• Title/Summary/Keyword: Binomial proportion

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The Influence of Extreme Value in Binomial Confidence Interval (이항 신뢰구간에서 극단값의 영향)

  • Ryu, Jea-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.615-623
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    • 2011
  • Several methods are used in interval estimation for binomial proportion; however the coverage probabilities of most confidence intervals depart from the confidence level when the binomial population proportion closes to 0 or 1 due to the extreme value. Vollset (1993), Agresti and Coull (1998), Newcombe (1998), and Brown et al. (2001) suggested methods to adjust the extreme value. This paper discusses the influence of extreme value in a binomial confidence interval through the numerical comparison of 6 confidence intervals.

A Short Consideration of Binomial Confidence Interval (이항신뢰구간에 대한 소고)

  • Ryu, Jea-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.731-743
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    • 2009
  • The interval estimation for binomial proportion has been treated practically as well as theoretically for a long time. In this paper we compared the properties of major confidence intervals and summarized current issues for coverage probability and interval length which are the criteria of evaluation for confidence interval. Additionally, we examined the three topics which were considered in using the binomial confidence interval in the field. And finally we discussed the future studies for a low binomial proportion.

The Binomial Distribution with Fuzzy Valued Probability (퍼지 확률에 의한 이항분포)

  • Gang, Man-Gi;Seo, Hyeon-A;Park, Yeong-Rae;Choe, Gyu-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.33-36
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    • 2008
  • We introduce some properties for fuzzy binomial distributions with fuzzy valued probability. First we define fuzzy type I error and type II error for fuzzy relative frequency and agreement index. And we show that an fuzzy power function and fuzzy binomial frequency function for binomial proportion test.

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Estimating a Binomial Proportion with Bayes Estimated Imputed Conditional Means

  • Shin, Min-Woong;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2002
  • The one of analytic imputation technique involving conditional means was mentioned by Schafer and Schenker(2000). And their derivations are based on asymptotic expansions of point estimator and their associated variance estimator, and the result of imputation can be thought of as first-order approximations to the estimators. Specially in this paper, we are presenting the method of estimating a Binomial proportion with Bayesian approach of imputed conditional means. That is, instead of using maximum likelihood(ML) estimator to estimate a Binomial proportion, in general, we use the Bayesian estimators and will show the result of estimated Imputed conditional means.

Estimation and Application of Binomial Confidence Interval for Nonconforming Proportions (부적합품률의 이항 신뢰구간 추정 및 응용)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon;Lee, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents various interval estimation methods of binomial proportion for small n in multi-product small volume production and extremely small ^P like PPM or PPB fraction of defectives. This study classifies interval estimation of binomial proportion into three categories such as exact, approximate, Bayesian methods. These confidence intervals proposed in this paper can be applied to attribute process capability and attribute acceptance sampling plan for PPM or PPB.

Interval Estimation for a Binomial Proportion Based on Weighted Polya Posterior (이항 비율의 가중 POLYA POSTERIOR 구간추정)

  • Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.607-615
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    • 2005
  • Recently the interval estimation of a binomial proportion is revisited in various literatures. This is mainly due to the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the will-known Wald confidence interval. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, Agresti-Coull confidence interval has been recommended by Brown et al. (2001) with other confidence intervals for large sample, say n $\ge$ 40. On the other hand, a noninformative Bayesian approach called Polya posterior often produces statistics with good frequentist's properties. In this note, an interval estimator is developed using weighted Polya posterior. The resulting interval estimator is essentially the Agresti-Coull confidence interval with some improved features. It is shown that the weighted Polys posterior produce an effective interval estimator for small sample size and a severely skewed binomial distribution.

Confidence Intervals for a tow Binomial Proportion (낮은 이항 비율에 대한 신뢰구간)

  • Ryu Jae-Bok;Lee Seung-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.217-230
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    • 2006
  • e discuss proper confidence intervals for interval estimation of a low binomial proportion. A large sample surveys are practically executed to find rates of rare diseases, specified industrial disaster, and parasitic infection. Under the conditions of 0 < p ${\leq}$ 0.1 and large n, we compared 6 confidence intervals with mean coverage probability, root mean square error and mean expected widths to search a good one for interval estimation of population proportion p. As a result of comparisons, Mid-p confidence interval is best and AC, score and Jeffreys confidence intervals are next.

A Binomial Sampling Plans for Aphis gossypii (Hemiptera: Aphididae) in Greenhouse Cultivation of Cucumbers

  • Kang, Taek Jun;Park, Jung-Joon;Cho, Kijong;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.596-602
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    • 2012
  • Infestations of Aphis gossypii per leaf in greenhouse cultivation of cucumbers were investigated to develop binomial sampling plans. An empirical $P_T-m$ model, $ln(m)={\alpha}+{\beta}ln[-ln(1-P_T)]$, was used to evaluate relationship between the proportion of infested leaves with ${\leq}$ T aphids per leaf ($P_T$) and mean aphid density (m). Tally thresholds (T) were set to 1, 3, 5, 7, and 9 aphids per leaf to find appropriate T in greenhouse cultivation of cucumbers. Increasing sample size had little effect on the precision of the binomial sampling plan. However, the precision increased with tally threshold. The binomial model with T = 5 provided appropriate predictions of the mean densities of A. gossypii in the greenhouse cultivation of cucumbers. Using a binomial model with T = 5 (sample size = 200), a wide range of densities (1.2 - 222.8 aphids per leaf) could be estimated with precision levels of 0.346 - 0.380 for $P_T$ values between 0.15 and 0.96. Binomial models were validated at T = 5 and 7 using 12 independent data sets. Both binomial models were robust and adequately described aphid densities; most of the independent sampling data fell within 95% confidence intervals around the prediction model.

Fuzzy Binomial Proportion Test by Agreement Index (동의지수에 의한 퍼지 이항비률 검정)

  • Kang, Man-Ki;Park, Young-Rye
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2009
  • We propose some properties for fuzzy binomial proportion test by agreement index. First we define fuzzy probability space and fuzzy type I error and type II error for the fuzzy probability of the two type errors. Also, we show that a fuzzy power function of performance for a fuzzy hypothesis test and drawing conclusions from the test.

The Hazardous Expressway Sections for Drowsy Driving Using Digital Tachograph in Truck (화물차 DTG 데이터를 활용한 고속도로 졸음운전 위험구간 분석)

  • CHO, Jongseok;LEE, Hyunsuk;LEE, Jaeyoung;KIM, Ducknyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 2017
  • In the past 10 years, the accidents caused by drowsy driving have occupied about 23% of all traffic accidents in Korea expressway network and this rate is the highest one among all accident causes. Unlike other types of accidents caused by speeding and distraction to the road, the accidents by drowsy driving should be managed differently because the drowsiness might not be controlled by human's will. To reduce the number of accidents caused by drowsy driving, researchers previously focused on the spot based analysis. However, what we actually need is a segment (link) and occurring time based analysis, rather than spot based analysis. Hence, this research performs initial effort by adapting link concept in terms of drowsy driving on highway. First of all, we analyze the accidents caused by drowsy in historical accident data along with their road environments. Then, links associate with driving time are analyzed using digital tachograph (DTG) data. To carry this out, negative binomial regression models, which are broadly used in the field, including highway safety manual, are used to define the relationship between the number of traffic accidents on expressway and drivers' behavior derived from DTG. From the results, empirical Bayes (EB) and potential for safety improvement (PSI) analysis are performed for potential risk segments of accident caused by drowsy driving on the future. As the result of traffic accidents caused by drowsy driving, the number of the traffic accidents increases with increase in annual average daily traffic (AADT), the proportion of trucks, the amount of DTG data, the average proportion of speeding over 20km/h, the average proportion of deceleration, and the average proportion of sudden lane-changing.