• 제목/요약/키워드: Best Point Estimate

검색결과 69건 처리시간 0.03초

Use Case에 의한 소프트웨어 규모 예측 방법에 대한 실증적 연구 (An Empirical Study of Software Size Estimation Techniques by Use Case)

  • 서예영;이남용
    • 한국전자거래학회지
    • /
    • 제6권2호
    • /
    • pp.143-157
    • /
    • 2001
  • There has been a need for predicting development efforts and costs of the system during the early stage of the software process and hundreds of metrics have been proposed for computer software, but not all provide practical support to the software engineer. Some demand measurement that is too complex, others are so esoteric that few real-world professionals have any hope of understanding them, and others violate the basic intuitive notions of what high-quality software really is. It is worthwhile that metrics should be tailored to best accommodate specific products and processes after grasping their good and no good point. This paper describes two size estimation techniques, the Karner technique and the Marchesi technique, and compares and analyzes them with proposed evaluation criteria. Both techniques are to estimate software size analyzed by use case that is mainly described during the object-oriented analysis phase. We also present an empirical comparison of them, both are applied in the Internet Medicine Prescription System. We also propose some guidance for experiments based on our analysis. We believe that it should be facilitating project management more effective by adjusting software metrics properly.

  • PDF

AGNPS 모형을 이용한 농경지 관리대안에 따른 비점오염 저감효과 분석 (Assessing Impact of Non-Point Source Pollution by Management Alternatives on Arable Land using AGNPS Model)

  • 이은정;김학관;박승우
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2007년도 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.1008-1013
    • /
    • 2007
  • The objectives of the paper were to identify appropriate best management practices (BMPs) for reducing nonpoint source (NPS) pollutant loadings and to simulate the effects of the application of the several BMP scenarios on the study watershed using Agricultural Nonpoint Source (AGNPS) model. AGNPS model was calibrated and validated for runoff, sediment yield, and nutrient components using the observed hydrologic and water quality data. The simulated runoff, sediment, and nutrient components were well agreed with observed data. The validated AGNPS was applied to estimate the NPS pollution removal efficiency for BMP scenarios which were selected considering the pollutant characteristics of the study watershed.

  • PDF

A Bayesian time series model with multiple structural change-points for electricity data

  • Kim, Jaehee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제28권4호
    • /
    • pp.889-898
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this research multiple change-points estimation for South Korean electricity generation data is considered. We analyze the South Korean electricity data via deterministically trending dynamic time series model with multiple structural changes in trends in a Bayesian approach. The number of change-points and the timing are unknown. The goal is to find the best model with the appropriate number of change-points and the length of the segments. A genetic algorithm is implemented to solve this optimization problem with a variable dimension of parameters. We estimate the structural change-points for South Korean electricity generation data and Nile River flow data additionally.

화강암의 이방성에 따른 물리적 특성 연구 (Study on the Physical Properties according to the Anisotropy of Granite)

  • 박윤석;강추원
    • 화약ㆍ발파
    • /
    • 제21권4호
    • /
    • pp.23-35
    • /
    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 남원지역 화강암을 대상으로 각 방향에 따른 물성간의 상관관계와 역학적 이방성을 규명하고자 하였다. 화강암의 수평, 수직축의 방향별 물성치는 일축압축강도 및 압열인장강도와 선형관계를 나타내었으며, 초음파 속도 측정 결과 수직방향은 나머지 두 수평방향 보다 약 10∼15% 정도 빠르게 나타났다. 이러한 속도 차이의 원인은 주로 암석 내에 존재하는 미세균열의 발달형태에 따르는 것으로 판단되며, 이는 현미경관찰 결과와 매우 일치함을 알 수 있었다. 점하중시험에 의한 점하중강도지수(Is(50)) 측정결과, 화강암의 경우 일축압축강도와 점하중강도지수의 비는 18∼20에 해당하는 것으로 나타났다. 일축압축강도와 점하중강도지수. 슈미트해머 반발치. 압열인장강도와 좋은 상관관계를 나타내었으며, 이중 점하중강도지수가 가장 높은 상관관계를 보였다. 이로부터 알 수 있듯이 점하중 강도지수가 일축압축강도를 추정하는데 가장 유효한 도구임을 확인할 수 있었다.

소유역의 효과적인 침식조절을 위한 유사평가 툴(SATEEC)의 개발 (Development of Sediment Assessment Tool for Effective Erosion Control (SATEEC) in Small Scale Watershed)

  • Kyoung-Jae Lim;Joong-Dae Choi;Ki-Sung Kim;Myung Sagong;Bernard A. Engel
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제45권5호
    • /
    • pp.85-96
    • /
    • 2003
  • The Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) has been used in over 100 countries to estimate potential long-term soil erosion from the field. However, the RUSLE estimated soil erosion cannot be used to estimate the sediment delivered to the stream networks. For an effective erosion control, it is necessary to compute sediment delivery ratio (SDR) for watershed and sediment yield at watershed outlet. Thus, the Sediment Assessment Tool for Effective Erosion Control (SATEEC) was developed in this study to compute the sediment yield at any point in the watershed. To compute spatially distributed sediment yield map, the RUSLE was first integrated with the ArcView GIS and three area based sediment delivery ratio methods were incorporated in the SATEEC. The SATEEC was applied to the Bangdong watershed, Chuncheon, Gangwon Province to demonstrate how it can be used to estimate soil loss and sediment yield for a watershed. The sediment yield using USDA SDR method is 8,544 ton/year and 4,949 ton/year with the method by Boyce. Thus, use of watershed specific SDR is highly recommended when comparing the estimated sediment yield with the measured sediment data. The SATEEC was applied with hypothetical cropping scenario and it was found that the SATEEC can be used to assess the impacts of different management on the sediment delivered to the stream networks and to find the sediment source areas for a reach of interest. The SATEEC is an efficient tool to find the best erosion control practices with its easy-to-use interface.

Vector at Risk와 대안적인 VaR (Vector at Risk and alternative Value at Risk)

  • 홍종선;한수정;이기쁨
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제29권4호
    • /
    • pp.689-697
    • /
    • 2016
  • 금융시장 위험관리 수단으로 많이 사용하는 기법 중의 하나는 Morgan이 제안한 최대손실금액을 추정하는 VaR (Value at Risk)이다. VaR은 한 산업의 금융위험 측정도구로 사용되어지지만 실제 생활에서는 여러 회사 또는 국내 전체의 산업의 VaR를 추정하는 경우가 많다. 따라서 투자할 여러 산업에 대하여 특정한 포트폴리오가 설정된 경우에 다변량분포에 대한 VaR를 추정하는 문제가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 다변량분포에 대한 VaR를 추정하기 위하여, 다차원 분위 벡터를 제안하고, 이를 바탕으로 다차원 공간에서의 Vector at Risk를 정의한다. 다변량분포에 대하여 특정한 포트폴리오가 설정된 경우에, Vector at Risk 중에서의 한 점을 가장 적절한 VaR로 설정하는 방법을 제안한다. 이를 대안적인 VaR이라고 정의하고, 다변량 분포에 대한 이 방법에 대하여 토론한다. 2변량과 3변량의 예제를 통해 본 연구의 대안적인 VaR과 Morgan의 VaR를 각각 구하고, 비교 설명하면서 대안적인 VaR의 특징을 탐색한다.

도로 비점오염 해석을 위한 ROADMOD개발 및 적용: 도로청소 효과 분석 (Development and Application of ROADMOD for Analysis of Non-point Source Pollutions from Road: Analysis of Removal Efficiency of Sediment in Road by Sweeping)

  • 강희만;전지홍
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제37권2호
    • /
    • pp.103-113
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, an Excel-based model (ROADMOD) was developed to estimate pollutant loading from the road and evaluate BMPs. ROADMOD employs the Chezy-Manning equation and empirical expression for estimating surface runoff, and power function for pollutant buildup, and exponential function for pollutant washoff in SWMM. The results of model calibration for buildup and washoff using observed data revealed a good match between the simulation results and the observed data. The long-term surface runoff and sediment simulated by ROADMOD demonstrated a good match with those by SWMM with 2 ~ 14% of relative error. The shorter sweeping interval (within 8 days) remarkably decreased sediment loads from the road. It was found that the effect of reducing sediment loads from the road was greatly affected not only by the sweeping interval but also by sweeping on the day before a rainfall event. The 48% of removal efficiency of sediment loads from the road was achieved with 26 times of road sweeping per year when sweeping was performed on the day before the rainfall event. A 4-day sweeping interval showed similar removal efficiency (48%) with 96 times of sweeping per year. It is considered that the road sweeping on the day before a rainfall event could maximize the effect of reducing the non-point source pollution from the road with minimization of the number of road sweeping. So, the road sweeping on the day before a rainfall event can be considered as one of the useful and best management practices (BMPs) on road.

합판(合板)의 내화처리(耐火處理)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) - III. 제1인산(第一燐酸)암모늄처리합판(處理合板)의 내화도(耐火度) (Studies on Plywood Treated Fire-Retardant - III. The Fire-Retardant Degree of Monoammonium Phosphate Treated Plywood)

  • 김종만
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
    • /
    • 제14권4호
    • /
    • pp.21-28
    • /
    • 1986
  • Plywood used for construction as a decorative inner material is inflammable and can fire accident, causing destruction of human life and property. In this study, 3.5mm Kapur plywoods were soaked in the 23% monoammonium phosphate solutions by cold soaking method 3, 6, 9hrs and hot-cold bath method for 3/3hrs, and redrying was carried out by press-drying at the platen temperature of 110, 130, 160, 180$^{\circ}C$, and then fire test was carried out to investigate burning point, flame exhausted length, frame spread length, back side carbonized area and weight loss. The results are as follows; 1. In cold soaking method for 3, 6, 9hrs. retentions of monoammonium phosphate were 0.377, 0.448, 0.498kg/(30cm)$^3$ respectively, and in hot-cold bath method for 3/3hrs, the retention was 1.331kg(30cm)$^3$ that exceeded the minimum retention 1.124kg/(30cm)$^3$. 2. Correlation coefficients among the variable were shown in table 2. From the table, it could be recognized that there were close negative correlations between the treatment and burning point, flame spread length, back side carbonized area, flame exhausted time and weight loss, and there was negative correlation between treating time and back side carbonized area, but there was positive correlation between platen temperature and burning point. 3. From table 3, it can be observed that there were highly significant differences for burning point, flame spread length, flame exhausted time, back side carhonized area, weight loss between treatments. And in 2-way interactions, there were also highly significant for burning point, flame spread length, flame exhausted time, weight loss between time x treatment. 4. It was observed that burning point, flame exhausted time, flame spread length, back side carbonized area, and weight loss in fire-retardant treated plywood were the best effects in fire-retardant treated plywood, water treated plywood and nontreated plywood. In conclusion, I can estimate that absorbed chemical contents by hot-cold bath method for 3/3hrs, have a lot of effects on fire-retardant factors such as burning point, flame spread length, flame exhausted time, backside carbonized area and weight loss, but platen temperatures have a little effects on the fire factors.

  • PDF

기계학습 기반의 로드킬 발생 예측과 영향 요인 탐색에 대한 연구 (A Study on Machine Learning-Based Estimation of Roadkill Incidents and Exploration of Influencing Factors)

  • 허소진;김지영
    • 환경영향평가
    • /
    • 제33권2호
    • /
    • pp.74-83
    • /
    • 2024
  • 본 연구에서는 충청남도를 중심으로 로드킬 발생을 예측하고 영향을 미치는 요인을 탐구하여 로드킬 예방 대책 수립에 이바지하고자 하였다. 날씨, 도로 및 환경 정보를 종합적으로 고려하여 기계학습을 기반으로 로드킬 발생을 예측하고 각 변수의 중요성을 분석하여 주요 영향 요인을 도출하였다. 가장 우수한 성능을 보인 Gradient Boosting Machine(GBM)은 정확도 92.0%, 재현율 84.6%, F1-score 89.2%, AUC 0.907을 기록했다. 로드킬에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인은 평균 지역 기압(hPa), 평균 지면 온도(℃), 월, 평균 이슬점 온도(℃), 중앙 분리대 존재 여부, 평균 풍속(m/s)이었다. 이러한 결과는 로드킬 예방 및 교통안전에 이바지할 것으로 기대되며, 생태계와 도로 개발 간의 균형 유지에 중요한 역할을 할 것으로 예상한다.

ESTIMATION OF LONG-TERM POLLUTANT REMOVAL EFFICIENCIES OF WET RETENTION/DETENTION BASINS USING THE WEANES MODEL

  • Youn, Chi-Hyueon;Pandit, Ashok;Cho, Han-Bum
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.215-219
    • /
    • 2005
  • A macro spreadsheet model, WEANES (Wet Pond Annual Efficiency Simulation Model), has been developed to predict the long-term or annual removal efficiencies of wet retention/detention basins. The model uses historical, site-specific, multi-year, rainfall data, usually available from a nearby National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) climatological station to estimate basin efficiencies which are calculated based on annual mass loads. Other required input parameters are: 1) watershed parameters; drainage area, pervious curve number, directly connected impervious area, and ti me of concentration, 2) pond parameters; control and overflow elevations, pond side slopes, surface areas at control elevation and pond bottom; 3) outlet structure parameters; 4) pollutant event mean concentrations; and 5) pond loss rate which is defined as the net loss due to evaporation, infiltration and water reuse. The model offers default options for parameters such as pollutant event mean concentrations and pond loss rate. The model can serve as a design, planning, and permitting tool for consulting engineers, planners and government regulators.

  • PDF