• Title/Summary/Keyword: Binomial sampling

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Development of Sequential Sampling Plan for Bacterial Leaf Blight of Garlic by Cluster Sampling (클러스터 조사에 의한 마늘 세균점무늬병의 축차표본조사법 개발)

  • Song, Jeong Heub;Yang, Cheol Joon;Yang, Young Taek;Shim, Hong Sik;Jwa, Chang Sook
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.268-272
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    • 2015
  • Bacterial leaf blight caused by Pseudomonas syringae pv. porri is one of the major bacterial diseases of garlic (Allium sativum). In South Korea, the disease has only been observed in garlic-growing regions of Jeju island. The spatial distribution pattern of the disease was analyzed by binary power law, in which the natural logarithm of the observed variance is regressed on the natural logarithm of the binomial variance. The estimated slope (b=1.361) of the regression was greater than 1 which meant that the diseased plants were aggregated. The sequential sampling plans were developed for estimating the mean incidence rate ($p_m$) and classifying the mean incidence as being below or above the critical incidence rate ($p_t$). These results could be used on more efficient and higher precisive sampling for bacterial blight of garlic compared to fixed sample sized sampling.

Optimal designing of skip lot sampling plan of type SkSP-2 with double sampling plan as the reference plan under generalized exponential distribution

  • Suresh, K.K.;Kavithamani, M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, a optimal designing methodology is proposed to determine the parameters for skip-lot sampling plan of type SkSP-2 plan with double sampling plan as reference plan, when the lifetime of the product follows generalized exponential distribution. The two points on the operating characteristic curve approach are used to find the optimal parameters for the proposed plan. The plan parameters are determined so as to minimize the average sample number subject to satisfying simultaneously both producer and consumer risks at the acceptable and limiting quality levels respectively.

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The Design and Implementation to Teach Sampling Distributions with the Statistical Inferences (통계적 추론에서의 표집분포 개념 지도를 위한 시뮬레이션 소프트웨어 설계 및 구현)

  • Lee, Young-Ha;Lee, Eun-Ho
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.273-299
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of the study is designing and implementing 'Sampling Distributions Simulation' to help students to understand concepts of sampling distributions. This computer simulation is developed to help students understand sampling distributions more easily. 'Sampling Distributions Simulation' consists of 4 sessions. 'The first session - Confidence level and confidence intervals - includes checking if the intended confidence level is actually achieved by the real relative frequency for the obtained sample confidence intervals containing population mean. This will give the students clearer idea about confidence level and confidence intervals in addition to the role of sampling distribution of the sample means among those. 'The second session - Sampling Distributions - helps understand sampling distribution of the sample means, through the simulation method to make comparison between the histogram of sampling distributions and that of the population. The third session - The Central Limit Theorem - includes calculating the means of the samples taken from a population which follows a uniform distribution or follows a Bernoulli distribution and then making the histograms of those means. This will provides comprehension of the central limit theorem, which mentions about the sampling distribution of the sample means when the sample size is very large. The forth session - the normal approximation to the binomial distribution - helps understand the normal approximation to the binomial distribution as an alternative version of central limit theorem. With the practical usage of the shareware 'Sampling Distributions Simulation', we expect students to have a new vision on the sampling distribution and to get more emphasis on it. With the sound understandings on the sampling distributions, more accurate and profound statistical inferences are expected. And the role of the sampling distribution in the inferences should be more deeply appreciated.

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Sequential sampling method for monitoring potato tuber moths (Phthorimaea operculella) in potato fields

  • Jung, Jae-Min;Byeon, Dae-hyeon;Kim, Eunji;Byun, Hye-Min;Park, Jaekook;Kim, Jihoon;Bae, Jongmin;Kim, Kyutae;Roca-Cusachs, Marcos;Kang, Minjoon;Choi, Subin;Oh, Sumin;Jung, Sunghoon;Lee, Wang-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.615-624
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    • 2020
  • An effective sampling method is necessary to monitor potato tuber moths (Phthorimaea operculella) because they are the biggest concern in potato-cultivating areas. In this study, a sequential sampling method was developed based on the results of field surveys of potato tuber moths in South Korea. Potato tuber moths were collected in fields cultivating potatoes at six sites, and their spatial distribution was investigated using the Taylor power law. The optimal sampling size and cumulative number of potato tuber moths in traps to stop sampling were determined based on the spatial distribution pattern and mean density of the collected potato tuber moths. Finally, the developed sampling method was applied to propose a control action, and its sampling efficiency was compared with that of the traditional sampling method using a binomial distribution. The potato tuber moths tended to aggregate; the optimal number was approximately 5 - 16 traps for sampling, and the number varied with the mean density of potato tuber moths according to the sampling sites. In addition, one, two, and three sites might require the following actions: Continued sampling, control, and no control, respectively. Sampling with the binomial distribution showed the minimum sample size was 12 when considering the economic threshold level. Here, we propose an effective sampling method that can be applied for future monitoring and field surveys of potato tuber moths in South Korea.

Comparison of Two-time Homogeneous Poisson Processes Using Inverse Type Sapling Plans (역샘플링법을 이용한 포와슨과정의 비교)

  • 장중순;임춘우;정유진
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.11 no.17
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 1988
  • This study is concerned with the comparison of two time homogeneous Poisson processes. Traditionally, the methods of testing equality of Poisson processes were based on the binomial distribution or its normal approximations. The sampling plans used in these methods are to observe the processes concurrently over a predetermined time interval, possibly different for each process. However, when the values of the intensities of the processes are small, inverse type sampling plans are more appropriate since there may be cases where only a few or even no events are observed in the predetermined time interval. This study considers 9 inverse type sampling plans for the comparison of two Poisson processes. For each sampling plans considered, critical regions and the design parameters of the sampling plan are determined to guarantee the significance level and the power at some values of the alternative hypothesis. The Problem of comparing of two Weibull processes are also considered.

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Logistic regression model for major separation rate

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2002
  • This paper deals with logistic regression models for analysing separation rates from majors. The model building procedure shows how to incoporate the effects of some factors causing from three-way nested sampling scheme and discusses what type of characteristics as independent variables directly affecting the rates should be considered.

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Estimating the Economic Value of the Songieong Beach Using A Count Data Model: - Off-season Estimating Value of the Beach - (가산자료모형을 이용한 송정 해수욕장의 경제적 가치추정: - 비수기 해수욕장의 가치추정 -)

  • Heo, Yun-Jeong;Lee, Seung-Lae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.79-101
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Songieong Beach in Off-season, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). Songieong Beach is located in Busan but far away from city. These days, however, the increased rate of traffic inflow to the Songieong beach and the five-day working week are reflected in the trend analysis. Moreover, people have changed psychological value. For that reason, visitors are on the increase on the beach in off-season. The ITCM is applied to estimate non-market value or environmental Good like a Contingent Valuation Method and Hedonic Price Model etc. The ITCM was derived from the Count Data Model(i.e. Poisson and Negative Binomial model). So this paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. The data for the study were collected from the Songjeong Beach on visitors over the a week from November 1 through November 23, 2006. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 113. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. This paper analyzes the effects of determinants on visitors' demand for exhibition using a class of maximum-likelihood regression estimators for count data from truncated samples, The count data and truncated models are used primarily to explain non-negative integer and truncation properties of tourist trips as suggested by the economic valuation literature. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This paper is not the same as the others. One thing is that Estimating Value of the Beach in off-season. The other thing is this study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 199,754 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 1,288,680 Korean won.

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A Modified Single Sampling Plan for the Inspection of Attribute Quality Characteristics

  • Subramani, J.;Balamurali, S.
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2016
  • In this manuscript, a modified single sampling plan is proposed for the inspection of products in which the nonconforming items can be classified in to two categories namely critical and non-critical; and explained with the help of industrial example. The operating procedure of this plan is also proposed and the performance measures such as the probability of acceptance, average sample number, average total inspection and average out going quality are also derived. The optimal parameters are determined which will have minimum sample size. The efficiency of the proposed plan is also discussed over the conventional single sampling plan. The extensive tables for selecting a modified single sampling plan based on AQL and LQL are provided for both Binomial and Poisson distributions and explained with the help of industrial data.

Re-exploring teaching and learning of probability and statistics using Excel

  • Lee, Seung-Bum;Park, Jungeun;Choi, Sang-Ho;Kim, Dong-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2016
  • The law of large numbers, central limit theorem, and connection among binomial distribution, normal distribution, and statistical estimation require dynamics of continuous visualization for students' better understanding of the concepts. During this visualization process, the differences and similarities between statistical probability and mathematical probability that students should observe need to be provided with the intermediate steps in the converging process. We propose a visualization method that can integrate intermediate processes and results through Excel. In this process, students' experiences with dynamic visualization help them to perceive that the results are continuously changed and extracted from multiple situations. Considering modeling as a key process, we developed a classroom exercise using Excel to estimate the population mean and standard deviation by using a sample mean computed from a collection of data out of the population through sampling.

Bayesian Analysis of Software Reliability Growth Model with Negative Binomial Information (음이항분포 정보를 가진 베이지안 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hui-Cheol;Park, Jong-Gu;Lee, Byeong-Su
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.852-861
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    • 2000
  • Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals betwewn software failures. In this paper, using priors for the number of fault with the negative binomial distribution nd the error rate with gamma distribution, Bayesian inference and model selection method for Jelinski-Moranda and Goel-Okumoto and Schick-Wolverton models in software reliability. For model selection, we explored the sum of the relative error, Braun statistic and median variation. In Bayesian computation process, we could avoid the multiple integration by the use of Gibbs sampling, which is a kind of Markov Chain Monte Carolo method to compute the posterior distribution. Using simulated data, Bayesian inference and model selection is studied.

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