• 제목/요약/키워드: Basis Rainfall

검색결과 207건 처리시간 0.028초

강우에 의한 붕괴 절개면 특성 고찰 및 위험도 작성을 위한 기초연구 (Basis Research for hazard map and Characteristic inquiry of Slope Failure by Rainfall)

  • 유기정;구호본;백용;이종현
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.509-512
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    • 2003
  • Our country is serious difference of precipitation seasonally and about 66% of yearly mean rainfall is happening in concentration rainfall form between September on June. It requires consideration because of a lot of natural disasters by this downpour are produced. Slope failure is happened by artificial factor of creation of slope according to the land development, fill slope etc. and natural factor of rainfall, topography, nature of soil, soil quality, rock floor. Usually, Direct factor of failure slope is downpour. In this study, the Slope about among 55 places happened failure by downpour investigated occurrence position, geological etc and executed and inquire into character of rainfall connected with failure slope. Among character of rainfall, executed analysis about Max. hourly rainfall and cumulative rainfall of place that failure slope is situated and grasped the geological character of failure slope. Through this, inquire to character of failure slope by rainfall and take advantage of basis study for Hazard map creation.

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도시 하수도망의 수문학적인 평가와 설계확률유량의 점대화 성향에 관한 연구(제1보) (A Study on Hydrologic Analysis and Some Effects of Urbanization on Design Flow of Urban Storm Drainage Systems (1))

  • 강관원;서병하;윤용남
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1981
  • The design flow of the urban strom drainage systems has been assessed largely on a basis of empirical relations between rainfall and runoff, and the rational formula has been widely used for the cities in our country. In order to estimate it more accurately, the urban runoff simulation model based on the RRl method has been developed and applied to the sample basin in this study. The rainfall hyetograph of the design stromfor the design flow has been obtained by the determination of the total rainfall and the temporal distributions of that rainfall. The total rainfall has been assessed from the empirical formula of rainfall intensity and the temporal distribution of that rainfall determined on the basis of Huff's method from the historical rainfall data of the basin. The virtual inflow hydrograph to each inlet of the basin has been constructed by computing the series of discharges in each time increment, using design strom hyetograph and time-area diagram. The actual runoff hydrograph at the basin outlet has been computed from the virtual inflow hydrographs by developing a relations between discharge and storage for the watershed. The discharge data for verification of the simulated runoff hydrograph are not available in the sample basin and so the sensitivity analysis of the simulation model has not been possible. The peak discharge for the design of drainage systems has been estimated from the computed runoff hydrograph at the basin outlet and compared to thatl obtained form the rational formula.

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강우시 사면안전성 변화를 고려한 열차운전규제 개발 (Development of Rail-transport Operation Control in Consideration of the Stability Variation of Railway Embankment under Rainfall)

  • 신민호;김현기;김정기
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2003년도 사면안정학술발표회
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2003
  • Train speed and infiltration of rainfall causes railway embankment to be unstable and may result in failure. Therefore, the variation in the safety factor of railway embankment should be analyzed as the function of rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, and train speed and the study is accomplished using numerical analysis program. Based on unsaturated soil engineering, the variables in the shear strength function and permeability function are also defined and used for the numerical model for evaluation of railway embankments under rainfall. As a result of the study, in order to secure the safety of train under rainfall, the variation in the safety factor of railway embankment is predicted as the function of rainfall intensity, duration time and the train load as a function of train speed. It is possible to ensure the safety of train under rainfall. Thereafter, the feasibility of the rail-transport operation control with engineering basis was established.

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수질오염총량관리 배출부하량에 대한 강우영향 분석연구 (Rainfall Effects on Discharged Pollution Load in Unit Watershed Area for the Management of TMDLs)

  • 박준대;오승영
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.648-653
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    • 2010
  • Discharged pollution load for the management of Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) is calculated on the basis of rainfall data for reference year. Rainfall has an influence on discharged pollution load in unit watershed with combined sewer system. This study reviewed the status of discharged pollution load and rainfall conditions. We also investigated rainfall effects on discharged pollution load by analyzing change of the load in accordance with increase of rainfall. The change ratio of discharged pollution load was 18.6% while inflow load only 5.8% for 5 years from 2004 to 2008 in Daejeon district. The greatest rainfall and rain days were over 2 times than the least during the period. This change in rainfall could have great effect on discharged pollution load. The analysis showed that discharged pollution load increased 2.1 times in case rainfall increased 2 times and 1.2 times in case rain days increased 2 times. Rainfall effects, therefore, should be considered to make resonable evaluation of discharged pollution load in the assessment of annual performances.

제주도 지하수 관리수위 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Determination of Management Groundwater Level on Jeju Island)

  • 김지욱;고기원;원종호;한찬
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2005
  • 제주도는 우리나라 최다우지역에 속하지만 강우량의 편차가 심하여 이에 따른 년간 지히수 함양량과 적정개발량이 큰 차이를 보이고 있다. 이에 제주도에서는 이상 가뭄이 지속시 해수침투, 지하수위 강하 등의 장해를 예방하기 위하여 대표적인 지하수 관측정의 수위를 기준으로 수위 강하에 따른 적절한 조치를 취할 수 있도록 지하수 관리제도를 도입하였다. 본 연구에서는 이상 가뭄이 지속시 지하수 자원의 적절한 관리를 위해 강우량과 지하수위 관측자료의 분석을 통해 지하수위 강하에 따른 단계별 제한 조치를 취할 수 있는 지하수 관리수위를 제시하였다 우선, 제준 도의 30년간 강우자료를 대상으로 99% 신뢰구간의 하한값을 각 유역별 기준 강우량으로 설정하였으며, 기준 강우량 이하의 강우가 3개월 이상 지속된 기간의 지하수위 관측자료를 추출하였다. 이와 같이 추출된 지하수위 관측자료의 99% 신뢰구간의 하한값을 기준 지하수위로 설정하고, 기준 지하수위의 일정비율을 단계별 지하수 관리수위로 제시하였다.

Huff 강우시간분포방법의 개선방안 연구 : I. Huff방법의 국내유역 적용성 검토 (A Study on the Improvement of Huff's Method in Korea : I. Review of Applicability of Huff's method in Korea)

  • 장수형;윤재영;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권9호
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    • pp.767-777
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    • 2006
  • Huff(1967)의 연구배경과 지형 및 강우특성을 국내유역과 비교하고 Huff(1967) 방법을 국내에 적용한 건설교통부(2000) Huff의 한계점을 파악하였으며, 국내 강우가 갖는 지속기간별 시간분포특성을 검토함으로써 국내유역에 적합한 Huff방법의 개선방안을 위한 기초연구를 목표로 하였다 Huff(1967)의 연구유역과 본 연구유역의 점강우가 갖는 특성에는 차이가 있었다. 그리고 건설교통부(2000) Huff 방법은 관측소별로 분석되어 유역을 대표하는 누가곡선의 채택에 어려움을 갖게 되며, 이용된 강우사상은 강우총량의 크기에 관계없이 모든 자료를 이용하여 점우량 25.4mm 이상을 대상으로 비교한 결과와 차이가 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한, 본 연구 대상유역의 점강우와 면적평균 강우에서 지속기간별로 강우의 시간분포 특성이 다양한 것으로 분석되었으며, 이는 K-S 검정결과 5% 유의수준에서 지속기간별로 작성된 일부 누가곡선이 전 지속기간에 대해 작성된 누가곡선과 유의하지 않는 것으로 분석되어 지속기간별 시간분포 특성이 통계학적으로 입증되었다. 따라서 Huff(1967) 방법을 국내유역에 적용하기 위해서는 적정 수준 이상의 총량을 갖는 강우사상을 대상으로 유역의 대표성, 강우의 지속기간별 특성이 반영된 누가곡선이 작성되어야 할 것으로 판단되었다.

Uncertainty Analysis based on LENS-GRM

  • Lee, Sang Hyup;Seong, Yeon Jeong;Park, KiDoo;Jung, Young Hun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.208-208
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the frequency of abnormal weather due to complex factors such as global warming is increasing frequently. From the past rainfall patterns, it is evident that climate change is causing irregular rainfall patterns. This phenomenon causes difficulty in predicting rainfall and makes it difficult to prevent and cope with natural disasters, casuing human and property damages. Therefore, accurate rainfall estimation and rainfall occurrence time prediction could be one of the ways to prevent and mitigate damage caused by flood and drought disasters. However, rainfall prediction has a lot of uncertainty, so it is necessary to understand and reduce this uncertainty. In addition, when accurate rainfall prediction is applied to the rainfall-runoff model, the accuracy of the runoff prediction can be improved. In this regard, this study aims to increase the reliability of rainfall prediction by analyzing the uncertainty of the Korean rainfall ensemble prediction data and the outflow analysis model using the Limited Area ENsemble (LENS) and the Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model (GRM) models. First, the possibility of improving rainfall prediction ability is reviewed using the QM (Quantile Mapping) technique among the bias correction techniques. Then, the GRM parameter calibration was performed twice, and the likelihood-parameter applicability evaluation and uncertainty analysis were performed using R2, NSE, PBIAS, and Log-normal. The rainfall prediction data were applied to the rainfall-runoff model and evaluated before and after calibration. It is expected that more reliable flood prediction will be possible by reducing uncertainty in rainfall ensemble data when applying to the runoff model in selecting behavioral models for user uncertainty analysis. Also, it can be used as a basis of flood prediction research by integrating other parameters such as geological characteristics and rainfall events.

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한반도 여름 강우량의 변화에서 1996년을 중심으로 나타나는 남북진동 패턴 (The South-North Oscillation Centered on 1996 in Korean Summer Rainfall Variability)

  • 최기선;오수빈;김도우;변희룡
    • 대기
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2010
  • In accordance with the time series of rainfall in summer (June, July and August) in South and North Korea for recent 28 years (1981-2008), rainfall is substantially increased in South Korea since 1996, while it is significantly decreased in North Korea. In particular, the decreasing tendency of rainfall in summer in North Korea is more definitely observed during the $2^{nd}$ rainy season (late August - mid September) in intraseasonal variation. Such a feature is also confirmed in the spatial distribution of oscillation pattern between South and North Korea on the basis of 1996 which is obtained by empirical orthogonal function analysis using the summer rainfall observed in all weather observation stations in South and North Korea. For the decreasing tendency of rainfall in North Korea, it is found that northeasterlies from anticyclonic circulation centered on around Baikal Lake weaken convective activity during summer. On the contrary, the increasing tendency of rainfall in South Korea is related to the strengthened cyclonic circulation in the southern region of China and accordingly, enhances southwesterlies in South Korea.

댐저수지군의 최적연계운영을 고려한 유출예측시스템모형 구축을 위한 기초적 연구 (A Basic Study on the Flood-Flow Forecasting System Model with Integrated Optimal Operation of Multipurpose Dams)

  • 안승섭
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제37권3_4호
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    • pp.48-60
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    • 1995
  • A flood - flow forecasting system model of river basins has been developed in this study. The system model consists of the data management system(the observation and telemetering system, the rainfall forecasting and data-bank system), the flood runoff simulation system, the reservoir operation simulation system, the flood forecasting simulation system, the flood warning system and the user's menu system. The Multivariate Rainfall Forecasting model, Meteorological factor regression model and Zone expected rainfall model for rainfall forecasting and the Streamflow synthesis and reservoir regulation(SSARR) model for flood runoff simulation have been adopted for the development of a new system model for flood - flow forecasting. These models are calibrated to determine the optimal parameters on the basis of observed rainfall, 7 streamfiow and other hydrological data during the past flood periods.

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수공구조물 설계를 위한 설계강우의 수문학적 특성 분석 (An Analysis on Hydrologic Characteristics of Design Rainfall for the Design of Hydraulic Structure)

  • 이정식;이재준;박종영
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구에서는 기존에 널리 사용되고 있는 설계강우의 시간분포모형인 Mononobe 분포법, Yen과 Chow 분포법, Huff 분포법과 heifer와 Chu 분포법을 강우-유출모형인 SCS 방법, Nakayasu 방법과 Clark 방법에 적용하여 최대 유출상황을 발생시키는 설계강우 시간분포모형을 결정하였다. 각 강우-유출모형에 균등강우강도를 적용한 경우를 기준으로 하여 첨두유량의 변동성을 검토하였다. 대상유역에 적용한 강우-유출모형의 결과를 분석하여 유역별 및 강우-유출모형별로 최대 유출상황을 발생시키는 설계강우의 시간분포모형을 정리한 결과 전체적으로 Yen과 Chow 분포법의 후방집중형으로 나타났다. 결정된 시간분포모형을 바탕으로 지속기간의 변화에 따른 첨두유량의 변동성을 파악한 결과 확률강우강도식의 형태에 따라 최대유량을 발생시키는 지속기간에 변동성이 보여지고 있으며, 강우-유출모형에 의한 영향보다는 확률강우강도식의 형태와 I-D-F곡선에 따라 첨두유량의 변동성이 크게 나타났다.

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