• 제목/요약/키워드: Best-estimate Analysis

검색결과 302건 처리시간 0.031초

소셜 네트워크 분석 및 정규화된 할인 누적 이익을 이용한 영화 추천 시스템 (Movie Recommendation System using Social Network Analysis and Normalized Discounted Cumulative Gain)

  • 비라콘 폰싸이;신장 캄파폰;이한나;박두순
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2019년도 춘계학술발표대회
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    • pp.267-269
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    • 2019
  • There are many recommendation systems offer an effort to get better preciseness the information to the users. In order to further improve more accuracy, the social network analysis method which is used to analyze data to community detection in social networks was introduced in the recommendation system and the result shows this method is improving more accuracy. In this paper, we propose a movie recommendation system using social network analysis and normalized discounted cumulative gain with the best accuracy. To estimate the performance, the collaborative filtering using the k nearest neighbor method, the social network analysis with collaborative filtering method and the proposed method are used to evaluate the MovieLens data. The performance outputs show that the proposed method get better the accuracy of the movie recommendation system than any other methods used in this experiment.

BEPU analysis of a CANDU LBLOCA RD-14M experiment using RELAP/SCDAPSIM

  • A.K. Trivedi;D.R. Novog
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.1448-1459
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    • 2023
  • A key element of the safety analysis is Loss of Coolant Analysis (LOCA) which must be performed using system thermal-hydraulic codes. These codes are extensively validated against separate effect and integral experiments. RELAP/SCDAPSIM is one such code that may be used to predict LBLOCA response in a CANDU reactor. The RD-14M experiment selected for the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty study is a 44 mm (22.7%) inlet header break test with no Emergency Coolant Injection. This work has two objectives first is to simulate pipe break with RELAP and compare these results to those available from experiment and from comparable TRACE calculations. The second objective is to quantify uncertainty in the fuel element sheath (FES) temperature arising from model coefficient as well as input parameter uncertainties using Integrated Uncertainty Analysis package. RELAP calculated results are found to be in good agreement with those of TRACE and with those of experiments. The base case maximum FES temperature is 335.5 ℃ while that of 95% confidence 95th percentile is 407.41 ℃ for the first order Wilk's formula. The experimental measurements fall within the predicted band and the trends and sensitivities are similar to those reported for the TRACE code.

복잡 해안지역 해상풍 모의의 정확도 개선- I : 현업모델의 평가 (Improvements in the simulation of sea surface wind over the complex coastal area- I : Assessment of current operational model)

  • 배주현;김유근;오인보;정주희;권지혜;서장원
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제14권7호
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    • pp.657-667
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    • 2005
  • In this study, we focused on the improvements in the simulation of sea surface wind over the complex coastal area. MM5 model being currently used to predict sea surface wind at Korea Meteorological Administration, was used to verify the accuracy to estimate the local wind field. A case study was performed on clear days with weak wind speed(4 m/s), chosen by the analysis of observations. The model simulations were conducted in the southeastern area of Korea during the selected periods, and observational data such as AWS, buoy and QuikSCAT were used to compare with the calculated wind components to investigate if simulated wind field could follow the tendency of the real atmospheric wind field. Results showed that current operational model, MM5, does not estimate accurately sea surface wind and the wind over the coastal area. The calculated wind speed was overestimated along the complex coastal regions but it was underestimated in islands and over the sea. The calculated diurnal changes of wind direction could not follow well the tendency of the observed wind, especially at nighttime. In order to exceed the limitations, data assimilation with high resolution data and more specificated geographical information is expected as a next best policy to estimate accurately the environment of local marine wind field.

EXPERIMENTAL SIMULATION OF A DIRECT VESSEL INJECTION LINE BREAK OF THE APR1400 WITH THE ATLAS

  • Choi, Ki-Yong;Park, Hyun-Sik;Cho, Seok;Kang, Kyoung-Ho;Choi, Nan-Hyun;Kim, Dae-Hun;Park, Choon-Kyung;Kim, Yeon-Sik;Baek, Won-Pil
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.655-676
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    • 2009
  • The first-ever integral effect test for simulating a guillotine break of a DVI (Direct Vessel Injection) line of the APR1400 was carried out with the ATLAS (Advanced Thermal-hydraulic Test Loop for Accident Simulation) from the same prototypic pressure and temperature conditions as those of the APR1400. The major thermal hydraulic behaviors during a DVI line break accident were identified and investigated experimentally. A method for estimating the break flow based on a balance between the change in RCS inventory and the injection flow is proposed to overcome a direct break low measurement deficiency. A post-test calculation was performed with a best-estimate safety analysis code MARS 3.1 to examine its prediction capability and to identify any code deficiencies for the thermal hydraulic phenomena occurring during the DVI line break accidents. On the whole, the prediction of the MARS code shows a good agreement with the measured data. However, the code predicted a higher core level than did the data just before a loop seal clearing occurs, leading to no increase in the peak cladding temperature. The code also produced a more rapid decrease in the downcomer water level than was predicted by the data. These observable disagreements are thought to be caused by uncertainties in predicting countercurrent flow or condensation phenomena in a downcomer region. The present integral effect test data will be used to support the present conservative safety analysis methodology and to develop a new best-estimate safety analysis methodology for DVI line break accidents of the APR1400.

현장계획에 의한 연약지반의 장기 침하 예측지법에 관한 실증적 연구 (A Study on the Practical Estimation Technique of a Long-term Settlement by the Observation Results in the Field)

  • 서수봉;김수삼
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 1991
  • This study was carried out for the purpose of pre-estimating long-term settlement under condition of actual field soil's property, in case of building up industrial sites on the marine deposit silty clay located at West Coast in Korea. This study analyzed Hyperbolic Method, Square Root Time Method and Exponential Function Method with utilization of measured survey values of settlement in In-Cheon Namdong Industrial Sites. In the future, for the continuos utilization, it seemed to be needed that further the survey values of fields should be accurartely measured for the analysis of more accurate pre-estimate about long-term settlement. Among the prediction methods of settlement Hyperbolic Method seemed to be the best fitting method for measured data. The settlement equations were derived from above three methods, for long-term settlements.

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영어와 한국어 자연발화 코퍼스에서의 무성 폐쇄음 개방 파열 스펙트럼 연구 (A study on the release burst spectra of the voiceless plosives from the English and Korean spontaneous speech corpus)

  • 황선미;윤규철
    • 말소리와 음성과학
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this work is to examine the English and Korean voiceless plosives from the Buckeye[15] and Seoul[16] corpus in terms of their static spectral characteristics. The plosives were automatically extracted by a Praat script. In order to estimate the percent correctness in the classification of the plosives, discriminant analyses were performed whose trainings were based on four spectral moments, i.e. the center of gravity, variance, skewness and kurtosis as suggested in [6]. Another set of discriminant analyses were performed based on the spectral tilts. In the last set of analyeses, the spectral moments and tilts were both used in the training. Results showed that the correct classification rate did not exceed around 65% in the best case, which suggested that phonetic cues other than the release burst would be necessary including the dynamic spectral aspects and vowel-onset cues.

단발 터어보프롭 항공기 동적 모델의 파라메터추정 (Parameter estimation of a single turbo-prop aircraft dynamic model)

  • 이환;이상기
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.38-44
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    • 1998
  • The modified maximum likelihood estimation method is used to estimate the nondimensional aerodynamic derivatives of a single turbo-prop aircraft at a specified flight condition for the best deduction of the dynamic characteristics. In wind axes the six degree of freedom equations are algebraically linearized so that the linear state equation contains aerodynamic derivatives in a state-space form and is used in the maximum likelihood method. The simulated data added with the measurement noise is used as a flight test data which is necessary to the estimation of nondimensional aerodynamic derivatives. It is obtained by implementing the 6-DOF nonlinear flight simulation. In the flight simulation, the effects of several control input types, control deflection amplitudes, and the turbulence intensities on the statistical convergence criteria are also examined and quantitative analysis of the results is discussed.

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A FRAMEWORK TO UNDERSTAND THE ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF KRIGING AND SPLINES

  • Furrer Eva M.;Nychka Douglas W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.57-76
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    • 2007
  • Kriging is a nonparametric regression method used in geostatistics for estimating curves and surfaces for spatial data. It may come as a surprise that the Kriging estimator, normally derived as the best linear unbiased estimator, is also the solution of a particular variational problem. Thus, Kriging estimators can also be interpreted as generalized smoothing splines where the roughness penalty is determined by the covariance function of a spatial process. We build off the early work by Silverman (1982, 1984) and the analysis by Cox (1983, 1984), Messer (1991), Messer and Goldstein (1993) and others and develop an equivalent kernel interpretation of geostatistical estimators. Given this connection we show how a given covariance function influences the bias and variance of the Kriging estimate as well as the mean squared prediction error. Some specific asymptotic results are given in one dimension for Matern covariances that have as their limit cubic smoothing splines.

Empirical variogram for achieving the best valid variogram

  • Mahdi, Esam;Abuzaid, Ali H.;Atta, Abdu M.A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.547-568
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    • 2020
  • Modeling the statistical autocorrelations in spatial data is often achieved through the estimation of the variograms, where the selection of the appropriate valid variogram model, especially for small samples, is crucial for achieving precise spatial prediction results from kriging interpolations. To estimate such a variogram, we traditionally start by computing the empirical variogram (traditional Matheron or robust Cressie-Hawkins or kernel-based nonparametric approaches). In this article, we conduct numerical studies comparing the performance of these empirical variograms. In most situations, the nonparametric empirical variable nearest-neighbor (VNN) showed better performance than its competitors (Matheron, Cressie-Hawkins, and Nadaraya-Watson). The analysis of the spatial groundwater dataset used in this article suggests that the wave variogram model, with hole effect structure, fitted to the empirical VNN variogram is the most appropriate choice. This selected variogram is used with the ordinary kriging model to produce the predicted pollution map of the nitrate concentrations in groundwater dataset.

터널브라킷 애자류 오염도 분석에 관한 연구 (A research on the Tunnel bracket insulator pollution characteristic in Korea Railroad)

  • 전용주;류영태;박영식;박기범;이태훈
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1963-1969
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    • 2009
  • This paper introduces method to estimate pollutant negative influence to polymer type insulator according to the international standard. To accomplish this goal, effective sample collecting method was surface was collected directly with the same dimension. Distilled Through this method pollute is easily and accurately collected. The second step is pollutant analysis. Several analyze item is selected such as quantity, conductivity, contact angle, Optical Microscope(OM), IR spectrometer(FT-IR), Equivalent Salt Deposit Density(ESDD), Thermal Analyzer(TA) and ICP-AES. The third step, best represent tunnel was selected considering location, length and natural surroundings. Also to consider the difference at inside the tunnel, several bracket insulators were selected along to the location. To make the result precise, above procedure was repeated several times at the same target. Finally relation among type of train, numbers of movement, surroundings, length will be considered in combination with the pollution. With this result pollute map for KORAIL could be accomplished and inspect period will be optimized case by case.

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