

  • 김경필;최종우;김상효;한정훈;임승주
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2017
  • In order to export Korean spray roses to the China, it is needed to analyse chinese preferences, rose attributes, and purchase intentions. The purpose of this study is to present the implications on the production and distribution of roses for export by analyzing the quality preference attributes and purchase intention of Korean rose for Chinese flower experts. A survey on the preference and purchase intention of Korean flower roses by Chinese flower experts was conducted through face - to - face interviews with flower show participants in China. Approximately 100 Chinese flower experts who participated in the Flower Show in 2016 received the questionnaire, and 86 survey results could be used for analysis. Survey data were analyzed using ordered probit and bivariate probit models. As a result of an analysis, it was found that Chinese flower experts were more likely to buy Korean roses than Chinese roses even if they consider flower color, leaf shape and size and color diversity. The probability of purchasing more than twice the price was higher than that of the color diversity considering the flower shape, leaf shape and size, but the bivariate order probit model was larger than that of flowers, leaves and size, and the order of probability size was changed. In order to increase the export of Korean spray roses to the Chinese market, We need to increase Chinese experts' preferences and satisfaction. For this purpose, it is very important to develop export varieties of roses with large flower buds and shape / coloring, and to apply the useful post-harvest technology that can extend freshness and distribution period of export roses.

자가소유가 기부와 자원봉사 참여에 미치는 영향 (Homeownership Effects on Participation in Giving and Volunteering)

  • 백종규
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제25권6_3호
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    • pp.1293-1302
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    • 2022
  • The relationship between homeownership and participation in giving and volunteering overall indicates that homeowners are more likely to give and participate in volunteering organizations than renters. This study compared 'giving and participation in volunteering between homeowners(n=6,078) and renters(3,587) in the 14th Korean Welfare Panel Survey data collected in 2019. The outcome measure of study is a binary outcome of giving and volunteering participation. This study accounted for a bias arising from selection on observables. Specifically, this study employed a recursive bivariate probit model to simultaneously estimate respondents' participation in giving and volunteering participation and their selection of homeownership. Findings from this study have provided some evidence that homeowners and renters have different behaviors in giving and volunteering participation. Finally, issues relating to homeownership and social outcomes were discussed. Implications for social work practice and research were further discussed.

한국 사회의 고위험 음주 결정요인에 관한 연구: 중도 절단 이변량 프로빗 모형의 적용 (Determinants of High Risk Drinking in Korea)

  • 정우진
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.91-110
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    • 2003
  • 고위험 음주는 개인 건강 뿐 아니라 사회에 막대한 부담을 초래한다. 본 연구는 보건복지부와 서울대학교외 건강위험요인 전국조사 자료에 중도 절단 이변량 프로빗 모형(bivariate probit model with censoring)을 활용하여 한국 사회에서 15세 이상 인구계층의 고위험 음주에 미치는 요인을 규명하였다. 연구결과에 따르면 우리나라에서 소주가 음주 주종 중 고위험 음주와 가장 관련성이 큰 주종임이 밝혀졌다. 그동안 소주의 문제점에 관해서는 대부분 인식하고 있었으나 전국 조사 자료 및 최신 통계분석방법을 적용한 연구가 전무하여 실증적인 뒷받침이 되지 않았던 사실이 밝혀진 셈이다. 또한 나이가 많은 계층, 배우자와 동거하지 않는 계층, 경제활동에 종사하는 계층, 스트레스에 취약한 계층, 다양한 주종을 소비하는 계층이 각각 상대적으로 그렇지 않는 계층에 비해 고위험 음주를 할 가능성이 높았다. 본 연구결과로써 한국 사회에서 음주로 인한 위해를 감소시키기 위해서는 주종별로 차별화된 정책과 함께 고위험 음주 가능성이 상대적으로 높은 인구계층을 대상으로 정부 및 민간 노력이 집중되어야 한다는 정책적 시사점을 도출할 수 있었다.