• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes rule

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A Belief Network Approach for Development of a Nuclear Power Plant Diagnosis System

  • I.K. Hwang;Kim, J.T.;Lee, D.Y.;C.H. Jung;Kim, J.Y.;Lee, J.S.;Ha, C.S .m
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1998.05a
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    • pp.273-278
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    • 1998
  • Belief network(or Bayesian network) based on Bayes' rule in probabilistic theory can be applied to the reasoning of diagnostic systems. This paper describes the basic theory of concept and feasibility of using the network for diagnosis of nuclear power plants. An example shows that the probabilities of root causes of a failure are calculated from the measured or believed evidences.

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Performance Analysis of the Image Segmentation Using an Intensity Histogram (밝기분포도를 이용한 영상영역화의 성능분석)

  • 김경수;이상욱
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.504-509
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    • 1987
  • In this paper a characteristics of image which can be segmented based on the thresholding technique using a histogram was investigated employing 3 parameters: the variance of pixel value, the average mean difference between target and background and the target size. The threshold value for the histogram segmentation was determined by applying the hypothesis testing theory. The performance of the selected threshold was evaluated by computing a probability of error. Since a priori probability can be easily obtained from the histogram, it was found that the Bayes decision rule which theoretically guarantees the minimum probability of error works better than the minimax criterion rule.

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Simulation studies to compare bayesian wavelet shrinkage methods in aggregated functional data

  • Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.311-330
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    • 2023
  • The present work describes simulation studies to compare the performances in terms of averaged mean squared error of bayesian wavelet shrinkage methods in estimating component curves from aggregated functional data. Five bayesian methods available in the literature were considered to be compared in the studies: The shrinkage rule under logistic prior, shrinkage rule under beta prior, large posterior mode (LPM) method, amplitude-scale invariant Bayes estimator (ABE) and Bayesian adaptive multiresolution smoother (BAMS). The so called Donoho-Johnstone test functions, logit and SpaHet functions were considered as component functions and the scenarios were defined according to different values of sample size and signal to noise ratio in the datasets. It was observed that the signal to noise ratio of the data had impact on the performances of the methods. An application of the methodology and the results to the tecator dataset is also done.

Development of a Secure Routing Protocol using Game Theory Model in Mobile Ad Hoc Networks

  • Paramasivan, Balasubramanian;Viju Prakash, Maria Johan;Kaliappan, Madasamy
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2015
  • In mobile ad-hoc networks (MANETs), nodes are mobile in nature. Collaboration between mobile nodes is more significant in MANETs, which have as their greatest challenges vulnerabilities to various security attacks and an inability to operate securely while preserving its resources and performing secure routing among nodes. Therefore, it is essential to develop an effective secure routing protocol to protect the nodes from anonymous behaviors. Currently, game theory is a tool that analyzes, formulates and solves selfishness issues. It is seldom applied to detect malicious behavior in networks. It deals, instead, with the strategic and rational behavior of each node. In our study,we used the dynamic Bayesian signaling game to analyze the strategy profile for regular and malicious nodes. This game also revealed the best actions of individual strategies for each node. Perfect Bayesian equilibrium (PBE) provides a prominent solution for signaling games to solve incomplete information by combining strategies and payoff of players that constitute equilibrium. Using PBE strategies of nodes are private information of regular and malicious nodes. Regular nodes should be cooperative during routing and update their payoff, while malicious nodes take sophisticated risks by evaluating their risk of being identified to decide when to decline. This approach minimizes the utility of malicious nodes and it motivates better cooperation between nodes by using the reputation system. Regular nodes monitor continuously to evaluate their neighbors using belief updating systems of the Bayes rule.

The Method to Estimate Saliency Values using Gauss Weight (가우스 가중치를 이용한 돌출 값 추정을 위한 방법)

  • Yu, Young-Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.965-970
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    • 2013
  • It is important work to extract saliency regions from an image as preprocessing for various image processing methods. In this paper, we introduce an improved method to estimate saliency value of each pixel from an image. The proposed method is an improved work of the previously studied method using color and statistical framework to estimate saliency values. At first, saliency value of each pixel is calculated using the local contrast of an image region at various scales and the most significant saliency pixel is determined using saliency value of each pixel. Then, saliency value of each pixel is again estimated using gauss weight with respect to the most significant saliency pixel and the saliency of each pixel is determined to calculate initial probability. At last, the saliency value of each pixel is calculated by Bayes' rule. The experiments show that our approach outperforms the current statistical based method.

Developing the Automated Sentiment Learning Algorithm to Build the Korean Sentiment Lexicon for Finance (재무분야 감성사전 구축을 위한 자동화된 감성학습 알고리즘 개발)

  • Su-Ji Cho;Ki-Kwang Lee;Cheol-Won Yang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2023
  • Recently, many studies are being conducted to extract emotion from text and verify its information power in the field of finance, along with the recent development of big data analysis technology. A number of prior studies use pre-defined sentiment dictionaries or machine learning methods to extract sentiment from the financial documents. However, both methods have the disadvantage of being labor-intensive and subjective because it requires a manual sentiment learning process. In this study, we developed a financial sentiment dictionary that automatically extracts sentiment from the body text of analyst reports by using modified Bayes rule and verified the performance of the model through a binary classification model which predicts actual stock price movements. As a result of the prediction, it was found that the proposed financial dictionary from this research has about 4% better predictive power for actual stock price movements than the representative Loughran and McDonald's (2011) financial dictionary. The sentiment extraction method proposed in this study enables efficient and objective judgment because it automatically learns the sentiment of words using both the change in target price and the cumulative abnormal returns. In addition, the dictionary can be easily updated by re-calculating conditional probabilities. The results of this study are expected to be readily expandable and applicable not only to analyst reports, but also to financial field texts such as performance reports, IR reports, press articles, and social media.

Bayesian Approach to Users' Perspective on Movie Genres

  • Lenskiy, Artem A.;Makita, Eric
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2017
  • Movie ratings are crucial for recommendation engines that track the behavior of all users and utilize the information to suggest items the users might like. It is intuitively appealing that information about the viewing preferences in terms of movie genres is sufficient for predicting a genre of an unlabeled movie. In order to predict movie genres, we treat ratings as a feature vector, apply a Bernoulli event model to estimate the likelihood of a movie being assigned a certain genre, and evaluate the posterior probability of the genre of a given movie by using the Bayes rule. The goal of the proposed technique is to efficiently use movie ratings for the task of predicting movie genres. In our approach, we attempted to answer the question: "Given the set of users who watched a movie, is it possible to predict the genre of a movie on the basis of its ratings?" The simulation results with MovieLens 1M data demonstrated the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed technique, achieving an 83.8% prediction rate for exact prediction and 84.8% when including correlated genres.

An effective automated ontology construction based on the agriculture domain

  • Deepa, Rajendran;Vigneshwari, Srinivasan
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.573-587
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    • 2022
  • The agricultural sector is completely different from other sectors since it completely relies on various natural and climatic factors. Climate changes have many effects, including lack of annual rainfall and pests, heat waves, changes in sea level, and global ozone/atmospheric CO2 fluctuation, on land and agriculture in similar ways. Climate change also affects the environment. Based on these factors, farmers chose their crops to increase productivity in their fields. Many existing agricultural ontologies are either domain-specific or have been created with minimal vocabulary and no proper evaluation framework has been implemented. A new agricultural ontology focused on subdomains is designed to assist farmers using Jaccard relative extractor (JRE) and Naïve Bayes algorithm. The JRE is used to find the similarity between two sentences and words in the agricultural documents and the relationship between two terms is identified via the Naïve Bayes algorithm. In the proposed method, the preprocessing of data is carried out through natural language processing techniques and the tags whose dimensions are reduced are subjected to rule-based formal concept analysis and mapping. The subdomain ontologies of weather, pest, and soil are built separately, and the overall agricultural ontology are built around them. The gold standard for the lexical layer is used to evaluate the proposed technique, and its performance is analyzed by comparing it with different state-of-the-art systems. Precision, recall, F-measure, Matthews correlation coefficient, receiver operating characteristic curve area, and precision-recall curve area are the performance metrics used to analyze the performance. The proposed methodology gives a precision score of 94.40% when compared with the decision tree(83.94%) and K-nearest neighbor algorithm(86.89%) for agricultural ontology construction.

Context-Dependent Classification of Multi-Echo MRI Using Bayes Compound Decision Model (Bayes의 복합 의사결정모델을 이용한 다중에코 자기공명영상의 context-dependent 분류)

  • 전준철;권수일
    • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.179-187
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    • 1999
  • Purpose : This paper introduces a computationally inexpensive context-dependent classification of multi-echo MRI with Bayes compound decision model. In order to produce accurate region segmentation especially in homogeneous area and along boundaries of the regions, we propose a classification method that uses contextual information of local enighborhood system in the image. Material and Methods : The performance of the context free classifier over a statistically heterogeneous image can be improved if the local stationary regions in the image are disassociated from each other through the mechanism of the interaction parameters defined at he local neighborhood level. In order to improve the classification accuracy, we use the contextual information which resolves ambiguities in the class assignment of a pattern based on the labels of the neighboring patterns in classifying the image. Since the data immediately surrounding a given pixel is intimately associated with this given pixel., then if the true nature of the surrounding pixel is known this can be used to extract the true nature of the given pixel. The proposed context-dependent compound decision model uses the compound Bayes decision rule with the contextual information. As for the contextual information in the model, the directional transition probabilities estimated from the local neighborhood system are used for the interaction parameters. Results : The context-dependent classification paradigm with compound Bayesian model for multi-echo MR images is developed. Compared to context free classification which does not consider contextual information, context-dependent classifier show improved classification results especially in homogeneous and along boundaries of regions since contextual information is used during the classification. Conclusion : We introduce a new paradigm to classify multi-echo MRI using clustering analysis and Bayesian compound decision model to improve the classification results.

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Intelligent Gesture Interface Using Context Awareness (상황 인지 방법을 이용한 지능형 제스처 인터페이스)

  • Oh, Jae-Yong;Lee, Chil-Woo
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.02a
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문에서는 상황 인지(Context Aware)를 이용한 제스처 인식 방법에 대하여 기술한다. 기존의 인식 방법들은 대부분 제스처의 개별적인 의미를 중심으로 제스처를 분류하는 방법을 사용한다. 그러나 이러한 방법들은 인식 알고리즘을 일반화하는데 있어서 다음과 같은 문제점들을 가지고 있다. 첫째, 인간의 모든 제스처를 제한된 특징으로 모호하지 않게 구별하기 어렵다. 둘째, 같은 제스처라 할지라도 상황에 따라 다른 의미를 내포할 수 있다. 이러한 문제점들을 해결하고자 본 논문에서는 확률 기반의 상황 인지 모델을 이용한 제스처 인식 방법을 제안한다. 이 방법은 제스처의 개별적인 의미를 인식하기 전에 대상의 상황을 추상적으로 분류함으로써 행위자의 의도를 정확히 파악할 수 있다. 본 방법은 시스템의 상태를 [NULL], [OBJECT], [POSTURE], [GLOBAL], [LOCAL]의 5 가지 상태로 정의한 뒤, 각 상태의 천이를 바탕으로 대상의 상황을 판단한다. 이러한 상황 정보에 따라 각 상태에 최적화된 인식 알고리즘을 적용함으로써 지능적인 제스처 인식을 수행할 수 있으며, 기존 방법들이 갖는 제스처 인식의 제약을 완화 시키는 효과가 있다. 따라서, 제안하는 제스처 인터페이스는 자연스러운 상호 작용이 필요한 지능형 정보 가전 혹은 지능형 로봇의 HCI 로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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