• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Design

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Availability Verification of Feature Variables for Pattern Classification on Weld Flaws (용접결함의 패턴분류를 위한 특징변수 유효성 검증)

  • Kim, Chang-Hyun;Kim, Jae-Yeol;Yu, Hong-Yeon;Hong, Sung-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the natural flaws in welding parts are classified using the signal pattern classification method. The storage digital oscilloscope including FFT function and enveloped waveform generator is used and the signal pattern recognition procedure is made up the digital signal processing, feature extraction, feature selection and classifier design. It is composed with and discussed using the distance classifier that is based on euclidean distance the empirical Bayesian classifier. Feature extraction is performed using the class-mean scatter criteria. The signal pattern classification method is applied to the signal pattern recognition of natural flaws.

A Traffic Accident Detection and Analysis System at Intersections using Probability-based Hierarchical Network (확률기반 계층적 네트워크를 활용한 교차로 교통사고 인식 및 분석 시스템)

  • Hwang, Ju-Won;Lee, Young-Seol;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.16 no.10
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    • pp.995-999
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    • 2010
  • Every year, traffic accidents and traffic congestion have been rapidly increasing, Although the roadway design and signal system have been improved to relieve traffic accidents, traffic casualties and property damage do not decrease. This paper develops a real-time traffic accident detection and analysis system (RTADAS): In the proposed system, we aim to precisely detect traffic accidents at different design and flow of intersections, However, because the data collected from intersections have uncertainty and complicated causal dependency between them, we construct probability-based networks for correct accident detection.

Overall risk analysis of shield TBM tunnelling using Bayesian Networks (BN) and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) (베이지안 네트워크와 AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process)를 활용한 쉴드 TBM 터널 리스크 분석)

  • Park, Jeongjun;Chung, Heeyoung;Moon, Joon-Bai;Choi, Hangseok;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.453-467
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    • 2016
  • Overall risks that can occur in a shield TBM tunnelling are studied in this paper. Both the potential risk events that may occur during tunnel construction and their causes are identified, and the causal relationship between causes and events is obtained in a systematic way. Risk impact analysis is performed for the potential risk events and ways to mitigate the risks are summarized. Literature surveys as well as interviews with experts were made for this purpose. The potential risk events are classified into eight categories: cuttability reduction, collapse of a tunnel face, ground surface settlement and upheaval, spurts of slurry on the ground, incapability of mucking and excavation, and water leakage. The causes of these risks are categorized into three areas: geological, design and construction management factors. Bayesian Networks (BN) were established to systematically assess a causal relationship between causes and events. The risk impact analysis was performed to evaluate a risk response level by adopting an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) with the consideration of the downtime and cost of measures. Based on the result of the risk impact analysis, the risk events are divided into four risk response levels and these levels are verified by comparing with the actual occurrences of risk events. Measures to mitigate the potential risk events during the design and/or construction stages are also proposed. Result of this research will be of the help to the designers and contractors of TBM tunnelling projects in identifying the potential risks and for preparing a systematic risk management through the evaluation of the risk response level and the migration methods in the design and construction stage.

Derivation of Flood Frequency Curve with Uncertainty of Rainfall and Rainfall-Runoff Model (강우 및 강우-유출 모형의 불확실성을 고려한 홍수빈도곡선 유도)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Park, Sae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2013
  • The lack of sufficient flood data being kept across Korea has made it difficult to assess reliable estimates of the design flood while relatively sufficient rainfall data are available. In this regard, a rainfall simulation based derivation technique of flood frequency curve has been proposed in some of studies. The main issues in deriving the flood frequency curve is to develop the rainfall simulation model that is able to effectively reproduce extreme rainfall. Also the rainfall-runoff modeling that can convey uncertainties associated with model parameters needs to be developed. This study proposes a systematic approach to fully consider rainfallrunoff related uncertainties by coupling a piecewise Kernel-Pareto based multisite daily rainfall generation model and Bayesian HEC-1 model. The proposed model was applied to generate runoff ensemble at Daechung Dam watershed, and the flood frequency curve was successfully derived. It was confirmed that the proposed model is very promising in estimating design floods given a rigorous comparison with existing approaches.

Machine Learning-based Data Analysis for Designing High-strength Nb-based Superalloys (고강도 Nb기 초내열 합금 설계를 위한 기계학습 기반 데이터 분석)

  • Eunho Ma;Suwon Park;Hyunjoo Choi;Byoungchul Hwang;Jongmin Byun
    • Journal of Powder Materials
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.217-222
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    • 2023
  • Machine learning-based data analysis approaches have been employed to overcome the limitations in accurately analyzing data and to predict the results of the design of Nb-based superalloys. In this study, a database containing the composition of the alloying elements and their room-temperature tensile strengths was prepared based on a previous study. After computing the correlation between the tensile strength at room temperature and the composition, a material science analysis was conducted on the elements with high correlation coefficients. These alloying elements were found to have a significant effect on the variation in the tensile strength of Nb-based alloys at room temperature. Through this process, a model was derived to predict the properties using four machine learning algorithms. The Bayesian ridge regression algorithm proved to be the optimal model when Y, Sc, W, Cr, Mo, Sn, and Ti were used as input features. This study demonstrates the successful application of machine learning techniques to effectively analyze data and predict outcomes, thereby providing valuable insights into the design of Nb-based superalloys.

Design and Performance evaluation of Fuzzy-based Framed Random Access Controller ($F^2RAC$) for the Integration of Voice ad Data over Wireless Medium Access Control Protocol (프레임 구조를 갖는 무선 매체접속제어 프로토콜 상에서 퍼지 기반의 음성/데이터 통합 임의접속제어기 설계 및 성능 분석)

  • 홍승은;최원석;김응배;강충구;임묘택
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.189-192
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes a fuzzy-based random access controller with a superimposed frame structure (F$^2$RAC) fur voice/data-integrated wireless networks. F$^2$RAC adopts mini-slot technique for reducing contention cost, and these mini-slots of which number may dynamically vary from one frame to the next as a function of the traffic load are further partitioned into two regions for access requests coming from voice and data traffic with their respective QoS requirements. And F$^2$RAC is designed to properly determine the access regions and permission probabilities for enhancing the data packet delay while ensuring the voice packet dropping probability constraint. It mainly consists of the estimator with Pseudo-Bayesian algorithm and fuzzy logic controller with Sugeno-type of fuzzy rules. Simulation results prove that F$^2$RAC can guarantee QoS requirement of voice and provide the highest throughput efficiency and the smallest data packet delay amongst the different alternatives including PRMA[1], IPRMA[2], and SIR[3].

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A Study of Built-In-Test Diagnosis Mistakes as a False Alarm Filter Useful Redundant Techniques for Built-in-Test Related System

  • Oh, Hyun Seung;Yoo, Wang Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 1993
  • Early generations of products had little to no inherent capability to test themselves. The technologies involved often required only visual inspection and limited probing to troubleshoot the system once it was turned over to maintenance personnel. However, as the complexity of military and commercial systems grew, symptoms of failure became less noticeable to the operator. Therefore, the procedure to access, inspect, repair and replace a component became complicated, the requirements for personnel skill and testing equipment increased. and it took too long of a time to maintain a system. Meanwhile, the need for availability became more mission-critical and maintenance become very expensive. The obvious solution was to design in-system circuits or devices to self-test the primary system, the Built-In-Test(BIT) was born. This approach has continued right on up through present systems and is an integral part of systems now being designed. The object of this paper is to present a state-of-the-art research for filtering out the BIT diagnosis mistakes using Bayesian analysis and develop the algorithm for Redundant systems with BIT to improve BIT diagnosis.

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Improved Exploration Algorithm Using Reliability Index of Thinning Based Topological Nodes

  • Kwon, Tae-Bum;Song, Jae-Bok;Lee, Soo-Yong
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.250-255
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    • 2005
  • For navigation of a service robot, mapping and localization are very important. To estimate the robot pose, the map of the environment is required and it can be built by exploration or SLAM. Exploration is the fundamental task of guiding a robot autonomously during mapping such that it covers the entire environment with its sensors. In this paper, an efficient exploration scheme based on the position probability of the end nodes of a topological map is proposed. In this scheme, a topological map is constructed in real time using the thinning-based approach. The robot then updates the position probability of each end node maintaining its position at the current location based on the Bayesian update rule using the range data. From this probability, the robot can determine whether or not it needs to visit the specific end node to examine the environment around this node. Various experiments show that the proposed exploration scheme can perform exploration more efficiently than other schemes in that, in most cases, exploration for the entire environment can be completed without directly visiting everywhere in the environment.

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Development of Customized Strategy for Enhancing Automobile Repurchase Using Data Mining Techniques (자동차 재구매 증진을 위한 데이터 마이닝 기반의 맞춤형 전략 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Wook;Choi, Keun-Ho;Yoo, Dong-Hee
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.47-61
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    • 2017
  • Purpose Although automobile production has increased since the development of the Korean automobile industry, the number of customers who can purchase automobiles decreases relatively. Therefore, automobile companies need to develop strategies to attract customers and promote their repurchase behaviors. To this end, this paper analyzed customer data from a Korean automobile company using data mining techniques to derive repurchase strategies. Design/methodology/approach We conducted under-sampling to balance the collected data and generated 10 datasets. We then implemented prediction models by applying a decision tree, naive Bayesian, and artificial neural network algorithms to each of the datasets. As a result, we derived 10 patterns consisting of 11 variables affecting customers' decisions about repurchases from the decision tree algorithm, which yielded the best accuracy. Using the derived patterns, we proposed helpful strategies for improving repurchase rates. Findings From the top 10 repurchase patterns, we found that 1) repurchases in January are associated with a specific residential region, 2) repurchases in spring or autumn are associated with whether it is a weekend or not, 3) repurchases in summer are associated with whether the automobile is equipped with a sunroof or not, and 4) a customized promotion for a specific occupation increases the number of repurchases.

Statistical Estimation of Motion Trajectories of Falling Petals Based on Particle Filtering (Particle Filtering에 근거한 낙하하는 꽃잎의 운동궤적의 통계적 추정)

  • Lee, Jae Woo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.629-635
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a method for predicting and tracking the irregular motion of bio-systems, - such as petals of flowers, butterflies or seeds of dandelion - based on the particle filtering theory. In bio-inspired system design, the ability to predict the dynamic motion of particles through adequate, experimentally verified models is important. The modeling of petal particle systems falling in air was carried out using the Bayesian probability rule. The experimental results show that the suggested method has good predictive power in the case of random disturbances induced by the turbulence of air.