• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayesian Statistics

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베이지안 통계의 역사와 미래에 대한 조망 (History and Future of Bayesian Statistics)

  • 이재용;이경재;이영선
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.855-863
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    • 2014
  • 최근 계산 기술의 진보로 인하여, 베이지안 통계는 급속도로 확산되어 가고 있다. 그러나, 정보화 시대에 들어서면서 베이지안 통계를 비롯한 통계학은 새로운 문제들에 직면하게 되었다. 이 논문에서는 베이지안 통계의 역사를 간단히 살펴보고, 베이지안 통계의 현재의 영향력에 대해서 알아본다. 그리고 통계학의 미래와 통계학계가 직면한 도전과제들에 대하여 생각해 볼 것이다.

A Bayesian Approach for Record Value Statistics Model Using Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process

  • Kiheon Choi;Hee chual Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.259-269
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    • 1997
  • Bayesian inference for a record value statistics(RVS) model of nonhomogeneous Poisson process is considered. We seal with Bayesian inference for double exponential, Gamma, Rayleigh, Gumble RVS models using Gibbs sampling and Metropolis algorithm and also explore Bayesian computation and model selection.

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베이지안 로지스틱 회귀모형에서의 추론에 대한 연구 (Inferential Problems in Bayesian Logistic Regression Models)

  • 황진수;강성찬
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.1149-1160
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    • 2011
  • 기존의 frequentist 추론에 비해 Bayesian 추론에서의 가설 검정 및 모형 선택 문제는 학자들 간에 일치된 견해를 보이지 못하고 있으며 아직도 논란이 되는 것들이 많다. Bayesian 추론에서 가설 검정 및 모형 선택의 기준으로 널리 쓰이는 Bayes factor는 이해하기 쉬우나 여러 경우에 구하기 어려운 단점이 존재한다. 그 외에 다른 기준으로 Spiegelhalter 등 (2002)가 제시한 DIC(Deviance Information Criterion)과 frequentist 추론에서의 P-value에 대비되는 Bayesian P-value가 있다. 본 논문에서는 Swiss banknote 자료를 Bayesian 로지스틱 회귀모형으로 분석하고 관련 기준들을 구하여 각 기준들이 일관성 있는 결론을 보이는지 확인하고자 한다.

An Objective Bayesian Inference for the Difference between Two Normal Means

  • Jang, Eun-Jin;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Kyeong-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1365-1374
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we consider a decision-theoretic oriented, objective Bayesian inference for the difference between two normal means with known variances. We derive the Bayesian reference criterion as well as the intrinsic estimator and the credible region which correspond to the intrinsic discrepancy loss and the reference prior. We show the similarity between derived two-sample results and the results for the one-sample case in Bernardo(1999).

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Bayesian Methods for Combining Results from Different Experiments

  • Lee, In-Suk;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Keun-Baik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.181-191
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    • 1999
  • We consider Bayesian models allow multiple grouping of parameters for the normal means estimation problem. In particular, we consider a typical Bayesian hierarchical approach based on thepartial exchangeability where the components within a subgroup are exchangeable, but the different subgroups are not. We discuss implementation of such Bayesian procedures via Gibbs sampling. We illustrate the proposed methods with numerical examples.

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Bayesian Multiple Comparison of Bivariate Exponential Populations based on Fractional Bayes Factor

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Cho, Kil-Ho;Choi, Seung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.843-850
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we consider the Bayesian multiple comparisons problem for K bivariate exponential populations to make inferences on the relationships among the parameters based on observations. And we suggest the Bayesian procedure based on fractional Bayes factor when noninformative priors are applied for the parameters. Also, we give a numerical examples to illustrate our procedure.

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A Study on Bayesian p-values

  • Hwnag, Hyungtae;Oh, Heejung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.725-732
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    • 2002
  • P-values are often perceived as measurements of degree of compatibility between the current data and the hypothesized model. In this paper, a new concept of Bayesian p-values is proposed and studied under the non-informative prior distributions, which can be thought as the Bayesian counterparts of the classical p-values in the sense of using the concept of significance level. The performances of the proposed Bayesian p-values are compared with those of the classical p-values through several examples.

Bayesian Estimators Using Record Statistics of Exponentiated Inverse Weibull Distribution

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Seo, Jung-In;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.479-493
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    • 2012
  • The inverse Weibull distribution(IWD) is a complementary Weibull distribution and plays an important role in many application areas. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian estimator in the context of record statistics values from the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution(EIWD). We obtained Bayesian estimators through the squared error loss function (quadratic loss) and LINEX loss function. This is done with respect to the conjugate priors for shape and scale parameters. The results may be of interest especially when only record values are stored.

Bayesian Estimation of the Two-Parameter Kappa Distribution

  • Oh, Mi-Ra;Kim, Sun-Worl;Park, Jeong-Soo;Son, Young-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2007
  • In this paper a Bayesian estimation of the two-parameter kappa distribution was discussed under the noninformative prior. The Bayesian estimators are obtained by the Gibbs sampling. The generation of the shape parameter and scale parameter in the Gibbs sampler is implemented using the adaptive rejection Metropolis sampling algorithm of Gilks et al. (1995). A Monte Carlo study showed that the Bayesian estimators proposed outperform other estimators in the sense of mean squared error.

BAYESIAN MODEL SELECTION IN REGRESSION MODEL WITH AUTOREGRESSIVE ERRORS

  • Chung, Youn-Shik;Sohn, Keon-Tae;Kim, Sung-Duk;Kim, Chan-Soo
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.289-301
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers the Bayesian analysis of the regression model wish autoregressive errors. The Bayesian approach for finding the order p of autoregressive error is proposed and the proposed method can be simplified by generalized Savage-Dicky density ratio(Verdinelli and Wasser-man, [18]). And the Markov chain Monte Carlo method(Gibbs sample, [7]) is used in order to overcome the difficulty of Bayesian computations. Final1y, several examples are used to illustrate our proposed methodology.